Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.52 $3.52  
ELP-2   Win (6/9/13/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $30.98  
ELP-3   Win (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.80  
ELP-4   Win (7/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
ELP-5   Win (11/2/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.92 $7.92  
ELP-6   Win (1/9/12/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $15.50  
ELP-7   Win (8/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $52.00  
ELP-8   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.84 $7.84  
ELP-9   Win (6/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $11.58 $11.58 3.58
ELP-10   Win (2/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.00  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:123 1:25   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM PROMISE 1 1 1nk 1½ 13½ 19 114½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 42% 1.40 0.76 W
9  EXTRADITION 6 5 63½ 63 34 29 214½ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 5.61  
8  COLONEL YORKE 5 4 52 52 23½ 310 319 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.49 S
5  COACH CLINT 3 2 2nk 2½ 44½ 516 431½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 26% 2.80 4.10  
4  CRYSTAL HILL 2 6 41½ 41½ 54½ 415½ 532½ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 6.00 6.67  
6  JACKSON'S ROAR 4 3 3½ 31 67 619 640 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 28.43  
SCR  BRAGGART JOE               (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 119 20.00    
SCR  LOOK TO THE CROSS               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  RAG TREE               (hamilton sar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-2   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ECHO SOUND 5 4 31 3½   31 1¾ (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 14.49  
3  EVANESCENCE 3 10 41½ 51¾   41½ 2¾ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 7.85  
4  SWEET SERAPHINE 4 1 2½ 2nk   21 31½ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 8.44  
1  GLISTENING GAL 1 2 1½ 1nk   11 42 (mccarthy michae)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.72  
9  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR 9 11 63 41½   52 52½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 20% 4.00 3.24  
7  SISTER CARLIE 7 9 115¼ 106¼   78 69 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 56.47  
6  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN 6 7 83¼ 74¾   66 710½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80 3.07  
12  SPUNDERELLA 11 12 93¼ 84¾   89 813 (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 23.41  
13  LA BUKANA 12 5 52 63¼   910½ 916½ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 19% 4.10 5.33  
8  RITA'S LEGACY 8 3 103¾ 119¼   1113¼ 1017¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 15.00 18.88  
11  KINZIE QUEEN 10 6 73 95¾   1013 1120 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 ★ 10.50  
2  COLD 2 8 126¼ 1211¼   1215¼ 1222 (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 28.00  
SCR  TEGWAR               (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 20.00    
SCR  UNCORK IT               (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
 
ELP-3   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 4 1 32½ 33   21½ 1½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50 3.40  
8  RHYME SCHEMES 5 3 1½ 1½   11½ 2½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 37% 1.70 0.52 P
5  AWESOME AARON 3 2 2½ 2½   33 36¼ (green troy)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.76 S
2  SOLIDIFY 1 5 56 45   45½ 46¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 18.10  
4  PAYNE 2 4 45 57   57 58 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 32% 2.10 3.85  
SCR  ECHO AGAIN               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  LUDWIG               (bauer a)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GLOBAL STAGE 5 2 2nk 11   13 11¾ (cano muno)TORRES A 124 4.00 30% 2.30 4.80 W
9  AL AMEEQ 6 3 62¼ 21   23 21¾ (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 7.63  
4  DAZZLEMESILVER 2 5 1nk 31½   33 32¼ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 2.16  
11  SUPREMELY 8 1 83¾ 63¼   54 44 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 12.00 15.68  
10  UNCLE BERLEY 7 7 51¾ 51¾   43½ 55½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 18% 4.50 4.11  
5  EDDIE M 3 4 72¾ 87¼   88½ 67 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 17.27  
3  LANDLORD 1 6 3½ 73¾   76½ 78¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 24% 3.20 10.63  
6  TIGER'S LEGACY 4 8 41½ 41½   65 810½ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.70  
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR               (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
SCR  FLAT ON               (eurton pete)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  GUIDED ARROW               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EVENT DETAIL 1 4 85½ 85¾ 73¾ 33 11 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 24% 3.10 2.96 W
5  GATLINBURG 3 1 2½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.08 P
4  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 2 2 1½ 42 43 53½ 32 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 24.79  
10  STAR TOPPER 5 5 75 75¼ 63½ 64½ 43¼ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 17% 4.90 13.52  
12  AZTECA'S GOLD 7 6 52½ 53½ 31½ 43½ 54¼ (lacroix gene)LANERIE J 118 15.00 16.09  
16  MERIT 8 7 42 3½ 2½ 22½ 67½ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 3.15  
6  ON MY HONOR 4 3 31 2nk 53½ 77 712 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 14.74  
11  ASMODEUS 6 8 62½ 65 87¾ 813 842¼ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 30% 2.30 1.73  
SCR  BENCH               (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  BIG TO DO               (wismer glenn)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
SCR  GAMETIME GLADIATOR               (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  JAMMIN JUSTICE               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  KARLWITHANARL               (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
SCR  THOMAS AQUINAS               (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE               (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 20.00    
 
