Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
SAR-2   Win (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 1.10
SAR-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
SAR-4   Win (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 7.80
SAR-5   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $23.00  
SAR-6   Win (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $14.00  
SAR-7   Win (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $14.00  
SAR-8   Win (7/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $6.40  
SAR-9   Win (10/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
SAR-10   Win (4/3/8/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $51.50 $51.50 41.50
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOVERNOR SAM 1 1 1½ 11   13 12¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 48% 1.10 0.65 W
7  TEST SCORE 5 5 56½ 56   33½ 22¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
8  NO EVIDENCE 6 3 43 43   23 34¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 20% 3.90 3.05 S
4  AFTER TAXES (IRE) 3 2 2½ 21   43½ 47 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 3.95  
3  DEW 2 4 32 32½   53¾ 58½ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 15.30  
5  KY ANANSI 4 6 621½ 626   628¾ 631¾ (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 33.25  
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR               (sacco d)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  BE REAL               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20    
SCR  GENE AND JUDE               (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) 8 4 47½ 412½ 410½ 2nk 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 39% 1.50 3.55 W
8  DEA MATRONA (FR) 7 3 35 39½ 38 1nk 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 8% 11.40 4.70 P
3  FROM HELLO 3 7 710½ 716½ 513 31½ 33¾ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 5.70  
4  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 4 5 59 614½ 713½ 54½ 48 (mott riley)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.75  
1  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 1 8 813½ 818½ 818½ 87½ 58½ (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 9.20  
2  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 2 2 12½ 16½ 16 42½ 69¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 8.60  
7  ALLEY'S SONG 6 6 69 513½ 613 65 79½ (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 52.00  
6  UNICORN CAKE 5 1 22½ 26½ 26 76½ 818¾ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO               (ferraro jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:123 1:372   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNMATCHED WISDOM 1 5 11½ 11½ 11 12½ 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 37% 1.70 0.40 W
2  CORPORATE POWER 2 4 33½ 32 21 22½ 21 (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 29% 2.50 6.60 P
4  TIMEOUT 4 6 46 42 32½ 36 34 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 4.30  
6  DJANGO 6 3 610 66 66 410 46¾ (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 20.30  
5  ELEPHANTS EAR 5 2 56 53½ 43 514 518¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 9.90  
3  CATIRE VIZCAYA 3 1 21½ 21½ 53½ 644 6100 (avila carlos)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
 
SAR-4   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SIX PERCENT 3 5 41¾ 41¾ 42½ 11 14 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
7  SKYLANDER 6 6 64¼ 64¼ 52½ 21 24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 2.90  
6  YONO 5 8 97¼ 96¾ 84½ 45 34½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 3.60  
9  FIRST GLIMPSE 9 3 54¼ 54¼ 74 66 48¾ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 15% 5.50 7.00  
1  MAJESTIC FRONTIER 2 7 75¼ 74¾ 63½ 56 512 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 118 10.00 7% 13.20 17.60  
2  CHEEKY TICO 1 1 2nk 2nk 11½ 34 612¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 48.00  
8  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 8 9 85¾ 85¼ 95 79½ 725¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 50% 1.00 1.65  
5  CO CONSPIRATOR 4 4 31½ 3.2 32 811½ 829¼ (jones e)ALVARADO R 118 20.00 56.75  
1A  OPTIC WAY 7 2 1nk 1nk 21½ 913½ 935¼ (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 ★ 17.60  
SCR  ROCCO STRONG               (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:121 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ORI 6 6 13 12½ 11½ 12 12½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 10.50  
3  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) 1 1 34 44 31½ 22 22½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 55% 0.80 0.65 P
8  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) 4 2 44 33½ 43 36 35¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 23% 3.40 5.70 S
1  NOT GUILTY 5 5 23 22½ 21½ 47½ 410½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★ 4.30  
6  CLASSY MISCHIEF 3 3 66½ 65½ 68 614 513¼ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 21.40  
4  CAPO DONNA 2 4 56 55½ 56 513 614¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL (IRE)               (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (moubarak na)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  MATURITY DATE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  REDO               (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro edward)TORRES A 118 50.00    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER WHO'S RADAR 1 2 12 11   11½ 13½ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 6.00  
7  THE TONER 7 4 43 42   21½ 23½ (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 16% 5.30 5.30 P
