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Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-4			WIN	(9/6/8/1/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$12.62			$2.62				26%
			DD	(4/6/5)-(9/6/8/1/5)						15	$2.00	$30.00	6-1		$31.34			$1.34				4%
ELP-5			PK3	(4/6/5)-(9/6/8/1/5)-(4/7/9/3/1)						75	$0.50	$37.50	6-1-7		$41.68			$4.18				11%
ELP-7			WIN	(6/9/12/11)						4	$2.00	$8.00	11		$10.30			$2.30				29%
			EXA	(6/9/12/11)-(6/9/12/11/4)						16	$2.00	$32.00	11-9		$49.50			$17.50				55%
ELP-8			WIN	(1/4/8)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$12.78			$6.78				113%
			DD	(6/9/12/11)-(1/4/8)						12	$2.00	$24.00	11-4		$99.32			$75.32				314%
ELP-9			WIN	(6/9/10/12)						4	$2.00	$8.00	12		$18.00			$10.00				125%
			EXA	(6/9/10/12)-(6/9/10/8/12)						16	$2.00	$32.00	12-10		$111.24			$79.24				248%
			TRI	(6/9/10/12)-(6/9/10/8/12)-(6/9/10/8/12)						48	$0.50	$24.00	12-10-8		$163.44			$139.44				581%
			DD	(1/4/8)-(6/9/10/12)						12	$2.00	$24.00	4-12		$177.58			$153.58				640%
			PK3	(6/9/12/11)-(1/4/8)-(6/9/10/12)						48	$0.50	$24.00	11-4-12		$281.11			$257.11				1071%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/26/2024		5940ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PUBLIUS									(foster)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						3.00		42%		1.40		3.48	W
11	TRAP LINE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						4.00						2.84
7	STRADIVARIAN									(forster t)GRAHAM J 118						15.00						16.54
2	BALTIMORE HEART									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						6.00		15%		5.80		3.90
6	ULTIMATE STRIKE									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						20.00						31.99
9	QUEBRANCHO									(bahena isma)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						8.00						13.15
8	EGYPTIAN KING									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124						6.00		18%		4.60		6.22
4	GOTTA HAVE DREAMS									(shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00						20.61
5	THEZELENSKYYFACTOR									(stall albert)TORRES A 118						12.00		5%		19.00		6.10
1	WHERE'S JACK									(hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 108						30.00						53.23
10	SON OF A MAN									(hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124						15.00		5%		19.00		41.73

ELP-2			08/26/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($22K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	UPSTRIKER									(hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						1.80		28%		2.50		0.80	W
7	MAD ADAM									(amoss tho)TORRES A 123						6.00						3.99
4	LEGENDARY LORE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118						5.00		16%		5.20		5.62	S
5	HOME RUN TRICK									(brennan terry)ELLIOTT JANE 123						4.50		27%		2.70		2.71
3	SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI									(brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						30.00						24.94
SCR	BIRD KING									(newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123						3.50
SCR	STAR NATION									(hartlage )BEALMEAR C 116						6.00

ELP-3			08/26/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		F		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	JEWELED DESTINY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						1.80		27%		2.70		1.23	W
		(by GUN RUNNER out of JEWELED PRINCESS by CAIRO PRINCE)
2	SUNDAY DISRUPTOR									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119						4.50						2.88
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of POCKET GIFT by GREAT NOTION)
4	LOW KEY									(amoss m)LANERIE J 119						2.50		33%		2.10		3.22	S
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
1	GHOSTTAPPER									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.00						3.90
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of TAP INTO BEAUTY by CONGRATS)
7	JUST SHOWING OFF									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00						21.63
		(by JUSTIFY out of GAELS WIN by DAAHER)
5	AIRFORCE LIGHTNING									(puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00		5%		19.00		43.55
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SASHAY by STROLL)
SCR	PRINCESS NY									(davis christ)TORRES A 119						12.00
		(by NYQUIST out of PROJECT WHISKEY by TAPIZAR)

ELP-4			08/26/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	DOUBLE NEAT									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118						6.00		6%		16.10		5.31	W
7	ATLANTIC DANCER									(cook b)BEJARANO R 123						10.00						10.32
6	MR MCGREGOR									(mott william)TORRES A 123						3.50		18%		4.70		1.68	S
5	GIOVANNINO									(davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 123						12.00		5%		19.00		45.62
9	RANSOMWARE									(garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						6.00		41%		1.40		3.07
10	TWIRLING TROILLET									(king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						12.00						47.23
3	SEASON FIGHTER									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00						18.26
8	GAMETIME GLADIATOR									(camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123						6.00		11%		8.40		14.63
2	HAWKS CREEK									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118						4.00						5.13
4	FORGE IN FIRE									(bahena ism)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						12.00						35.89
SCR	DR KRINGLE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118						5.00

ELP-5			08/26/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($22K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	TOWN BRANCH									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122						4.00		14%		6.30		2.55	W
4	GOLDEN BUCK									(castanon jose )CASTANON L 118						3.00		46%		1.20		3.34	P
6	LEFT POCKET MONEY									(pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122						30.00						64.02
9	THIRD WATCH (GB)									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						2.50		9%		10.50		2.08
5	TAP THE CANDY									(hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 112						8.00						14.40
8	TOOLPUSHER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						8.00						9.65
1	TAMARA'S WAY									(foster eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117						12.00		5%		19.00		15.98
2	MOR JAZZ									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120						8.00						8.61
3	BYZANTINE									(cano mu)TORRES A 117						12.00		5%		19.00		23.94

