Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (10/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.26 $1.26 21%
    EXA (10/3/5)-(10/3/8/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-10 $28.52 $4.52 19%
    TRI (10/3/5)-(10/3/8/9/5)-(10/3/8/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-10-5 $100.17 $82.17 457%
    SFT (10/3/5)-(10/3/8/9/5)-(10/3/8/9/5)-(10/3/8/9/5) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-10-5-8 $129.47 $122.27 1698%
ELP-5   WIN (1/6/8/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $13.28 $3.28 33%
    EXA (1/6/8/9/5)-(1/6/8/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-5 $82.58 $42.58 106%
    TRI (1/6/8/9/5)-(1/6/8/9/5)-(1/6/8/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-5-9 $119.29 $89.29 298%
    DD (10/3/5)-(1/6/8/9/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-1 $37.64 $7.64 25%
ELP-8   EXA (10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  10-9 $34.08 $10.08 42%
ELP-9   WIN (8/6/7/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $67.62 $57.62 576%
    EXA (8/6/7/10/9)-(8/6/7/10/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-7 $489.58 $449.58 1124%
    TRI (8/6/7/10/9)-(8/6/7/10/9)-(8/6/7/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-7-9 $999.77 $969.77 3233%
    DD (10/9/5/3)-(8/6/7/10/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-10 $280.44 $240.44 601%
    PK3 (2/10/3/4)-(10/9/5/3)-(8/6/7/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00  10-10-10 $282.08 $242.08 605%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:144 1:273   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MASTER OF THE NITE 3 3 64¾ 31½ 32 3½ 1¼ (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00 3.02  
6  MISSION RIVER 4 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 2¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50 13% 6.60 4.76 P
7  AVAILABILITY 5 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 35¾ (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 19% 4.30 2.37 S
8  PHOTO OP 6 5 41¼ 51¾ 44 43½ 47½ (hiles ric)BEALMEAR C 117 4.50 42% 1.40 1.63  
1  VINO FA DANZA 1 1 52¼ 62¾ 55½ 56 514¾ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 10.00 5% 19.00 12.92  
9  SMILING CLOUD 7 6 31 41¾ 65¾ 68 622½ (shorte)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 15.00 45.40  
2  SINALOA 2 7 75¼ 75¼ 79¾ 710 724½ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 47.80  
SCR  DELIBERATION               (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00    
SCR  TIE BREAKER LENNIE               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:144 1:282   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CASINO ANNIE 2 3 43½ 42 42½ 21 11 (parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50 5.72  
5  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN 5 5 32½ 31½ 11½ 11 21 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 7.55  
4  KISS ME KATIE 4 4 21 21 21½ 33 311 (ortiz a)TORRES A 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.65 S
7  VINO VELOCE 7 7 76¾ 75 65½ 56 411 (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00 13% 6.90 12.03  
6  GALADINI 6 6 63¾ 63 32½ 44½ 512¾ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 34% 2.00 0.97  
3  VIVIS IN FRONT 3 1 53½ 52½ 54½ 66 615 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 38.85  
1  MORE SPIRITS PLEEZ 1 2 11 11 710½ 717 751¼ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 14.52  
 
ELP-3   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAVE THE TREES 6 7 63½ 31½   1nk 11 (maker michae)TORRES A 118 2.00 18% 4.40 1.74 W
5  BAD BOY FRANK 5 3 73¾ 64   31½ 21 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 1.80 34% 2.00 2.89 P
1  TAGLIATELLE 1 5 11½ 1½   2nk 34¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 7.75  
4  POLSTER 4 1 42 54   64 44½ (brown h)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 19.96  
3  GOLD SWEEP 3 2 21½ 42½   42 55 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 16% 5.30 6.35  
7  ONE GIANT LEAP 7 4 31½ 2½   52½ 66¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 11% 8.10 3.07  
2  REDEMPTION TIME 2 6 53 75   75 78¾ (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 20.12  
 
