Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $8.90 $4.90 123%
SAR-2   EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $17.40 $11.40 190%
    DD (3/4)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $15.60 $9.60 160%
SAR-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $13.20 $4.20 47%
SAR-5   EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $12.70 $0.70 6%
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-1 $24.62 $12.62 105%
SAR-10   EXA (3/1/9/8)-(3/1/9/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $17.10 $1.10 7%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHATEAU 1 1 12½ 16   16 14½ (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 48% 1.10 3.45 W
1A  BRONX BOMBER 4 2 54½ 58½   36 24½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 1.15  
4  CRITICAL THREAT 2 3 22½ 26   26 36¾ (diprim)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
1  WRITER'S REGRET 3 4 33½ 38   57¾ 47½ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 1.15  
5  CHARGING AERO 5 5 43½ 48½   47½ 58¾ (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 8.00 2.85  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF               (barrera s)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDE EYE 1 3 32 31½   2½ 13¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 27% 2.70 2.20 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
6  SPEED FIGURES 4 1 11½ 11   1½ 23¼ (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of SWEET FORTUNE by CANDY RIDE)
9  FROSTELLE 6 2 21½ 21   34½ 36¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 2.30  
  (by FROSTED out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  ZECA DIABO 2 4 44 45   46½ 48¼ (caramori edu)TORRES A 124 10.00 4.80  
  (by DANZA out of BALA PERDIDA by BADGE OF SILVER)
7  LETTER PERFECT 5 5 54 55   514½ 519¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40 5.00  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SYLLABLE by SUPER SAVER)
5  MUMS POEM 3 6 611 612   620 624¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 11.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LUNAR LULLABY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  BEER RUN               (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
SCR  PROTON SPIRIT               (giddings mela)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  SUMMER IN ERIN               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ERIN ROSE by PURGE)
 
SAR-3   08/01/2024 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:144 1:394   2:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PEAK POPULARITY 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11½ 12½ 14¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 0.80  
9  TONED UP 3 32½ 33 32½ 33 34½ 24¼ (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 ★ 3.40 P
8  ICHIBAN 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 21½ 22½ 34¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.40 S
SCR  DREAMING OF MO               (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
SCR  LADY EMILY KATHRYN               (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  SABALENKA               (beckman d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00    
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE)               (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE)               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KEY POINT 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00 4.60 W
4  JAK N BURNY 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 2hd (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 126 3.00 39% 1.50 2.00 P
3  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 3 3 41½ 32½   34½ 31¼ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5.80  
1  POMPOUS PRINCE 1 5 51¾ 42¾   57½ 47¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 126 15.00 10.80  
8  CALDO CANDY 7 4 31½ 53¼   47½ 57¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 126 3.00 ★ 2.15  
2  ZEEBEAR 2 6 64¼ 65¼   611½ 614¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 10.20  
5  SCUTTLEBUZZ 5 7 78¼ 710¼   715 716½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
SCR  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW               (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARIANA RYE 3 1 11 1½   14 16½ (falcone robe)TORRES A 119 2.00 23% 3.30 1.70 W
3  GOING FOR GLORY 2 2 43½ 34   24 26½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
1  GOOD MISSION 1 5 31½ 2½   34 37¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 18% 4.50 2.75 S
8  MIA NIPOTINA 7 4 54 55   49 414 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 119 15.00 31.00  
9  MARY UNION AVE 8 7 67 68½   611¾ 516¾ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 9.00  
5  DANCING LIANA 4 3 21 44½   59¼ 616¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
6  SONIA'S FLAME 5 6 77 710½   713¼ 721½ (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 114 30.00 36.75  
7  HARMONYVILLE 6 8 810½ 814   821¼ 843¾ (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 20.00 22.10  
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MCDIESEL 1 1 11½ 11 14½ 12½ 1¼ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 4.00  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DELAY OF GAME by BERNARDINI)
8  IRON MAX 3 6 31½ 41½ 24½ 22½ 2¼ (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.85 P
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ROYAL ALPHA by ALPHABET SOUP)
4  RICHARD AVE 2 2 21½ 21 46½ 416½ 317½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 22% 3.50 3.40 S
  (by MCKINZIE out of DISTORTED NEWS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  VAMONOS VAMONOS 4 4 63½ 62½ 36 313½ 417½ (rodriguez)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00 13.10  
  (by VOLATILE out of BRISTOL'S BROOKE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  HIGH WATER MARK 5 8 811 76 610½ 519½ 524 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00 31.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of LAZEKA by BELONG TO ME)
12  REAL SAVVY 7 3 42 31½ 58 620 625¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 22% 3.40 2.55  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
1A  REVIVALISM 8 5 52½ 52 825½ 745 7100 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SOUTHERN STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
11  SKY MASTERSON 6 7 79 815 715½ 8100 8100 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 32.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of KITTY MADDNES by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  CADDIEMASTER               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DEMOCRAT TAXES by CATIENUS)
SCR  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JET MAJESTY by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SCR  ORIE               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  ROCKVILLE               (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SARAH'S PLEASURE by PERFECTING)
SCR  SHOOT THE WAVES               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RAPIDS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
SAR-7   08/01/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:38   1:574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ON A SPREE 3 2 42 43½ 42½ 13½ 11¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 56% 0.80 1.40 DQ↓2
2  COMPLETE AGENDA 2 5 64½ 66 64½ 33½ 21¾ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7.10  
1  DEBATE 1 6 76 78 74½ 44 35 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 18.10  
6  ST ANDREWS 5 3 52½ 54 32 23½ 45¼ (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 8% 10.80 9.50  
4  MYSTIC NIGHT 4 4 31 33 53½ 56 515½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.30  
8  ROCCO STRONG 7 7 21 21 2½ 79½ 643¾ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 7% 14.30 3.95  
7  BAR FOURTEEN 6 1 11 11 1½ 67½ 765¼ (reynolds patrick )SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  GRANDPA'S KID               (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:241 :464 1:111 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JACKSON HEIGHTS 4 10 1012¾ 1010½ 56 43 1hd (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 13.00  
3  DR. KRAFT 3 3 52 42 3½ 12 2hd (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 24% 3.10 4.90 P
2  SHADOW DRAGON 2 2 64 74½ 44½ 32 3¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 43% 1.30 3.80 S
9  CUT THE CORD 9 7 97¼ 99½ 99¼ 65½ 44¾ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 6% 15.70 11.50  
1  CICCIOBELLO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 22 55½ (ryan s)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 2.45  
8  BREW PUB 8 8 85¼ 87½ 78½ 76 66¾ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 33.50  
6  SIX PERCENT 6 9 75 64 68 86½ 710¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
10  BALDIZAR 10 6 31 2½ 2nk 53½ 811¼ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 6% 17.20 9.70  
7  BARESE 7 5 21 31½ 89 911½ 919¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 6.20  
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 4 41½ 53½ 1014¾ 1019½ 1042¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 24.25  
 
