Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $17.74  
CD-2   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.56 $5.56  
CD-3   Win (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.10  
CD-4   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $36.34 $36.34 30.34
CD-5   Win (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.36 $3.36  
CD-6   Win (4/9/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $28.60 $28.60 18.60
CD-7   Win (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $37.78 $37.78 29.78
CD-8   Win (4/2/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.98 $6.98  
CD-9   Win (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.16 $9.16 1.16
CD-10   Win (9/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $25.78  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROSATO 7 1 1½ 11½   13 11¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.50 7.87  
6  BOUTWELL TIME 6 2 42 31½   23 21¼ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 16% 5.10 2.61 P
5  PARKING LOT POURS 5 6 63½ 76¾   69½ 39¾ (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 13.47  
3  BLUSHING KAM 3 4 31½ 44   48 49¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 2.51  
4  CITIZEN JUDY 4 3 2½ 21½   35½ 510 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 44% 1.30 3.12  
2  GALA ROSE 2 7 88 89¾   712½ 617 (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
1  COMBATTANTE 1 8 52½ 54¼   59½ 719¼ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 30.54  
8  LITTLE BIT O STORM 8 5 73½ 66¼   814½ 821 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10% 8.60 8.06  
 
CD-2   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORKAGE FEE 3 1 21 21 2½ 13 12¾ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 111 2.50 30% 2.40 1.78 W
4  GRACE GIVEN 4 4 64 76½ 47½ 35½ 22¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.20 6.91 P
1  PRINCESS KALAMOH 1 2 11 11 1½ 23 310½ (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 6.29  
2  PERCEPTIVE 2 6 42½ 55 68½ 611½ 412½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 3.00  
5  ROYAL BLOOD 5 3 52½ 43½ 36½ 511 516½ (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 16% 5.40 4.26  
7  LUBU 7 7 75 66 58 49 621 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 37.93  
6  OH MACARENA 6 5 31½ 31½ 79 716 729¾ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 7.09  
 
CD-3   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAPA YO 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 12 11 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 1.55  
8  DR KRINGLE 5 3 65¼ 65 32 22 21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 38% 1.60 2.85 P
9  ARTWELL 6 1 3½ 2nk 2nk 33 38½ (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.00 2.06  
5  TIVERTON (GB) 3 6 55 54½ 66¾ 57 49½ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 23% 3.30 24.59  
4  REDHILL 2 4 42½ 43½ 42½ 45½ 510¼ (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00 5% 19.00 43.60  
7  CRUSADING 4 2 2nk 3½ 52¾ 68½ 613 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 4.78  
SCR  BOAT HOUSE               (galindo-tor)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
SCR  COWBOY IMAGE               (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER               (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
 
CD-4   09/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:121 1:383   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATMINT 6 6 64½ 53½ 66 33 11½ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.17 W
4  LEXA (FR) 4 4 54 64 33½ 21 21½ (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.95 P
3  SULTRY LASS 3 1 1½ 1½ 13 11 34½ (lovell michell)TORRES A 122 5.00 6.54  
2  QUEEN LECA (URU) 2 2 43½ 42½ 44½ 45 48½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 15.00 30.63  
1  AMERICA'S VOW 1 5 32½ 32½ 55 58½ 514¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 3.43  
5  ENCLOSURE 5 3 2½ 2½ 23 610 619 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 35% 1.90 1.33  
 
CD-5   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  R DISASTER 5 3 11½ 12½   13 12¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 68% 0.50 0.68 W
7  MUSTANG LADY 6 6 76¼ 78   66½ 22¼ (newton troy)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 7% 14.20 6.37 P
2  THESE APPLES 2 5 21½ 22½   23 33½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 6.93  
5  AMY Z 4 1 63¾ 66   56 45½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5.04  
1  ARMY GIRL 1 7 53¼ 44½   34 55½ (wisner j)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 32.39  
3  PULA 3 4 31½ 33½   45½ 67½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 ★ 8.09  
9  PARTY 7 2 41¾ 55½   77 79¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.29  
SCR  BRUNCH PUNCH               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
SCR  KRICKLE               (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEAMETATRAINER 6 8 85¼ 86¾ 21 12 14¼ (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 6% 15.40 13.30 W
4  CLASSIC MYSTERY 4 3 32½ 32½ 31 22 24¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 39% 1.60 4.44 P
1  POLITICAL SPIN 1 2 74¾ 56 64¼ 44½ 34½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 12.55  
10  INDY LABEL 10 6 12½ 11½ 11 34½ 47¼ (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 7.83  
7  HYMNAL 7 7 22½ 21½ 41½ 55½ 58¾ (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 9% 9.60 1.32  
3  SO FAR SO GOOD 3 4 42¾ 44 54 67½ 68¾ (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 10.00 26.74  
9  OUR PRAYER 9 5 53¾ 66 76¾ 78 710½ (radosevich )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 18% 4.50 10.35  
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 5 10 108¾ 1010¼ 910¾ 814 820¼ (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 30.00 55.47  
8  PLAY MAKER 8 9 64¼ 76¼ 89¼ 914¼ 924¾ (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.67  
2  MIDWAY VOW 2 1 95¾ 96¾ 1011¼ 1021¼ 1048¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 7.77  
 