ELP-4   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CONQUEST DANCER 3 12 116¼ 73¼   42 13½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.63 W
10  TEMPTING LADY 10 9 85½ 63   53½ 23½ (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 42% 1.40 1.89 P
5  MISS ESCAPADE 5 2 21½ 2nk   11½ 33½ (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50 S
8  STREETS OF PARIS 8 10 64 41½   32 44¾ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 ★ 6.98  
2  LADY ROBO 2 1 11½ 1nk   21½ 56¾ (holden dar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 16.90  
6  ELLIOTT MOON 6 4 53 52   63¾ 67¾ (kerrick lacy)CASTANON L 119 20.00 56.78  
11  SHE'S IT 11 3 32 31   74¾ 78¾ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 28.23  
7  CHARLINA 7 5 105¾ 108¼   86¼ 810¼ (shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 20.00 81.20  
4  QUEEN ANNA T 4 11 43 85¼   96¼ 912¾ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 3.65  
12  SPICEY VALENTINE 12 6 74½ 97¾   1010¾ 1021¾ (cano mu)TORRES A 119 15.00 55.26  
9  PRISON BOUND 9 8 127¾ 119¾   1111 1123 (meah anna)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 14.41  
1  SUCRE CECILE 1 7 95¾ 129¾   1213 1225½ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 69.58  
 
ELP-5   08/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:113 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTER 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 11 11¾ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 29% 2.40 5.64 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
5  TURNBUCKLE 5 8 75¾ 74¼ 5¾ 21 21¾ (hancock dana)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.14 P
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
9  ZAP D'ETAT 9 5 64¼ 63¼ 62¼ 42½ 32¼ (house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 10.00 14% 6.20 4.01 S
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  REVERSE MERGER 7 9 108¼ 106¼ 73¼ 83¾ 43¾ (casse w)TORRES A 119 4.00 8.19  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  HIGH LIMIT 3 7 52¾ 41½ 2½ 31½ 54 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 30.13  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ULTRALIGHT BEAM by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  CAPTAIN JUNUH 10 10 97¾ 95¼ 83½ 73¾ 64¼ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 15.28  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ARAMINTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  KUNOOZ 6 3 41¾ 51¾ 3½ 52½ 74½ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 15% 5.50 2.84  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAMDOOHA by DAAHER)
8  OPTICAL 8 4 31½ 31 4¾ 63½ 87½ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 119 10.00 15% 5.70 10.62  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ESPRESSOANDACHECK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  HAUNTED FLAME 4 6 86¼ 84¾ 96 96¾ 99¾ (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5.27  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of YOU BOUGHT HER by GRAEME HALL)
2  XAVI 2 2 1nk 2nk 108 1010¼ 1020 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 30.00 65.97  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SISTER PIPPA by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  CUPID'S THUNDER               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  GEOMETRY               (thomas jonatha)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
SCR  HAMLIN               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of KENTUCKY BLUEBLOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  SOUND CAUSE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
 
