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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-1			EXA	(7/9/5/10)-(7/9/5/1/10)						16	$2.00	$32.00	9-1		$54.32			$22.32				70%
			TRI	(7/9/5/10)-(7/9/5/1/10)-(7/9/5/1/10)						48	$0.50	$24.00	9-1-7		$50.70			$26.70				111%
ELP-7			WIN	(8/9/7/5)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$14.88			$6.88				86%
			EXA	(8/9/7/5)-(8/9/7/5)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-7		$70.74			$46.74				195%
ELP-8			WIN	(2/9/8)						3	$2.00	$6.00	2		$6.80			$0.80				13%
			EXA	(2/9/8)-(2/9/7/8)						9	$2.00	$18.00	2-7		$29.02			$11.02				61%
			DD	(8/9/7/5)-(2/9/8)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-2		$98.48			$74.48				310%
ELP-9			PK3	(8/9/7/5)-(2/9/8)-(3/10/9/2)						48	$0.50	$24.00	5-2-3		$51.07			$27.07				113%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/18/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	I'M OTTER HERE									(hiles a)TORRES A 119						6.00		29%		2.40		2.67	W
		(by MUNNINGS out of ANYA YLINA by OASIS DREAM)
1	REAGAN'S WIT									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						6.00		★				6.29	P
		(by AUTHENTIC out of DAYIENU by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
7	FLEMING									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						2.50		36%		1.80		2.65	S
		(by MORE THAN READY out of ROBILLARD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6	LUCKY MISCHIEF									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119						8.00						5.82
		(by YOSHIDA out of SHE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10	GAVE PROOF									(cowans d)BEJARANO R 119						10.00		5%		19.00		15.63
		(by TAPIT out of STILL THERE by UNION RAGS)
3	TIZ A SHOWDOWN									(baker james)GRAHAM J 119						20.00						38.25
		(by MOHAYMEN out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
4	R Y D'ORO									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						8.00						16.23
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAUGHABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2	TRAIN AND TRUST									(langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						35.12
		(by TAPITURE out of EXCEBLADES by BLAME)
5	MODERN MASTER									(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.00		13%		6.90		6.40
		(by CURLIN out of WHITE LIGHT by TAPIT)
8	CRYSTAL HILL									(ortiz joh)TORRES A 119						12.00						12.05
		(by MORE THAN READY out of HOLIDAY'S JEWEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR	CAPTAIN JUNUH									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00
		(by FREE DROP BILLY out of ARAMINTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR	REVERSE MERGER									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.50
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR	TURNBUCKLE									(hancock dana)CANNON DECLAN 119						12.00
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR	ZAP D'ETAT									(house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						6.00
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)

ELP-2			08/18/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($28K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	LIL TOWN SIS									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						2.50		14%		6.30		2.16	W
6	VERY WEALTHY									(lucas w)TORRES A 124						12.00						27.44
2	WEATHER MAP									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						4.50		21%		3.80		3.57	S
4	BOBBIE SOX									(gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122						6.00						1.98
8	ALAMO									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 118						4.00						8.42
3	TRAVAILLE									(catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122						3.50		28%		2.60		4.79
1	MESMERIZING ME									(orantes yoni )MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00		5%		19.00		34.30
SCR	COCKTAIL CUTIE									(manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118						15.00

ELP-3			08/18/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($37K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	FIRST PLAYER									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00						5.82
1	BRILLIANT MAN									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						6.00						5.84
3	BREADMAN									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						15.00		5%		19.00		12.08	S
5	COPPER ECHO									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00						2.79
6	BETTERA									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						10.00		15%		5.70		8.38
2	THE THUNDERER									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122						2.00		58%		0.70		1.11
SCR	GAME KEEPER									(reed r)TORRES A 122						2.50

ELP-4			08/18/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ROYAL SALUTE									(lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						3.00		27%		2.70		2.74	W
4	MCGINNIS									(walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 118						2.00		39%		1.60		1.34	P
1	GET AHEAD NOW									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124						12.00						12.01
5	BOMB CYCLONE									(molloy tho)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00		5%		19.00		6.73
7	MUNYHUNGRY									(parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 118						15.00						41.62
8	REMARKABLE MO									(brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						4.00		9%		9.80		8.25
9	BEAVER STATE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118						12.00						7.70
2	TAPITORO									(casse nor)TORRES A 118						15.00						14.12
SCR	AWOL									(maker michae)TORRES A 118						10.00
SCR	MO HOPE									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124						6.00
SCR	MO RUM									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119						2.50

