Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (7/9/5/10)-(7/9/5/1/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-1 $54.32 $22.32 70%
    TRI (7/9/5/10)-(7/9/5/1/10)-(7/9/5/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-1-7 $50.70 $26.70 111%
ELP-7   WIN (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.88 $6.88 86%
    EXA (8/9/7/5)-(8/9/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-7 $70.74 $46.74 195%
ELP-8   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-7 $29.02 $11.02 61%
    DD (8/9/7/5)-(2/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $98.48 $74.48 310%
ELP-9   PK3 (8/9/7/5)-(2/9/8)-(3/10/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-2-3 $51.07 $27.07 113%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:102 1:22   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  I'M OTTER HERE 9 4 21 2½ 2nk 12 12 (hiles a)TORRES A 119 6.00 29% 2.40 2.67 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  REAGAN'S WIT 1 1 32 32 31 22 22 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★ 6.29 P
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DAYIENU by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
7  FLEMING 7 3 42½ 42 41¼ 32 32¾ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.65 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROBILLARD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  LUCKY MISCHIEF 6 8 76 75¾ 74¼ 54½ 46 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.82  
  (by YOSHIDA out of SHE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  GAVE PROOF 10 5 64 63¾ 62¾ 44 58¼ (cowans d)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.63  
  (by TAPIT out of STILL THERE by UNION RAGS)
3  TIZ A SHOWDOWN 3 9 99½ 98¾ 86¾ 76½ 68¼ (baker james)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 38.25  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
4  R Y D'ORO 4 6 54 53½ 52¾ 65 79¾ (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 16.23  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAUGHABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  TRAIN AND TRUST 2 7 87½ 86¾ 97 97¾ 814¼ (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 35.12  
  (by TAPITURE out of EXCEBLADES by BLAME)
5  MODERN MASTER 5 10 1012 1010¾ 1010 109¼ 914½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.90 6.40  
  (by CURLIN out of WHITE LIGHT by TAPIT)
8  CRYSTAL HILL 8 2 11 1½ 1nk 86¾ 1018¾ (ortiz joh)TORRES A 119 12.00 12.05  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HOLIDAY'S JEWEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  CAPTAIN JUNUH               (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ARAMINTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  REVERSE MERGER               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  TURNBUCKLE               (hancock dana)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  ZAP D'ETAT               (house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
ELP-2   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIL TOWN SIS 6 7 77½ 54¾   32 11¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 14% 6.30 2.16 W
6  VERY WEALTHY 5 3 21 2nk   1nk 21¾ (lucas w)TORRES A 124 12.00 27.44  
2  WEATHER MAP 2 4 43½ 42¾   42¼ 34½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.57 S
4  BOBBIE SOX 4 2 11 1nk   2nk 44¾ (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 1.98  
8  ALAMO 7 1 56½ 67¾   76¾ 57¾ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 4.00 8.42  
3  TRAVAILLE 3 6 66½ 77¾   66¼ 69¾ (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.79  
1  MESMERIZING ME 1 5 31½ 32½   54¾ 716¼ (orantes yoni )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 34.30  
SCR  COCKTAIL CUTIE               (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-3   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:391   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIRST PLAYER 4 1 31 2½ 2nk 11 12 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5.82  
1  BRILLIANT MAN 1 4 63¾ 63¼ 62¼ 32½ 22 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.84  
3  BREADMAN 3 2 41½ 51¾ 41½ 42½ 35¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.08 S
5  COPPER ECHO 5 5 11 1½ 1nk 21 47¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.79  
6  BETTERA 6 6 51¾ 3½ 3½ 54½ 512 (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 15% 5.70 8.38  
2  THE THUNDERER 2 3 21 41½ 52 65 616¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.11  
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (reed r)TORRES A 122 2.50    
 
ELP-4   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:11 1:342   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROYAL SALUTE 3 4 31 1nk 1nk 11 11¾ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.74 W
4  MCGINNIS 4 2 11 2nk 2nk 21 21¾ (walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.34 P
1  GET AHEAD NOW 1 8 74 63¼ 51¾ 42½ 31¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00 12.01  
5  BOMB CYCLONE 5 1 21 31 3½ 32½ 42½ (molloy tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.73  
7  MUNYHUNGRY 6 6 63 42½ 62¾ 55½ 57 (parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00 41.62  
8  REMARKABLE MO 7 3 42 52¾ 41½ 65¾ 69 (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 9% 9.80 8.25  
9  BEAVER STATE 8 7 85 74¾ 75¼ 78¼ 712¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 7.70  
2  TAPITORO 2 5 52½ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (casse nor)TORRES A 118 15.00 14.12  
SCR  AWOL               (maker michae)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  MO HOPE               (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
SCR  MO RUM               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
ELP-5   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:123 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUTLIER 5 4 3.2 31 2nk 2nk 11¾ (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 3.07  
