Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-3   EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $54.58 $42.58 355%
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-3-4 $47.60 $44.60 1487%
ELP-7   WIN (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $16.78 $8.78 110%
    EXA (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-8 $59.28 $35.28 147%
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(8/9/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-9 $74.32 $42.32 132%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY   (hiles ric)BEALMEAR C 113 4.00 10% 9.00 2.01 W
CHANISA   (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 3.00 61% 0.60 1.02 P
DEFAULT   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 2.85  
TAMARA'S WAY   (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 15.00 5% 19.00 11.42  
ONE STORMY LADY   (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.70  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL   (shorter a)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  TROTTER   (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
 
ELP-2   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SAVA   (medina ro)TORRES A 118 5.00 10% 9.00 3.20 W
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL   (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 13% 6.50 2.81 P
SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ)   (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 43% 1.30 4.73 S
10  SUCRE CECILE   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 12.97  
AMERICAN SPLENDOR   (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 8.00 5.13  
MALICE MAMA   (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00 7% 12.50 41.70  
CASINO ANNIE   (parker do)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
KISS ME KATIE   (ortiz ale)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 6.96  
11  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 14.96  
SCR  JOIA RARA   (caramori edu)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET   (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
SCR  NO SHOW   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA   (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC PLEASURE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 57% 0.80 2.21 W
UPPER CASE   (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.51 P
STREAMING NOW   (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 4.00 14% 6.00 2.36 S
ALWAYS ANGELS   (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 1.80 1.28  
GUNESH   (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 14.90  
HARTFUL HOPE   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 40.18  
 
ELP-4   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WENDELSSOHN   (delima e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.86  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GANGBUSTERS by BROKEN VOW)
DUKE OF DUVAL   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SHORTSTOP   (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50 4.02  
  (by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
MORUNNING   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 2.10  
  (by MO TOWN out of CALYPSO RUN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BERNIN HOT   (davis christ)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.79  
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
BIG SALT LICK   (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10 2.15  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CAPITAL CONNECTION   (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
 
ELP-5   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING SING   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 4.21  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
GIOCOSO   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 3.23 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
COURAGEOUS CLAY   (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 28.45  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
BRIGHT SKITTLE   (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 2.50 35% 1.80 2.04  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
13  MAXIMUM PROMISE   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.22  
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of PAIXAO by SCAT DADDY)
HOMER'S ODYSSEY   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 13% 6.50 11.80  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
THUBOOT   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 11.76  
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
STRUMMIN   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 28% 2.60 8.74  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF THE PARTY by KANTHAROS)
11  COLONEL YORKE   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
10  RAG TREE   (hamilton sar)TORRES A 119 20.00 37.07  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CELTIC VOW by BROKEN VOW)
BRERETON'S BAYTOWN   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 27.05  
  (by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
PATRIOTIC JERRELL   (hancock jack)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00 90.16  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
SCR  CLOCK TOWER   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS   (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HAPPY'S ARM CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  SOUND CAUSE   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ELP-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING A LITTLE SONG   (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 3.50 15% 5.70 2.60 W
POPPERINA   (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 51% 0.90 1.46 P
TELL ME WHEN   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00 3.75  
JE SUIS RAPIDE   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 34.75  
MOTOWN DYNAMIC   (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 13% 6.80 8.81  
THREE POLKS   (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.21  
ANIMAL FRIES   (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 13.91  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00    
SCR  DEVIL BLUE DRESS   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY   (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00 7.39 W
MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (medina ro)TORRES A 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.61 P
EXCELLENT QUESTION   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 3.08  
CROWN IMPERIAL   (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 6.00 2.52  
SAMAY (PER)   (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 10.71  
HONEY HAULER   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 13.02  
PEACOCK LASS   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 12% 7.40 6.42  
HOLY FOLEY   (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.87  
SCR  BRU NA BOINNE   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION   (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.50    
SCR  YESTERNIGHT   (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S GLORY (GB)   (asmussen )TORRES A 122 8.00 12.42  
BAD BOY FRANK   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 124 6.00 8.00  
ATTACHE   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.05 S
MIRACLE WORKER   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 8.91  
SAHALAT   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.39  
REGAL REY   (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 46.97  
TIGER'S LEGACY   (davis christ)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.17  
LAKOTA TERRITORY   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.13  
MOREAU   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00 28.99  
 
ELP-9   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO HOLLYWOOD   (lynch bri)TORRES A 120 5.00 3.31  
10  KEHOE BEACH   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.55 P
GOLD LIGHTNING   (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10% 9.10 6.50 S
KALISPERA (IRE)   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 35% 1.80 5.46  
WEIGH THE RISKS   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 3.22  
SASSY PRINCESS   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 10.83  
QUIETLY   (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.12  
12  FEDERALISM   (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 14.56  
FROSTED VICTORY   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 34.22  
SCR  EGYPTIAN CANDY   (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS   (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY SPEECH   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.