Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.88 $2.88  
CD-2   Win (9/7/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $22.84  
CD-3   Win (1/11/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.18 $10.18 2.18
CD-4   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.62  
CD-5   Win (9/7/6/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $10.70 $10.70 0.70
CD-6   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.16 $4.16  
CD-7   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $97.96  
CD-8   Win (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.10  
CD-9   Win (1/10/5/8/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $16.62  
CD-10   Win (3/7/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $10.44  
CD-11   Win (8/7/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $55.04  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:364   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 4 7 31½ 31½ 3½ 11 11¼ (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 37% 1.70 0.44 W
1  FLASHY LASS 1 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 21¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 25% 2.90 5.02 P
5  LEXA (FR) 5 6 53½ 53 42½ 43½ 32 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.40 6.79 S
6  SULTRY LASS 6 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 33 44¾ (lovell michell)TORRES A 122 3.00 8.03  
7  LUNA MOTH 7 1 42 42 53 56½ 57 (bogle fergus)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.23  
2  CATMINT 2 4 64½ 63½ 66 610 614 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 124 15.00 16.53  
3  CHIQUITA MOSCA 3 5 75½ 74½ 79½ 713½ 725¼ (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00 41.28  
SCR  PIGALLE               (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
 
CD-2   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUSTIFREAK 9 1 11 1½   1nk 11 (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 10.42  
14  UNCLE WILLIAM 12 4 21 2½   2nk 21 (guida e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 28.14  
9  BANNED FOR LIFE 8 2 31½ 32   32½ 32 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.84 S
5  BOURBON'S FAULT 4 3 42 45   44½ 44¼ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 13.78  
4  THINK BIG 3 11 107½ 97¾   77½ 55¼ (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 2.47  
8  MONDOGETSBUCKETS 7 5 74 66   66 65¾ (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 16.26  
11  ACCIDENT 10 10 128½ 1110¾   99¼ 77½ (short thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 5% 19.00 30.11  
3  HANDSOME HERB 2 12 84½ 77½   87¾ 88¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 6% 17.10 11.21  
6  NEON NIGHTS 5 8 97 109¾   1010¼ 910½ (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 47.61  
2  MISCHIEVOUS M 1 6 64 56   55½ 1011¼ (vance thoma)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
12  SHOW MASTER 11 9 118 1211   1112¾ 1115½ (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 49.02  
7  STINGER BEE 6 7 53½ 87¾   1213¾ 1219¼ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 21% 3.70 6.39  
SCR  MORAL DILEMMA               (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50    
SCR  TOUCHED UP               (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  WHAT A BLESSING               (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
 
CD-3   06/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DOUBLE CLUTCH 8 3 22 21 21 21 1nk (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 7% 13.30 4.09 W
1  DEMOLITION DUKE 1 2 33 32 32 31 2nk (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 61% 0.60 2.66 P
3  DECANTED 3 1 12 11 11 11 31½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 13.75  
9  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 9 4 43½ 42½ 42 52½ 43 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 25.84  
2  UNLEASH THE POWER 2 8 65 64 63½ 41½ 53¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 3.85  
12  FUNNYFLAME 12 7 97½ 75½ 75½ 64 64½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.26  
4  THREE ON THE TREE 4 12 119½ 107¾ 87½ 87 77½ (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 45.24  
5  TIVERTON (GB) 5 9 55 54 53 76 88¼ (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 19.53  
10  CARCANO 10 5 76 86 98 99 99¼ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00 ★ 45.39  
7  MAGIC HEART 7 10 108 118¼ 1110 1110¼ 109¾ (schuh tim)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 23.02  
6  NIGHT OUT 6 11 1210½ 129¼ 1210¼ 1010 1111½ (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 118 15.00 11.69  
11  SINGLE DOT YAHT 11 6 86½ 96¼ 108½ 1211¼ 1212¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 7% 12.60 9.08  
SCR  SENTENZA               (zanelli dan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00    
SCR  SILVER HEIST               (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  PIKE PLACE               (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00    
SCR  VINCO               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
SCR  HARLEEZY               (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
 
