Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/2/5)-(4/5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/5/6/2)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(5/3/6)-(3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/1/2)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/5/3)-(1/3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/3/6/4)-(3/4/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(3/4/8/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(3/4/8/5)-(4/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5/1)-(3/4/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/8/5)-(4/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/9)-(4/8/9/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/9)-(4/8/9/3/6)-(4/8/9/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIGHT HORSE HARRY Feb09 Jan26 Dec30     (gibson jona)WETHEY JR 125 2.50    
2  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Apr02 Mar11 Feb15     (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00    
3  MR SEEKER Mar25 Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 Nov13 (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALWAYS A KING Apr01 Mar25 Mar08 Feb18   (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
5  OLD TOBY Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Jul13 Jun14 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
6  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Mar30 Jan12 Dec22     (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
WRD-2   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATER Mar11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 Oct11 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
2  RING BEARER Nov21 Oct21 Oct06 Aug26 Aug04 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  MAJOR CONTENDER Mar04 Feb18 Jan01 Dec16 Nov18 (hartman alex)PEREZ A 125 4.00    
4  CREATIVE MIRACLE Mar22 Mar10 Feb03 Jan05 Dec19 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  EASY BIG BOY Mar21 Mar14 Mar01 Feb16 Dec17 (hewitt michael)KIMES C 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  DISCO DANZING Mar25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 Nov18 (mckinn)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 3.50    
 
WRD-3   04/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVERUNNER Apr01 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct04 (davis d)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00    
2  NOMOREMRNICEGUY Mar14 Feb10 Jan27 Jan01 Dec07 (snodgrass er)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHARING CROSS Mar26 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Oct18 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
4  ONE TIME GEM Feb13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov23 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  MULBERRY STREET Nov03 Oct14 Sep05 Aug16 Jul05 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.60 25% 3.10    
6  VANGILDER Mar20 Mar04 Feb15 Jan27 Dec15 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
7  SCARY FAST SMILE Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Feb09 Jan20 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
 
WRD-4   04/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE SMOKE Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Dec07 Nov10 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 119 3.50    
2  WRINKLE ROAD Apr01 Mar01 Feb04 Dec07 Nov18 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00    
3  CHASIN JASON Mar19 Nov10 Oct26     (swan patrick)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  LEGACY ACCOUNT Mar19 Nov08 Oct07 Sep01   (peery l)SANCHEZ OBED 119 10.00    
5  LAKE BEE Mar19 Feb10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.40 36% 1.80    
6  KISS AND TELL Mar18 Oct20 Sep23     (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 114 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
WRD-5   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINCO STEVE Apr01 Mar12 Nov30 Nov01 Oct06 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
2  WHIP Apr03 Mar18 Dec02 Nov01 Jul20 (hale james )WETHEY JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Mar18 Dec07 Jul17 Mar20 Dec13 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
4  CANONIZE (IRE) Feb09 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
SCR  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Apr02 Mar18 Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 (mcdaniel brianna)QUINONEZ B 119 4.00    
6  SWEET BAKER Apr01 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 (davidson brent)KIMES C 119 2.50    
7  EURO SUPRISE Apr01 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct27 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
 
WRD-6   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKSTAR RED Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 Oct25 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
SCR  BULLEIT ROCKS Mar20 Sep29 Aug31     (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 120 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GO NO GO by ARCHARCHARCH)
3  MR. KUNTATA         (baze t)KIMES C 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHORITIVELY out of RISEONEAGLESWINGS by ULTIMATE EAGLE)
4  ROCKIN BOOTS Mar20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov04 Sep30 (buehrer mark )PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ALBANY COUNTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
5  KISSOFTHENILE Mar17 Jan13 Jul22 Jul10 Jun24 (calloway h)CRUZ ROMAN 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
SCR  BREAKABLE CODE         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 3.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of HONORABLE BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
7  WAR RASCAL Sep25 Sep17 Aug13 Jul24 Jun23 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
WRD-7   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET HER BUCK Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Dec14 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  CANDY'S A DANDY Mar18 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 Sep07 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
3  SHORT STRETCH Apr03 Mar04 Dec08 Nov17 Sep23 (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
4  LOW EURO CAT Apr03 Mar12 Jan18 Dec14 Nov01 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  REALITY CHECK Apr03 Mar18 Dec09 Nov21 Nov10 (stephens jerry)LANDEROS C 125 20.00    
6  SEXY BROWN Mar18 Mar04 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.50 9% 10.00    
7  K O AMERICAN PIE Apr01 Mar18 Nov02 Sep07   (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
8  SHAWK'S LIL MIA Oct20 Sep07       (pruitt jody )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
 
WRD-8   04/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilma Mankiller Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS ANGELS Mar16 Feb10 Dec30 Dec08 May05 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 126 8.00 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RIBBING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ANN ALEE Dec30 Oct04 Sep16 Sep02 Aug13 (biehler mich)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ANNIE AKELEY by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
3  PALACEIN Mar16 Feb17 Dec15 Nov28 Nov01 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
4  TAKE ME SERIOUS Mar25 Dec01 Apr25 Apr02 Mar19 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
5  TIFFANY TWIST Mar04 Dec15 Nov14 Oct25 Oct07 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of SUCCESSFUL SLEW by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  SINNIN N GRINNIN Mar25 Oct20 Sep15 May16 May03 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  YVONNE'S MISS Mar01 Feb19 Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DEPUTY MISS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
8  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Mar24 Mar04 Feb03 Jan15 Dec30 (cogburn l)KIMES C 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
SCR  DIVA TREVA Mar24 Mar17 Feb19 Jan12 Dec15 (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
10  BIRDIE BE GONE Apr02 Nov13 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
11  SEA LEVEL Apr02 Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 Sep28 (biehler e)PEREZ A 120 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS KEKOA by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
WRD-9   04/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY AMA Apr01 Dec14 Nov17 Oct25   (bravo francisco)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of SLEW WATER SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
2  FLAT OUT FANCY Mar20 Mar01 Sep01     (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STORMQUILITY by AFTER MARKET)
3  MYSTICAL CODE Mar20 Mar04 Dec16 Nov02 May16 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 ★    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
4  READY Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Dec14 Dec02 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
5  SLICK CITY GIRL Dec14         (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 15.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of MISSTERIA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
6  GOSPEL EXPRESSION Mar20 Mar04 Dec08 Nov02 Oct14 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 5.00 ★    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
SCR  GOLDIE'S LEGACY May16 Apr11       (gladd andy)KIMES C 125 20.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of TOC'S GOLD by TOCCET)
8  HOORAY FOR CREDIT Mar20 Mar04 Feb23 Feb04 Dec16 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 18% 4.40    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
9  RED ROSE CAFE Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 Dec08 Nov17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FREE BIRD FLY by BIANCONI)
10  MIZ RITHYM Mar04 Feb04       (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of MIZOES READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.