2  CHASING COLTON 2 1 22 21   34½ 312¾ (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 42% 1.40 6.40 S
6  THREE B'S 6 7 108 108¾   711½ 416 (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
4  SALT SPARTAN 4 10 65 54½   59 516½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 22.70  
5  JOKER ON FIRE 5 8 32½ 32   45 617¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 2.75  
9  MONTE AVI 9 3 86 86¾   911¾ 720¼ (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 27.75  
10  ROCKED OUT 10 6 75 76½   611 822½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 18.50  
8  SARATOGA WARRIOR 8 5 54 65½   811½ 924 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.45  
3  BURNING MUNNY 3 9 97 98¾   1015¼ 1029¼ (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20.20  
SCR  BRINK               (davis edmund)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
SCR  DOMINICAN THUNDER               (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD               (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CRITICAL THREAT 8 1 21 31   2½ 11 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 123 6.00 6.00  
1  CHATEAU 1 3 11 11   1½ 21 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 32% 2.10 7.00 P
3  HONORARY DEGREE 3 7 41½ 21   31½ 32¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 54.75 S
6  LAFITTE'S FLEET 6 5 911¾ 88¼   84½ 42½ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★ 3.85  
5  EMERALD FOREST 5 8 76¼ 62¾   41½ 53½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.05  
4  RIBBONS AND MEDALS 4 6 52 52¼   52½ 64¼ (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11% 8.20 8.00  
7  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 7 4 62¼ 73¼   73½ 74½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 27.00  
9  HIGH HEAT 9 2 31½ 42   63 85 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 20.10  
2  NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 2 9 811¾ 99¼   94¾ 95 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 118 15.00 35.25  
SCR  SUPER CHIEF               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRINCESS MADISON 9 3 33 31   1½ 1¾ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★ 2.20  
7  ROSWELL 7 5 65 62¼   2½ 2¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.95 P
3  CARA'S TIME 3 2 21½ 2nk   31 33¾ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 13.70  
4  SAM'S TREASURE 4 4 53½ 52   41½ 43¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 35% 1.90 5.00  
2  WAILUA 2 9 43 41½   52 56¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.60  
6  TRICKY TEMPER 6 8 87¼ 75¾   75 67¼ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
8  BRODERIE 8 6 77 87¼   85½ 79¼ (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 15.00 5% 18.20 29.75  
5  RISK FREE 5 7 98¾ 98¾   96½ 811¼ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 62.50  
1  DO GOODER 1 1 11½ 1nk   63½ 915¼ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 10.20  
 
SAR-9   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:133 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROOT CAUSE 7 4 11½ 11 1½ 13 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 37% 1.70 2.00 W
5  CHILD OF THE MOON (FR) 3 6 54 53½ 53 33½ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 2.25  
4  VINO ROUGE 2 2 21½ 21 2½ 23 31 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 21% 3.70 2.85 S
7  DETERMINED LILLY 5 3 43½ 42½ 42 55 42¼ (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
2  ANY PORT 1 1 32 31½ 32 44 52¼ (lerman roy )LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 18% 4.60 12.40  
6  ANILEATE 4 5 74½ 63½ 65½ 67½ 66¾ (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00 41.25  
8  MORE MANGO 6 7 64½ 74 76½ 717½ 716¼ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 123 30.00 29.75  
SCR  AUDACIOUS               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00    
SCR  EPIC MISS JUSTICE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT               (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00    
SCR  TAKE SHAPE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:22 :45 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AUNT YOLA 8 4 2½ 2½   2½ 1¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 11% 7.90 24.75 W
4  GEOPOLITICS 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
3  HEART OF THE NIGHT 3 1 31 31½   31 31¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 25% 3.00 3.90 S
7  BAREFOOT DISCO 7 10 105¾ 107¼   56 44½ (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 12.80  
6  SPLASHY 6 7 83¾ 85¼   66 54¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 11.80  
5  STARSINTHECITY 5 11 127¼ 119¼   77 66¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.50  
11  CERRETTA 11 9 73¼ 53   44 76½ (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
9  BETTER BE SMART 9 3 52 64   87¼ 89 (baker charl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 27.75  
2  LA FIERE 2 8 93¾ 96¼   128½ 910¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 80.00  
1  ARIANA RYE 1 5 62¼ 74¼   108¼ 1010¼ (falcone rob)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
10  RUSSALITE 10 12 116¼ 129¼   118½ 1116 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 16.00  
12  LIL' HAYADOIN 12 6 42 43   98¼ 1216¼ (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 38.75  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  GOOD MISSION               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  POSSE ROCKS               (levine bru)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.