Handicappers' Racing Form
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (6/9/13/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (7/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (11/2/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (1/9/12/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (8/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (6/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-10   Win (2/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM PROMISE Jul07         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  BRAGGART JOE Jul18 Jun19       (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 119 20.00    
SCR  RAG TREE Jul07 Jun17 May26     (hamilton sar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
4  CRYSTAL HILL         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 6.00    
5  COACH CLINT Jul14         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  JACKSON'S ROAR         (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
SCR  LOOK TO THE CROSS         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
8  COLONEL YORKE Jul07 Jun08       (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  EXTRADITION Jul05         (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
 
ELP-2   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLISTENING GAL         (mccarthy michae)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  COLD         (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
3  EVANESCENCE         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
4  SWEET SERAPHINE         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00    
5  ECHO SOUND         (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
6  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
7  SISTER CARLIE         (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
8  RITA'S LEGACY Jul04         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 15.00    
9  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TEGWAR Jul09         (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 20.00    
11  KINZIE QUEEN         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 ★    
12  SPUNDERELLA         (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
13  LA BUKANA Jun28         (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  UNCORK IT         (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
 
ELP-3   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ECHO AGAIN Jul04 May16 Apr05 Mar03 May06 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
2  SOLIDIFY Jul15 Jun14 Jun02 May10 Apr14 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO Jul04 Jun05 Dec31 Nov25 Oct28 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
4  PAYNE Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr06 Mar29 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  AWESOME AARON Jun14 May27 Apr18 Apr05 Dec08 (green troy)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUDWIG Jun30 May27 Apr21 Sep02 Aug04 (bauer a)TORRES A 122 8.00    
7  CYCLONE MISCHIEF Jun30 May03 Apr12 Jan27 Nov26 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50    
8  RHYME SCHEMES Aug12 Jun15 May18     (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
ELP-4   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAT ON Jun23 May26 Sep04 Jul08 May29 (eurton pete)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  GUIDED ARROW Jul05 Mar14 Feb16 Dec30 Sep10 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
3  LANDLORD May25 Apr28 Apr06 Mar02   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 24% 3.20    
4  DAZZLEMESILVER Jul20 Jun02 May11 Apr12 Feb12 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
5  EDDIE M Jul13 May29 Sep13 Aug04 Jun25 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
6  TIGER'S LEGACY Jul07 Jun06 May09 Apr24 Mar16 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GLOBAL STAGE Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 Apr06 Apr14 (cano muno)TORRES A 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR Jun26 Jun08 May17 Apr24 Mar08 (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
9  AL AMEEQ Jun09 May24 Apr24 Mar13   (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
10  UNCLE BERLEY Jul14 Jul04 Apr27 Apr12 Jul31 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 18% 4.50    
11  SUPREMELY Jun28 Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 Nov22 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENCH Jun13 Mar09 Feb03     (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00    
2  EVENT DETAIL Feb25 Jan27 Jan01 Nov19   (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  DECANTED Jun30 May31 Apr24 Mar23 Jul07 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
4  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER Jul11 May18       (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00    
5  GATLINBURG Jul04 May31 Apr30 Nov08 Oct12 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ON MY HONOR Jun16 Mar16 Feb24     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  THOMAS AQUINAS Jul04 Jun01 Apr26 Mar09 Oct12 (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
SCR  BIG TO DO Jun13 May05 Mar28 Mar01   (wismer glenn)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE Jun30 May31 Apr30 Sep07 Jul23 (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 20.00    
10  STAR TOPPER Jul15 Jun23 May27     (hiles a)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 17% 4.90    
11  ASMODEUS Jul09 May27 May09 Apr12 Mar23 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
12  AZTECA'S GOLD Jul13 Jun20 Apr16 Nov07 Oct11 (lacroix gene)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  JAMMIN JUSTICE Jun18 May29 May08 Apr24   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Jul05 Jun15 May01 Mar16 Feb18 (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  KARLWITHANARL Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
16  MERIT Jul04 Apr06 Mar01 Feb03 Nov04 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW KEY         (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  PURPLE AND GOLD         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
3  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF Jun26         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
4  RANDO         (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
5  MOON OVER CHOCTAW         (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
6  TAVERNA         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 6% 16.10    
7  PRINCESS LOLLY         (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
8  EUNOMIA         (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
9  NORTHERN VOYAGE         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
10  JUST ONE KISS         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  HEART'S COMPASS         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
12  VOLATILE MARKET Jul04         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BILYANA         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS NY         (davis christop)TORRES A 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Mint Ladies T Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURRENT CLIMATE Jul05 May24 Apr27 Mar16 Jan12 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00    
2  BLING Jun22 May12 Apr13 Dec02 Oct27 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  AWESOME TREAT Jul06 Jun01 May04 Apr18 Mar16 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 15.00    
4  L J'S EMMA Jun07 Apr18 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
5  RED CARPET READY May04 Apr06 Mar09 Jul08 May05 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  NIKI NINE DOORS Jul06 Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar13 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
7  B G WARRIOR May27 Apr13 Mar16 Jan27 Jan12 (andrade h)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  OVA CHARGED Jun29 Jun01 May03 Mar24 Feb13 (wilson shane)LANERIE J 126 1.20 50% 1.00    
 
ELP-8   08/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Nashville Der Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR'S WORLD Jul06 Jun07 Apr05 Mar09 Feb10 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABRUMAR Jun23 May18 May04 Mar02 Jan13 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
3  BEYOND STOKED Jul13 Jun13 Apr13 Mar09 Jan13 (lynch bria)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  EL MATADOR Jul08 Jun14 May11 Apr05 Mar07 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
5  DOMINGO Jul08 May24 Apr26 Mar02 Feb03 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE Jul06 Jun02 Apr26 Oct26 Sep30 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
7  GREEN LIGHT Jun29 May18 Apr14 Mar23   (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
8  CAMEO PERFORMANCE Jun29 Jun01 Apr14     (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
ELP-9   08/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD KY Downs Preview Mint Millions Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DREAMING Jul06 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Nov23 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  DOUBLE CLUTCH Jun30 May31 Apr21 Dec15 Nov18 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
3  MIRANDA RIGHTS Jun22 May31 May02 Dec03 Nov05 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER Jun28 May18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50    
5  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Jun25 May30 Mar22 Feb09 Jan05 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
6  WIN FOR THE MONEY Jun29 May25 Dec03 Nov05 Aug12 (casse mark)TORRES A 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
7  FUERTEVENTURA Jul14 Jun06 Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
8  W W CANDY Jun30 Jun08 May04 Apr16 Nov23 (maker michael )TORRES A 122 15.00 8% 11.40    
9  TUT'S REVENGE Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 Jan27 Dec30 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-10   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT RAGS Jun21         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
2  BOURBON SOCIETY Jul14 Jun23 Apr06 Mar16 Jan13 (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  SHEAR MAGIC Jul15 Oct08       (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 15.00    
4  KINETIC Jun21         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
5  DR. STORM Jun21         (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  NUEVO EMPIRE Jun21 Nov12 Oct14 Sep22   (medina robe)TORRES A 118 4.00    
7  PADIDDLE Jun23 Jun02       (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
8  SEVEN TAYLORS Jun27 May17 Apr30     (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  FULL ARMOR Jun20 Jun06 May15 Apr16 Nov25 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.