Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (7/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (10/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (4/3/8/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOVERNOR SAM May11         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  GENE AND JUDE         (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
DEW Jun23 Jun06       (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
AFTER TAXES (IRE)         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
KY ANANSI         (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR Jun21         (sacco d)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
TEST SCORE         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
NO EVIDENCE         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  BE REAL         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20    
 
SAR-2   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jun05 May03 Dec30 Nov03 Sep28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
MAGIC EIGHT BALL Jun23 May27 Nov18 Oct20 Aug13 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
FROM HELLO Jun23 May25 May16 Oct12 Aug20 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
WINGS LIKE EAGLES Jun21 May30 Nov23 Nov04 Jun11 (mott riley)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr20 Feb25 (ferraro jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
UNICORN CAKE Jun15 Jan19 Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Jun15 May17 Apr18 Apr07 Mar14 (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00    
DEA MATRONA (FR) May11 Sep16       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 8% 11.40    
IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) Jun02 Sep16 Aug06     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMATCHED WISDOM Jun22 May10       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 37% 1.70    
CORPORATE POWER May18 Apr12 Feb24 Jan27   (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
CATIRE VIZCAYA Jun24 Apr27 Mar09 Feb16 Oct14 (avila carlos)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIMEOUT Jun15 May04 Apr06     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00    
ELEPHANTS EAR Jun30 Jun09 May04 Apr06 Mar16 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
DJANGO Jun15 May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jun27 May18 Apr26 Apr13 Mar30 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 118 10.00 7% 13.20    
1A  OPTIC WAY Jun28 Mar30 Mar16 Feb03 Jan04 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
CHEEKY TICO Jun29 Jun16 May25 May11 Mar22 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
SIX PERCENT Jul06 May18 May02 Mar30 Mar16 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCCO STRONG Jul11 Jun07 Apr28 Mar30 Mar01 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jun29 Jun21 May27 May11 Apr25 (jones e)ALVARADO R 118 20.00    
YONO Jun15 May12 Apr11 Feb03 Dec20 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SKYLANDER Jun21 May25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jun06 Mar29 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE Jun28 May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar29 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT GUILTY Jun22 May25       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  MATURITY DATE Jul17 Jun27 Jun21 Apr21 Mar10 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  DAY AWAY Jun27 May05 Apr07 Mar03 Jan28 (moubarak na)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Jun01 May04 Mar24 Feb14 Jan07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 55% 0.80    
CAPO DONNA Jun20 May09 Apr05     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL (IRE) Jan21         (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
CLASSY MISCHIEF Jun21 Jun06 Sep28 Aug20 Jul30 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  REDO Jun27 May27 May04 Apr05 Mar08 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) May18 Mar15 Jan21 Oct20   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
ORI Jun27         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK Jul04 May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 (delauro edward)TORRES A 118 50.00    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER WHO'S RADAR         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
CHASING COLTON Jun20         (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
BURNING MUNNY         (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SALT SPARTAN         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
JOKER ON FIRE         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
THREE B'S         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE TONER Jun14 Jun06 May09 Apr25   (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
SARATOGA WARRIOR         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
MONTE AVI         (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
10  ROCKED OUT         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 8.00    
SCR  DOMINICAN THUNDER Jun06         (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  BRINK Jun21         (davis edmund)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATEAU Jul12 May05 Apr27 Mar22 Feb19 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 32% 2.10    
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Jul06 Jun23 May19 Aug19   (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
HONORARY DEGREE Jun29 Jun14 May27 May17 Apr27 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jun29 Jun14 Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
EMERALD FOREST Jun09 May10 Apr05 Mar29 Feb23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
LAFITTE'S FLEET Apr13 Mar10 Mar01 Feb03 Dec29 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Jun29 Apr28 Apr13 Jan26 Mar24 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
CRITICAL THREAT Apr05 Feb18 Jan26 Jan14 Dec09 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
HIGH HEAT Jun23 May19 May02 Apr05 Mar22 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  SUPER CHIEF Jun07 Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 Nov17 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO GOODER Jun06 May03 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
WAILUA Jun08 Feb08       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
CARA'S TIME Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 Nov18 Oct29 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SAM'S TREASURE Jun07 Apr05 Sep14 Jul23 May11 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
RISK FREE Jun30 May05 Apr27 Apr14 Mar09 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
TRICKY TEMPER Jun09 Jan14 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROSWELL Jun07 May01 Feb14 Jan14   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
BRODERIE Jun06 May11 Mar31 Feb03 Jan07 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 15.00 5% 18.20    
PRINCESS MADISON Jun08 May03 Apr05     (bauer a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
 
SAR-9   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 Mar24 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
ANY PORT May04 Apr13 Feb25 Jan31 Nov24 (lerman roy )LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT Jun29 May19 Apr06 Mar16 Aug20 (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00    
VINO ROUGE Jun22 May19 Dec02 Nov05 Oct01 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
CHILD OF THE MOON (FR)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
ANILEATE Jun14 May09 Apr11 Mar14 Feb17 (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
DETERMINED LILLY Jun28 May25 Nov03 Oct19 Sep21 (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORE MANGO Jun14 Mar22 Feb19 Nov24 Oct28 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 123 30.00    
SCR  EPIC MISS JUSTICE Jun29 Jul15 May29 Apr16 Sep11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
10  ROOT CAUSE Oct14 Sep09 Jun22 May12 Mar19 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  TAKE SHAPE Jun08 May01 Apr11 Mar20 Feb07 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU Jun09 May11 Mar28 Feb19 Jan07 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00    
SCR  AUDACIOUS Jun06         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIANA RYE Apr06 Feb24       (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LA FIERE Jun14 Apr13       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
HEART OF THE NIGHT Jun06 Apr28 Mar09 Mar18 Aug04 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
GEOPOLITICS Jun14 May24 Feb10     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
STARSINTHECITY Dec17 Nov02 Oct12     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SPLASHY Jun21 Jun08 Oct26 Jul29 Jul03 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
BAREFOOT DISCO Jul26         (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
AUNT YOLA May24 Apr21 Mar22 Feb10   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
BETTER BE SMART Jun21 May16 Apr06 Mar02   (baker charl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00    
10  RUSSALITE         (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
11  CERRETTA Jun21 Jun06 Apr25 Oct26 Sep14 (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  LIL' HAYADOIN Mar29 Oct29       (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF Jun06         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  GOOD MISSION         (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  POSSE ROCKS         (levine bru)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST May24         (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.