Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/7/12/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/7/12/4/3)-(2/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
ELP-2   WIN (2/7/12/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/12/4/3)-(2/7/12/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/12/4/3)-(2/7/12/4/3)-(2/7/12/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/12/4/3)-(2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/12/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(3/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
ELP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/1/2)-(6/8/5/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/8/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/8/5/11)-(2/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-5   WIN (6/8/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/11)-(6/8/5/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/11)-(6/8/5/11/3)-(6/8/5/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/5/11)-(2/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/11)-(2/5/7/6)-(8/9/3/7) 64 $0.50 $192 
ELP-6   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(8/9/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/6)-(8/9/3/7)-(6/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
ELP-7   WIN (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/3/7)-(6/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/7)-(6/2/3/4)-(8/10/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
ELP-8   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/1/4)-(6/2/3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(8/10/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ELP-9   WIN (8/10/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/2)-(8/10/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/2)-(8/10/1/2/3)-(8/10/1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Jun15 May26 May10 Apr19 Mar09 (hiles ric)BEALMEAR C 113 4.00 10% 9.00    
2  TAMARA'S WAY Jun01 May12 Sep20 Sep03 Aug04 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL Apr27 Mar22 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  TROTTER Jun08 May09 Apr14     (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
5  ONE STORMY LADY Jun06 Apr25 Mar15 Feb07 Mar18 (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
6  CHANISA Jun20 May16 May02 Feb16 Jan27 (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
7  DEFAULT May30 May12 Mar30 Mar06 Feb18 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
 
ELP-2   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE Jun12 May02 Mar30 Mar10 Feb18 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00    
2  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) Jun07 May26 Apr11 Mar27 Mar06 (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 43% 1.30    
3  CASINO ANNIE Jun15 Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 (parker do)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALICE MAMA         (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  MOON FLEET May31 May04 Apr17 Feb14 Jan17 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR Jun16         (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 8.00    
7  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL May26 Apr28 Oct13 Aug26   (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  JOIA RARA Jun25 May30 May12 Mar20 Feb29 (caramori edu)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00    
9  KISS ME KATIE Aug09 Jul08       (ortiz ale)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
10  SUCRE CECILE Jun18 Jun02 Dec13 Nov17 Sep13 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
11  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND May30 Apr28 Mar29 Feb24 Jan12 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
12  SAVA Jun18 May30 Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  NO SHOW May31 Apr21 Mar29 Mar08 Aug04 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA Jun05 Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS ANGELS Jun09 Apr15 Mar16 Feb10 Dec30 (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 1.80    
2  MYSTIC PLEASURE Jun09 May01 Mar27 May04 Mar31 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
3  UPPER CASE May29 May01 Feb15 Jan04 Jun13 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  STREAMING NOW May16 Apr05 Feb21 Sep14 Aug06 (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  HARTFUL HOPE Jun18 Jan27 Dec18 Nov28 Nov06 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
6  GUNESH May26 May04 Mar14 Feb09 Jan07 (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-4   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SALT LICK Jun09         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
2  DUKE OF DUVAL Mar15         (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  MORUNNING Mar08 Feb03       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CALYPSO RUN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BERNIN HOT Jun12 May10 Apr17 Aug31 Aug12 (davis christ)TORRES A 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
5  WENDELSSOHN Jun27 Nov02       (delima e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GANGBUSTERS by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CAPITAL CONNECTION Jun12 May12 Apr14 Mar15 Jan27 (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
7  SHORTSTOP Sep23 Jan06       (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50    
  (by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
ELP-5   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING SING Jun06 May01       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