ELP-5			08/18/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($40K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	OUTLIER									(hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 123						6.00						3.07
2	SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI)									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123						3.50		59%		0.70		2.80	P
4	TAPSASIONAL									(santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 123						8.00		6%		16.40		9.40	S
6	BACKGROUND									(puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						3.00						2.07
1	NAVY SOUL									(pittman bonni)FUENTES ERICK 113						20.00						13.15
3	BORN FLAWLESS									(cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						4.00		11%		8.50		3.71
SCR	J. P. RACE									(amoss m)LANERIE J 125						2.50

ELP-6			08/18/2024		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BERRETTINI									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122						6.00						4.72
3	WINSTON WOLF									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						4.50		6%		15.10		5.10	P
2	KARLWITHANARL									(medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00						7.58
5	HARLEEZY									(hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 122						12.00						30.30
8	KING RUSSELL									(moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						3.50		18%		4.40		5.41
1	TIVERTON (GB)									(murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122						5.00						4.96
4	STROKE OF MIDNIGHT									(begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 122						10.00		5%		19.00		3.03
7	SGT. PEPPER									(margolis r)GRAHAM J 122						3.00		50%		1.00		5.50
SCR	FIRST OF HIS NAME									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118						6.00
SCR	GLEN AIRY									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.00

ELP-7			08/18/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	AJAAYB									(esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124						10.00		5%		19.00		6.44	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEZAH by TAPIT)
7	EGLISE									(lynch a)GRAHAM J 119						10.00		11%		8.00		5.80	P
		(by FROSTED out of AHH CHOCOLATE by CANDY RIDE)
4	MOMENTUM FILES									(devaux ch)TORRES A 124						8.00						11.41
		(by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
1	STARSCAPE									(dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 119						10.00						3.53
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of PROSPECTIVE SAINT by SAINT BALLADO)
3	RIDDLE SOLVER									(mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						20.27
		(by ARROGATE out of ELOQUENT RIDDLE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8	CRUSHED IT									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						3.00		41%		1.50		1.96
		(by DIALED IN out of PINCH HIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9	HOLSTER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						3.50		25%		3.00		4.78
		(by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSY DANCER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6	DIAMOND LORD									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						12.82
		(by LORD NELSON out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR	SHORTSTOP									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124						8.00
		(by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR	TRUST ISSUES									(lovell miche)TORRES A 119						4.00
		(by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)

ELP-8			08/18/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BENCH									(vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 123						3.00		72%		0.40		2.40	W
7	THOMAS AQUINAS									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.50		★				3.88	P
4	OUR DREAM RYE'D									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 123						12.00						6.91
5	PANCAKE HOUSE									(blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 123						12.00						7.67
9	DECANTED									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123						2.50		7%		13.80		2.53
6	CAROOM									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123						6.00						6.58
1	DRIP D'ORO									(hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 118						20.00						33.97
8	HYDRO FROST									(miller kenny)ROMAN A 123						10.00		5%		19.00		34.42
SCR	THREE ON THE TREE									(lovell miche)TORRES A 123						15.00

ELP-9			08/18/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	TONALITE									(oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						2.50		55%		0.80		1.67	W
10	WHY WASTE WORDS									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124						4.50		12%		7.20		9.37	P
12	MY SEXY BLONDE									(taylor brent)CASTANON L 118						15.00						42.01
9	YO LEVEN									(baker james)GRAHAM J 118						12.00		11%		8.40		7.34
8	DESPO'S DREAM									(puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						12.65
4	COME TO MAMA									(davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 118						6.00						8.08
5	POLITICAL SPIN									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00						11.09
7	YAMMY YAMMY BELLA									(salas felipe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						30.00						15.90
1	AMORA									(thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00		★				6.78
2	FASHION AFFIRMED									(pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						20.00		5%		19.00		19.96
11	ROYAL SUBJECT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						10.00						31.09
6	DREAMSCAPE									(moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118						20.00						14.17
SCR	MYSTICAL CHANT									(foley )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						5.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.