ELP-6			08/26/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MAY MAY STRONG									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						8.00						9.49
		(by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
6	UNDERCOVER									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118						4.50		16%		5.10		7.24	P
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of NIGHT TIME LADY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
9	PERFORMABILITY									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						15.00						68.19
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAGICAL FLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4	IMPRACTICAL DIVA									(mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						12.00						44.39
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
7	MOMBAYLA									(tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 118						8.00		★				3.14
		(by KARAKONTIE out of CALIFORNIA BREEZE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5	FLIGHT ON RACE DAY									(mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118						30.00						18.74
		(by RACE DAY out of CORBINA by MORE THAN READY)
10	ONDA BRAVA									(lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00		5%		19.00		6.32
		(by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
2	GO PURPLE									(ortiz a)TORRES A 118						5.00		32%		2.10		2.70
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
11	KISS BLUE									(mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118						3.50		25%		3.00		4.99
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KISS THE DEVIL by KRIS S.)
3	A MUST SEE									(hamilt)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						20.00						62.82
		(by CATHOLIC BOY out of GLITTERING TAX by ARTAX)
8	SUPER DUPER NICE									(nicely nigel)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118						30.00						87.59
		(by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHULAMITE LADY by GIROLAMO)
12	RIVER MISCHIEF									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118						8.00						13.97
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COURIER by EL CORREDOR)
SCR	LADY ABERDEEN									(miller kenny)LANERIE J 118						12.00
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of HIGHLAND PRIDE by LION HEART)
SCR	MILVEN									(hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124						30.00
		(by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SAARLEY SOLUTION by SAARLAND)
SCR	MYSTICAL CHANT									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						12.00
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
SCR	SEXARITO									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						20.00
		(by FROSTED out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)

ELP-7			08/26/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	STRUMMIN									(hancock j)TORRES A 119						12.00		5%		19.00		4.15	W
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF THE PARTY by KANTHAROS)
9	MORLOCK									(kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119						3.50		23%		3.40		2.88	P
		(by BERNARDINI out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
3	HEAVENVILLE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00						8.97
		(by INSTAGRAND out of TREASURE IN HEAVEN by STREET SENSE)
4	STIGLETS									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00		★				9.93
		(by SPUN TO RUN out of SUPER CUTE by TEMPLE CITY)
6	TICKLED QUIST									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00		27%		2.70		4.07
		(by NYQUIST out of TICKLED PINK by SHACKLEFORD)
1	WHISKEY SHOT									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						12.00						23.64
		(by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
13	RIGHTEOUS STAR									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119						8.00						11.61
		(by AUTHENTIC out of MUNNY SPUNT by MUNNINGS)
8	WINNING SONG									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						23.66
		(by GAME WINNER out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10	RAVE RUNNER									(asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						23.33
		(by GUN RUNNER out of RAVER by TIZNOW)
12	ROYAL BRO									(divito jame)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						10.00		20%		4.10		6.53
		(by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROYAL TAAT by FALTAAT)
2	GUNS									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 119						12.00						25.28
		(by GUN RUNNER out of STORMKEEPER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR	BOURBONATOR									(desorm)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						30.00
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of LOOKINTOGETLUCKY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR	HAMLIN									(damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119						8.00
		(by MIDNIGHT STORM out of KENTUCKY BLUEBLOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)

ELP-8			08/26/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC11	FIRM	Ellis Park Turf					Purse ($150K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	QUALITY STAR									(lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 122						10.00		19%		4.20		5.39	W
		(by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
7	CALLIE'S GRIT									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						8.00						1.06
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NEITH by DYNAFORMER)
2	TAKE A STAND									(oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 122						4.50						2.79
		(by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8	PAINT ME PERFECT									(margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122						20.00		16%		5.40		8.67
		(by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
1	BRU NA BOINNE									(calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						15.00		32%		2.10		7.08
		(by ARROGATE out of MR HALL'S OPUS by OFFICER)
3	BEACH WALKN									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122						20.00						11.21
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
SCR	EXCELLENT QUESTION									(walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						10.00
		(by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
SCR	HEAVENLY SUNDAY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						0.80
		(by CANDY RIDE out of ALIEN GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR	VALENTINA DAY									(toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 122						15.00
		(by CUPID out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)

ELP-9			08/26/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($16K)					Purse ($25K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	OH MACARENA									(williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						10.00		5%		19.00		8.00	W
10	SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ)									(radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 124						6.00		24%		3.10		5.05	P
8	MO SASHAY									(sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						5.00		★				5.77	S
5	CHARM OF THE SONG									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						6.22
1	TIZ SALTY									(thompson michae)ACHARD ALEX 118						20.00						16.95
9	RETAIL THERAPY									(ortiz ale)ELLIOTT JANE 118						10.00		26%		2.90		3.62
6	CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50		29%		2.50		2.04
11	MALICE MAMA									(pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124						30.00						33.75
3	REMEMBERING MAUDE									(french wa)BEALMEAR C 111						30.00						45.73
SCR	HAND IT OVER									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118						8.00
SCR	SHE'S SO MALICE									(maker michae)TORRES A 124						2.50
SCR	TAPWRIT WARRIOR									(vasquez )RODRIGUEZ A 118						50.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.