Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/2)-(3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/2)-(3/4/5/7)-(8/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(8/5/4)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/4)-(8/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(5/4/6)-(6/7/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-5   WIN (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/9)-(6/7/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/9)-(6/7/3/9)-(6/7/3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9)-(4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (4/9/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/6/8)-(4/9/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/6/8)-(4/9/7/6/8)-(4/9/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/6/8)-(6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/8/3)-(6/2/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/3)-(4/2/3/5/9)-(3/6/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (4/2/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5/9)-(4/2/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5/9)-(4/2/3/5/9)-(4/2/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/3/5/9)-(3/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/5/9)-(3/6/2/1)-(9/3/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-9   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/1)-(9/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-10   WIN (9/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/7)-(9/3/2/12/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/7)-(9/3/2/12/7)-(9/3/2/12/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMBATTANTE Jun22 May31       (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
2  GALA ROSE         (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUSHING KAM         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
4  CITIZEN JUDY Jun16 Apr11       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  PARKING LOT POURS         (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
6  BOUTWELL TIME Aug19 Jul27 Jun14     (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
7  ROSATO Jun16         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.50    
8  LITTLE BIT O STORM Aug25         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
CD-2   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS KALAMOH Aug26 Jun25 Feb14 Jan10 Dec09 (matthews rand)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
2  PERCEPTIVE Aug17 Jul16 May30 May03 Apr07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00    
3  CORKAGE FEE Aug05 Jun14 Apr30 Apr05 Feb10 (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 111 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  GRACE GIVEN Aug17 Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 May31 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  ROYAL BLOOD Jul20 Jun27 Nov19 Nov01 Oct12 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  OH MACARENA Aug26 Aug05 Jun05 Mar09 Feb02 (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
7  LUBU Aug17 Jul20 Jul04 Jun08 Apr30 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   09/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWBOY IMAGE Aug19 Jul10 May22 Apr24 Jan26 (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER Aug17 Jun07 May19 Mar07 Jan12 (correas )SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
3  PAPA YO Aug22 Aug05 May18 Mar20 Jan25 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
4  REDHILL Jul28 Jul04 Jun12 May01 Apr14 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIVERTON (GB) Sep11 Aug18 Jul20 Jul04 Jun30 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BOAT HOUSE Aug17 Jul13 Jul06 Jun19 Jun06 (galindo-t)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
7  CRUSADING Aug17 Aug07 Jul18 Jan01 Dec15 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
8  DR KRINGLE Aug05 Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
9  ARTWELL Aug05 Jul02 Jun20 May11 Apr13 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S VOW Aug17 Jul28 Jun01 May03 Mar30 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
2  QUEEN LECA (URU) Jul27         (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 15.00    
3  SULTRY LASS Aug25 Jun30 Jun09 May03 Apr13 (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 5.00    
4  LEXA (FR) Aug04 Jun30 Jan13 Dec09 Nov16 (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  ENCLOSURE Aug10 Nov19 Aug31 Jun04 Mar18 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 35% 1.90    
6  CATMINT Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May11 Apr14 (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY GIRL Aug05 Jun24 Feb23 Jan10 Dec21 (wisner tracey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
2  THESE APPLES Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 Jun01 Apr19 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
3  PULA Aug15 Dec31 Nov24 Nov03 Oct11 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  BRUNCH PUNCH Jan26 Dec23 Nov25 Aug19   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
5  AMY Z Jul29 Jun22 Jun06 May12 Apr20 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
6  R DISASTER Aug09 Jul20       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
7  MUSTANG LADY Aug10 Jul15 Jun19 Oct18 Sep10 (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  KRICKLE Aug24 Jun28 May30 May09 Jan26 (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
9  PARTY Aug24 Feb10 Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL SPIN Aug18 Jul13       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
2  MIDWAY VOW Jul27 Jul05 May19 Mar28   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00    
