Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $36.34 $30.34 506%
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $108.76 $96.76 806%
CD-5   DD (5/4/6)-(6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-6 $38.67 $29.67 330%
CD-6   WIN (4/9/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $28.60 $18.60 186%
    EXA (4/9/7/6/8)-(4/9/7/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $140.58 $100.58 251%
    DD (6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-6 $26.59 $11.59 77%
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  6-6-6 $192.65 $170.15 756%
CD-7   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $37.78 $29.78 372%
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-6 $143.98 $111.98 350%
    DD (4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $301.58 $281.58 1408%
    PK3 (6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-6-3 $194.05 $164.05 547%
    PK4 (5/4/6)-(6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3) 180 $0.50 $90.00  6-4/6/8-6-3 $5568 $5478 6087%
CD-8   DD (6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-4 $89.43 $69.43 347%
    PK3 (4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00  6-3-4 $601.27 $551.27 1103%
CD-9   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.16 $1.16 15%
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $28.80 $4.80 20%
    PK3 (6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9)-(3/6/2/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-4-3 $304.69 $264.69 662%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROSATO 7 1 1½ 11½   13 11¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.50 7.87  
6  BOUTWELL TIME 6 2 42 31½   23 21¼ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 16% 5.10 2.61 P
5  PARKING LOT POURS 5 6 63½ 76¾   69½ 39¾ (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 13.47  
3  BLUSHING KAM 3 4 31½ 44   48 49¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 2.51  
4  CITIZEN JUDY 4 3 2½ 21½   35½ 510 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 44% 1.30 3.12  
2  GALA ROSE 2 7 88 89¾   712½ 617 (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
1  COMBATTANTE 1 8 52½ 54¼   59½ 719¼ (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 30.54  
8  LITTLE BIT O STORM 8 5 73½ 66¼   814½ 821 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10% 8.60 8.06  
 
CD-2   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORKAGE FEE 3 1 21 21 2½ 13 12¾ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 111 2.50 30% 2.40 1.78 W
4  GRACE GIVEN 4 4 64 76½ 47½ 35½ 22¾ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.20 6.91 P
1  PRINCESS KALAMOH 1 2 11 11 1½ 23 310½ (matthews rand)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 6.29  
2  PERCEPTIVE 2 6 42½ 55 68½ 611½ 412½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 3.00  
5  ROYAL BLOOD 5 3 52½ 43½ 36½ 511 516½ (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 16% 5.40 4.26  
7  LUBU 7 7 75 66 58 49 621 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 37.93  
6  OH MACARENA 6 5 31½ 31½ 79 716 729¾ (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 7.09  
 
CD-3   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAPA YO 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 12 11 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 1.55  
8  DR KRINGLE 5 3 65¼ 65 32 22 21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 38% 1.60 2.85 P
9  ARTWELL 6 1 3½ 2nk 2nk 33 38½ (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.00 2.06  
5  TIVERTON (GB) 3 6 55 54½ 66¾ 57 49½ (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 23% 3.30 24.59  
4  REDHILL 2 4 42½ 43½ 42½ 45½ 510¼ (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00 5% 19.00 43.60  
7  CRUSADING 4 2 2nk 3½ 52¾ 68½ 613 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 4.78  
SCR  BOAT HOUSE               (galindo-t)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
SCR  COWBOY IMAGE               (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER               (correas )SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
 
CD-4   09/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:121 1:383   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATMINT 6 6 64½ 53½ 66 33 11½ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.17 W
4  LEXA (FR) 4 4 54 64 33½ 21 21½ (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.95 P
3  SULTRY LASS 3 1 1½ 1½ 13 11 34½ (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 5.00 6.54  
2  QUEEN LECA (URU) 2 2 43½ 42½ 44½ 45 48½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 15.00 30.63  
1  AMERICA'S VOW 1 5 32½ 32½ 55 58½ 514¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 3.43  
5  ENCLOSURE 5 3 2½ 2½ 23 610 619 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 35% 1.90 1.33  
 
CD-5   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  R DISASTER 5 3 11½ 12½   13 12¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 68% 0.50 0.68 W
7  MUSTANG LADY 6 6 76¼ 78   66½ 22¼ (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 7% 14.20 6.37 P
2  THESE APPLES 2 5 21½ 22½   23 33½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 6.93  
5  AMY Z 4 1 63¾ 66   56 45½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5.04  
1  ARMY GIRL 1 7 53¼ 44½   34 55½ (wisner tracey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 32.39  
3  PULA 3 4 31½ 33½   45½ 67½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 ★ 8.09  
9  PARTY 7 2 41¾ 55½   77 79¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.29  
SCR  BRUNCH PUNCH               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
SCR  KRICKLE               (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEAMETATRAINER 6 8 85¼ 86¾ 21 12 14¼ (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 6% 15.40 13.30 W
4  CLASSIC MYSTERY 4 3 32½ 32½ 31 22 24¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 39% 1.60 4.44 P
1  POLITICAL SPIN 1 2 74¾ 56 64¼ 44½ 34½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 12.55  
10  INDY LABEL 10 6 12½ 11½ 11 34½ 47¼ (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 7.83  
7  HYMNAL 7 7 22½ 21½ 41½ 55½ 58¾ (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 9% 9.60 1.32  
3  SO FAR SO GOOD 3 4 42¾ 44 54 67½ 68¾ (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 10.00 26.74  
9  OUR PRAYER 9 5 53¾ 66 76¾ 78 710½ (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 18% 4.50 10.35  
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 5 10 108¾ 1010¼ 910¾ 814 820¼ (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 30.00 55.47  
8  PLAY MAKER 8 9 64¼ 76¼ 89¼ 914¼ 924¾ (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.67  
2  MIDWAY VOW 2 1 95¾ 96¾ 1011¼ 1021¼ 1048¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 7.77  
 
