Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $18.00 $6.00 50%
FL-4   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $32.40 $28.40 710%
FL-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3 $15.40 $3.40 28%
    DD (7/4)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4-1 $76.00 $68.00 850%
FL-7   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    DD (3/1/7)-(6/2/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $33.00 $15.00 83%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :474 :60     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN SKY WE TRUST 4 5 6 2nk   1 14 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 23% 3.30 0.80 W
CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 1 7 42 4¼   2 24 (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 29% 2.40 5.70 P
NUTSIE 5 2 5 3.2   3 3 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.50 2.55  
1A  GIMMEDAMONEY 6 1 1½ 1nk   4 4 (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 5.70  
BIG BAD BUD 3 4 32 6   5 57 (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00 35.25  
SNEADS 2 3 2½ 5¾   6 610 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
FATHER WALSH 7 6 7 7   7 712¾ (sab)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 4.30  
 
FL-2   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:161     1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINTAGEL 2 1 5 5 4 12 1nk (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 4.10  
JOVIO 1 4 31 4 5 3 2nk (clarke matth)HARKIE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 13.60 P
NORTHWAY 4 5 4 2½ 1 22 3 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 1.40 38% 1.60 0.35 S
BENEVOLENTLY 5 3 21 3 2 4 4 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.30 7.20  
RAINOUT 3 6 6 6 613½ 615½ 518¼ (lopez robert)MULERO M 114 15.00 31.75  
FLUTE SONG 6 2 11 1½ 3 510½ 618½ (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 8% 11.00 11.90  
SCR  WORLD CRUISE               (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 10.00    
 
FL-3   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:152 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZEE MAGIC 4 4 55 52 32 32 1nk (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.80 1.20  
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 5 2 3 31 1nk 11 2nk (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 10.00 7.50  
OH MRS. MAISEL 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 21 3 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.60 42% 1.40 1.15 S
FLURRY OF ROSES 6 6 617 68 46 46 46 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00 19% 4.40 32.50  
OUR FIRST LADY 2 5 4 4 5 520 522 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 12.40  
MO NIGHEAN DONN 1 1 1½ 1nk 619½ 649 658¼ (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
 
FL-4   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE 4 5 31 3½   32 1hd (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 15.00 18% 4.60 15.20 W
ALMENDRO 5 1 1nk 1nk   21 2hd (ubbink s)DAVIS A 124 5.00 6.20  
KOOL KATHMANDU 1 3 2nk 2nk   11 31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 1.30  
SUPERB SURPRISE 6 2 5 4   45 4 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.45  
DOUBLE SHOT 3 6 611¾ 6   68 5 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50 9.10  
RIBBONS AND MEDALS 2 4 4 5   58 67 (pot)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 3.85  
SCR  INVALUABLE WILL               (breed a)ROHENA JR 120 8.00    
 
FL-5   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:152     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE'S PEPINO 1 5 7 75 79 4 1½ (inman l)WHITACRE B 122 2.50 69% 0.50 1.30 W
ASAP RESTORATION 3 3 43 4 34 3 2½ (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 3.50 2.70 P
BERT BERT BERT 2 7 56 6 5 53 3 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 8.60  
HONORABLE AVENUE 6 4 21 21 21 2nk 4 (o'callahan car)COA J 122 5.00 8.20  
MAX FOSTER 7 2 11 11 11 1nk 5 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 15.80  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 5 6 66 5 68 77 6 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
POT OF GOLD 4 1 32 32 44 64 7 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 4.30  
 
FL-6   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:003     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENTANGELI 2 4 2nk 3   2½ 1 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 47% 1.10 0.90 W
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
HAPPY INSTEAD 4 1 1nk 1½   1½ 2 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00 5.30  
  (by LEOFRIC out of GOOD HABITS by HABITONY (IRE))
AELFGAR 1 6 4 4   33 3 (sells rachel)COA J 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.45 S
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
REV PARKER 3 5 64 67   5 4 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 120 4.50 17.70  
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
BIG BABY HENRY 6 3 52 5   6 510¾ (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by WAR DANCER out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
LUCKY BANKER 5 2 3½ 2½   4 618¼ (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 15.00 27.50  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LUCKY SUNSET by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MORQ               (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of QUALIFYING by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FL-7   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:144     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION LIGHTS 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 13 11 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 31% 2.20 5.90 W
STREET COP OFFICER 3 1 2½ 2½ 21 23 21 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 24.50  
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY 8 7 65 6 66 3 3 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70 S
SKYLER'S STARSHIP 6 5 3 32 3 4 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50 44% 1.30 0.20  
LOVE THAT BIRD 4 4 43 43 4 5 5 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 4.00 9.60  
OLD POINT 5 8 7 7 56 6 6 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 12.00 80.25  
SEATIGER 1 3 8 8 8 714¾ 716¾ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 15.00 93.75  
GOD BLESS AMERICA 7 6 53 5 7 814¾ 817½ (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 23.10  
 
FL-8   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE LOVES TO MOVE 6 2 1nk 1½   11 1 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 2.75  
TOMAKI 1 5 31 31   21 2 (reed a)COA J 120 3.50 30% 2.30 3.45 P
ELLA SPEED 4 6 4 41   42 3 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.50 19% 4.20 3.35 S
DR G AND ALI 8 1 2nk 2½   3 44 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 13.90  
GLORY BOUND CLARA 7 3 8 52   56 5 (bartlett william )PEREZ E 124 4.00 2.75  
ROSEBUD RYDE 5 4 5 6   6 6 (chamberlin tin)BROWN DALTON 124 12.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
SOULFUL TARA 2 8 7 74   79 718 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 17% 5.00 9.60  
MAJESTIC LAURA ANN 3 7 63 87   815 824 (acquilan)DAVIS A 120 8.00 19.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.