2  COURAGEOUS CLAY         (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
3  GIOCOSO Jun20         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
4  THUBOOT         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
5  HOMER'S ODYSSEY         (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
6  BRIGHT SKITTLE May11 Apr25       (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
7  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN Jun19 Jun06       (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
8  STRUMMIN May26 May02 Apr17 Apr05   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF THE PARTY by KANTHAROS)
9  PATRIOTIC JERRELL May16         (hancock jack)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
10  RAG TREE Jun17 May26       (hamilton sar)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CELTIC VOW by BROKEN VOW)
11  COLONEL YORKE Jun08         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS         (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HAPPY'S ARM CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
13  MAXIMUM PROMISE         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of PAIXAO by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SOUND CAUSE Jun21         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
SCR  CLOCK TOWER May24         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ELP-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELL ME WHEN Jun13 Oct19 Sep04 Aug07 Jun11 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00    
2  POPPERINA Jun05 Apr17 Mar24 Feb17 Dec17 (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 51% 0.90    
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 Apr25 Oct06 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00    
4  ANIMAL FRIES Nov24 Oct14 Sep07 Aug13 Jul22 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
5  SING A LITTLE SONG Jun19 May03 Apr07 Mar15 Jan11 (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  THREE POLKS May31 May02 Feb17 Jan13 Dec15 (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOTOWN DYNAMIC May18 Apr04 Feb24 Jan20   (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  DEVIL BLUE DRESS Jun05 Jan18 Nov26 Nov03 Oct07 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 30.00    
9  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jun13 Jun05 May23 May11 Jun23 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCELLENT QUESTION Jun02 Apr26 Jan31 Dec30 Dec02 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
2  CROWN IMPERIAL May31 Apr06 Mar02 Oct06 Sep13 (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 6.00    
3  PEACOCK LASS Jun01 May04 Apr07 Feb24 Feb08 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
4  SAMAY (PER) Jul04 Jun13 Jun10 Apr20 Nov21 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00    
5  HONEY HAULER May19 May06 Mar15 Feb24 Dec07 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION May30 Apr20 Jan13 Nov04 Aug31 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.50    
7  HOLY FOLEY May25 Apr24 Apr07 Mar09 Oct18 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAKE THE BOYS WINK May03 Nov24 Nov04 Oct11 Sep10 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
9  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Jun02 Oct27 Sep23 Jul22 Jun29 (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BRU NA BOINNE Jun09 Sep23 Aug05 Jun29 Mar25 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
SCR  YESTERNIGHT Jun09 Oct27 Sep23 Aug22 Jul14 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE WORKER Apr26 Feb19 Apr01 Feb18   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 ★    
2  SAHALAT Jun09 May12 Aug19     (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  ATTACHE Jun06 Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  TIGER'S LEGACY Jun06 May09 Apr24 Mar16 Apr20 (davis christ)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOREAU May30 Apr26 Nov30 Oct22 Aug29 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
6  LAKOTA TERRITORY Feb03         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  BAD BOY FRANK Jun13 Jun18 Apr28 Mar25   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
8  KING'S GLORY (GB) Jul08 Apr23 Mar25 Aug27   (asmussen )TORRES A 122 8.00    
9  REGAL REY Jun20 May08 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
 
ELP-9   07/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD LIGHTNING May10 Nov17 Oct27 Oct04 Aug31 (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  QUIETLY May25         (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HELLO HOLLYWOOD Jun01 Apr25 Mar30 Feb25 Jan28 (lynch bri)TORRES A 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS Jun15 May25 Dec22 Oct29 Sep13 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 30.00    
5  SASSY PRINCESS Jun01 Apr25 Mar03 Oct29 Aug31 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
6  WEIGH THE RISKS Jun06 May03 Mar09 Sep03 Aug06 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
7  FROSTED VICTORY Feb11 Dec02       (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
8  KALISPERA (IRE) Jun06 May03 Feb11 Jan07   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  EGYPTIAN CANDY Jan05 Nov29 Oct27     (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
10  KEHOE BEACH Jun07 Apr12 Jan31     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  LUCKY SPEECH Jun15 May17 Apr05 Feb29 Jan27 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
12  FEDERALISM Jul23         (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.