Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/9/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (3/10/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAGAN'S WIT         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★    
2  TRAIN AND TRUST         (langemeier john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
3  TIZ A SHOWDOWN         (baker james)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
4  R Y D'ORO         (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
5  MODERN MASTER         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  LUCKY MISCHIEF Jul29         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
7  FLEMING         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  CRYSTAL HILL Aug03         (ortiz john )TORRES A 119 12.00    
9  I'M OTTER HERE Jul28         (hiles a)TORRES A 119 6.00 29% 2.40    
10  GAVE PROOF         (cowans d)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZAP D'ETAT Jul28         (house ga)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  REVERSE MERGER         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
SCR  CAPTAIN JUNUH         (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  TURNBUCKLE Aug05 Jul20 Jun19 May02 Apr05 (hancock dana)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-2   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESMERIZING ME Jul25 Jul04 Jun22 May31 Feb21 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WEATHER MAP Jul14 Apr28 Apr06 Feb17 Dec13 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  TRAVAILLE Jul14 Jun08 Apr27 Mar01 Jan25 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  BOBBIE SOX Jun20 Jun02 May16 Apr20 Aug08 (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  COCKTAIL CUTIE Jul30 Jul17 May28 Apr28 Apr07 (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
6  VERY WEALTHY Jul29 Jun26 May19 Apr25 Mar06 (lucas way)TORRES A 124 12.00    
7  LIL TOWN SIS Jul13 Jun14 May19 Apr19 Mar21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 14% 6.30    
8  ALAMO Jul13 Jun08 May09 Apr19 Mar28 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 
ELP-3   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT MAN May31 Apr20 Mar28 Feb18 Dec15 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
2  THE THUNDERER Jul14 May26 Apr17 Mar15 Feb17 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  BREADMAN Jul25 Sep27 Jul19 May13 Apr20 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRST PLAYER Jun23 Jun06 Oct09 Sep15 Aug11 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
5  COPPER ECHO Jul28 Jun29 Jun09 Apr28 Mar23 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
6  BETTERA Jul15 Jun12 May26 Apr30 Mar24 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  GAME KEEPER May12 Apr28 Apr13 Mar29 Mar07 (reed r)TORRES A 122 2.50    
 
ELP-4   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET AHEAD NOW Jun05 Apr30 Jan11 Dec10 Oct13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
2  TAPITORO Jun27 Nov18 Oct28 Aug31   (casse norm )TORRES A 118 15.00    
3  ROYAL SALUTE Jul15 Jun08 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  MCGINNIS Jul15         (walden william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  BOMB CYCLONE Jul22 Jun20 Sep29     (molloy thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWOL Jul22 Jun02       (maker michael )TORRES A 118 10.00    
7  MUNYHUNGRY Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 May26 May11 (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00    
8  REMARKABLE MO Jul22 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 May04 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
9  BEAVER STATE Jul28         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
SCR  MO HOPE Jun21 Jun05 Apr30 Sep02 Jun02 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
SCR  MO RUM Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 Mar24 Mar07 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
ELP-5   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY SOUL Jul14 Jun07 May16 Apr14 Nov30 (pittman bonnie)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00    
2  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Jul15 May30 Apr21 Mar21 Feb29 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
3  BORN FLAWLESS Jul29 Jun26 Apr18 Feb16 Jan05 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 11% 8.50    
4  TAPSASIONAL Jun15 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00 6% 16.40    
5  OUTLIER Jul15 Jun15 May30 May12 Apr26 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
6  BACKGROUND Jun19 May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00    
SCR  J. P. RACE Jul20 Jun12 May25 Apr07 Feb22 (amoss m)LANERIE J 125 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/18/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVERTON (GB) Jul20 Jul04 Jun30 Jun23 May31 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
2  KARLWITHANARL Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
3  WINSTON WOLF Jul21 Jun23 May27 May09 Mar13 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 6% 15.10    
4  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT Jul20 Jun20 Dec08 Nov08 Sep10 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARLEEZY May27 May02 Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
6  BERRETTINI Jun20 May12 Aug04 Jun22 May28 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
7  SGT. PEPPER Jul04 Jun14 Apr25 Feb08 Jan11 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
8  KING RUSSELL Jul21 May24 Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  GLEN AIRY Jul21 Jun27 May27 Apr19 Feb08 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME Jul28 Jun27 May29 May09 Mar21 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSCAPE Oct07         (dutrow richard)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP Jul07 Sep23 Jan06     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
3  RIDDLE SOLVER         (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
4  MOMENTUM FILES         (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 8.00    
5  AJAAYB Jul28 May30 Apr28 Mar27 Feb21 (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIAMOND LORD Mar13 Feb17       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  EGLISE Jul28         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  CRUSHED IT Feb24 Jan05 Dec08     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
9  HOLSTER         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  TRUST ISSUES Jul28 Dec14 Nov10     (lovell michell)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
ELP-8   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIP D'ORO Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 May21 Sep25 (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
2  BENCH Jun13 Mar09 Feb03     (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 72% 0.40    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE Jun30 May31 Apr30 Sep07 Jul23 (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 15.00    
4  OUR DREAM RYE'D Jul21 Jul04 May27 Apr18 Feb28 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
5  PANCAKE HOUSE Jul15 Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 123 12.00    
6  CAROOM Jun20 May12 Apr17 Feb25 Feb02 (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
7  THOMAS AQUINAS Jul04 Jun01 Apr26 Mar09 Oct12 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★    
8  HYDRO FROST Jul29 Jun07 May11 Apr20 Feb17 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DECANTED Jun30 May31 Apr24 Mar23 Jul07 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 7% 13.80    
 
ELP-9   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMORA         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 ★    
2  FASHION AFFIRMED Jul28 Jul05       (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TONALITE Jul21 Jun07 May01 Apr05 Oct27 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  COME TO MAMA Sep09         (davis christophe)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 6.00    
5  POLITICAL SPIN Jul13         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
6  DREAMSCAPE Jul20 Jun02 Mar16     (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
7  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Jan27 Dec27 Nov25 Oct29 Oct10 (salas fel)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
8  DESPO'S DREAM Jul21 Jun19 May25 May03 Sep20 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
9  YO LEVEN Jul29 Jun20 May16     (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11% 8.40    
10  WHY WASTE WORDS Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 Dec15 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
11  ROYAL SUBJECT Jun09         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
12  MY SEXY BLONDE Jul21 Jul05 Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
SCR  MYSTICAL CHANT Jul04 May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar06 (foley gr)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.