CD-4   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Debutante Purse ($225K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:213 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VODKA WITH A TWIST 6 2 11½ 11½   13½ 13 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 ★ 1.31  
4  SO THERE SHE WAS 4 1 21½ 21½   23½ 23 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.50 2.22  
3  FORTUNA MIA 3 4 53½ 32   35½ 38 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 18.65  
1  GLEE (GB) 1 7 65 76   57½ 410 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60 7.84  
5  ADEERA 5 6 43 53½   45½ 510 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.50 28% 2.60 4.48  
2  DAISY DUKE 2 5 76½ 66   68 610¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 9.91  
7  LA MARINERA 7 3 31½ 43   710½ 719½ (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 12% 7.20 31.20  
 
CD-5   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GULFPORT 9 1 32 31½   11 11¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 30% 2.40 4.35 W
8  TWO EAGLES RIVER 8 7 53½ 63½   52½ 21¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 6.44  
6  W W CANDY 6 2 108¼ 107½   105¾ 31¾ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 17% 4.80 13.05 S
5  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 5 9 96¼ 96½   84¼ 42 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00 10.14  
10  BLUE KENTUCKY 10 3 86 86½   74 52 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 18.80 30.64  
1  MUFASA (CHI) 1 8 42½ 42   21 62½ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 121 15.00 2.98  
4  SQUIRE CREEK 4 4 11 1½   31½ 72½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 21.89  
7  IMPLEMENTATION 7 10 64½ 52½   63 82¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 23% 3.30 4.87  
2  WAKE SURF 2 6 74½ 74   94¾ 94½ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 6.96  
3  LUDWIG 3 5 21 2½   42½ 105½ (bauer a)TORRES A 121 8.00 8.26  
 
CD-6   06/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Maxfield Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:091     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RAGING TORRENT 5 3 11½ 12   11 12¼ (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.00 31% 2.20 1.08 W
2  OTTO THE CONQUEROR 2 1 21½ 22   32 22¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 7% 14.30 3.42 P
1  WORLD RECORD 1 4 42½ 33   21 32¾ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.50 S
5  CARBONE 4 2 32½ 43   44½ 48¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 2.50 5.13  
4  HOLD MY BOURBON 3 5 52¾ 54   510½ 522 (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 16.13  
SCR  LUCKY JEREMY               (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  THIS IS USCAR               (blair jordan)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELEPHANTS EAR 5 4 53½ 55½ 54½ 23 11¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 47.98  
6  WHO'S THE KING 6 1 21 21 2nk 13 21¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 36.20  
10  LAT LONG 9 2 74½ 77 76½ 46 33½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★ 3.88 S
9  CAROLO RAPIDO 8 9 108½ 1012½ 1011½ 68½ 45¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★ 8.93  
7  CORNISHMAN 7 10 97 99½ 87½ 57 56¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 58% 0.70 3.36  
1  INDY MAGIC 1 8 86 88 99 78½ 68 (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.35  
11  WILL TAKE IT 10 7 42½ 43 32 35 78 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 19.37  
2  GUN PARTY 2 6 64 65½ 66 810 811 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 16% 5.10 1.38  
3  HOUSE UNITED 3 3 32 32½ 43 912½ 916¾ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 10.98  
4  FROSTY INDULGENCE 4 5 11 11 1nk 1014 1020½ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 26.24  
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   06/30/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Anchorage Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:14 1:374   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  WALKATHON 7 2 1½ 11½ 11 11½ 1½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 3.05  
5  FOREVER AFTER ALL 4 4 32 42½ 43 32½ 2½ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 14% 6.10 3.80 P
2  HEAVENLY SUNDAY 1 1 2½ 21½ 21 21½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 46% 1.20 1.76 S
7  BE MY SUNSHINE 6 3 53½ 63½ 55 44 42¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.50 5.17  
3  PERSONAL BEST 2 5 42½ 32 32½ 54½ 56¼ (toner j)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 4.58  
4  EMBRACE ME 3 7 64 53½ 65½ 68 69¾ (rutledge la)TORRES A 118 20.00 45.04  
6  TOWER BRIDGE 5 6 74½ 75 76 712 720¾ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 29.03  
SCR  FAST AS FLIGHT               (drexler martin)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  MISREAD               (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bashford Manor Purse ($225K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POLITICALLYCORRECT 5 11 127¾ 42   14 15 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7.31  
13  SMOKEN WICKED 12 3 73½ 105   24 25 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.13 P
2  IVAN THE GREAT 2 7 53 52¼   34 38¾ (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.91  
12  MO HAIR SAM 11 1 106¼ 94½   56 410½ (hancock joh)TORRES A 118 20.00 55.00  
8  CONQUERING CAT 7 10 116¼ 73¾   66¼ 513½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 9% 9.80 11.44  
5  BODACIOUS 4 5 1½ 1nk   45 615¾ (periban jorge)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.00 2.12  
1  SPIRALIZER 1 9 31½ 31½   77¾ 720 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 31% 2.20 9.08  
9  WAR TAX 8 12 84½ 62¼   88¾ 821¼ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 11.10  
7  ENDURING SPIRIT 6 2 2½ 2nk   99¼ 926¼ (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 11.93  
4  MONEYLINE 3 6 63 84   1012¼ 1028 (caramori ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 61.39  
11  HAPPYFLYER 10 4 42 116   1117¼ 1141¼ (joseph saff)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 46.21  
10  HEAT 9 8 94¾ 1211   1227¼ 1272 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 27% 2.70 3.52  
SCR  VINEGAR HILL               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
 
