Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (6/5/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $69.42 $59.42 594%
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(6/5/7/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-7 $124.62 $84.62 212%
ELP-7   WIN (3/12/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.16 $8.16 102%
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/12/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $56.32 $32.32 135%
ELP-9   WIN (4/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.70 $5.70 71%
    EXA (4/6/8/10)-(4/6/8/7/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-8 $273.86 $241.86 756%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEBEDOURO 6 3 31½ 2½   11½ 16 (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 8.00 6.61  
2  LATTA 2 4 43 42   32 26 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 16.13  
3  LUCCHESI 3 2 21½ 32   43 38¾ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★ 3.69 S
5  TORNADO ROAD 5 7 97¾ 75¼   54½ 49 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 20.00 17.17  
8  MALIBLUE 8 1 11½ 1½   21½ 59¾ (foster er)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.57  
7  J J'S RANGER 7 8 53¼ 52½   66½ 614½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 34% 2.00 3.17  
9  HAPPY GREY 9 9 63¼ 62¾   77½ 717¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 ★ 3.93  
1  WHERE'S JACK 1 6 76¼ 86¾   89½ 818¼ (hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00 34.86  
4  AIR IT OUT 4 5 87¼ 99¾   912 920¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 41% 1.50 3.87  
 
ELP-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IDALOU 5 7 75¾ 55¼   11½ 18¾ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 4.23  
3  CANDY CRAZE 3 6 42 33½   33 28¾ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 2.77  
1  CHANISA 1 4 2nk 23½   44 312¾ (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 4.50 42% 1.40 8.53 S
7  TAKE CHARGE BABE 7 1 62¾ 45   56 414¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.63  
2  MOON FLEET 2 5 52½ 78¼   76¼ 514¼ (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
4  MOTOWN DYNAMIC 4 2 3½ 66¾   66 618½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.00 20% 4.00 2.72  
6  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW 6 3 1nk 13½   21½ 723½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 4.50 ★ 4.60  
 
ELP-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :47 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEY OLIVIA 3 1 21½ 2nk   12 15¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 43% 1.30 0.59 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S A GYPSY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  BLOODY COLORS WAVE 5 4 32 31   22 25¼ (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVERYONELOVESJIMMY by JIMMY CREED)
3  LEISURE TIME 2 2 52½ 41½   32 37½ (medina rober)TORRES A 119 8.00 18.17  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ESKENFORMONEY by ESKENDEREYA)
8  LEFTOVER SUSHI 6 6 42 52   66 412¼ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 21.03  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DANCE STUDIO by BERTRANDO)
9  RUNCATHERINERUN 7 7 75½ 63½   55 513¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 6.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of KATHERINE'SKADENCE by MR. GREELEY)
1  ENDLESS GLOW 1 5 64 75   76¼ 614½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 22% 3.60 5.21  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
6  QUALITY CREDIT 4 3 11½ 1nk   44½ 718¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.50 12% 7.20 8.99  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STOPCHARGINGMARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CLIQUE               (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE ALEXIS by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  MELIDOUS SONNET               (hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SCENE NOT HEARD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
ELP-4   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:134 1:253   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POPPY THE PRINCESS 7 10 85¼ 83½ 31½ 21½ 1¼ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 6% 16.90 33.71 W
1  JEWISH MOTHER 1 1 11½ 11 11 11½ 2¼ (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 7.32  
11  SWEET STAR 10 8 53½ 52¼ 21 32½ 32¾ (bahena ismael)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 19.31  
6  TRIUMPHANT SPIRIT 6 9 106¾ 94½ 104 55 43¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 30% 2.40 5.02  
2  MIZMALICE 2 4 74¼ 73¼ 72¾ 44 53½ (o'neill doug)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.66  
8  DIVINE ARCH 8 6 63¾ 63¼ 83 66½ 67½ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 6% 16.90 35.21  
5  BROADWAY LIGHTS 5 7 95¼ 104½ 94 78½ 79¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 28% 2.50 1.17  
3  IBUKI 3 3 32 42 62¾ 1010¾ 813 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00 5.92  
4  LADY RILEY 4 2 21½ 21 51¾ 910½ 913½ (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 10.41  
9  SQUARE BABY 9 5 42 31 41½ 810½ 1017¼ (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 6% 16.90 22.29  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING               (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 8.00    
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY               (bogle fer)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHAN 2 1 11 11   14 13¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 1.03  
6  HANK HILL 5 2 53 51¾   24 23¾ (brennan t)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 14.54  
2  REMAINING NAMELESS 1 7 42½ 41½   35½ 311¾ (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 16.17  
7  LOOKATMYBUCKLE 6 5 32 31   57½ 411¾ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 10% 9.30 8.24  
10  PATRIOTIC JERRELL 8 3 75 76¼   79 513½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.36  
4  COUNTRY VITA 3 4 21 21   45½ 614¼ (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 6.00 15% 5.60 10.74  
5  FINANCIAL WHIZ 4 6 64 63¾   68 714½ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 10.00  
8  EDELWEISS 7 8 89 810¼   816 840¼ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 53% 0.90 2.50  
SCR  MISSION IMPROBABLE               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
SCR  SUNNY MAGIC               (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CURLIN'S GESTURE 2 2 75 73¼ 52¼ 43 1¼ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 49% 1.00 1.23 W
8  FLAT ON 8 7 3.2 3½ 3.2 1nk 2¼ (eurton pe)TORRES A 123 3.50 2.79  
5  MIKEALICIOUS 5 6 41¾ 61¾ 42¼ 53½ 33 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 6.20  
3  EPIC BATTLE 3 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 43 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 4.00 ★ 5.55  
4  MY FRIEND LOUIE 4 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 31½ 54½ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.91  
7  ANDY'S CANDY 7 8 86 85¾ 75 66 610½ (gibson de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 22% 3.50 10.91  
1  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 1 3 51¾ 41½ 87 812 724¼ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 51.02  
6  ARTHUR 6 4 62 51¾ 64¾ 710½ 825¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 17.46  
 
