Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-7 $13.70 $7.70 128%
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-7-8 $18.87 $15.87 529%
SAR-2   WIN (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $9.10 $1.10 14%
    EXA (9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-8 $18.20 $6.20 52%
SAR-4   WIN (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.80 $7.80 98%
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $15.60 $3.60 30%
    PK3 (9/4/8/6)-(1/2/3)-(8/9/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00  9-1-3 $95.00 $47.00 98%
SAR-10   WIN (4/3/8/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $51.50 $41.50 415%
    EXA (4/3/8/11/1)-(4/3/8/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-4 $66.50 $46.50 233%
    TRI (4/3/8/11/1)-(4/3/8/11/1)-(4/3/8/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-4-3 $96.25 $66.25 221%
    DD (10/4/2/7)-(4/3/8/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-8 $107.50 $87.50 438%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOVERNOR SAM 1 1 1½ 11   13 1 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 48% 1.10 0.65 W
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
TEST SCORE 5 5 5 56   3 2 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of JOY OF LEARNING by KITTEN'S JOY)
NO EVIDENCE 6 3 43 43   23 3 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 20% 3.90 3.05 S
  (by VEKOMA out of HIDDEN FACTS by THE FACTOR)
AFTER TAXES (IRE) 3 2 2½ 21   4 47 (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 3.95  
  (by KODIAC out of JEVA by SEA THE STARS)
DEW 2 4 32 3   5 5 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 15.30  
  (by FROSTED out of CHARGE IT PLEASE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
KY ANANSI 4 6 621½ 626   628¾ 631¾ (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 33.25  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PLATONIC LOVE by SAROS (GB))
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR               (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BE REAL               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of ISLAND SAINT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  GENE AND JUDE               (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
 
SAR-2   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) 8 4 4 412½ 410½ 2nk 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 39% 1.50 3.55 W
DEA MATRONA (FR) 7 3 35 3 38 1nk 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 8% 11.40 4.70 P
FROM HELLO 3 7 710½ 716½ 513 3 3 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 5.70  
WINGS LIKE EAGLES 4 5 59 614½ 713½ 5 48 (mott riley)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.75  
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 1 8 813½ 818½ 818½ 8 5 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 9.20  
MAGIC EIGHT BALL 2 2 1 1 16 4 6 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 8.60  
ALLEY'S SONG 6 6 69 513½ 613 65 7 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 52.00  
UNICORN CAKE 5 1 2 2 26 7 818¾ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO               (ferraro j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:123 1:372   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMATCHED WISDOM 1 5 1 1 11 1 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 37% 1.70 0.40 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
CORPORATE POWER 2 4 3 32 21 2 21 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 29% 2.50 6.60 P
  (by CURLIN out of ROAD TO VICTORY by QUALITY ROAD)
TIMEOUT 4 6 46 42 3 36 34 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 4.30  
  (by CURLIN out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
DJANGO 6 3 610 66 66 410 4 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 20.30  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DAY OF VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
ELEPHANTS EAR 5 2 56 5 43 514 518¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 9.90  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CATIRE VIZCAYA 3 1 2 2 5 644 6100 (avila carlos)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BRISTOL'S BROOKE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SAR-4   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX PERCENT 3 5 4 4 4 11 14 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
SKYLANDER 6 6 6 6 5 21 24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 2.90  
YONO 5 8 9 9 8 45 3 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 3.60  
FIRST GLIMPSE 9 3 5 5 74 66 4 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 15% 5.50 7.00  
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 2 7 7 7 6 56 512 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 118 10.00 7% 13.20 17.60  
CHEEKY TICO 1 1 2nk 2nk 1 34 612¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 48.00  
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 8 9 8 8 95 7 725¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 50% 1.00 1.65  
CO CONSPIRATOR 4 4 3 3.2 32 811½ 829¼ (jones eduardo )ALVARADO R 118 20.00 56.75  
1A  OPTIC WAY 7 2 1nk 1nk 2 913½ 935¼ (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 17.60  
SCR  ROCCO STRONG               (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:121 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORI 6 6 13 1 1 12 1 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 10.50  
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) 1 1 34 44 3 22 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 55% 0.80 0.65 P
OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) 4 2 44 3 43 36 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 23% 3.40 5.70 S
NOT GUILTY 5 5 23 2 2 4 410½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 4.30  
CLASSY MISCHIEF 3 3 6 6 68 614 513¼ (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 21.40  
CAPO DONNA 2 4 56 5 56 513 614¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL (IRE)               (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (moubarak )LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  MATURITY DATE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  REDO               (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro edwa)TORRES A 118 50.00    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER WHO'S RADAR 1 2 12 11   1 1 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
THE TONER 7 4 43 42   2 2 (caramori )LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 16% 5.30 5.30 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
CHASING COLTON 2 1 22 21   3 312¾ (david carlos )VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 42% 1.40 6.40 S
  (by LEOFRIC out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
THREE B'S 6 7 108 10   711½ 416 (de h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of DATTT ECHO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SALT SPARTAN 4 10 65 5   59 516½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 22.70  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PASTEL GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
JOKER ON FIRE 5 8 3 32   45 617¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 2.75  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FIRE ASSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MONTE AVI 9 3 86 8   911¾ 720¼ (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 27.75  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  ROCKED OUT 10 6 75 7   611 822½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 18.50  
  (by OUTWORK out of STONESINTHEROAD by BUSTIN STONES)
SARATOGA WARRIOR 8 5 54 6   811½ 924 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.45  
  (by VOLATILE out of PRINCESS SAMURAI by FIRST SAMURAI)
BURNING MUNNY 3 9 97 9   1015¼ 1029¼ (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20.20  
  (by MUNNINGS out of OVERHEATED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BRINK               (davis edmu)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
SCR  DOMINICAN THUNDER               (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD               (ferraro anth)COA J 119 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of ASPREE by FREUD)
 
