Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-4   WIN (6/5/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $69.42 $59.42 594%
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(6/5/7/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-7 $124.62 $84.62 212%
ELP-7   WIN (3/12/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.16 $8.16 102%
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/12/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $56.32 $32.32 135%
ELP-9   WIN (4/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.70 $5.70 71%
    EXA (4/6/8/10)-(4/6/8/7/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-8 $273.86 $241.86 756%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEBEDOURO   (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 8.00 6.61  
LATTA   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 16.13  
LUCCHESI   (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 3.69 S
TORNADO ROAD   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 20.00 17.17  
MALIBLUE   (foster er)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.57  
J J'S RANGER   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 34% 2.00 3.17  
HAPPY GREY   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 3.93  
WHERE'S JACK   (hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00 34.86  
AIR IT OUT   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 41% 1.50 3.87  
 
ELP-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDALOU   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 4.23  
CANDY CRAZE   (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 2.77  
CHANISA   (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 4.50 42% 1.40 8.53 S
TAKE CHARGE BABE   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.63  
MOON FLEET   (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
MOTOWN DYNAMIC   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.00 20% 4.00 2.72  
SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 4.50 4.60  
 
ELP-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY OLIVIA   (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 43% 1.30 0.59 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S A GYPSY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BLOODY COLORS WAVE   (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVERYONELOVESJIMMY by JIMMY CREED)
LEISURE TIME   (medina rober)TORRES A 119 8.00 18.17  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ESKENFORMONEY by ESKENDEREYA)
LEFTOVER SUSHI   (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 21.03  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DANCE STUDIO by BERTRANDO)
RUNCATHERINERUN   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 6.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of KATHERINE'SKADENCE by MR. GREELEY)
ENDLESS GLOW   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 22% 3.60 5.21  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
QUALITY CREDIT   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.50 12% 7.20 8.99  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STOPCHARGINGMARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CLIQUE   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE ALEXIS by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  MELIDOUS SONNET   (hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SCENE NOT HEARD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
ELP-4   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY THE PRINCESS   (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 6% 16.90 33.71 W
JEWISH MOTHER   (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 7.32  
11  SWEET STAR   (bahena ismael)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 19.31  
TRIUMPHANT SPIRIT   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 30% 2.40 5.02  
MIZMALICE   (o'neill doug)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.66  
DIVINE ARCH   (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 6% 16.90 35.21  
BROADWAY LIGHTS   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 28% 2.50 1.17  
IBUKI   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00 5.92  
LADY RILEY   (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 10.41  
SQUARE BABY   (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 6% 16.90 22.29  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING   (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 8.00    
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY   (bogle fer)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAN   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 1.03  
HANK HILL   (brennan t)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 14.54  
REMAINING NAMELESS   (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 16.17  
LOOKATMYBUCKLE   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 10% 9.30 8.24  
10  PATRIOTIC JERRELL   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.36  
COUNTRY VITA   (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 6.00 15% 5.60 10.74  
FINANCIAL WHIZ   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 10.00  
EDELWEISS   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 53% 0.90 2.50  
SCR  MISSION IMPROBABLE   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
SCR  SUNNY MAGIC   (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S GESTURE   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 49% 1.00 1.23 W
FLAT ON   (eurton pe)TORRES A 123 3.50 2.79  
MIKEALICIOUS   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 6.20  
EPIC BATTLE   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.55  
MY FRIEND LOUIE   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.91  
ANDY'S CANDY   (gibson de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 22% 3.50 10.91  
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 51.02  
ARTHUR   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 17.46  
 
ELP-7   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S CRACKIN   (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 8% 12.30 7.08 W
CALLAS   (house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 9.86  
SHE'S MAGIC   (maker michae)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.11 S
YZZY'S BOLT   (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 1.79  
MISSY BEE   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 8.13  
FLORIS   (duvall william)CASTANON L 123 20.00 25.00  
10  PERCEPTIVE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 12.46  
12  GRACE GIVEN   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 22% 3.60 8.32  
LUBU   (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 14.12  
SCR  BYZANTINE   (cano mu)TORRES A 123 15.00    
SCR  CATTY CRUISE   (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
SCR  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL   (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
SCR  NOSHUGFORPOP   (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50    
 
ELP-8   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME GAME   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 20.65  
PLAYBACK   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00 9.25  
HARBOR SPRINGS   (foley greg)TORRES A 118 5.00 15% 5.60 4.59 S
PUNCHY GIRL   (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 17.27  
SHE CALLED   (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 58% 0.70 0.52  
WINDY WALK   (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 6.00 8.30  
BELLE CHERIE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 13.31  
SCR  BLUE DREAM MACHINE   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00    
SCR  PARTY   (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIT'S WIT   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 10% 8.80 5.85 W
COMMUNICATION MEMO   (hancock dan)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.82 P
COLOSSEO   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 4.00 3.28  
PRODIGIOUS BAY   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 2.93  
11  KYGO (GER)   (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 32.88  
VOODOO ZIP   (cano mu)TORRES A 123 10.00 7.06  
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN   (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 14.32  
COOL RAGS   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 15.63  
10  BIG PAPER   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.95  
TARTUFO   (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 61% 0.60 4.63  
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY   (andrade h)BEALMEAR C 116 15.00    
SCR  COWBOY IMAGE   (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  GAMER   (andrade h)BEALMEAR C 116 12.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO   (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.