Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/8/2/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $8.96 $8.96  
ELP-2   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
ELP-3   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.46 $4.46  
ELP-4   Win (9/6/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.62 $12.62 2.62
ELP-5   Win (4/7/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.10 $7.10  
ELP-6   Win (2/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $20.98  
ELP-7   Win (6/9/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $10.30 $10.30 2.30
ELP-8   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.78 $12.78 6.78
ELP-9   Win (6/9/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 10.00
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/26/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:09 1:341   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PUBLIUS 3 9 98¾ 911 810 2nk 12 (foster e)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 42% 1.40 3.48 W
11  TRAP LINE 11 8 88½ 811 58¾ 1nk 22 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.00 2.84  
7  STRADIVARIAN 7 11 109¾ 1013 911 44 32½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 16.54  
2  BALTIMORE HEART 2 1 33 59¾ 38½ 32 43½ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 15% 5.80 3.90  
6  ULTIMATE STRIKE 6 7 55½ 49½ 48½ 65 56½ (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 31.99  
9  QUEBRANCHO 9 5 78 710¾ 79¾ 78 66½ (bahena ismael)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 13.15  
8  EGYPTIAN KING 8 10 1111¾ 1114 1011½ 810 711¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 18% 4.60 6.22  
4  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 4 6 66½ 610¾ 1111½ 910¼ 812 (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 20.61  
5  THEZELENSKYYFACTOR 5 3 1nk 12½ 18 54½ 913¼ (stall m)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
1  WHERE'S JACK 1 2 43½ 39½ 69¾ 1014¼ 1020½ (hancock a)POSTON AMANDA 108 30.00 53.23  
10  SON OF A MAN 10 4 2nk 22½ 28 1118¼ 1134½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.73  
 
ELP-2   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UPSTRIKER 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 1.80 28% 2.50 0.80 W
7  MAD ADAM 5 5 52¼ 41½ 31½ 31½ 2nk (amoss thoma)TORRES A 123 6.00 3.99  
4  LEGENDARY LORE 2 4 42 31½ 42 41½ 32¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 5.00 16% 5.20 5.62 S
5  HOME RUN TRICK 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 43 (brennan terry)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50 27% 2.70 2.71  
3  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 1 2 32 51¾ 56½ 511½ 529 (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 24.94  
SCR  BIRD KING               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  STAR NATION               (hartlage ga)BEALMEAR C 116 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JEWELED DESTINY 5 2 31 3½ 1½ 11½ 12½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 27% 2.70 1.23 W
2  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR 2 5 41½ 41½ 2½ 21½ 22½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 2.88  
4  LOW KEY 3 4 52½ 52½ 52¼ 45½ 38¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 2.50 33% 2.10 3.22 S
1  GHOSTTAPPER 1 1 1nk 1½ 3½ 33½ 48¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 3.90  
7  JUST SHOWING OFF 6 3 2nk 2½ 42 510 524¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 21.63  
5  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 4 6 63½ 63 65¼ 612 627 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 43.55  
SCR  PRINCESS NY               (davis christop)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-4   08/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:104 1:342   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE NEAT 1 3 42 42¼ 31½ 21 1¼ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 6% 16.10 5.31 W
7  ATLANTIC DANCER 7 10 106 106¾ 95¾ 64 2¼ (cook b)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 10.32  
6  MR MCGREGOR 6 5 2½ 2nk 1nk 11 3½ (mott i)TORRES A 123 3.50 18% 4.70 1.68 S
5  GIOVANNINO 5 1 53 64¼ 63¾ 32½ 4¾ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 45.62  
9  RANSOMWARE 9 6 63½ 53¾ 53½ 42½ 51 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 41% 1.40 3.07  
10  TWIRLING TROILLET 10 7 32 32 42 53 62 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 47.23  
3  SEASON FIGHTER 3 4 74 85¾ 85¼ 84¾ 73 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 18.26  
8  GAMETIME GLADIATOR 8 9 95½ 96¼ 106¼ 106¾ 83¾ (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 11% 8.40 14.63  
2  HAWKS CREEK 2 8 85 75¾ 74¾ 96¾ 95½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 5.13  
4  FORGE IN FIRE 4 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 74¼ 109¾ (bahena ismae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 12.00 35.89  
SCR  DR KRINGLE               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 5.00    
 
ELP-5   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TOWN BRANCH 7 1 2½ 2½   1½ 11¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 14% 6.30 2.55 W
4  GOLDEN BUCK 4 9 85½ 84¼   2½ 21¼ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 3.00 46% 1.20 3.34 P
6  LEFT POCKET MONEY 6 6 42½ 63¾   53½ 34½ (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00 64.02  
9  THIRD WATCH (GB) 9 5 63 42½   31 44¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 9% 10.50 2.08  
5  TAP THE CANDY 5 2 73½ 53½   67 512¾ (hancock a)POSTON AMANDA 112 8.00 14.40  
8  TOOLPUSHER 8 4 53 73¾   89 614½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 9.65  
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 8 32 32½   78 714½ (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 5% 19.00 15.98  
2  MOR JAZZ 2 3 1½ 1½   43½ 815½ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 8.61  
3  BYZANTINE 3 7 96½ 99¼   917 943¾ (cano muno)TORRES A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 23.94  
 