ELP-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF 2 2 12 11   13 12½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 6.75  
6  TAVERNA 5 9 74½ 42½   34 22½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 6% 16.10 3.67 P
8  EUNOMIA 7 4 53½ 21   23 32¾ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 11.62  
1  LOW KEY 1 10 1010 74½   45 42¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 34% 1.90 5.71  
9  NORTHERN VOYAGE 8 11 1111 96½   67 56¼ (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.40 5.73  
5  MOON OVER CHOCTAW 4 6 99 118¾   99¼ 66¾ (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 45.54  
4  RANDO 3 8 87 86   87¾ 78 (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 34.85  
12  VOLATILE MARKET 11 1 22 31   55 89 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 18% 4.60 6.34  
7  PRINCESS LOLLY 6 7 33 64   77¼ 910 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6.24  
10  JUST ONE KISS 9 5 43½ 53½   1010¾ 1011¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.06  
11  HEART'S COMPASS 10 3 64 106¾   1112¾ 1114¼ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 11.77  
SCR  BILYANA               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS NY               (davis christop)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  PURPLE AND GOLD               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-7   08/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Mint Ladies T Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:214 :442 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME TREAT 3 6 31½ 41½   3½ 1¼ (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 15.00 25.00  
5  RED CARPET READY 5 2 42 31   2nk 2¼ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.90 3.17 P
2  BLING 2 7 64½ 53   51¼ 3¼ (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 5% 18.50 5.85 S
7  B G WARRIOR 6 1 1½ 1nk   4¾ 44½ (andrade h)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.76  
4  L J'S EMMA 4 4 75½ 74½   75¼ 513½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 15.52  
1  CURRENT CLIMATE 1 5 54½ 64   63¼ 6100 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 22.58  
8  OVA CHARGED 7 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 7100 (wilson shane)LANERIE J 126 1.20 50% 1.00 0.59  
SCR  NIKI NINE DOORS               (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
 
ELP-8   08/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Nashville Der Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:13 1:362   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAMEO PERFORMANCE 7 4 75 74 73¾ 41¾ 1¾ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60 2.92 W
2  ABRUMAR 2 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 11½ 2¾ (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 5.62  
7  GREEN LIGHT 6 5 63½ 62 51¾ 21½ 33¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00 34% 2.00 1.46 S
1  OSCAR'S WORLD 1 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 31½ 44½ (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.96  
4  EL MATADOR 4 6 31½ 41 41½ 53¼ 55¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 9.27  
5  DOMINGO 5 7 53 51½ 62¾ 75¾ 65¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 11.90  
3  BEYOND STOKED 3 3 42 3½ 31 64¼ 711 (lynch bria)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 13% 6.60 11.23  
SCR  COPPER MISSILE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Mint Millions Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:131 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TUT'S REVENGE 8 3 11 11½ 1½ 12 11½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.79 W
6  WIN FOR THE MONEY 5 2 42 42½ 2½ 22 21½ (casse mark)TORRES A 124 1.40 50% 1.00 1.23 P
3  MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 5 73¾ 53½ 52 53½ 32¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 6.67  
7  FUERTEVENTURA 6 4 21 21½ 3½ 33 43¾ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 11.17  
5  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) 4 8 85¼ 85 74 64½ 53¾ (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 21.76  
2  DOUBLE CLUTCH 2 1 31½ 32 41½ 43 64 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 5.39  
1  BIG DREAMING 1 7 53½ 63½ 63½ 75 76 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 12% 7.70 7.23  
8  W W CANDY 7 6 63½ 74 84¼ 87½ 812¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 122 15.00 8% 11.40 16.46  
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50    
 
ELP-10   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:383   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KINETIC 4 6 75¼ 52½ 4¾ 11 1½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 1.00  
7  PADIDDLE 6 3 54 63½ 53¼ 44 2½ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70 4.49 P
2  BOURBON SOCIETY 2 1 3½ 2nk 1nk 21 3½ (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 31% 2.20 2.17 S
1  MAGNIFICENT RAGS 1 2 1½ 1nk 3.2 54 4¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.17  
8  SEVEN TAYLORS 7 8 42 3½ 2nk 32½ 54 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.31  
9  FULL ARMOR 8 5 86¼ 85 85¾ 77½ 66½ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15% 5.70 19.95  
5  DR. STORM 5 7 64¼ 74 75¼ 65½ 79¼ (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 33.04  
3  SHEAR MAGIC 3 4 2½ 41½ 64¼ 815½ 836¾ (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 15.00 26.84  
SCR  NUEVO EMPIRE               (medina robe)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.