CD-7   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE 3 8 95¾ 55½   54¼ 1¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.89 W
6  GLORIETTE 6 3 2nk 1nk   12½ 2¾ (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 P
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 4 43 43   34 36¾ (foster eric)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00 33.05  
10  VERY WEALTHY 10 1 1nk 2nk   22½ 47 (lucas wayne)MONCADA IRVING 121 20.00 48.62  
7  BOURBON BREEZE 7 5 106 108   87¼ 58¼ (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.40 5.19  
2  SWEET CHABLIS 2 10 85¾ 97¾   76¾ 69¼ (calhoun willia)TORRES A 121 8.00 24% 3.20 14.41  
8  SPARKLE OF HOPE 8 9 74¾ 75¾   66¾ 79½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★ 14.32  
9  BALLADRY 9 2 32 31   44 810¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 3.49  
4  EVIE'S ENCORE 4 6 54 86¼   98¾ 914¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5.05  
11  BELLA CRUELLA 11 11 116½ 1110½   1111½ 1022¼ (bahena isma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 40.08  
5  BAYTOWN LOVELY 5 7 64¼ 65¾   109 1122¼ (mcentee pa)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 26.22  
 
CD-8   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVANESCENCE 4 6 72¾ 51½   1nk 12¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.30 2.49 W
11  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN 10 3 62½ 41   32 22¾ (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 14.64  
8  COMPLEX SECRET 7 1 31 2nk   2nk 32¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 25.73  
5  TAVERNA 5 4 52 61¾   43 47¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 16% 5.10 5.42  
9  EUNOMIA 8 10 84¼ 82¾   76¾ 511¼ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 9% 10.60 16.00  
7  KAI KAI 6 2 21 1nk   54 613½ (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.21  
2  PURPLE AND GOLD 2 9 11 3½   64¼ 714¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 18% 4.60 6.23  
3  FIRST CLASS LADY 3 5 41½ 72¼   88¾ 816½ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.00 18% 4.60 1.73  
1  IN THE STARS 1 11 96¼ 94¼   99¼ 917½ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 18.07  
10  CATNIP HILL 9 8 1110¼ 119¾   1010¾ 1018¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 58.72  
12  ZEALOUS MOON 11 7 107¼ 108¾   1112¾ 1120½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00 77.02  
SCR  BOOT TRICK               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
SCR  IN FOR A SPIN               (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  MENDELA               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  SEVENON               (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
CD-9   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPEEDY TRAVELER 3 3 1½ 1nk   12½ 15¾ (bauer a)TORRES A 121 3.50 36% 1.80 3.58 W
6  UPPER CASE 6 2 31 41¾   22½ 25¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 123 2.00 28% 2.50 1.96 P
4  BOW DRAW 4 6 63 64¼   57½ 37½ (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 15.00 25.16  
7  LURE'EM IN 7 1 2½ 2nk   34½ 48¾ (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 116 12.00 36.53  
2  LEELOO 2 5 41½ 31½   45½ 59¾ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 121 1.80 12% 7.40 1.33  
5  MUCHO MACHO GIRL 5 7 73 52¾   610½ 627¼ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8.81  
1  BE LIKE WATER 1 4 52½ 74¾   716½ 746½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
 
CD-10   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SPYCRAFT 8 5 63 42   21½ 1¾ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00 11.89  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 3 4 11 1½   11½ 2¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 16.66  
11  CUT GLASS 9 1 21 2½   32 32¾ (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00 40.86  
2  EYE DEE KAY 1 8 96¼ 73½   64½ 42¾ (modica oscar)TORRES A 121 8.00 11% 7.80 9.80  
9  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 7 7 74½ 63   43½ 53¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 2.50 34% 2.00 2.81  
8  SOUTH DECATUR 6 10 109¾ 108½   76½ 65 (galindo-tor)BEALMEAR C 114 30.00 60.46  
3  ONE COOL DUDE 2 9 42 32   54½ 75¼ (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 31% 2.30 2.56  
7  MY GRASS IS BLUE 5 6 84¾ 96½   88 87¾ (toye l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 57.20  
6  SPEITFUL SAM 4 2 52½ 85   1010 914 (londono genevie)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 40.31  
12  YES I'M A BEAST 10 3 31 52½   99 1014¼ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★ 1.76  
SCR  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  RICOCHET               (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.