ELP-6   08/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAY STRONG 1 5 31½ 31½   21 1¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 9.49  
6  UNDERCOVER 6 1 2½ 2nk   11 2¾ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 16% 5.10 7.24 P
9  PERFORMABILITY 9 9 84¼ 62¾   42½ 31½ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 68.19  
4  IMPRACTICAL DIVA 4 10 74¼ 72¾   52½ 42½ (mccarthy mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 44.39  
7  MOMBAYLA 7 11 106¾ 105   85 53¼ (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 ★ 3.14  
5  FLIGHT ON RACE DAY 5 3 42½ 41¾   63 63½ (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 30.00 18.74  
10  ONDA BRAVA 10 2 64 83¼   74 74¾ (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.32  
2  GO PURPLE 2 4 1½ 1nk   31½ 87 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 5.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
11  KISS BLUE 11 6 52½ 52¼   96½ 97 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.99  
3  A MUST SEE 3 7 95¾ 94¾   107 108¼ (hamilton)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 62.82  
8  SUPER DUPER NICE 8 8 117 117   119½ 1111 (nicely nigel)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 30.00 87.59  
12  RIVER MISCHIEF 12 12 129 127   1215½ 1254¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 13.97  
SCR  LADY ABERDEEN               (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  MILVEN               (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
SCR  MYSTICAL CHANT               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
SCR  SEXARITO               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:124 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  STRUMMIN 9 7 88 106¼ 64 33½ 12¾ (hancock joh)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.15 W
9  MORLOCK 7 4 53½ 52½ 2½ 21½ 22¾ (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.88 P
3  HEAVENVILLE 3 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 11½ 34 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 8.97  
4  STIGLETS 4 2 42 42 32½ 44½ 45½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 ★ 9.93  
6  TICKLED QUIST 5 6 75½ 74¼ 43 56 57 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 27% 2.70 4.07  
1  WHISKEY SHOT 1 5 31½ 31½ 54 67 68¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 23.64  
13  RIGHTEOUS STAR 11 10 99 85¾ 98½ 711 718¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 11.61  
8  WINNING SONG 6 11 1117¼ 1113¼ 1113 914 819½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 23.66  
10  RAVE RUNNER 8 3 21½ 21½ 77 813½ 924½ (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 23.33  
12  ROYAL BRO 10 9 109¼ 96¼ 88 1015 1029¾ (divito james )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 20% 4.10 6.53  
2  GUNS 2 8 64½ 64 109½ 1117 1135¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 12.00 25.28  
SCR  BOURBONATOR               (desormea)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  HAMLIN               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ellis Park Turf Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:134 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUALITY STAR 4 5 42 41½ 3½ 21 1nk (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 19% 4.20 5.39 W
7  CALLIE'S GRIT 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 11 2nk (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 1.06  
2  TAKE A STAND 2 4 52½ 52 52¼ 31 3½ (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 2.79  
8  PAINT ME PERFECT 6 6 66 66 64¾ 63¼ 41¼ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 16% 5.40 8.67  
1  BRU NA BOINNE 1 1 31½ 31½ 42 51¾ 52¾ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 32% 2.10 7.08  
3  BEACH WALKN 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 41¼ 63 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 11.21  
SCR  EXCELLENT QUESTION               (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY SUNDAY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80    
SCR  VALENTINA DAY               (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OH MACARENA 9 8 21 21 21 2½ 1nk (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00 W
10  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 7 4 52½ 33 32½ 32 2nk (radosevich )HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 24% 3.10 5.05 P
8  MO SASHAY 5 5 63 67 55½ 43½ 3¾ (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 ★ 5.77 S
5  CHARM OF THE SONG 3 2 11 11 11 1½ 43½ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 6.22  
1  TIZ SALTY 1 7 42½ 55½ 45 54 54¼ (thompson michael)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 16.95  
9  RETAIL THERAPY 6 3 31½ 45 67 69 69½ (ortiz alexa)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00 26% 2.90 3.62  
6  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 4 1 75 89 810 710½ 710 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 29% 2.50 2.04  
11  MALICE MAMA 8 9 85¼ 78½ 79 811 811½ (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00 33.75  
3  REMEMBERING MAUDE 2 6 97¾ 910 915 917 921 (french wayn)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 45.73  
SCR  HAND IT OVER               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO MALICE               (maker michael )TORRES A 124 2.50    
SCR  TAPWRIT WARRIOR               (vasquez ge)RODRIGUEZ A 118 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.