2  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 2 2 52¼ 42 31 1nk 21¾ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 59% 0.70 2.80 P
4  TAPSASIONAL 4 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 32½ 38¾ (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00 6% 16.40 9.40 S
6  BACKGROUND 6 6 4¾ 53 43 45 413 (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 2.07  
1  NAVY SOUL 1 5 63¾ 64½ 54½ 56½ 513 (pittman bonni)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00 13.15  
3  BORN FLAWLESS 3 1 2nk 2nk 65 69 635 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 11% 8.50 3.71  
SCR  J. P. RACE               (amoss m)LANERIE J 125 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/18/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:344   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BERRETTINI 6 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 11¼ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 4.72  
3  WINSTON WOLF 3 3 53 66½ 54½ 32½ 21¼ (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 6% 15.10 5.10 P
2  KARLWITHANARL 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 31¼ (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 7.58  
5  HARLEEZY 5 7 84¾ 88 76 54½ 43 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00 30.30  
8  KING RUSSELL 8 6 42 45 43½ 66 53¼ (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 18% 4.40 5.41  
1  TIVERTON (GB) 1 1 31½ 34½ 33 43½ 63¼ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 4.96  
4  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 4 4 74¼ 77 86¼ 77 74 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.03  
7  SGT. PEPPER 7 8 63¼ 55½ 65 812 813¼ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 50% 1.00 5.50  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
ELP-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AJAAYB 4 1 51¼ 52¼   21 1nk (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.44 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEZAH by TAPIT)
7  EGLISE 6 4 3.2 11   11 2nk (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11% 8.00 5.80 P
  (by FROSTED out of AHH CHOCOLATE by CANDY RIDE)
4  MOMENTUM FILES 3 2 1nk 21   32½ 38½ (devaux ch)TORRES A 124 8.00 11.41  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
1  STARSCAPE 1 8 84 74¾   55½ 49¾ (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 3.53  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PROSPECTIVE SAINT by SAINT BALLADO)
3  RIDDLE SOLVER 2 7 62¼ 86¼   66½ 510 (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 20.27  
  (by ARROGATE out of ELOQUENT RIDDLE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  CRUSHED IT 7 6 41¼ 31   44½ 612½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.96  
  (by DIALED IN out of PINCH HIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  HOLSTER 8 3 72½ 64¼   76½ 712½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00 4.78  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSY DANCER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  DIAMOND LORD 5 5 2nk 42   89 828¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 12.82  
  (by LORD NELSON out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  TRUST ISSUES               (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
ELP-8   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:11 1:222   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BENCH 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 12 11¼ (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 72% 0.40 2.40 W
7  THOMAS AQUINAS 6 3 41¼ 41½ 31½ 22 21¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★ 3.88 P
4  OUR DREAM RYE'D 3 6 74¼ 83½ 83¾ 43½ 33 (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 6.91  
5  PANCAKE HOUSE 4 5 62¾ 61¾ 51¾ 54 43¼ (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 123 12.00 7.67  
9  DECANTED 8 7 31 3½ 2½ 33 53½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 7% 13.80 2.53  
6  CAROOM 5 8 84½ 51¾ 63¼ 65 65¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 6.00 6.58  
1  DRIP D'ORO 1 2 52¾ 73¼ 73¾ 76½ 710½ (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 33.97  
8  HYDRO FROST 7 4 2nk 2½ 41½ 87 810½ (miller kenny)ROMAN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 34.42  
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE               (lovell miche)TORRES A 123 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TONALITE 3 5 127¼ 124 92½ 41¼ 1¼ (oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.67 W
10  WHY WASTE WORDS 10 9 52½ 41½ 4¼ 2nk 2¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.50 12% 7.20 9.37 P
12  MY SEXY BLONDE 12 11 74½ 72 51¼ 31 31¼ (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 15.00 42.01  
9  YO LEVEN 9 6 31½ 3½ 3.2 1nk 42 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11% 8.40 7.34  
8  DESPO'S DREAM 8 7 42½ 51¾ 72 61¾ 53¼ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 12.65  
4  COME TO MAMA 4 12 116¼ 93 61½ 72 64 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 8.08  
5  POLITICAL SPIN 5 4 85 113½ 124½ 103½ 75½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 11.09  
7  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 7 8 96 103½ 113½ 93½ 85½ (salas felipe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 15.90  
1  AMORA 1 1 106¼ 83 103½ 83 95¾ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 ★ 6.78  
2  FASHION AFFIRMED 2 3 11 2nk 1nk 51¾ 107½ (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 19.96  
11  ROYAL SUBJECT 11 10 63½ 61¾ 82 119 1119¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 31.09  
6  DREAMSCAPE 6 2 21 1nk 2nk 1212 1233½ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 14.17  
SCR  MYSTICAL CHANT               (foley )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.