Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-4   EXA (8/2/10/4)-(8/2/11/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-11 $21.00 $5.00 31%
SAR-5   EXA (9/6/11/2)-(9/6/11/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-2 $16.60 $0.60 4%
    TRI (9/6/11/2)-(9/6/11/2/7)-(9/6/11/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2-7 $37.25 $13.25 55%
    SFT (9/6/11/2)-(9/6/11/2/7)-(9/6/11/2/7)-(9/6/11/2/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-2-7-11 $27.00 $17.40 181%
SAR-7   WIN (4/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $53.50 $45.50 569%
    EXA (4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $123.75 $107.75 673%
SAR-8   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $25.60 $17.60 220%
    DD (4/9/1/8)-(4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $282.00 $266.00 1663%
SAR-9   DD (4/5/7/2)-(9/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-9 $36.00 $20.00 125%
    PK3 (4/9/1/8)-(4/5/7/2)-(9/4/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00  8-4-9 $1114 $1050 1641%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIETSIDE 5 2 31 3½   1 1 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 3.75  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BENNER ISLAND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FIRST CLASS LADY 3 3 1½ 1½   2 2 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
LIMES DON'T LIE 1 6 5 4   3 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 35% 1.90 1.75 S
  (by MCKINZIE out of CLOTHES FALL OFF by DAAHER)
IVORY AND EBONY 6 1 2½ 2½   4 411¾ (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of IMPRINT by QUALITY ROAD)
TIPTOP 7 5 79 7   519½ 518¾ (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 19.10  
  (by GAME WINNER out of SECOND STREET CITY by CONSOLIDATOR)
AMOURETTE 4 7 68 6   621½ 626¼ (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 23.90  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of ROCKSTER by SUPER SAVER)
LADY PIPPA 2 4 42 55   724½ 735 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 26.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KISSIN KIM by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  RAGTIME               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BURMILLA by STORM CAT)
 
SAR-2   08/04/2024 9240ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdstone Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:51 1:164 1:43 2:082 2:322 2:574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 17 122¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 0.11 63% 0.60 0.05 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHIA BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
MASQUEPARADE 2 3 32 3 2 27 222¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10.50  
  (by UPSTART out of CRY WAR EAGLE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SLIP MAHONEY 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 317½ 337 3118½ (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 15.20  
  (by ARROGATE out of GOT LUCKY by A.P. INDY)
TIME FOR TROUBLE 3 4100 4100 4100 4100 4100 4100 (hiles a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
SCR  NIMITZ CLASS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIVE DIAMONDS by FLATTER)
 
SAR-3   08/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:12 1:374   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 6 5 5 53 2½ 2 1¼ (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 3.50  
COLLOQUY 4 6 611½ 67 5 1 2¼ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 57% 0.80 1.10 P
KAHALA 2 4 4 4 3½ 4 3 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8% 10.80 4.80 S
TAKE THE CHARGE 5 3 33 3 1½ 3 49 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 3.85  
GUN MAESTRO 1 2 1 1½ 4 526½ 537½ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
LIFE AND LIGHT 3 1 2 2½ 65 641½ 673¼ (pringle )SANTANA JR 118 15.00 23.40  
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY               (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
SCR  PIT BOSS               (arce jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:144 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICK A BUCK 7 6 6 610 5 2 14 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 63% 0.60 1.70 W
11  JOHN THE BAPTIST 10 3 26 27 22 1 24 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 8.70 P
SUGAR HOOK 2 2 3 38 34 32 3 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.90  
10  BOLT D'PLATA 9 8 59 510 4 42 4 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
IL SICILIANO 1 5 812¾ 812¼ 8 7 5 (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 8% 11.20 3.80  
COUNTER ATTACK 5 1 16 17 12 5 6 (bernardi)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 56.50  
FLICKER (GB) 3 11 1116¼ 1120¼ 1111½ 8 7 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
VINCITA 8 4 711¼ 712 7 6 811½ (morley th)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 17.50  
BAD BOY BUTCH 4 10 913¾ 917¼ 910 9 915¼ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 8.20  
GHOST PRINCE 6 9 1016¼ 1019¾ 1011 1010¼ 1018½ (quartarolo anth)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 27.50  
12  MIGHTY GLORY 11 7 4 4 66 1113¼ 1123 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 66.50  
SCR  AWESOME LIFE               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  BEARINGS               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.40    
SCR  EL ALACRAN               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  MANO E MANO               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  TRUE CONNECTION               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN OUR TIME 4 1 11 1nk   1 13 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 12% 7.30 1.95 W
U SHOULD B DANCING 1 8 7 6   2 23 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 P
LINARITE 5 6 6 7   55 3 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 9.40 S
11  HURRICANE DEBBIE 9 7 5 5   4 4 (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 6% 14.60 3.85  
BOSS OF ALL 3 5 42 3   3 5 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.00  
10  MISS BONNIE T 8 9 9 9   8 6 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 44.00  
ANSWER THE CALL 6 3 8 8   9 710¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00 28.50  
TIFFANY GOLD 7 2 21 2nk   6 811¼ (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 58% 0.70 2.70  
SHAMAN PRINCESS 2 4 31 4   7 912½ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 20.80  
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER               (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 122 30.00    
SCR  OH MY MIA               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUGOTTAHAVEHOPE 8 1 11 11   1 1 (de h)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 5.80  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BEECHWOOD ELLA by NO NAY NEVER)
SCYTHIAN 6 3 21 21   2 2 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 3.85  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DEAN HENRY by EMPIRE MAKER)
EARLY ON 5 9 712¼ 611½   6 36 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 37.50 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of SALLY O'BRIEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BOSTON'S PHINEST 3 2 31 42   35 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
SARATOGA SNOW 9 7 814¼ 816   711½ 512½ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
  (by VEKOMA out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
WILD MISCHIEF 7 4 5 32   5 614½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TWIRLING LULU 4 6 4 5   45 714¾ (levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
ARANCIATA 1 8 916¼ 919   914 819¼ (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 16.70  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ANNIE WALKER by WAR CHANT)
CLASSICALS FINALE 2 5 610¾ 713½   813 927¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 22.70  
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CLASSICAL FASHION by NATIVE REGENT)
 