SAR-7   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL THREAT 8 1 21 31   2½ 11 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 123 6.00 6.00  
CHATEAU 1 3 11 11   1½ 21 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 32% 2.10 7.00 P
HONORARY DEGREE 3 7 4 21   3 3 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 54.75 S
LAFITTE'S FLEET 6 5 911¾ 8   8 4 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 3.85  
EMERALD FOREST 5 8 7 6   4 5 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.05  
RIBBONS AND MEDALS 4 6 52 5   5 6 (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11% 8.20 8.00  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 7 4 6 7   7 7 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 27.00  
HIGH HEAT 9 2 3 42   63 85 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 20.10  
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 2 9 811¾ 9   9 95 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 118 15.00 35.25  
SCR  SUPER CHIEF               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MADISON 9 3 33 31   1½ 1¾ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 2.20  
ROSWELL 7 5 65 6   2½ 2¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.95 P
CARA'S TIME 3 2 2 2nk   31 3 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 13.70  
SAM'S TREASURE 4 4 5 52   4 4 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 35% 1.90 5.00  
WAILUA 2 9 43 4   52 5 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.60  
TRICKY TEMPER 6 8 8 7   75 6 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
BRODERIE 8 6 77 8   8 7 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 15.00 5% 18.20 29.75  
RISK FREE 5 7 9 9   9 811¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 62.50  
DO GOODER 1 1 1 1nk   6 915¼ (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 10.20  
 
SAR-9   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:133 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROOT CAUSE 7 4 1 11 1½ 13 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 37% 1.70 2.00 W
CHILD OF THE MOON (FR) 3 6 54 5 53 3 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 2.25  
VINO ROUGE 2 2 2 21 2½ 23 31 (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 21% 3.70 2.85 S
DETERMINED LILLY 5 3 4 4 42 55 4 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
ANY PORT 1 1 32 3 32 44 5 (lerman ro)LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 18% 4.60 12.40  
ANILEATE 4 5 7 6 6 6 6 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00 41.25  
MORE MANGO 6 7 6 74 7 717½ 716¼ (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 123 30.00 29.75  
SCR  AUDACIOUS               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00    
SCR  EPIC MISS JUSTICE               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT               (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00    
SCR  TAKE SHAPE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:22 :45 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT YOLA 8 4 2½ 2½   2½ 1¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 11% 7.90 24.75 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GEOPOLITICS 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
HEART OF THE NIGHT 3 1 31 3   31 3 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 25% 3.00 3.90 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TO MY VALENTINE by DYHIM DIAMOND)
BAREFOOT DISCO 7 10 10 10   56 4 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 12.80  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SHOELESS ANGEL by WILDCAT SHOES)
SPLASHY 6 7 8 8   66 5 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 11.80  
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
STARSINTHECITY 5 11 12 11   77 6 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.50  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
11  CERRETTA 11 9 7 53   44 7 (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
BETTER BE SMART 9 3 52 64   8 89 (baker cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 27.75  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
LA FIERE 2 8 9 9   12 910¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 80.00  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ARIANA RYE 1 5 6 7   10 1010¼ (falcone r)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
  (by MITOLE out of RAPIDS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  RUSSALITE 10 12 11 12   11 1116 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 16.00  
  (by LEOFRIC out of CHRYSOLITE by CRYSTAL GLITTERS)
12  LIL' HAYADOIN 12 6 42 43   9 1216¼ (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 38.75  
  (by BAL A BALI out of SELENITE by COSMONAUT)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF               (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of COURAGEOUS ANGEL by CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS (IRE))
SCR  GOOD MISSION               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of QUEEN PAULINE by TAPIT)
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PERFECT FREUD by FREUD)
SCR  POSSE ROCKS               (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PERFECT POSSE by POSSE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.