SAR-9   08/01/2024 7920ft TURF RC13 GOOD Glens Falls Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:39 2:033 2:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MCKULICK (GB) 7 67½ 69 65½ 62¾ 1½ 12¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 2.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
4  PARNAC (FR) 4 42½ 45½ 42 31 4¾ 22¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 21.50 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of PASSING BURG by SAGEBURG (IRE))
3  CHOP CHOP 3 56 57½ 53½ 52¼ 3½ 32¼ (cox brad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 56% 0.80 3.15 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of GRAND SOFIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) 5 21 2½ 21 1nk 2½ 43¾ (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) 6 711½ 711 77½ 73¾ 53¼ 56½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALWINA by AREION (GER))
1  ALPHA BELLA 1 32 33½ 31½ 41¼ 75¼ 616¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ANDINA by SINGSPIEL)
2  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) 2 11 1½ 11 2nk 65¼ 717 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 15.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DUSKY QUEEN by SHAMARDAL)
 
SAR-10   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:26   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAO 1 1 11 11 11½ 15½ 15½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 17% 4.90 2.15 W
4  DANCE ON AIR 3 2 21 21 21½ 25½ 25½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 ★ 7.00 P
10  HAYES BAY 7 7 75 64½ 68 413 311¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 3.85  
3  BOMB SQUAD 2 4 97 98 89½ 616½ 413 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 55% 0.80 8.80  
14  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE 9 9 65 75 79 516½ 513½ (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 118 8.00 31.50  
9  JUSTHEART 6 3 53½ 53 32 310 614¼ (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
7  PAMPLONA RED 4 5 42½ 32 57½ 721½ 727¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 8.60  
11  WINE AT MIDNIGHT 8 8 86 87 915 929¾ 833 (lerman roy)RIVERA R 118 20.00 28.75  
15  WELCOME BACK BABE 10 6 32 42 47½ 829½ 937¼ (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 4.50  
8  WICKED REYA 5 10 1010 1011½ 1027 1039¾ 1044¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 50.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
SCR  COACH SESSA               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LIL' HAYADOIN               (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  SAVANNAH DANCER               (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.