Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (9/7/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (1/11/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (9/7/6/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (1/10/5/8/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (3/7/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (8/7/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY LASS May04 Apr12 Mar07 Feb11 Jan27 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
CATMINT Jun08 May11 Apr14 Mar07 Feb15 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Jun22 Mar28 Jan25 Dec05 Nov24 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00    
MUSICAL MISCHIEF May17 Apr13 Jan20 Dec26 Nov23 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
LEXA (FR) Jan13 Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Sep23 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
SULTRY LASS Jun09 May03 Apr13 Mar21 Feb17 (lovell michell)TORRES A 122 3.00    
LUNA MOTH Apr30 Apr05 Mar22 Mar09 Feb04 (bogle fergus)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIGALLE May26 Nov16 Nov05 Jul22 Jun24 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
 
CD-2   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT A BLESSING         (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
MISCHIEVOUS M Jun01 May04 Mar23     (vance thoma)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
HANDSOME HERB Apr26 Mar30 Sep17 Aug06   (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 6% 17.10    
THINK BIG         (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
BOURBON'S FAULT Dec23 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22   (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
NEON NIGHTS         (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
STINGER BEE Apr26 Mar23 Jan26 Nov11 Oct26 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
MONDOGETSBUCKETS May12         (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
BANNED FOR LIFE Jun02 May04 Apr06 Feb17   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
10  JUSTIFREAK Mar20 Feb17 Dec23 Nov12 Oct18 (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
11  ACCIDENT Jun13 May18 Apr24 Apr11 Mar30 (short thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  SHOW MASTER         (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  TOUCHED UP         (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
14  UNCLE WILLIAM Jan06 Dec08 Nov04     (guida e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
SCR  MORAL DILEMMA         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP Sep23 Jan06       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50    
 
CD-3   06/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMOLITION DUKE May17 Apr21 Mar24 Jun17 Apr15 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
UNLEASH THE POWER May31 Sep17 Aug16 Jul13 Jun01 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
DECANTED May31 Apr24 Mar23 Jul07 May28 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
THREE ON THE TREE May31 Apr30 Sep07 Jul23 Jun17 (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
TIVERTON (GB) Jun23 May31 May25 May02 May01 (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00    
NIGHT OUT Apr19 Mar20 Feb15 Jan20 Nov23 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 118 15.00    
MAGIC HEART Apr26 Mar23 Feb02 Dec22 Oct08 (schuh tim)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH May31 Apr21 Dec15 Nov18 Oct25 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 7% 13.30    
IDRATHERBEBLESSED Nov24 Nov05 Sep28 Sep10 Aug18 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
10  CARCANO May31 Apr30 Apr10 Aug26 Aug05 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
11  SINGLE DOT YAHT Jun09 May10 Apr19 Dec22 Nov17 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
12  FUNNYFLAME Jun07 May11 Mar24 Mar07 Feb17 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENTENZA Jun06 May04 Apr13 Mar20   (zanelli dan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00    
SCR  PIKE PLACE May31 May02 Apr17 Feb25 Jan15 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00    
SCR  HARLEEZY May27 May02 Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D May27 Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
SCR  SILVER HEIST May27 Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 May04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  VINCO Jun07 Apr26 Oct08 Aug18 Sep13 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
 
CD-4   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Debutante Purse ($225K) 2 F PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLEE (GB) May12         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
DAISY DUKE May27 May10       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
FORTUNA MIA May13         (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SO THERE SHE WAS May10         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.50    
ADEERA May31         (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
VODKA WITH A TWIST May17 Apr24       (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
LA MARINERA May26 May14 Apr26     (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-5   06/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFASA (CHI)         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
WAKE SURF May25 Mar30 Feb23 Dec31 Nov12 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
LUDWIG May27 Apr21 Sep02 Aug04 May21 (bauer a)TORRES A 121 8.00    
SQUIRE CREEK Jun16 Apr21 Mar03 Aug05 Jul02 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CYCLONE MISCHIEF May03 Apr12 Jan27 Nov26 May06 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00    
W W CANDY Jun08 May04 Apr16 Nov23 Oct25 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
IMPLEMENTATION Mar30 Mar02 Jan20 Nov19 Oct14 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
TWO EAGLES RIVER May27 Sep20 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
GULFPORT Apr07 Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 Jul04 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
10  BLUE KENTUCKY May16 Dec29 Nov09 Oct18 Sep22 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 18.80    
 