CD-7   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE 3 8 95¾ 55½   54¼ 1¾ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.89 W
6  GLORIETTE 6 3 2nk 1nk   12½ 2¾ (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 P
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 4 43 43   34 36¾ (foster er)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00 33.05  
10  VERY WEALTHY 10 1 1nk 2nk   22½ 47 (lucas wayn)MONCADA IRVING 121 20.00 48.62  
7  BOURBON BREEZE 7 5 106 108   87¼ 58¼ (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.40 5.19  
2  SWEET CHABLIS 2 10 85¾ 97¾   76¾ 69¼ (calhoun will)TORRES A 121 8.00 24% 3.20 14.41  
8  SPARKLE OF HOPE 8 9 74¾ 75¾   66¾ 79½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★ 14.32  
9  BALLADRY 9 2 32 31   44 810¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 3.49  
4  EVIE'S ENCORE 4 6 54 86¼   98¾ 914¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5.05  
11  BELLA CRUELLA 11 11 116½ 1110½   1111½ 1022¼ (bahena is)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 40.08  
5  BAYTOWN LOVELY 5 7 64¼ 65¾   109 1122¼ (mcentee )SANTANA JR 121 15.00 26.22  
 
CD-8   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVANESCENCE 4 6 72¾ 51½   1nk 12¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.30 2.49 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOVELY CARINA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
11  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN 10 3 62½ 41   32 22¾ (lynch br)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 14.64  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
8  COMPLEX SECRET 7 1 31 2nk   2nk 32¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 25.73  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SECRET KITTEN by DISCREET CAT)
5  TAVERNA 5 4 52 61¾   43 47¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 16% 5.10 5.42  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  EUNOMIA 8 10 84¼ 82¾   76¾ 511¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 9% 10.60 16.00  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
7  KAI KAI 6 2 21 1nk   54 613½ (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.21  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CONIAH by HARLINGTON)
2  PURPLE AND GOLD 2 9 11 3½   64¼ 714¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 18% 4.60 6.23  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
3  FIRST CLASS LADY 3 5 41½ 72¼   88¾ 816½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 18% 4.60 1.73  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
1  IN THE STARS 1 11 96¼ 94¼   99¼ 917½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 18.07  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STELLAR WIND by CURLIN)
10  CATNIP HILL 9 8 1110¼ 119¾   1010¾ 1018¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 58.72  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
12  ZEALOUS MOON 11 7 107¼ 108¾   1112¾ 1120½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00 77.02  
  (by THE FACTOR out of AMBITIOUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  BOOT TRICK               (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
SCR  IN FOR A SPIN               (caramori )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  MENDELA               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  SEVENON               (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
SCR  TROUBLER               (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
 
CD-9   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPEEDY TRAVELER 3 3 1½ 1nk   12½ 15¾ (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 3.50 36% 1.80 3.58 W
6  UPPER CASE 6 2 31 41¾   22½ 25¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 123 2.00 28% 2.50 1.96 P
4  BOW DRAW 4 6 63 64¼   57½ 37½ (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 15.00 25.16  
7  LURE'EM IN 7 1 2½ 2nk   34½ 48¾ (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 116 12.00 36.53  
2  LEELOO 2 5 41½ 31½   45½ 59¾ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 121 1.80 12% 7.40 1.33  
5  MUCHO MACHO GIRL 5 7 73 52¾   610½ 627¼ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8.81  
1  BE LIKE WATER 1 4 52½ 74¾   716½ 746½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
 
CD-10   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SPYCRAFT 8 5 63 42   21½ 1¾ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00 11.89  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 3 4 11 1½   11½ 2¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 16.66  
11  CUT GLASS 9 1 21 2½   32 32¾ (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00 40.86  
2  EYE DEE KAY 1 8 96¼ 73½   64½ 42¾ (modica oscar)TORRES A 121 8.00 11% 7.80 9.80  
9  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 7 7 74½ 63   43½ 53¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50 34% 2.00 2.81  
8  SOUTH DECATUR 6 10 109¾ 108½   76½ 65 (galindo-t)BEALMEAR C 114 30.00 60.46  
3  ONE COOL DUDE 2 9 42 32   54½ 75¼ (blair jord)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 31% 2.30 2.56  
7  MY GRASS IS BLUE 5 6 84¾ 96½   88 87¾ (toye kara)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 57.20  
6  SPEITFUL SAM 4 2 52½ 85   1010 914 (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 40.31  
12  YES I'M A BEAST 10 3 31 52½   99 1014¼ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★ 1.76  
SCR  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  RICOCHET               (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.