Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $12.70 $0.70 6%
ELP-4   WIN (12/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $10.40 $2.40 30%
ELP-5   TRI (10/2/5/11)-(10/2/5/11)-(10/2/5/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-10-5 $14.63 $2.63 22%
    DD (12/4/8/2)-(10/2/5/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00  12-2 $38.02 $6.02 19%
ELP-6   PK3 (12/4/8/2)-(10/2/5/11)-(3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  12-2-3 $25.58 $1.58 7%
ELP-9   WIN (9/1/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.58 $1.58 16%
    EXA (9/1/3/4/7)-(9/1/3/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-3 $63.02 $23.02 58%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:252   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THANKS FRANK 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 12 14½ (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 113 3.50 15% 5.90 1.75 W
9  AVAILABILITY 8 5 21 2½ 2½ 22 24½ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.51 P
6  AUDEN 5 6 54½ 55½ 36 35½ 36 (newton troy)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 8.76  
2  CHARNICO 2 7 87¼ 77½ 68¼ 57½ 46½ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 19% 4.30 3.04  
1  VINO FA DANZA 1 1 65½ 67½ 48 46 56¾ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00 13.38  
8  LEFT POCKET MONEY 7 4 42 44 58 612½ 631 (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.05  
5  MALINALCO 4 8 77 89 814¼ 718½ 741½ (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 21.18  
3  GUATAPE 3 3 31 32 714¼ 824½ 868¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 17.84  
SCR  SECRET EDGE               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SIR OLLIE 5 2 1nk 1nk   21 13½ (vanden ber)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 55% 0.80 1.11 W
5  UPSTRIKER 4 3 31 3½   11 23½ (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15 P
4  COOL RAGS 3 4 41½ 4¾   31½ 34 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 11.81  
3  MAN ON THE MOON 2 6 51¾ 51¾   43 45 (vance d)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 5.16  
7  COMMANDER CARL 6 1 2nk 2nk   53 59 (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 116 10.00 6.77  
2  KYGO (GER) 1 5 63¼ 66¾   611 625¾ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 10% 8.90 18.07  
SCR  DONTKISSDAMINISTER               (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ATOMIC 6 8 41 2nk   12½ 14¼ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 17.89  
3  COACH CAMPBELL 3 6 88½ 78¼   55 24¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 4.91  
1  NOT SO HOLY 1 5 1½ 1nk   22½ 35½ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 2.39 S
2  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 2 4 2½ 32½   44½ 48½ (hartma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 3.94  
9  MALIBLUE 8 1 51½ 54¼   66½ 510 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
8  INCURSION 7 2 31 44   34½ 610 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 16% 5.10 2.22  
5  SOUL SNATCHER 5 7 78 812¼   713 722½ (ortiz ale)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.30 14.98  
4  BELLO 4 3 64 66¾   820 864½ (santamaria )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 22.54  
SCR  SECOND SERVICE               (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
 
ELP-4   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FLIP FLOPS 12 7 85½ 84¼ 41½ 1½ 11¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 45% 1.20 4.20 W
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SANDAL by MUNNINGS)
7  DERRY GIRL 7 11 97 95¼ 63½ 31 21¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 5.76  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of JOYERIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  LOVE TEMPO (IRE) 1 10 119½ 117¾ 97 73¾ 31¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 4.92  
  (by UNKNOWN out of AQUAMARINE by GEMOLOGIST)
8  ALWAYS PRACTICAL 8 5 31½ 31½ 1nk 2½ 42½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 7% 12.80 13.95  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALWAYS RIGHT by ARCH)
3  CHATTANOOGA CREW 3 6 53½ 52¾ 31 41 53 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 15.24  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ZELDA CAN DANCE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN 2 8 74½ 63¼ 75 63½ 63¼ (kenneally eddi)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.72  
  (by FROSTED out of SEASON TICKET by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
11  GHOSTTAPPER 11 9 107½ 106¼ 85½ 52½ 73½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★ 4.15  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TAP INTO BEAUTY by CONGRATS)
4  TAKE NOTE OF THIS 4 2 43 41¾ 52 84¼ 87 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 27% 2.70 6.60  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
9  GROVE CITY SUNSET 9 12 1211½ 128¼ 109 95¾ 97¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 10.73  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SHEZA SWEET LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
6  MATCH FIVE 6 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 107¾ 1016¾ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00 42.99  
  (by MUNNINGS out of YAHTZEE QUEEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  TALKSALOT 5 4 63½ 73¼ 1214 1115¼ 1126½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 27.05  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of HARLAN SHOWGIRL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 10 3 2½ 2nk 1112 1216¾ 1233½ (mcentee paul)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00 18.19  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GONE TO AUSTIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
ELP-5   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RICH CITY GIRL 2 2 1nk 11   12½ 13¼ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 20% 3.90 2.04 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
10  PRAYING 7 5 41¼ 42½   22½ 23¼ (medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 34% 1.90 2.22 P
  (by VEKOMA out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
5  MISCHIEF NIGHT 5 7 73¼ 64   45½ 34 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.93 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PEACH BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
1  WARRIOR'S JUSTICE 1 1 31 32½   34 45½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 8.80  
  (by JUSTIFY out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
11  OKLAHOMA LOGIC 8 6 52¼ 53½   69 512 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.33  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
3  LALILY 3 3 2nk 21   57½ 612 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 63.12  
  (by ARMY MULE out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
4  ONE HAPPY ISLAND 4 4 63¼ 77   711 714¾ (kordenbrock ma)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 10.06  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
7  HEY LIL LADY 6 8 87¼ 89   811½ 815¾ (ewing michael )CASTANON L 119 30.00 41.93  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOBLE BEAUTY by CHROMITE)
SCR  VIXEN               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  WHITELICK ROAD               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ONE MINUTE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  WITH KINDNESS               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AGGREGATOR by GRAYDAR)
 
