Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Thursday - August 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-4   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (12/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (3/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (2/3/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (3/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITER'S REGRET Jul06 Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar10 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60    
1A  BRONX BOMBER Jun29 May05 Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jun29 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar21 (barrera s)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
3  CHATEAU Jul19 Jul12 May05 Apr27 Mar22 (kimmel joh)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  CRITICAL THREAT Jul19 Apr05 Feb18 Jan26 Jan14 (diprima gregory)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARGING AERO Jul12 Jun12 May16 Apr14 Mar02 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  GRAYWING May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDE EYE Jul06 May03 Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  ZECA DIABO Jul13 Jun16 Apr13 Mar23 Feb17 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 10.00    
SCR  BEER RUN Jun27 Apr19 Sep02 Jul15 Jun17 (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
SCR  SUMMER IN ERIN         (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
5  MUMS POEM         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
6  SPEED FIGURES         (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LETTER PERFECT         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  PROTON SPIRIT Nov08 Oct02 Sep08     (giddings melani)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
9  FROSTELLE Jul13 May03       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50    
 
SAR-3   08/01/2024 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jun07 Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  SABALENKA Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00    
3  PEAK POPULARITY Oct28 Aug25 Jun29 Apr29 Mar26 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Oct19 Sep22 Jul26     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE) Jun07 May03 Mar09 Oct08 Aug05 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00    
SCR  LADY EMILY KATHRYN Jun20 Apr14 Feb24 Jan20 Dec17 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF MO Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb22 (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
8  ICHIBAN Jul17 Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  TONED UP Jul11 Jul04 Jun21 Apr18 Mar28 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40    
 
SAR-4   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POMPOUS PRINCE Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 Nov14 Oct25 (ferraro anthon)COA J 126 15.00    
2  ZEEBEAR Feb16 Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
3  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jul05 Apr28 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
4  JAK N BURNY Jul09 May27 Nov22 Nov08 Oct16 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 126 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  SCUTTLEBUZZ Dec15 Nov25 Oct01 Aug23 Jul15 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Jun27 May17 Apr19 Apr06 Mar09 (levine bru)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
7  KEY POINT Sep24 Aug26 May12 Apr01   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
8  CALDO CANDY Jun06 Mar24 Jan28 Dec09 Nov16 (bond harold )RIVERA R 126 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MISSION         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK Jul04 May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
3  GOING FOR GLORY Jul11 Jun20 May26 Jan11 Dec03 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARIANA RYE Jul19 Apr06 Feb24     (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
5  DANCING LIANA Jul05 May18 Mar28 Mar03   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  SONIA'S FLAME Jun23 May16 Feb24 Feb10   (noda orland)BOCACHICA J 114 30.00    
7  HARMONYVILLE Jul07 Jun06       (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00    
8  MIA NIPOTINA Jul11 May26 Apr29 Jan11 Dec28 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
9  MARY UNION AVE Jun16 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
 
SAR-6   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  REVIVALISM         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  CADDIEMASTER Jul07         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
3  MCDIESEL Jul07         (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
4  RICHARD AVE Jul07 May10       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ROCKVILLE Jun30         (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  SHOOT THE WAVES Jul07         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  ORIE Jul07         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00    
8  IRON MAX Jul24         (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
9  VAMONOS VAMONOS Jun20 May10       (rodriguez r)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00    
10  HIGH WATER MARK         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
11  SKY MASTERSON Jul24 Jul07 Jun20     (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
12  REAL SAVVY         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 22% 3.40    
 
SAR-7   08/01/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBATE Jun16 Jun07 May18 May04 Apr13 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
2  COMPLETE AGENDA Jul06 May26 May04 Mar30 Mar08 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
3  ON A SPREE May17 Apr06 Mar15 Dec02 Sep27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  MYSTIC NIGHT Jun21 Mar29 Mar01 Jan12 Oct13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  GRANDPA'S KID Jul21 Jun22 May26 May19 May04 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
6  ST ANDREWS Jun28 May05 Mar17 Jan28 Dec29 (noda orlando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 8% 10.80    
7  BAR FOURTEEN Jul21 Jun21 May24 Apr26 Mar07 (reynolds j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCCO STRONG Jul11 Jun07 Apr28 Mar30 Mar01 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
SAR-8   08/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CICCIOBELLO Jun29 Oct29 Oct07 Sep09 Aug31 (ryan s)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
2  SHADOW DRAGON Jun27 May26 Dec07 Oct15 Oct04 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  DR. KRAFT Jun27 May26 May02 Apr19 Mar24 (englehart chris)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  JACKSON HEIGHTS Jun09 May25 May02 Apr13 Sep24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM May09 Mar21 Dec29 Oct29 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
6  SIX PERCENT Jul19 Jul06 May18 May02 Mar30 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BARESE May09 Dec29 Dec03 Oct29 Sep04 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
8  BREW PUB Jun27 Dec07 Nov15 Sep21 Aug05 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
9  CUT THE CORD Jun27 May26 Nov08 Oct15 Sep21 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 6% 15.70    
10  BALDIZAR May26 Feb19 Jan06 Dec08 Oct14 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 6% 17.20    
 
SAR-9   08/01/2024 7920ft TURF RC13 GOOD Glens Falls Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA BELLA Jul07 May26 Jan27 Dec23 Oct14 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) Jun07 May03 Mar16 Feb10 Jun02 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
3  CHOP CHOP Jul07 May25 Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 (cox h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  PARNAC (FR) May03 Oct07 Sep02 Jul01 Jun11 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) Oct14 Sep16       (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) Jul07 May25 Apr26 Nov12 Oct08 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
7  MCKULICK (GB) Jun07 May03 Mar30 Nov04 Oct07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
 
SAR-10   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAO Jun28 May04 Apr06 Jan28 Dec16 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER Jul07 May19 Oct29     (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
3  BOMB SQUAD Nov05 Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  DANCE ON AIR Jul05 May24       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  SAVANNAH DANCER Jul05 Jun14 May04 Feb24   (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY         (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
7  PAMPLONA RED Jun14 May04 Apr06     (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
8  WICKED REYA         (persaud randi)LUZZI J 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUSTHEART Jun21 May19 Apr14     (brown r)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HAYES BAY Aug17         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
11  WINE AT MIDNIGHT Jul07 Jun09       (lerman s)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  COACH SESSA Oct12 Sep02 Aug02     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  LIL' HAYADOIN Jul19 Mar29 Oct29     (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
14  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Jul04 Jun20 Feb24     (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
15  WELCOME BACK BABE Jul05 Jun16 May25 Mar22 Feb10 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.