ELP-6   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAPPY HAPPY 4 8 104 87 65 44 1nk (lukas wayn)TORRES A 124 8.00 12.61  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  SONHADOR 5 7 83¾ 65½ 43½ 21 2nk (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 54% 0.90 2.98 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
4  CHURNING BERNI 3 4 52½ 55 75¼ 32 3½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 8.00 9.32  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
11  JAZZ PARTY 10 9 1nk 11 11½ 11 43 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★ 5.78  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STAR SIGHTING by MALIBU MOON)
2  SHEZALITTLESTINKER 1 1 94 97½ 97¼ 65½ 57 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 17.05  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  MEDAGLIA FOREVER 8 3 2nk 21 21½ 54½ 67¾ (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 17% 4.90 3.82  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  FUN LOVING 9 10 41½ 43½ 53½ 86 78¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 50.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
7  PENNY ROYAL 6 5 62¾ 108 87¼ 97½ 811¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 5% 19.00 11.08  
  (by CURLIN out of GLINDA THE GOOD by HARD SPUN)
3  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST 2 2 31 32½ 32½ 76 911½ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 3.60  
  (by NYQUIST out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  STEPHANIESWARRIOR 7 6 72¾ 77 107¾ 108 1012¼ (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.35  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
SCR  VIABLE               (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
ELP-7   08/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:234   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VIXEN 8 3 21 2½ 2nk 12 14¾ (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 31% 2.20 1.96 W
  (by VEKOMA out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
2  ALWAYS FOREVER 2 2 32 31½ 31½ 22 24¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.92 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NASREDDINE by NYQUIST)
9  RATHER DISTINCT 7 8 65½ 62½ 51¾ 53½ 35¾ (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 21.74  
  (by JUSTIFY out of RATHER SPECIAL by GALILEO)
7  LES IS BEST 5 5 54 52 63¼ 63¾ 45¾ (foster er)TORRES A 119 20.00 21.39  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
8  SERVING TIME (GB) 6 7 43 41½ 41¾ 42½ 56 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★ 11.83  
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of CUBIT by BATED BREATH)
3  EL JOURY 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 32 66¼ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 13% 7.00 2.54  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UP by GALILEO (ARG))
1  BOUTWELL TIME 1 4 75½ 74 73½ 75¼ 77½ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 14.59  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DEL MAR MAY by JIMMY CREED)
5  ADDED TOUCH 4 6 87½ 85 85 88¼ 812½ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 49.36  
  (by FROSTED out of ARTISTIC by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DERRY GIRL               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of JOYERIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  FIXIN TO BEE               (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  NECESSITY               (casse w)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET KEEPER by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  PRINCESS SKAYA               (maker michae)TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SHEILA'S LION               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
  (by PERSIAN KING out of LAST KITTEN by CATIENUS)
SCR  WILL THEN               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of REMEMBER THEN by PULPIT)
 
ELP-8   08/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WINDY BAY 7 7 62¼ 2½   11½ 12½ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 30% 2.30 2.51 W
9  LITTLE SISTER SUE 6 1 83½ 63½   32 22½ (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 5.00 19% 4.30 5.93 P
6  HIGH FASHION KATE 4 3 1nk 1½   21½ 37¾ (minnock g)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 3.62  
12  SACRED SAINT 8 2 73¼ 74   56 412 (scherer m)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 35.70  
7  ITSABLINGTHING 5 4 42 3½   44½ 513¾ (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 30.00 52.39  
4  EVIE'S ENCORE 2 8 52¼ 84½   89½ 618¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 2.12  
3  BELLA CRUELLA 1 6 2nk 52   78 720½ (bahena ismael)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 12.51  
5  SHERBET FOUNTAIN 3 5 31 41½   66 821¾ (pino michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 15% 5.80 6.90  
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA               (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  MO SENSE               (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  ROSE ALABAMA               (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE               (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:091 1:332   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LIAM THE BRAVE 9 7 74¼ 74 61¾ 3½ 1¾ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 20.00 5% 19.00 32.81 W
7  PERUVIAN LUCKY 6 5 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 2¾ (gerteisen adam)GRAHAM J 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.91 P
9  PICO D'ORO 8 8 64 63½ 73¼ 62¼ 31¼ (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 5% 19.00 19.97 S
1  JUNGLE CAT 1 1 52½ 52 51¾ 4¾ 41½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 8.53  
8  LAUGH A LOT 7 6 42½ 41½ 3½ 2nk 51½ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.49  
6  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) 5 3 32 31½ 41½ 51¾ 64¾ (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 8.00 18% 4.60 6.43  
4  CASHMEUP 4 9 97¼ 99¾ 95 84¾ 75¼ (miller f)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 10.96  
2  COTE D'IVOIRE 2 2 87¼ 89½ 84¾ 72¾ 86¼ (andrade h)BEALMEAR C 116 30.00 51.54  
3  THREE ON THE TREE 3 4 11 1½ 1nk 94¾ 99¾ (lovell miche)TORRES A 123 6.00 3.47  
SCR  CITY OF CLOUDS               (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER               (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
SCR  J T'S IMAGINATION               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.