CD-6   06/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Maxfield Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD RECORD May27 Apr26       (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
OTTO THE CONQUEROR Jun05 May04 Mar23 Feb03 Dec15 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  LUCKY JEREMY May27 Apr13 Mar23 Feb18 Jan19 (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
HOLD MY BOURBON Jun13 May12 Apr19 Mar23   (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
CARBONE May04 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 2.50    
RAGING TORRENT May04 Apr07 Mar10 Dec15 Oct07 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  THIS IS USCAR May26 May01 Apr05 Mar15   (blair jordan)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY MAGIC Jun02 Apr17       (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GUN PARTY May04 Mar16 Jan27     (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 16% 5.10    
HOUSE UNITED May19 May04 Mar23     (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
FROSTY INDULGENCE May26 May04 Apr05 Mar01   (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
ELEPHANTS EAR Jun09 May04 Apr06 Mar16   (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
WHO'S THE KING May31 Apr20 Feb25 Feb03 Dec29 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
CORNISHMAN May04 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB) May10 Apr10 Nov12 Oct07 Aug27 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
CAROLO RAPIDO Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 Feb18 Dec31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
10  LAT LONG Jun02 Apr20 Apr06 Jan20 Dec17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
11  WILL TAKE IT Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/30/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD Anchorage Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISREAD Jun02 Apr20 Aug27 Jul23 Jun25 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
HEAVENLY SUNDAY Jun02 May03 Nov24 Oct27 Aug19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
PERSONAL BEST May26 Oct22 Sep09 Jul22 Apr28 (toner j)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMBRACE ME Jun15 May19 May03 Apr13 Mar09 (rutledge la)TORRES A 118 20.00    
FOREVER AFTER ALL May27 May03 Mar23 Feb28 Oct20 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 14% 6.10    
TOWER BRIDGE Apr26 Mar30 Feb14 Jan03 Nov16 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
BE MY SUNSHINE Jun02 Mar02 Feb03 Dec23 Dec02 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  FAST AS FLIGHT Jun29 May03 Mar30 Dec30 Dec03 (drexler martin)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
WALKATHON May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bashford Manor Purse ($225K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRALIZER Jun13         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
IVAN THE GREAT May12         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  VINEGAR HILL May19 Apr05       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
MONEYLINE May14 Apr21       (caramori ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00    
BODACIOUS May03         (periban jorge)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.00    
POLITICALLYCORRECT May30         (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
ENDURING SPIRIT May16 Apr10       (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
CONQUERING CAT Jun06 May16       (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 9% 9.80    
WAR TAX May27         (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
10  HEAT May11         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  HAPPYFLYER Jun08 Apr10       (joseph saff)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
12  MO HAIR SAM Jun13 May09 Apr21 Apr10   (hancock joh)TORRES A 118 20.00    
13  SMOKEN WICKED Jun01         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hanshin Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMBARUMBA Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec09 Sep24 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
FROSTED GRACE May27 Mar30 Jan13 Dec02 Aug21 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
ZOZOS May04 Nov04 Sep30 Aug19 Jul02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  INJUNCTION May03 Apr06 Feb25 Nov23 Nov11 (cowans d)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST ACTOR May04 Mar23 Feb17 Nov23 Sep21 (moger jr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 12% 7.70    
EXTRA ANEJO May30 Jul22 Jun10 May06 Oct13 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 12% 7.20    
CHARGE IT May03 Nov04 Oct01 Aug05 Jul08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
HAPPY AMERICAN May31 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
CAGLIOSTRO Jun01 Apr19 Sep24 Aug22 Jul08 (devaux cherie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
10  RAISE CAIN May30 May04 Apr06 Dec26 Oct21 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  THREE TECHNIQUE May04 Dec02 Nov04 Sep30 Jul01 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-11   06/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARVATOS         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
HERCHEE         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT Jul27         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
REMARKABLE MO Jun13 Jun01 May04 Nov24 Oct27 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00    
SCR  INDY'S HALO Jan31 Dec27       (oliver vic)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  RADICAL MISCHIEF May26 Apr14 Mar06 Feb08   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
ROCK N ROLL BOLT May26 Apr21 Apr11 Mar09 Feb15 (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
AHANDFULOFCANDY May26         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
J J'S RANGER Apr20 Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 Dec31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
10  HARD TO SAY         (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00    
11  TENNESSEE LAMB Oct14 Sep13 Jul21     (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  DANNER Jan12 Nov19       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
13  BOLT ACTION Apr19 Mar07 May21     (stall m)TORRES A 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OSCARWORTHY Feb29 Jan28       (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  TEEN IDOL Apr13 Feb24       (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
SCR  FIREFIGHT         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.