The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Sam Houston Race Park
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HOU-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
HOU-2   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
HOU-3   Win (7/9/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -5.80
HOU-4   Win (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
HOU-5   Win (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
HOU-6   Win (7/3/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 10.40
HOU-7   Win (9/4/2/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -5.00
HOU-8   Win (8/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-1   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST ADORABLE 5 3 4 34   211 (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.40 43% 1.30 1.90 W
IN A MINESHAFT 3 6 66 6   321 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 34% 1.90 1.50 P
EARLY SPRING 6 1 11 13   132 (dupuy allen)TRIANA JR 122 2.50 2.60 S
MEDAGLIA'S SONG 4 5 5 5   448 (padilla carlos)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
MIA IS SHORT 1 7 7 7   79 513½ (silva )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 16.30  
CREAM PUFF REAPER 2 4 31 44   57 615 (silva miguel)DIEGO V 122 20.00 35.10  
TOUCH WITT CLASS 7 2 21 23   6717½ (davidson sarah )CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 24.70  
 
HOU-2   02/19/2024 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:222 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAY'S BLACK OPAL 3 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 11 (ashford trista)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 15% 5.50 1.70 W
SHERWOOD AVENUE 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.80 59% 0.70 1.20 P
WITT AMERICA 7 5 43 4   33(davids)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 9.80 S
CLASSIC RUNNER 6 6 7 6   64(govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00 28.70  
LOVE SPELL 2 8 6 5   54 5(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
BOLD EXCAPER 4 1 32 31   469 (jacks e)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 25.10  
PRINCE SIMBA 1 7 810¾ 7   7711¼ (govea cesar)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00 12.50  
10  SUPREME CAPO 8 3 5 8100   8100 8100 (sayre ronald )BARANDELA SOFIA 123 30.00 23.00  
SCR  CINCO RICHIE               (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00    
SCR  IN BOND WE TRUST               (davidson brent)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MONEY               (willis mind)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
SCR  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE               (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.50    
 
HOU-3   02/19/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:122     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MONTE CARLO 7 5 31 3½   12 1(clary re)JARA FERNANDO 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.10 W
BAYOU BOY 6 4 4 5   42(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 9% 10.60 9.00 P
SONNY BOB 8 3 7 6   32 311 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 5.50  
10  COMES THE SUN 10 2 2nk 1nk   22 411½ (davidson bre)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 10.00 11.30  
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 1 6 5 41   6513 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 8.60  
TOO MUCH LONG LEGS 4 1 1nk 2nk   5613½ (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 4.20  
DOC HENRY RIDGE 9 9 9 8   8717 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 122 30.00 9% 10.60 26.90  
RUSTY GADGET 2 7 8 7   7817¾ (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 34.80  
FIST BUMP RIDGE 3 10 109 1011¼   919¾ 944¾ (kotara )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 9% 10.60 24.80  
TEXAS REIGN 5 8 6 9   1020¾ 1054 (dupuy allen)TRIANA JR 122 30.00 8% 11.90 29.20  
 
HOU-4   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY WICKED 2 2 1 1 13 13 1¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 13% 6.90 3.10 W
SPERLE 4 8 77 6 5 23 2¾ (rossi j)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
LEGIONARY 9 4 2 3 23 335 (young e)WETHEY JR 121 20.00 40.60 S
LIARS CLUB 5 7 3 2 33 445 (davidson bre)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 29.30  
10  NAUTILUS (BRZ) 10 5 55 4 45 66 5(asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.00 64% 0.60 1.40  
FREE MAKER 8 3 4 5 6 56(ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 16.00  
FATHER RED 6 6 66 7 8 78 77 (davidson sarah )CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 5.20  
BIG POWER RED 3 10 10 8 7 88(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 25.00  
RESOLVE NOW 7 9 8 9 911 911¼ 915 (eoff terry)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 20.00 89.00  
TEXAS TITAN 1 1 9 10 1011 1011¼ 1019½ (payne w)BRACHO A 121 20.00 44.30  
 
