Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $54.58 $42.58 355%
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-3-4 $47.60 $44.60 1487%
ELP-7   WIN (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $16.78 $8.78 110%
    EXA (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-8 $59.28 $35.28 147%
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(8/9/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-9 $74.32 $42.32 132%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 2 11 12   12½ 1hd (hiles ric)BEALMEAR C 113 4.00 10% 9.00 2.01 W
6  CHANISA 4 1 31 33½   22½ 2hd (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 3.00 61% 0.60 1.02 P
7  DEFAULT 5 5 44 45   44½ 33 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 2.85  
2  TAMARA'S WAY 2 3 21 22   34 43¼ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 15.00 5% 19.00 11.42  
5  ONE STORMY LADY 3 4 54½ 510   513½ 533 (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.70  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter a)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  TROTTER               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
 
ELP-2   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SAVA 9 9 63 61½ 41¾ 11 11¼ (medina ro)TORRES A 118 5.00 10% 9.00 3.20 W
7  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 5 6 94¾ 93 63¼ 42½ 21¼ (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 13% 6.50 2.81 P
2  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 1 1 31½ 41¼ 21½ 32½ 32½ (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 43% 1.30 4.73 S
10  SUCRE CECILE 7 3 11 1nk 11½ 21 45 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 12.97  
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 4 7 73¼ 72 84¾ 65½ 55¾ (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 8.00 5.13  
4  MALICE MAMA 3 5 84¼ 83 73¾ 54½ 68½ (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00 7% 12.50 41.70  
3  CASINO ANNIE 2 2 52 51¼ 53¼ 75¾ 78½ (parker do)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
9  KISS ME KATIE 6 4 21 2nk 31½ 89¼ 813½ (ortiz ale)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 6.96  
11  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND 8 8 41½ 3.2 95¼ 911¼ 916 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 14.96  
SCR  JOIA RARA               (caramori edu)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET               (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
SCR  NO SHOW               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE               (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA               (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MYSTIC PLEASURE 2 5 51¾ 41¾   32 12¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 57% 0.80 2.21 W
3  UPPER CASE 3 6 61¾ 3.2   1½ 22¼ (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.51 P
4  STREAMING NOW 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 34 (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 4.00 14% 6.00 2.36 S
1  ALWAYS ANGELS 1 4 31½ 51¾   44½ 45 (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 1.80 1.28  
6  GUNESH 6 1 41½ 62¼   67 59½ (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 14.90  
5  HARTFUL HOPE 5 3 2½ 2nk   55½ 614 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 40.18  
 
ELP-4   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WENDELSSOHN 5 2 3.2 12   16½ 18½ (delima e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.86  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GANGBUSTERS by BROKEN VOW)
2  DUKE OF DUVAL 2 5 52¾ 67¼   36½ 28½ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  SHORTSTOP 6 3 41¾ 35   48 311½ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50 4.02  
  (by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  MORUNNING 3 6 2nk 22   26½ 412¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 2.10  
  (by MO TOWN out of CALYPSO RUN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BERNIN HOT 4 1 63¾ 45   58½ 515½ (davis christ)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.79  
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
1  BIG SALT LICK 1 4 1nk 57   613½ 626¼ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10 2.15  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CAPITAL CONNECTION               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
 
