Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $66.80 $54.80 457%
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-2-1 $27.95 $24.95 832%
WRD-6   DD (3/1/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-1 $30.40 $12.40 69%
WRD-7   EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-4 $50.40 $26.40 110%
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-3 $51.25 $39.25 327%
    SFT (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-4-3-1 $22.70 $20.30 846%
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $25.80 $1.80 8%
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/5/3)-(1/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-1-6 $28.25 $10.25 57%
WRD-8   SFT (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5/1)-(3/4/8/5/1)-(3/4/8/5/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-4-1-5 $13.22 $3.62 38%

Simulator Race results

 
WRD-1   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :473       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC CRAKEN 5 4 5 3   1nk 1¼ (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 2.50 42% 1.40 0.50 W
ALWAYS A KING 3 2 2nk 11   2nk 2¼ (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00 23% 3.30 2.20 P
OLD TOBY 4 1 4 5   36 3 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 8.40  
CRUEL ENDEAVOR 1 5 1nk 21   410 417 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 7.30  
MR SEEKER 2 3 3.2 42   510½ 518 (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
SCR  LIGHT HORSE HARRY               (gibson jona)WETHEY JR 125 2.50    
 
WRD-2   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR CONTENDER 3 5 3½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (hartman alex)PEREZ A 125 4.00 3.90  
EASY BIG BOY 5 2 5 6   43 2½ (hewitt michael)KIMES C 125 6.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
TATER 1 6 1nk 3.2   2½ 3 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00 6.00  
CREATIVE MIRACLE 4 3 42 4   3 4 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 1.80 43% 1.30 1.10  
DISCO DANZING 6 1 6 5   5 5 (mckinn)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 3.50 4.60  
RING BEARER 2 4 2nk 2nk   6 614 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 30% 2.40 5.40  
 
WRD-3   04/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
1:48         1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULBERRY STREET 5 3 3 3 2nk 12 1 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.60 25% 3.10 1.70 W
ONE TIME GEM 4 6 24 2 32 22 2 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.00 29% 2.40 3.50 P
VANGILDER 6 5 4 5 5 3 3 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 13% 6.70 3.20 S
WAVERUNNER 1 1 5 4 4 54 45 (davis d)QUINONEZ B 119 12.00 7.60  
SCARY FAST SMILE 7 7 14 1 1nk 4 515 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 4.70  
CHARING CROSS 3 4 612 6 6 67 615 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 119 15.00 14.80  
NOMOREMRNICEGUY 2 2 713½ 7 7 78 716 (snodgrass er)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
 
WRD-4   04/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:251 :51 1:153     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE SMOKE 1 3 53 6 32 3½ 11 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 119 3.50 2.70  
CHASIN JASON 3 2 2 21 2nk 1½ 21 (swan patrick)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 31% 2.30 1.60 P
KISS AND TELL 6 1 1 11 1nk 2½ 3 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 114 4.00 12% 7.60 8.00 S
LEGACY ACCOUNT 4 5 43 5 6 5 417½ (peery l)SANCHEZ OBED 119 10.00 12.60  
WRINKLE ROAD 2 6 6 42 5 6 517½ (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 46.60  
LAKE BEE 5 4 32 3 4 4 621¾ (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.40 36% 1.80 1.70  
 
WRD-5   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:232 :472       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADEDTOTHESTARS 3 2 32 41   4¼ 1 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 60% 0.70 2.60 W
WHIP 2 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (hale james )WETHEY JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
CINCO STEVE 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 32 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 10% 9.00 1.10 S
EURO SUPRISE 6 6 5 3½   3.2 4 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 32.20  
SWEET BAKER 5 5 4 52   5 57 (davidson brent)KIMES C 119 2.50 2.00  
CANONIZE (IRE) 4 4 6 67   610¼ 623¼ (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 20.40  
SCR  BLUESKIESANDANGELS               (mcdaniel brianna)QUINONEZ B 119 4.00    
 