SAR-7   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:15 1:401   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY DAY READY 8 9 9 9 3 11 1hd (lee josep)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.75 W
  (by TAPIT out of NEMORALIA by MORE THAN READY)
LOVE TEMPO (IRE) 4 5 6 66 5 3 2hd (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 47% 1.10 1.50 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of AQUAMARINE by GEMOLOGIST)
ALL NIGHT REVIVAL 2 3 32 33 4 4 3 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 9.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
MAGENTA 3 2 5 5 76 64 4 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 8.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KAPIOLANI by EMPIRE MAKER)
PEDIATRIC PRINCESS 1 1 11 11 1½ 21 5 (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 9% 10.50 5.60  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
BALLERINA D'ORO 9 10 10 8 8 7 6 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40 3.80  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of IN THE MOONLIGHT by TAPIT)
10  SHE'S A SWEDE 10 6 21 21 2½ 54 7 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 18.80  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of COURTEOUS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
QUOIN 7 8 8 7 9 87 810¾ (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 13.00  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CHANTICO 5 4 7 10 65 98 912 (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 15.90  
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIREFOOT by TAPIZAR)
LADY RIVER LILY 6 7 42 4 108 1015 1020¾ (seyler)GRISALES DANILO 119 50.00 50.75  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOSCOW RIVER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  BOSSY DISH               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KATANA by VOLKSRAAD)
SCR  CHELSEY'S CHOICE               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLYING THE COLORS by WAR FRONT)
SCR  DR GLICK               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  IL SUO ORO               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SENORA UNO by MACHO UNO)
 
SAR-8   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR THE AIR 4 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 27% 2.70 11.80 W
BILLAL 6 6 42 5   4 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 2.55  
TOP GUNNER 3 3 52 3   31 3 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 4.80  
IMPLEMENTATION 7 7 6 6   6 4 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 14% 5.90 3.05  
MARKET STREET 1 2 31 4   5 53 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 18.10  
CHATTALOT 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 6 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 7.90  
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 5 5 74 74   7 7 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 26% 2.90 5.70  
CELESTIAL GLAZE 2 8 8 86   8 8 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
 
SAR-9   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Adirondack Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:212 :443 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE QUEENS M G 7 1 4 31   1 19 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 39% 1.60 2.60 W
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SHOW QUEEN by GRINDSTONE)
ITALIAN SOIREE 2 5 5 43   3 29 (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5% 17.90 1.70 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
ATOMIC CITY 3 7 64 6   4 312 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.60  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KNIT ONE PURR TOO by TALE OF THE CAT)
DARE TO BREEZE 4 3 21 2nk   2 413¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 33% 2.00 6.90  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of ENHANCED by MALIBU MOON)
AGUAS DE CRISTAL 5 6 7 7   613 518¼ (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
  (by VOLATILE out of CEDAR HALL by BAYERN)
ANAKARINA 6 2 11 1nk   5 618¾ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 6.20  
  (by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
WHATINTHELITERAL 1 4 3 55   719 730¼ (antonucci jen)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 12.40  
  (by LORD NELSON out of LILIKOI by FREUD)
SCR  SOCIAL FORTRESS               (ness jam)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of COLD HEARTED PEARL by PARADING)
SCR  WHITE SANDS               (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
 
SAR-10   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:131 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOSTALGIC ONE 9 10 910½ 97 95 96 1hd (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 4.80  
MODICA 8 7 77 86 4 21 2hd (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60 5.50 P
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 6 1 4 4 3½ 11 3.15 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 51% 0.90 5.50 S
12  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 10 9 1011 10 8 5 4 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 30.00 42.25  
NOW AND LATER 1 6 6 6 6 6 5 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 5% 19.00 3.35  
KING FREUD 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 31 6 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 47.75  
OFFICER DERICK 2 5 11 1½ 1½ 4 7 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.75  
SKELLIG ISLAND 4 2 33 33 5 7 89 (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 10.40  
BEARY FUNNY 7 4 5 55 7 8 918¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 8.20  
A LISTER 5 8 89 76 108 1011 1019¼ (pringle )SANTANA JR 125 20.00 25.00  
SCR  ANDY CANT               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  FRIZZANTE               (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  INCANTATION               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  MR. MENDELSSOHN               (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
SCR  ON THE LEDGE               (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.