ELP-5   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING SING 1 1 1nk 1nk 11 11 1½ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 4.21  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
3  GIOCOSO 3 8 73¼ 63¾ 64 44 2½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★ 3.23 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
2  COURAGEOUS CLAY 2 4 41½ 41¾ 31½ 21 31¼ (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 28.45  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
6  BRIGHT SKITTLE 6 2 2nk 2nk 21 32½ 42¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 2.50 35% 1.80 2.04  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
13  MAXIMUM PROMISE 12 11 1110 119¼ 97½ 56½ 54¾ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.22  
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of PAIXAO by SCAT DADDY)
5  HOMER'S ODYSSEY 5 3 51¾ 53¼ 43 66½ 69 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 13% 6.50 11.80  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
4  THUBOOT 4 10 97¼ 86¾ 85½ 76¾ 79¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 11.76  
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
8  STRUMMIN 8 5 84¼ 97¾ 119¾ 1110 811½ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 28% 2.60 8.74  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF THE PARTY by KANTHAROS)
11  COLONEL YORKE 11 12 63¼ 74¾ 74½ 98¾ 912 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
10  RAG TREE 10 7 1210½ 1210¾ 107¾ 109 1012 (hamilton sar)TORRES A 119 20.00 37.07  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CELTIC VOW by BROKEN VOW)
7  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 7 9 3½ 31½ 53 88¾ 1112 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 27.05  
  (by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
9  PATRIOTIC JERRELL 9 6 107½ 107¾ 129¾ 1213 1218¼ (hancock jack)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00 90.16  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
SCR  CLOCK TOWER               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS               (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HAPPY'S ARM CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  SOUND CAUSE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT               (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ELP-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SING A LITTLE SONG 4 4 42½ 41½   1½ 1½ (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 3.50 15% 5.70 2.60 W
2  POPPERINA 2 7 76¼ 63¾   31½ 2½ (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 51% 0.90 1.46 P
1  TELL ME WHEN 1 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 39¼ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00 3.75  
9  JE SUIS RAPIDE 7 6 64¾ 53½   52 49¼ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 34.75  
7  MOTOWN DYNAMIC 6 3 3½ 31   64½ 514¾ (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 13% 6.80 8.81  
6  THREE POLKS 5 1 2½ 2nk   42 615¾ (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.21  
4  ANIMAL FRIES 3 5 54½ 76¼   77½ 721¼ (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 13.91  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY               (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00    
SCR  DEVIL BLUE DRESS               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:102 1:22   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 8 4 23½ 23 2nk 1nk 11¾ (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00 7.39 W
8  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 7 6 88 75¾ 73¼ 4¾ 21¾ (medina ro)TORRES A 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.61 P
1  EXCELLENT QUESTION 1 8 77½ 86 83½ 51¾ 32¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 3.08  
2  CROWN IMPERIAL 2 1 44 44½ 41¾ 3.2 43½ (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 6.00 2.52  
4  SAMAY (PER) 4 2 13½ 13 1nk 2nk 54 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 10.71  
5  HONEY HAULER 5 5 34 33 3.2 61¾ 64 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 13.02  
3  PEACOCK LASS 3 3 55 54¾ 52¼ 72¼ 74¼ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 12% 7.40 6.42  
7  HOLY FOLEY 6 7 66½ 65¾ 62¼ 82½ 84½ (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.87  
SCR  BRU NA BOINNE               (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION               (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.50    
SCR  YESTERNIGHT               (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KING'S GLORY (GB) 8 1 3.2 31   1nk 1¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 122 8.00 12.42  
7  BAD BOY FRANK 7 9 95¾ 54   42 2¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 124 6.00 8.00  
3  ATTACHE 3 4 1nk 1½   2nk 31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.05 S
1  MIRACLE WORKER 1 5 63¼ 42   3½ 44¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 ★ 8.91  
2  SAHALAT 2 3 41¾ 75½   74¼ 54¾ (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.39  
9  REGAL REY 9 7 73¼ 64   63¾ 65 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 46.97  
4  TIGER'S LEGACY 4 2 2nk 2½   53½ 78½ (davis christ)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.17  
6  LAKOTA TERRITORY 6 6 52¼ 88   87¼ 811¾ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.13  
5  MOREAU 5 8 84¼ 98¼   98¼ 914¾ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00 28.99  
 
ELP-9   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:12 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HELLO HOLLYWOOD 3 1 54 64 53½ 21½ 1nk (lynch bri)TORRES A 120 5.00 ★ 3.31  
10  KEHOE BEACH 8 7 11½ 11½ 11 11½ 2nk (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.55 P
1  GOLD LIGHTNING 1 4 97½ 95¾ 95 63¼ 3½ (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10% 9.10 6.50 S
8  KALISPERA (IRE) 7 8 75½ 85¼ 74 52¾ 4¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 35% 1.80 5.46  
6  WEIGH THE RISKS 5 5 21½ 21½ 21 31½ 51 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 3.22  
5  SASSY PRINCESS 4 2 43½ 53 32 41¾ 62¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 10.83  
2  QUIETLY 2 3 86 42½ 43 74¾ 75¼ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.12  
12  FEDERALISM 9 9 64½ 74¼ 84½ 86¼ 86 (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 14.56  
7  FROSTED VICTORY 6 6 32½ 32½ 63½ 910¼ 914½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 34.22  
SCR  EGYPTIAN CANDY               (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY SPEECH               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.