WRD-6   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:234 :473 :60     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RED 1 4 43 32   2nk 1hd (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 45% 1.20 1.80 W
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
WAR RASCAL 5 2 11 1   1nk 2hd (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 5.20  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
KISSOFTHENILE 4 1 21 2   3½ 3 (calloway h)CRUZ ROMAN 125 5.00 21% 3.80 3.40 S
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
ROCKIN BOOTS 3 3 3 43   4 4 (buehrer mark )PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 1.50  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ALBANY COUNTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
MR. KUNTATA 2 5 53 5   5 5 (baze t)KIMES C 125 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
  (by AUTHORITIVELY out of RISEONEAGLESWINGS by ULTIMATE EAGLE)
SCR  BREAKABLE CODE               (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 3.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of HONORABLE BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  BULLEIT ROCKS               (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 120 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GO NO GO by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
WRD-7   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEXY BROWN 5 1 31 1nk   1nk 1 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.50 9% 10.00 2.40 W
LOW EURO CAT 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50 P
SHORT STRETCH 2 6 710 76   6 3 (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 33% 2.00 5.10 S
LET HER BUCK 1 5 1½ 31   4 4 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00  
SHAWK'S LIL MIA 7 3 53 4   32 5 (pruitt jody )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00 15.90  
K O AMERICAN PIE 6 4 4 5   5 66 (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 6.60  
REALITY CHECK 4 7 66 64   7 76 (stephens jerry)LANDEROS C 125 20.00 62.50  
SCR  CANDY'S A DANDY               (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
 
WRD-8   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilma Mankiller Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACEIN 3 4 1 1   1½ 11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 44% 1.30 2.50 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
TAKE ME SERIOUS 4 6 2 2   2½ 21 (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50 23% 3.40 1.30 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
ALWAYS ANGELS 1 7 43 44   4 3 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 126 8.00 5.90 S
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RIBBING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TIFFANY TWIST 5 9 10 65   53 4 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by FLAT OUT out of SUCCESSFUL SLEW by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
THETRUTHISTHETRUTH 8 2 32 3   32 5 (cogburn l)KIMES C 120 6.00 11% 7.80 8.70  
  (by FLAT OUT out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
10  BIRDIE BE GONE 9 1 5 5   6 6 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 12.00 14.80  
  (by WILBURN out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
11  SEA LEVEL 10 5 8 7   7 713 (biehler e)PEREZ A 120 12.00 63.30  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS KEKOA by EXCHANGE RATE)
SINNIN N GRINNIN 6 3 75 9   8 813¾ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 44.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
YVONNE'S MISS 7 10 98 10   98 915¾ (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 24.00  
  (by BUCCHERO out of DEPUTY MISS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
ANN ALEE 2 8 64 86   10 1019 (biehler mich)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00 26.50  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ANNIE AKELEY by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
SCR  DIVA TREVA               (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
 
WRD-9   04/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:143     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 17 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 3.00 58% 0.70 0.70 W
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
MYSTICAL CODE 3 1 4 3 4 34 27 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 4.50 P
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
10  MIZ RITHYM 9 7 32 42 3½ 23 38 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00 73.60  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of MIZOES READY by MORE THAN READY)
RED ROSE CAFE 8 6 53 53 5 55 4 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 5% 19.00 3.70  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FREE BIRD FLY by BIANCONI)
HOORAY FOR CREDIT 7 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 517¾ (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 18% 4.40 10.30  
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
SLICK CITY GIRL 5 8 7 6 76 710½ 617¾ (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 15.00 46.40  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of MISSTERIA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
FLAT OUT FANCY 2 4 9 98 63 6 720 (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00 13.90  
  (by FLAT OUT out of STORMQUILITY by AFTER MARKET)
GOSPEL EXPRESSION 6 9 65 77 88 813½ 824½ (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 5.00 12.90  
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
HOLY AMA 1 5 8 8 9 919½ 943½ (bravo francisco)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 82.70  
  (by WILBURN out of SLEW WATER SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
SCR  GOLDIE'S LEGACY               (gladd andy)KIMES C 125 20.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of TOC'S GOLD by TOCCET)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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