ELP-7   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:113 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHAT'S CRACKIN 4 2 11 11 11½ 11½ 12 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 8% 12.30 7.08 W
8  CALLAS 6 5 94¼ 94¾ 62¾ 53½ 22 (house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 9.86  
9  SHE'S MAGIC 7 8 72¾ 63 41¾ 32 32¼ (maker michae)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.11 S
3  YZZY'S BOLT 3 3 41½ 42 21½ 21½ 42¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 1.79  
1  MISSY BEE 1 4 83¾ 84½ 97¼ 96½ 54½ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 8.13  
2  FLORIS 2 1 51¾ 73½ 85¾ 85½ 65½ (duvall william)CASTANON L 123 20.00 25.00  
10  PERCEPTIVE 8 7 21 21 31½ 43½ 76 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 12.46  
12  GRACE GIVEN 9 9 31½ 31½ 51¾ 75 86¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 22% 3.60 8.32  
7  LUBU 5 6 62¾ 53 73¾ 64½ 97¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 14.12  
SCR  BYZANTINE               (cano mu)TORRES A 123 15.00    
SCR  CATTY CRUISE               (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
SCR  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL               (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  NOSHUGFORPOP               (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50    
 
ELP-8   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOME GAME 1 1 11 11 11½ 13 111 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 20.65  
7  PLAYBACK 5 6 74½ 73¾ 54½ 56 211 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00 9.25  
6  HARBOR SPRINGS 4 7 64 62¾ 43½ 34½ 312½ (foley greg)TORRES A 118 5.00 15% 5.60 4.59 S
9  PUNCHY GIRL 7 4 42½ 42 33 45 413¼ (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 17.27  
8  SHE CALLED 6 3 31 21 21½ 23 513½ (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 58% 0.70 0.52  
5  WINDY WALK 3 5 53 52½ 78 68 614 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 6.00 ★ 8.30  
4  BELLE CHERIE 2 2 21 31 66½ 79½ 725 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 13.31  
SCR  BLUE DREAM MACHINE               (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00    
SCR  PARTY               (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:084 1:21   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRIT'S WIT 5 3 49 48¼ 43¼ 1nk 1¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 10% 8.80 5.85 W
8  COMMUNICATION MEMO 7 6 510 59¾ 55¼ 52½ 2¼ (hancock dan)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.82 P
5  COLOSSEO 4 2 37½ 38 33 2nk 31¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 4.00 3.28  
3  PRODIGIOUS BAY 2 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 31 44 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 2.93  
11  KYGO (GER) 10 9 714½ 714¼ 710¾ 75½ 54 (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 32.88  
1  VOODOO ZIP 1 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 42 65¼ (cano mu)TORRES A 123 10.00 7.06  
9  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 8 5 612 611¾ 68¾ 65 75½ (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 14.32  
7  COOL RAGS 6 10 1018½ 1017¼ 912¾ 97¼ 86 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 ★ 15.63  
10  BIG PAPER 9 8 816½ 815¾ 812¾ 87 98 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.95  
4  TARTUFO 3 7 916½ 917¼ 1013¾ 108¾ 109¼ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 61% 0.60 4.63  
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY               (andrade h)BEALMEAR C 116 15.00    
SCR  COWBOY IMAGE               (luce nichole)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  GAMER               (andrade h)BEALMEAR C 116 12.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO               (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.