3  SO FAR SO GOOD Aug08 Jul05 Jun12     (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 10.00    
4  CLASSIC MYSTERY Jun08 May12 Nov16 Oct03   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 39% 1.60    
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun16   (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 30.00    
6  LEAMETATRAINER Jun28 Jun06       (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 6% 15.40    
7  HYMNAL Aug02 Jun14 May18 Apr04   (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 9% 9.60    
8  PLAY MAKER Jul28 Jul04 Jun02     (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  OUR PRAYER Apr19 Mar29 Feb10     (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
10  INDY LABEL Jul04 Jun06 Sep20 Aug04   (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00    
 
CD-7   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Jul07 Jun15 May26 May10 Apr19 (foster er)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
2  SWEET CHABLIS Jan19 Nov18 Aug12 Jul08 Apr27 (calhoun will)TORRES A 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE Aug13 Jul07 Jun13 Jun05 May23 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EVIE'S ENCORE Aug19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb04 Nov12 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
5  BAYTOWN LOVELY Aug29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul05 Jun13 (mcentee )SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
6  GLORIETTE Aug15 Jul29 Jun27 Jun02 Apr13 (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  BOURBON BREEZE Aug20 Jul23 Jun08 May16 Apr05 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
8  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jul14 Jun13 May23 Dec13 Nov08 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★    
9  BALLADRY Jul29 Jun21 May31 May01 Nov25 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
10  VERY WEALTHY Aug18 Jul29 Jun26 May19 Apr25 (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
11  BELLA CRUELLA Aug19 Jul13 Jun19 May10 Apr12 (bahena is)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE STARS         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STELLAR WIND by CURLIN)
2  PURPLE AND GOLD         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
3  FIRST CLASS LADY Aug04         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
4  EVANESCENCE Aug03         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOVELY CARINA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  TAVERNA Aug03         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  BOOT TRICK         (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
7  KAI KAI Jul27         (medina ro)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CONIAH by HARLINGTON)
8  COMPLEX SECRET Aug23         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SECRET KITTEN by DISCREET CAT)
9  EUNOMIA Aug03         (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 9% 10.60    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
10  CATNIP HILL         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
11  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN Aug03         (lynch br)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
12  ZEALOUS MOON         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AMBITIOUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  MENDELA         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  SEVENON         (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
SCR  IN FOR A SPIN         (caramori )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  TROUBLER Jun14         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
 
CD-9   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE LIKE WATER Jul18 May27 Apr26 Nov18 Oct26 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEELOO Aug16 Jun23 May27 Mar30 Feb04 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 121 1.80 12% 7.40    
3  SPEEDY TRAVELER Aug07 Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  BOW DRAW Aug25 Aug17 Jul13 Apr27 Apr04 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 15.00    
5  MUCHO MACHO GIRL Apr26 Mar30 Feb24 Jan06 Dec03 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
6  UPPER CASE Aug04 Jul07 May29 May01 Feb15 (lobo h)ROMAN A 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
7  LURE'EM IN Aug13 Jun27 Jun07 May18 Apr24 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 116 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jun21 May18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
2  EYE DEE KAY Jul17 Jun08 Mar22 Mar09 Feb18 (modica oscar)TORRES A 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
3  ONE COOL DUDE Jul29 Jun21 May19 Mar06 Feb15 (blair jord)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  RICOCHET Jun21 May13 Aug01 Jun02 Apr16 (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
5  BORN FLAWLESS Aug18 Jul29 Jun26 Apr18 Feb16 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
6  SPEITFUL SAM Aug07 Jul20 Jun05 Mar21 Mar09 (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
7  MY GRASS IS BLUE Aug13 Jul20 Jun20 May16 May03 (toye kara)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUTH DECATUR Sep05 Aug17 Aug06 Jul03 May29 (galindo-t)BEALMEAR C 114 30.00    
9  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Aug15 Jul29 Jun21 Jun05 May10 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
10  SPYCRAFT Jul15 Jun21 May19 Apr27 Apr12 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00    
11  CUT GLASS Aug27 Jul03 Jun13 May20 Apr17 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
12  YES I'M A BEAST Jul28 Jun16 Apr07 Feb18 Feb07 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.