CD-10   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hanshin Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CAGLIOSTRO 7 1 3½ 3½ 1½ 12 11 (devaux cherie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 4.22  
1  TUMBARUMBA 1 4 52¼ 41½ 42 22 21 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6.74  
10  RAISE CAIN 8 2 63¼ 63½ 32 32 32¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.08 S
11  THREE TECHNIQUE 9 9 85¼ 86½ 64 45 45½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 26.95  
7  CHARGE IT 5 6 42 52 52½ 66¼ 57½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 14% 6.20 4.12  
8  HAPPY AMERICAN 6 8 97¾ 910 77 78¼ 610 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 30.00 66.81  
6  EXTRA ANEJO 4 3 2nk 1½ 2½ 55¼ 710¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 12% 7.20 1.74  
2  FROSTED GRACE 2 5 73¼ 74½ 88½ 820¼ 837¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 15.91  
3  ZOZOS 3 7 1nk 2½ 98¾ 923¼ 945¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.69  
SCR  BEST ACTOR               (moger jr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  INJUNCTION               (cowans d)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
CD-11   06/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:142 1:261   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HERCHEE 2 5 31½ 31½ 21½ 1nk 13½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 26.52  
4  REMARKABLE MO 3 2 11 11½ 11½ 2nk 23½ (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 22.02  
8  AHANDFULOFCANDY 5 3 53 42½ 32 32½ 35¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.11 S
11  TENNESSEE LAMB 8 8 74 74¼ 74 55 47¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5.88  
9  J J'S RANGER 6 1 21 21½ 42½ 43½ 58¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 9.52  
13  BOLT ACTION 9 6 42 53 64 76½ 613½ (stall m)TORRES A 125 5.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
7  ROCK N ROLL BOLT 4 4 63½ 63¼ 53½ 66 714¾ (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 36% 1.80 4.48  
1  VARVATOS 1 9 98 97¾ 98½ 910½ 815½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★ 4.22  
10  HARD TO SAY 7 7 86½ 86¼ 87 89½ 916¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 ★ 23.22  
SCR  DANNER               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
SCR  FIREFIGHT               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  INDY'S HALO               (oliver vic)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  OSCARWORTHY               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  RADICAL MISCHIEF               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  TEEN IDOL               (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.