Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (8/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (9/6/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (4/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (7/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMES DON'T LIE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  LADY PIPPA         (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
3  FIRST CLASS LADY         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  AMOURETTE         (delgado gustav)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  RAGTIME         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
6  QUIETSIDE         (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
7  IVORY AND EBONY         (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIPTOP         (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/04/2024 9240ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdstone Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIP MAHONEY Jul07 Nov28 Sep23 Aug26 Jul23 (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
2  MASQUEPARADE Jul05 Jun08 May01 Mar29 Feb09 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  NIMITZ CLASS May03 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Oct17 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
4  TIME FOR TROUBLE Jul28 Jun08 Apr20 Mar23 Jan12 (hiles a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEXT Jul05 May01 Sep23 Jul27 Jun10 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 124 0.11 63% 0.60    
 
SAR-3   08/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN MAESTRO Jun30 Jun16 May18 May02 Apr05 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KAHALA Jun29 May10 Apr17 Mar08 Feb29 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8% 10.80    
3  LIFE AND LIGHT Apr25 Apr06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan04 (pringle ed)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY Jul11 Jun21 May18 Apr25 Jan04 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
SCR  PIT BOSS Jul23 Jul02 Jun25 May27 May06 (arce josue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
6  COLLOQUY May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
7  TAKE THE CHARGE Jun29 Oct24 Sep30 Aug13 Jul13 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
8  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Jul11 Apr26 Mar30 Feb29 Feb04 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
 
SAR-4   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANO E MANO May19 Apr20       (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
2  IL SICILIANO Jun23 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar09 (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 8% 11.20    
3  SUGAR HOOK Jul11 Jun16 May18 Mar20 Mar09 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
4  FLICKER (GB) Jun29 May03       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAD BOY BUTCH         (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
6  COUNTER ATTACK May30 May04 Apr06     (bernardini)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
7  GHOST PRINCE Jul11 Mar21 Mar07     (quartarolo anthon)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
8  KICK A BUCK Jun15 Apr21 Feb10     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 63% 0.60    
9  VINCITA Jul11 Jun27 Apr24 Apr07 Mar09 (morley thom)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
10  BOLT D'PLATA Jul11 May23 Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  JOHN THE BAPTIST Jun30 May19 Apr17     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 ★    
12  MIGHTY GLORY Jun06 Dec10 Oct26 Sep14   (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  EL ALACRAN Jun21 Jun02 Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  TRUE CONNECTION Jul06 Jun15 May29 May10 Apr05 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
SCR  AWESOME LIFE May18         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  BEARINGS Mar02 Jan26 Nov16 Nov05 Sep23 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.40    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT Jul18 Jun30 Jun20 May24 Apr25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Jul18 Jun30 Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00    
2  U SHOULD B DANCING Jul13 Jun15 Apr20 Nov19 Aug27 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHAMAN PRINCESS Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 Sep14 Jul22 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
4  BOSS OF ALL Jul18 Jun22 May13 Jun16 May08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER Jul28 Jun03 Apr20 Jul19 Apr01 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 122 30.00    
6  IN OUR TIME Jul12 May19 Mar24     (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
7  LINARITE Jul28 Jun20 May18 May12 Nov19 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 ★    
8  ANSWER THE CALL Jun08 May01 Mar13 Jan26 Dec29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
9  TIFFANY GOLD Jul13 May12 Apr12     (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  MISS BONNIE T Jun20 May09 Nov25 Aug31 Dec29 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
11  HURRICANE DEBBIE Apr07 Feb17 Dec13 Oct22 Oct01 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  OH MY MIA Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 Mar16 Feb13 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARANCIATA         (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
2  CLASSICALS FINALE Jul25         (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
3  BOSTON'S PHINEST         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  TWIRLING LULU         (levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  EARLY ON         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 ★    
6  SCYTHIAN         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
7  WILD MISCHIEF         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOUGOTTAHAVEHOPE         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
9  SARATOGA SNOW         (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS         (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
2  ALL NIGHT REVIVAL         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
3  MAGENTA Jun16         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
4  LOVE TEMPO (IRE) Jul06         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  CHANTICO         (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★    
6  LADY RIVER LILY Jun21 Jun01       (seyler d)GRISALES DANILO 119 50.00    
7  QUOIN         (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
8  MAY DAY READY         (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BALLERINA D'ORO         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
10  SHE'S A SWEDE Jun28         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  CHELSEY'S CHOICE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  DR GLICK         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  IL SUO ORO Jun14         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  BOSSY DISH Jun14         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET STREET Jul26 May18 Apr27 Apr05 Jan28 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
2  CELESTIAL GLAZE Jul13 Jun22 May18 Feb29 Feb16 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOP GUNNER Jul13 May05 Apr19 Mar03 Feb10 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
4  CLEAR THE AIR Jun22 Jun07 May25 Apr21 Mar30 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) May11 Mar16 Jan19 Oct21 Sep02 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  BILLAL Jul06 Jun08 May05 Apr06 Feb03 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
7  IMPLEMENTATION Jun30 Mar30 Mar02 Jan20 Nov19 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
8  CHATTALOT Jun16 May16 Mar29 Oct02 Sep07 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
 
SAR-9   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Adirondack Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATINTHELITERAL Jul11 Jun06 Apr24 Apr07   (antonucci jena )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
2  ITALIAN SOIREE Jul04         (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5% 17.90    
3  ATOMIC CITY Jun28         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
4  DARE TO BREEZE Jul13 Jun16       (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SOCIAL FORTRESS Jul13         (ness jamie)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
6  AGUAS DE CRISTAL Jun16         (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANAKARINA Jun26 May17       (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  WHITE SANDS Jul06 May25       (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.00    
9  THE QUEENS M G Jul11 Jun06 Apr07     (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW AND LATER Jun14 Apr17 Feb02 Jul01 Jun16 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRIZZANTE Jul04 Jun23 May22 Apr21 Mar27 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
3  OFFICER DERICK Jun29 Mar08 Feb03 Jan14 Nov03 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING FREUD Jun30 Jun14 May27 Apr28 Mar24 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
5  SKELLIG ISLAND Jun29 Jun07 Apr28 Sep30 Sep09 (reynolds patrick)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
6  A LISTER Jul05 Jun22 May03 Mar21 Mar03 (pringle ed)SANTANA JR 125 20.00    
7  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jun14 Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 51% 0.90    
8  BEARY FUNNY Jul14 Jun14 May18 Apr19 Feb11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 ★    
9  MODICA May23 Apr26 Mar07 Jan31 Jan20 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
10  NOSTALGIC ONE Jun21 Nov16 Sep03 Jul28 Jul07 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00    
SCR  MR. MENDELSSOHN Jun07 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb11 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
12  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jun14 May09 Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING Jul14 Jun28 May27 May09 Apr25 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  ANDY CANT Jul06 Jun28 May18 Apr25 Mar28 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
SCR  ON THE LEDGE Jun27 Apr27 Mar17 Feb09 Dec31 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
SCR  INCANTATION Apr02 Mar03 Jan28 Dec17   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.