ELP-6   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:101 1:22   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOISES OFF 2 2 44 52 2nk 1nk 1¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.40 49% 1.00 0.62 W
7  KITODAN 6 6 65½ 63 61 31½ 2¾ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 5.13  
5  TATANKA 4 4 32½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 31½ (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 30% 2.30 4.82 S
1  DESERT DUKE 1 5 55 41½ 4¼ 41¾ 42¼ (hartma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.98  
6  FOWLER BLUE 5 3 21½ 3½ 5½ 54¼ 57¾ (o'neill dou)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 24.21  
4  CHIRON 3 1 11½ 1nk 3.2 65¼ 612¼ (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 16.93  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  ETHEREAL ROAD               (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  RECKER POINT               (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00    
SCR  TAPSASIONAL               (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
 
ELP-7   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS ENCHANTED 3 4 32 2nk   12 13¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50 ★ 2.07  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ERIN ENCHANTED by LION HEART)
5  UNZIPPED 5 6 53½ 41¾   22 23¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.04 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GAS STATION SUSHI by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  CALATHEA 1 9 98½ 87¼   55½ 37¾ (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 37.78  
  (by TONALIST out of LADY CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
8  QUIET CONFIDENCE 8 1 43 3.2   44 410¾ (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 19.11  
  (by NYQUIST out of HI HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  PRESTWICK 9 2 86 65¼   67 511¾ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 15.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of OUR KHRYSTY by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
7  LIFE'S FOR LIVING 7 5 11½ 1nk   34 615 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 26% 2.90 3.64  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
4  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 4 8 63½ 76¾   710 720¼ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 7% 13.90 51.96  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
6  CANDY LANDY 6 7 75½ 97¼   810½ 821½ (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8% 11.30 15.40  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
2  ELLA ELIZABETH 2 3 21½ 54¾   911½ 927¾ (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 6.95  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PERFECT PAULA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
ELP-8   07/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pea Patch Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:211 :433 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NIKI NINE DOORS 6 1 42 42½   21 12 (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 8.80  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
5  QUIMICHIS 5 6 53½ 54   41½ 22 (gutierrez faus)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 19% 4.40 5.29 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SO MUCH LOVE by ROBIN DES PINS)
11  MS. TART 11 10 96¾ 95¾   74½ 33¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 7.82  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHEZA SWEET LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
4  MOONLIT LADY 4 5 2½ 2nk   11 44¼ (gutierrez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 23% 3.40 1.89  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DIPLOMAT LADY by FORESTRY)
10  READY FOR TROUBLE 10 12 107¼ 107¼   85½ 55¾ (hartma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 57.52  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BRIEF MARK by BENCHMARK)
12  VISUALLY 12 11 128¼ 129   127 66¾ (barocio librad)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 8.59  
  (by ENTICED out of EYE CANDY ANNIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  TWIRL AROUND 3 3 32 32   53 77½ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.51  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WILLOW HILLS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  HIGH FASHION KATE 1 4 1½ 1nk   31 87½ (minnock wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 33.12  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 7 8 117¼ 118¾   116¾ 97¾ (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 27.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
2  THESE APPLES 2 9 75 75½   63½ 109 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 49.77  
  (by TAPWRIT out of DIVINE TRICK by DIVINE PARK)
8  FIELD LASS 8 7 85¼ 85¾   106¾ 119¾ (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.40 10.69  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  CAROLINA CANDY 9 2 64 64½   96½ 1213½ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 50.60  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SENORITA CORREDORA by EL CORREDOR)
 
ELP-9   07/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR'S WORLD 1 1 2½ 21½ 2nk 11½ 14 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 27% 2.70 4.79 W
3  PURE POETRY 3 3 53½ 54½ 51¾ 42 24 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 13% 6.50 5.44 P
5  FORTUNE SELLER 5 5 1½ 11½ 1nk 21½ 35 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 6.54  
2  COPPER MISSILE 2 4 65 65½ 83½ 53 45¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 6.16  
8  ROUSSETTE 7 7 75¼ 75½ 73¼ 63½ 55¾ (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00 55.85  
4  KARLWITHANARL 4 2 32 43 41½ 32 65¾ (medina robert)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 7% 13.60 11.07  
7  RAGUEL 6 6 42 32½ 31 73¾ 77½ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
9  KID CAIRO 8 9 910¾ 87½ 61¾ 84¾ 89¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 33% 2.10 1.99  
10  MIKEALICIOUS 9 8 87¾ 98½ 96½ 99¼ 914¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 10.06  
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT               (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.