Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (7/9/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.34 $7.34  
ELP-2   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.32 $6.32  
ELP-3   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.64  
ELP-4   Win (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.48 $7.48  
ELP-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.14  
ELP-6   Win (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.44  
ELP-7   Win (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $14.88 $14.88 6.88
ELP-8   Win (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
ELP-9   Win (3/10/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:102 1:22   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M OTTER HERE 9 4 21 2½ 2nk 12 12 (hiles a)TORRES A 119 6.00 29% 2.40 2.67 W
REAGAN'S WIT 1 1 32 32 31 22 22 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 6.29 P
FLEMING 7 3 4 42 4 32 3 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.65 S
LUCKY MISCHIEF 6 8 76 7 7 5 46 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.82  
10  GAVE PROOF 10 5 64 6 6 44 5 (cowans d)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.63  
TIZ A SHOWDOWN 3 9 9 9 8 7 6 (baker james)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 38.25  
R Y D'ORO 4 6 54 5 5 65 7 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 16.23  
TRAIN AND TRUST 2 7 8 8 97 9 814¼ (langemeier john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 35.12  
MODERN MASTER 5 10 1012 1010¾ 1010 10 914½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.90 6.40  
CRYSTAL HILL 8 2 11 1½ 1nk 8 1018¾ (ortiz john )TORRES A 119 12.00 12.05  
SCR  CAPTAIN JUNUH               (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  REVERSE MERGER               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
SCR  TURNBUCKLE               (hancock dana)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  ZAP D'ETAT               (house ga)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS 6 7 7 5   32 1 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 14% 6.30 2.16 W
VERY WEALTHY 5 3 21 2nk   1nk 2 (lucas way)TORRES A 124 12.00 27.44  
WEATHER MAP 2 4 4 4   4 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.57 S
BOBBIE SOX 4 2 11 1nk   2nk 4 (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 1.98  
ALAMO 7 1 5 6   7 5 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 4.00 8.42  
TRAVAILLE 3 6 6 7   6 6 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.79  
MESMERIZING ME 1 5 3 3   5 716¼ (orantes r)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 34.30  
SCR  COCKTAIL CUTIE               (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-3   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:391   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST PLAYER 4 1 31 2½ 2nk 11 12 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5.82  
BRILLIANT MAN 1 4 6 6 6 3 22 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.84  
BREADMAN 3 2 4 5 4 4 3 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.08 S
COPPER ECHO 5 5 11 1½ 1nk 21 4 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.79  
BETTERA 6 6 5 3½ 3½ 5 512 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 15% 5.70 8.38  
THE THUNDERER 2 3 21 4 52 65 616¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.11  
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (reed r)TORRES A 122 2.50    
 
ELP-4   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:11 1:342   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SALUTE 3 4 31 1nk 1nk 11 1 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.74 W
MCGINNIS 4 2 11 2nk 2nk 21 2 (walden william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.34 P
GET AHEAD NOW 1 8 74 6 5 4 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00 12.01  
BOMB CYCLONE 5 1 21 31 3½ 3 4 (molloy thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.73  
MUNYHUNGRY 6 6 63 4 6 5 57 (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00 41.62  
REMARKABLE MO 7 3 42 5 4 6 69 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 9% 9.80 8.25  
BEAVER STATE 8 7 85 7 7 7 712¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 7.70  
TAPITORO 2 5 5 8100 8100 8100 8100 (casse norm )TORRES A 118 15.00 14.12  
SCR  AWOL               (maker michael )TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  MO HOPE               (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
SCR  MO RUM               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
ELP-5   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:123 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLIER 5 4 3.2 31 2nk 2nk 1 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 3.07  
SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 2 2 5 42 31 1nk 2 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 59% 0.70 2.80 P
TAPSASIONAL 4 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 3 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00 6% 16.40 9.40 S
BACKGROUND 6 6 4¾ 53 43 45 413 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 2.07  
NAVY SOUL 1 5 6 6 5 5 513 (pittman bonnie)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00 13.15  
BORN FLAWLESS 3 1 2nk 2nk 65 69 635 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 11% 8.50 3.71  
SCR  J. P. RACE               (amoss m)LANERIE J 125 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/18/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:344   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERRETTINI 6 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 4.72  
WINSTON WOLF 3 3 53 6 5 3 2 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 6% 15.10 5.10 P
KARLWITHANARL 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 3 (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 7.58  
HARLEEZY 5 7 8 88 76 5 43 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00 30.30  
KING RUSSELL 8 6 42 45 4 66 5 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 18% 4.40 5.41  
TIVERTON (GB) 1 1 3 3 33 4 6 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 4.96  
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 4 4 7 77 8 77 74 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.03  
SGT. PEPPER 7 8 6 5 65 812 813¼ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 50% 1.00 5.50  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
ELP-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AJAAYB 4 1 5 5   21 1nk (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.44 W
EGLISE 6 4 3.2 11   11 2nk (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11% 8.00 5.80 P
MOMENTUM FILES 3 2 1nk 21   3 3 (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 8.00 11.41  
STARSCAPE 1 8 84 7   5 4 (dutrow richard)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 3.53  
RIDDLE SOLVER 2 7 6 8   6 510 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 20.27  
CRUSHED IT 7 6 4 31   4 612½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.96  
HOLSTER 8 3 7 6   7 712½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00 4.78  
DIAMOND LORD 5 5 2nk 42   89 828¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 12.82  
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
SCR  TRUST ISSUES               (lovell michell)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
ELP-8   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:11 1:222   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENCH 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 12 1 (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 72% 0.40 2.40 W
THOMAS AQUINAS 6 3 4 4 3 22 2 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.88 P
OUR DREAM RYE'D 3 6 7 8 8 4 33 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 6.91  
PANCAKE HOUSE 4 5 6 6 5 54 4 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 123 12.00 7.67  
DECANTED 8 7 31 3½ 2½ 33 5 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 7% 13.80 2.53  
CAROOM 5 8 8 5 6 65 6 (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 6.00 6.58  
DRIP D'ORO 1 2 5 7 7 7 710½ (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 33.97  
HYDRO FROST 7 4 2nk 2½ 4 87 810½ (miller kenny)ROMAN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 34.42  
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE               (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONALITE 3 5 12 124 9 4 1¼ (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.67 W
10  WHY WASTE WORDS 10 9 5 4 4¼ 2nk 2¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.50 12% 7.20 9.37 P
12  MY SEXY BLONDE 12 11 7 72 5 31 3 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 15.00 42.01  
YO LEVEN 9 6 3 3½ 3.2 1nk 42 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11% 8.40 7.34  
DESPO'S DREAM 8 7 4 5 72 6 5 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 12.65  
COME TO MAMA 4 12 11 93 6 72 64 (davis christophe)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 8.08  
POLITICAL SPIN 5 4 85 11 12 10 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 11.09  
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 7 8 96 10 11 9 8 (salas felipe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 15.90  
AMORA 1 1 10 83 10 83 9 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 6.78  
FASHION AFFIRMED 2 3 11 2nk 1nk 5 10 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 19.96  
11  ROYAL SUBJECT 11 10 6 6 82 119 1119¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 31.09  
DREAMSCAPE 6 2 21 1nk 2nk 1212 1233½ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 14.17  
SCR  MYSTICAL CHANT               (foley gr)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.