Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (2/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/7)-(8/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/7)-(8/7/2/4)-(1/2/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-2   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(1/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/4)-(1/2/3/6)-(10/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SAR-3   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(10/3)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-4   WIN (10/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/3)-(10/9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (10/3)-(10/9/3)-(10/9/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (10/3)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/3)-(6/4/5)-(2/10/8/7/9) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SAR-5   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/10/8/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(2/10/8/7/9)-(11/3/7/5/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-6   WIN (2/10/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/8/7/9)-(2/10/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/8/7/9)-(2/10/8/7/9)-(2/10/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/8/7/9)-(11/3/7/5/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/10/8/7/9)-(11/3/7/5/2)-(2/5/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-7   WIN (11/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/7/5/2)-(11/3/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/7/5/2)-(11/3/7/5/2)-(11/3/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/7/5/2)-(2/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/3/7/5/2)-(2/5/4)-(11/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(11/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SAR-9   WIN (11/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/4)-(11/6/5/12/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/07/2024 12540ft TURF RC11 FAST Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD HARD (IRE) Apr06 Sep08 Aug18     (fout dougl)DALTON BERNARD 153 5.00    
  (by SHOLOKHOV out of QUARRYVALE by BENEFICIAL)
2  ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR)         (garner thomas)MULLINS DANNY 156 1.00 38% 1.60    
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
3  KIYOMORI Sep08 Jul22 Nov05 Oct07 Sep24 (wyatt todd)BESWICK HARRISON 153 4.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of THE GREY EXPRESS by KING'S THEATRE)
4  CLARA BELLE Feb08 Jan18 Jan06 Dec08 Aug31 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 15.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ENCORE BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  TUDDENHAM GREEN         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153 8.00    
  (by NATHANIEL out of SOCIAL MEDIA by AWESOME OF COURSE)
6  WALK THE WARRIOR (IRE) Jul18         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00 35% 1.90    
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of WESTERN APPROACHES by WESTERNER)
7  CIBOLIAN Jun06 Jul14 Jun09 Oct09 Aug21 (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of YADIRA by PULPIT)
8  HIDDEN PATH Mar30 Oct08 Sep07 Aug05 Jul01 (hendriks ri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
 
SAR-2   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY DISH Jun14         (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KATANA by VOLKSRAAD)
SCR  THANKFULLY Jul12         (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SOUTHERN SIS by KANTHAROS)
3  MEZCALIFORNIA Jul13         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
4  GERLIN'S EMPIRE Jul13         (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FRENCH PRESS by CURLIN)
5  NOT TOO LATE Jul22         (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  ROYAL PRINCESS         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FIFTYSHAYS OFGREEN by BERNARDINI)
7  TIZ PURPLE Jul04         (delgado jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PURPLE LIGHTS by GRAYDAR)
8  WILL NOT BE SWAYED Jul11         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of NOT SWAYED by HONOR CODE)
 
SAR-3   08/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWN THE FIELD Jul18 Jun07 Apr21 Apr07 Mar10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
2  MASTER OF ARMS Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  DILLINGER Jul12 May23 Apr21 Jun25 Jun03 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  RIDER'S SPECIAL Jul14 Jun28 Nov05 Sep14 Jul31 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
5  PARKWAY Jul11 Jun30 May19 Apr13 Dec10 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
6  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jul18 Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar09 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIGHTING BACK Jun28 May09 Apr13 Sep24 Jul09 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
8  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Jun15 Jun07 May10 Apr19   (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
 
SAR-4   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Jul07 May24 Mar09 Nov10 Aug17 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50    
2  VICTORS VALIANT Jul06 Jun07 May04 Apr14 Mar29 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
3  ABADIN Jul13 Jun07 May09 Apr12 Nov02 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISSION NORTH Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr20 Dec17 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) Jul13 Jun15 Apr24 Mar20 Feb15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20    
SCR  BARRAGE Jun16 May11 Nov18 Oct06 Aug17 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
SCR  INTO IT Jun29 May04 Apr05 Feb11 Jan14 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00    
8  PIRATE Jul05 Jun07 May05 Apr06 Sep04 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
9  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Jun28 Apr20 Mar07 Feb12 Jan27 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 ★    
10  CLASSIC LEGACY Jul13 Jun08 May02 Apr12 Mar10 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.60 67% 0.50    
SCR  COOL OPERATOR Jun22 May27 Apr12 Mar09 Jan27 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
12  SEEKING UNITY Jul21 Jun22 May19 Apr27 Mar29 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-5   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNDAY SHOES May04 Feb24 May19 Apr01 Feb15 (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC Jun22 May17 Nov17 Oct22 Sep23 (crook-demasi kath)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
3  LADY MILAGRO Jul11 Jun07 May05 Dec31 Nov17 (martin car)RIVERA R 118 4.00    
4  L STREET LADY Jul11 Jul14 Jun11 May19 Feb18 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 15% 5.60    
5  UNSUNG MELODY Jul05 May27 May17 Apr24 Sep17 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 5% 18.00    
6  SPEEDY TRAVELER Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31   (bauer philip)TORRES A 123 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD WALK Jul14 Jun22 May17 Sep02 Jul27 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
8  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun07 May12 Apr25 Apr07 Feb29 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
 
