Handicappers' Racing Form
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (1/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (12/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (10/2/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (4/3/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (9/1/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO FA DANZA Apr10 Mar21 Feb14 Oct20 Sep20 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00    
2  CHARNICO Jun06 May04 Mar23     (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  GUATAPE Jun16 May26 Apr20 Mar23   (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
SCR  SECRET EDGE Apr27 Mar21 Jul31 Jul16 Jun10 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
5  MALINALCO May04         (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
6  AUDEN Jun05 May18 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 (newton troy)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00    
7  THANKS FRANK May30 May10 Apr28 Mar21 Mar02 (shirer a)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 3.50 15% 5.90    
8  LEFT POCKET MONEY Jun05 Nov10 Oct17 Oct02 Sep06 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  AVAILABILITY Jun26 Jun12 May01 Apr06 Mar23 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
ELP-2   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTKISSDAMINISTER Jun28 Jun08 May16 Mar22 Feb21 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
2  KYGO (GER) Dec22 Nov22 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
3  MAN ON THE MOON May19 Apr20 Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 (vance d)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50    
4  COOL RAGS Sep30 Sep14 Aug06 Jul02 Jun01 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
5  UPSTRIKER May19 May03 Mar22 Feb23 Nov22 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIR OLLIE May10 Feb15 Jan28 Dec21 Sep23 (vanden berg )CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  COMMANDER CARL Nov17 Oct20 Sep27 Sep05 Jul08 (shirer a)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 10.00    
 
ELP-3   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT SO HOLY Jun05 Aug19       (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT May24 Apr20 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
3  COACH CAMPBELL Jun08 May17 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
4  BELLO Jun09         (santamaria ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
5  SOUL SNATCHER         (ortiz alexa)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SECOND SERVICE Jun01         (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
7  ATOMIC         (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
8  INCURSION Apr26         (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
9  MALIBLUE Jun05 May17 Apr30 Mar15   (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-4   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TEMPO (IRE)         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
2  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN         (kenneally eddie)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHATTANOOGA CREW         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  TAKE NOTE OF THIS         (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  TALKSALOT Jun16         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
6  MATCH FIVE May22 Apr26       (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00    
7  DERRY GIRL Jun14         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
8  ALWAYS PRACTICAL         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 7% 12.80    
9  GROVE CITY SUNSET         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA Jun16 May10 Apr07     (mcentee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
11  GHOSTTAPPER         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★    
12  FLIP FLOPS Jun14 Apr26       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN May31         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-5   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S JUSTICE         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
2  RICH CITY GIRL         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  LALILY Jun25         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
4  ONE HAPPY ISLAND Jun14         (kordenbrock matt)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
5  MISCHIEF NIGHT         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  WITH KINDNESS         (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
7  HEY LIL LADY         (ewing an)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
SCR  VIXEN         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  WHITELICK ROAD Jun22         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
10  PRAYING Jun14         (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
11  OKLAHOMA LOGIC         (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-6   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT DUKE May31 Dec30 Nov23 Aug05 Jul01 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY May31 May02 Apr19 Mar16 Feb17 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50    
3  NOISES OFF May31 Apr19 Jan05 Sep30 Aug31 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
4  CHIRON Jun08 Apr19 Mar23 Feb02 Jan05 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
5  TATANKA May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb08 Jan13 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
6  FOWLER BLUE Dec10 Nov10 Sep23 Jul22 Jun29 (o'neill doug)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
7  KITODAN May18 Apr06 Mar23 Feb17 Dec16 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
SCR  TAPSASIONAL Jun15 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
SCR  BACKGROUND Jun19 May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT Jun09 May05 Apr13 Mar17 Mar07 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00    
SCR  ETHEREAL ROAD Mar30 Mar02 Jan13 Nov25 Oct23 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00    
 
ELP-7   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALATHEA         (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
2  ELLA ELIZABETH May30 Aug20       (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00    
3  MISS ENCHANTED Jun06 Feb18 Jan04 Nov18   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50 ★    
4  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI Jul07 Jun16 May26 May11 Apr19 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 7% 13.90    
5  UNZIPPED         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  CANDY LANDY May25 Mar31 Feb14 Oct29 Sep21 (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
7  LIFE'S FOR LIVING Jun08         (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
8  QUIET CONFIDENCE         (walsh brenda)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
9  PRESTWICK         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pea Patch Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FASHION KATE Jun08 May09 Apr05 Mar07 Feb10 (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
2  THESE APPLES Jun01 Apr19 Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
3  TWIRL AROUND May16 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov11 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  MOONLIT LADY Jun09 May16 Apr12 Mar24   (gutierrez f)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  QUIMICHIS Jun09 May12 Apr13 Feb08 Jan10 (gutierrez fausti)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 19% 4.40    
6  NIKI NINE DOORS Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar13 Jan31 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00    
7  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS Apr20 Mar16 Dec15 Nov28 Sep24 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
8  FIELD LASS Jan10 Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 Aug31 (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
9  CAROLINA CANDY Jun20 Jun02 Apr25 Oct06   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00    
10  READY FOR TROUBLE May25 May09 Apr14 Mar21 Feb02 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  MS. TART May31 Oct17 Sep16 Aug24   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
12  VISUALLY Jun01 May05 Mar24 Mar10 Feb11 (barocio librado)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
 
ELP-9   07/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR'S WORLD Jun07 Apr05 Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  COPPER MISSILE Jun02 Apr26 Oct26 Sep30 Aug31 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
3  PURE POETRY Jun07 Apr13 Feb15 Jul31   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
4  KARLWITHANARL Jun08 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb02 (medina robert)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
5  FORTUNE SELLER Jun07 May11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep20 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT May27 May04 Mar06 Feb17 Jan20 (amoss m)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
7  RAGUEL Jun07 Apr21 Mar01 Jan05 Nov25 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROUSSETTE Jun28 May11 Apr24 Mar07 Feb04 (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00    
9  KID CAIRO Jun07 Apr27 Apr05     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
10  MIKEALICIOUS Jun14 Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Dec31 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB) May10 Apr10 Nov12 Oct07 Aug27 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.