Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $13.00 $5.00 63%
SAR-3   EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $16.50 $4.50 38%
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(1/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-1 $26.75 $10.75 67%
SAR-4   EXA (10/3)-(10/9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  10-9 $10.10 $6.10 153%
    PK3 (8/7/2/4)-(1/2/3/6)-(10/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00  7-1-10 $41.50 $9.50 30%
SAR-8   EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $26.50 $20.50 342%
SAR-9   SFT (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/4)-(11/6/5/12/4)-(11/6/5/12/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-11-4-5 $9.82 $2.62 36%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIZ PURPLE 6 3 11 1½   1nk 11½ (delgado jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 15% 5.80 5.50 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PURPLE LIGHTS by GRAYDAR)
8  WILL NOT BE SWAYED 7 7 21 2½   2nk 21½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 52% 0.90 0.30 P
  (by WAR OF WILL out of NOT SWAYED by HONOR CODE)
3  MEZCALIFORNIA 2 6 77¼ 78   56¾ 36¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 43.00  
  (by COAL FRONT out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
4  GERLIN'S EMPIRE 3 5 64¼ 45   35½ 49¼ (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FRENCH PRESS by CURLIN)
1  BOSSY DISH 1 1 41½ 33½   66¾ 511½ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00 11.90  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KATANA by VOLKSRAAD)
5  NOT TOO LATE 4 2 54 65½   46½ 612½ (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 8.00 23.80  
  (by MCKINZIE out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  ROYAL PRINCESS 5 4 31½ 55   79¾ 720¼ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 10.90  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FIFTYSHAYS OFGREEN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  THANKFULLY               (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SOUTHERN SIS by KANTHAROS)
 
SAR-3   08/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWN THE FIELD 1 4 31½ 31   2½ 1¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 32% 2.20 2.80 W
3  DILLINGER 3 3 21 2½   1½ 2¾ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 19% 4.30 5.00 P
5  PARKWAY 5 7 54 63½   43 34¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00 21.80  
2  MASTER OF ARMS 2 5 11 1½   3½ 45 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 23% 3.30 5.40  
8  MR. PAPAGIORGIO 7 1 74½ 74½   55 55¼ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 7.90  
4  RIDER'S SPECIAL 4 2 42½ 53   67 68¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 1.75  
6  PRINCIPE D'ORO 6 6 64 42   78 714¼ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
SCR  FIGHTING BACK               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:121 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLASSIC LEGACY 5 4 53½ 53½ 31 12 12¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.60 67% 0.50 0.65 W
9  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 4 2 21½ 2½ 1nk 22 22¾ (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 ★ 9.90 P
8  PIRATE 3 5 65½ 67 63¼ 33 34 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.20  
12  SEEKING UNITY 6 6 42 42 41½ 54 49¼ (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 6.70  
2  VICTORS VALIANT 1 1 11½ 1½ 2nk 44 510½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 10.50  
3  ABADIN 2 3 32 32 53 65½ 611 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
SCR  BARRAGE               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
SCR  COOL OPERATOR               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  INTO IT               (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA               (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50    
SCR  MISSION NORTH               (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  UNIT ECONOMICS (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20    
 
SAR-5   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNSUNG MELODY 3 2 21½ 21   11½ 12 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 5% 18.00 1.55 W
8  EVERYONELOVESLINDA 5 4 54 45   43 22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 3.65  
3  LADY MILAGRO 1 1 11½ 11   21½ 33¾ (martin car)RIVERA R 118 4.00 6.90  
6  SPEEDY TRAVELER 4 3 33 34½   32½ 45¼ (bauer philip)TORRES A 123 6.00 44% 1.30 1.95  
4  L STREET LADY 2 5 44 56   56 58 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 15% 5.60 6.70  
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC               (crook-demasi kath)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD WALK               (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  SUNDAY SHOES               (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LA VITA SOFIA 3 1 21½ 22½ 1nk 12 12¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 5.70  
10  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 9 8 710¼ 57 42¼ 22 22¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 22% 3.50 1.55 P
1  MOONLIT WEEKEND 1 6 59 67 54¼ 55½ 39 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 9.30  
9  KAREN'S HONOR 8 3 36 34 32 34½ 410 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
8  GRAMMY GIRL 7 9 811¾ 78 65¼ 68 514¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 8.70 6.50  
6  BROOKLYN DANTZ 5 7 915¼ 913 99¼ 810½ 616¼ (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 15.00 36.50  
5  FRANNIE LEW 4 2 11½ 12½ 2nk 45½ 717 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 123 20.00 32.75  
7  BUMP IN THE NIGHT 6 4 610 811 87¾ 710 818½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 10.00 7.70  
2  RAININGATTHEBEACH 2 5 46 45 76¾ 913½ 934½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 24% 3.10 3.60  
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NEUSCHWANSTEIN 10 1 3½ 2nk   1½ 12 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 34% 2.00 2.05 W
7  AARAJ 6 2 2nk 3½   31½ 22 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 13% 6.80 7.60 P
8  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 7 8 72 62½   43 32 (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.00  
3  ON THE LEDGE 3 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 42¼ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 14% 6.20 3.15  
5  ROYAL KING 4 10 106½ 84   63½ 52½ (toscano )SANTANA JR 122 8.00 13% 6.80 9.70  
2  PASCHAL MOON 2 3 94 107½   85¾ 65¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
9  XCELLENT MEN 8 6 61¾ 41   53½ 77 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00 19.00  
1  BOOM BOOM THUNDER 1 4 41½ 52   75½ 89¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 25.50  
10  GIANT'S FIRE 9 9 82½ 73½   911¼ 915¼ (moubarak nader)LUZZI J 122 8.00 12.50  
6  MUAZARAH 5 7 51¾ 95½   1019¼ 1029¼ (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 23.20  
SCR  STORMQUIST               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Johnstone Mile Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:122 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STERLING SILVER 2 3 31½ 31½ 31 13 19¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.40 33% 2.10 0.75 W
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  MAGGY'S PALACE 4 2 42 42 2½ 33½ 29¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 116 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 1 21 2½ 1½ 23 310½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 2.35  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SMOKE SIGNALS by RUNAWAY GROOM)
5  BUSTIN BAY 5 5 54 54½ 56 410½ 420¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 25% 3.00 4.60  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  SUNSET LOUISE 1 4 11 1½ 43½ 513½ 546 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 8.30  
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  CUPID'S HEART               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80    
  (by CUPID out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY               (levine b)SANTANA JR 117 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
SAR-9   08/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RIVERWALK 4 1 11 11½ 14 15½ 12¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 25% 2.90 1.45 W
11  BEARINGS 7 8 78½ 710 46½ 37½ 22¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60 51% 1.00 2.80 P
4  GUILE 2 2 33 33½ 24 25½ 37½ (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 ★ 7.00 S
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 3 4 56½ 58½ 57½ 49 411 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
13  CRUSADING 8 3 21 21½ 34 59½ 512½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 5.40  
8  SMOOTH AN EASY 5 5 45½ 48 610½ 613½ 614 (seyler)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 22.60  
2  PUJOL 1 6 814½ 818 816½ 816 716¾ (ibrahim emro)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 17.30  
10  FIRE BARON 6 7 67 69½ 711 715½ 823 (paragallo)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 15.80  
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
SCR  EL ALACRAN               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  STEADFAST RESOLVE               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.00    
SCR  TONY'S MO               (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SCR  TRUE CONNECTION               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  ZEN AIR               (lerman s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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