HOU-5   02/19/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:152 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CINDY 5 5 43 4 2nk 12 1(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
MY PATRIOTIC GIRL 6 7 54 5 5 32 2(cruz edua)GONCALVES R 121 3.50 12% 7.50 8.40 P
CINNAMON FACE 1 1 2 2nk 6 533 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 62% 0.60 1.00 S
10  FAYETTE BLUE 7 3 32 3.2 1nk 22 4(rossi j)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50 2.80  
RUN WITT RUN 4 2 1 1nk 3½ 65(davidson sarah )CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 11.30  
CAPETOWN CANDY 3 6 64 6 4¾ 46(tuley rhonda)SALAZAR TERESA 116 30.00 45.70  
KEEP THE BLING 2 4 7 7 7 7720½ (gustafson austi)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00 14.90  
SCR  GRASS QUEEN               (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 8.00    
SCR  HAILEY'S JEWEL               (gar)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
SCR  HONOR GIVEN               (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
 
HOU-6   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BIRDY'S ON FIRE 10 5 4 2nk   1½ 1(zielke madison)WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 9.20 W
ROYAL LIAISON 4 4 3.2 1nk   2½ 2(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 26.70  
VIOLENT VIOLET 6 9 107 105   63(zielke )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00 47.60  
READY 9 1 5 5   44(craddock )GONCALVES R 122 10.00 3.70  
GET READY GAL 5 2 73 73   75(jacks e)DIEGO V 122 8.00 9% 10.10 11.00  
IZE A BLAST 7 8 85 85   86(ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 30% 2.30 3.50  
11  FLYIN WITHTHE BOSS 11 7 6 6   979 (eo)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 20.00 ######  
LET HER BUCK 2 3 2nk 4¼   53 89 (young e)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 11% 8.30 5.10  
EQUUS 1 6 1nk 3.2   39(asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 8.70  
ALLYCROKER 3 11 1110 119   116 1010½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 24% 3.20 5.70  
HOOH HER 8 10 95 95   105 1111 (willis mind)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 6.70  
 
HOU-7   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YVONNE'S MISS 8 9 9 6   51(davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 34% 1.90 1.50 W
10  EKATI'S HIT 9 3 7 5   42(craddock )GONCALVES R 121 15.00 24.20  
11  CONFLICTING TALES 10 2 11 1½   13(young e)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 3.80  
12  WHEN JUDY CALLS 11 1 21 2½   24(sil)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 6% 14.50 13.70  
THE RAGE OF ART 5 10 10 108   85(govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00 73.80  
SWEET ATTITUDE 7 4 5 3   33 6(cr)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 20.00 51.00  
CARRY ON 1 11 1110¼ 1110   117(pearson m)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 7% 12.70 27.20  
TEXAS RED BEL 6 7 42 4   64 89 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 15.00 12.20  
CADEAU DE PAIX 3 6 6 8   99(asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 28% 2.60 2.10  
TWO HANDS FULL 2 8 8 9   101010 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
CHILLAXIFICATION 4 5 32 7   75 1111¼ (young scott)TRIANA JR 121 15.00 33.80  
SCR  HOLLY DOLLY               (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 2.50    
 
HOU-8   02/19/2024 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :462       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO BETTY JO 7 4 2nk 2nk   11¾ (jacks e)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 43% 1.30 1.60 W
11  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 10 1 31 3   32 2¾ (mckinney ky)TRIANA JR 123 12.00 20.00  
10  YOU HAVE NO IDEA 9 5 4 42   43 36 (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 5.00 27% 2.70 8.30 S
MARKET PROFILE 8 8 7 6   64(hebert ma)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 32.90  
12  WITCH WAY GRAY 11 2 8 53   55(davidson sarah )JARA FERNANDO 123 30.00 35.00  
LEONE 3 9 6 8   86(willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 6.20  
MOLLY OF STRATFORD 2 7 5 7   77(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 1.90  
JUST PLAIN BAD 5 3 1nk 1nk   2810¼ (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 10.00 6% 14.80 11.80  
THE CAT CAME BACK 4 10 9 9   97 911½ (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 56.80  
ERIA VITTATA 1 11 115 11   111012¼ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 56.60  
A LITTLE GOOD NEWS 6 6 10 10   108 1112¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
SCR  CLIMB TO GLORY               (pearson m)GILES EMMANUEL 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.