SAR-6   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT WEEKEND Jun27 May17 Apr25 Mar21 Feb24 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
2  RAININGATTHEBEACH Jun09 May11 Feb24     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
4  LA VITA SOFIA Jul21 Jun14 May16 Jul22 Jun23 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
5  FRANNIE LEW Jun30 Jun22 May17 Apr25 Apr07 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 123 20.00    
6  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jul18 Jun20 May11 Apr26 Mar22 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
7  BUMP IN THE NIGHT Apr27 Apr12 Mar14 Mar03 Feb18 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
8  GRAMMY GIRL Jul06 Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar17 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
9  KAREN'S HONOR Jun27 May16 Apr25 Jan24 Dec28 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jul19 Jun05 May03 Dec30 Nov03 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-7   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM BOOM THUNDER Jul22 Jul01 May10 Apr29 Apr12 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
2  PASCHAL MOON Jul12 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Mar24 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ON THE LEDGE Jun27 Apr27 Mar17 Feb09 Dec31 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  STORMQUIST Jul12 May27 May12 Apr19 Jan28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
5  ROYAL KING Jul21 Apr12 Mar21 Jul24 May26 (toscano )SANTANA JR 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  MUAZARAH Jul12 Jun22 Jun07 Apr26 Apr11 (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
7  AARAJ Feb09 Jul08 Apr02 Feb04 Dec17 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
8  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Jul12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 Oct21 (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
9  XCELLENT MEN May19 Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
10  GIANT'S FIRE Jul12 Jun14 May19 Apr11 Feb09 (moubarak nader)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
11  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jun29 Jan27 Jan01 Nov26 Oct08 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
SAR-8   08/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Johnstone Mile Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET LOUISE Jun09 Apr21 Oct29 Aug09 Jul16 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  STERLING SILVER Jul24 Jun23 May04 Apr06 Mar09 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr11 Mar16 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SMOKE SIGNALS by RUNAWAY GROOM)
4  MAGGY'S PALACE Jun30 Jun15 Nov06 Sep25 Aug15 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
5  BUSTIN BAY Jul11 Jun09 Mar30 Mar24 Mar14 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CUPID'S HEART Jun30 Oct05 Aug30 Jul22 Jun23 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80    
  (by CUPID out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY Jul24 Jun23 May24 Apr25 Mar22 (levine b)SANTANA JR 117 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
SAR-9   08/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT Jun02 May04 Sep03 Aug06   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
SCR  STEADFAST RESOLVE Jul12 May26 Jan20     (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.00    
2  PUJOL Jul12 Jun30 Jun06 May12 Nov16 (ibrahim emro)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
SCR  EL ALACRAN Jun21 Jun02 Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
4  GUILE Jul12 Jun15 May12 Apr26 Apr06 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 ★    
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Jun27 May17 Apr12 Mar03 Jan28 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVERWALK Jun30 May18 Apr26 Mar27 Feb24 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  TONY'S MO Jul10         (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
8  SMOOTH AN EASY Jul12 Jun21 May27 Apr27 Mar29 (seyler)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00    
SCR  ZEN AIR Jun21 Jan03       (lerman s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
10  FIRE BARON Jul12 Jun06 May01 Apr13 Mar13 (paragallo)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00    
11  BEARINGS Mar02 Jan26 Nov16 Nov05 Sep23 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  TRUE CONNECTION Jul06 Jun15 May29 May10 Apr05 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 ★    
13  CRUSADING Jul18 Jan01 Dec15 Nov12 Oct01 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.