Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/3/2)-(7/3/6/9/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/3/6/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/3/6/9/5)-(10/2/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/3/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/9/5)-(7/3/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/9/5)-(7/3/6/9/5)-(7/3/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/6/9/5)-(10/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/9/5)-(10/2/4)-(3/9/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-4   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/2/4)-(3/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4)-(3/9/8)-(7/3/2/5/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/8)-(3/9/10/8)-(3/9/10/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/8)-(7/3/2/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8)-(7/3/2/5/10)-(9/4/2/12/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/3/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/5/10)-(7/3/2/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/5/10)-(7/3/2/5/10)-(7/3/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/2/5/10)-(9/4/2/12/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/5/10)-(9/4/2/12/3)-(8/10/6/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (9/4/2/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/12/3)-(9/4/2/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/12/3)-(9/4/2/12/3)-(9/4/2/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/12/3)-(8/10/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/7)-(8/10/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/7)-(8/10/6/7/2)-(8/10/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA IS SHORT Nov30         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
2  CREAM PUFF REAPER Feb04 Jan07 Oct13 Sep13 Jul02 (silva miguel)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
3  IN A MINESHAFT Jan20 Dec01 Nov18 Oct12 Jun22 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  MEDAGLIA'S SONG Feb10 Jan27       (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUST ADORABLE Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
6  EARLY SPRING Feb04 Jan07 Jul02 Jun03   (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 2.50 ★    
7  TOUCH WITT CLASS Feb04         (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
 
HOU-2   02/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE SIMBA Feb03 Jan19 Nov16 Oct18 Aug05 (govea ces)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00    
2  LOVE SPELL Jan13 Jan05 Nov15 Sep30 Jul22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Jan20 Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 May28 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May28 Apr22 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00    
5  BOLD EXCAPER Jan20 Jan05 Dec13 Nov17 Oct19 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
6  SHERWOOD AVENUE Jan20 Dec27 Dec28     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.80 59% 0.70    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MONEY Nov24 Oct19 Sep22 Nov21   (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
8  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb09 Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 Nov24 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
9  WITT AMERICA Jan20 Sep21 Aug08 Jul02 Jun18 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 ★    
10  SUPREME CAPO Jan20 Sep04 Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 (sayre ronal)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 30.00    
SCR  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE Nov24 Oct07 Sep14 Oct21   (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.50    
SCR  IN BOND WE TRUST Dec08 Nov18 Jun14 Mar11   (davidson brent)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
 
HOU-3   02/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Feb09 Jan21       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DON'T BLAME BUNKER by SILVER CITY)
2  RUSTY GADGET Jan20 Jun23       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
  (by ALLSTAR DANCER out of FANTASTIC FINISH by FORMAL DINNER)
3  FIST BUMP RIDGE         (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 9% 10.60    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
4  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS Feb03 Jan05       (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of TO MUCH CHITCHAT by FROST GIANT)
5  TEXAS REIGN         (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 30.00 8% 11.90    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of TIME FOR DECEPTION by DESERT GOD)
6  BAYOU BOY Feb03 Jan21       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 9% 10.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
7  MISTER MONTE CARLO Jan27 Jan05       (clary jaylan )JARA FERNANDO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of CONQUEST TAPGIRL by TAPIZAR)
8  SONNY BOB Jan20 Jul03 Jun23 Jun04   (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50    
  (by MR. BESILU out of AWESOMELY PERFECT by AWESOME OF COURSE)
9  DOC HENRY RIDGE         (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 122 30.00 9% 10.60    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
10  COMES THE SUN Feb09         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 10.00    
  (by GUNNER'S VIEW out of WINNING WONDER by SWORD DANCE (IRE))
 
HOU-4   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS TITAN Feb03 Jan12 Nov22 Oct18 Sep03 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 20.00    
2  SIMPLY WICKED Jan19 Sep28 Sep09 Aug31 Jun22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  BIG POWER RED Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 Sep01 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
4  SPERLE Feb09 Nov15 Oct25 Aug14 May06 (rossi j)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIARS CLUB Jan19 Jan07 Dec15 Nov29 Nov17 (davidson b)GILES EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
6  FATHER RED Feb09 Nov11 Oct27 Sep11 Aug28 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00    
7  RESOLVE NOW Jan27 Jan19 Dec15 Dec02 Nov11 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 20.00    
8  FREE MAKER Jan13 Dec16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul21 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 ★    
9  LEGIONARY Jan19 Dec16 Dec07 Apr24 Apr03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 20.00 ★    
10  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec13 Dec07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
HOU-5   02/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONOR GIVEN Feb03 Jan13 Jun15 May20 Apr01 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
SCR  GRASS QUEEN Jan13 Nov03 Sep08 Jun15 Mar05 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 8.00    
3  CINNAMON FACE Jan12 Dec02 Nov09 Sep28 Sep15 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  KEEP THE BLING Jan13 Nov09 Oct05 Sep08 Jul31 (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
5  CAPETOWN CANDY Jan28 Jan07 Sep05 Aug20 Jun17 (tuley rhonda)SALAZAR TERESA 116 30.00    
6  RUN WITT RUN Jan20 Sep08 Aug08 Jul26 Jul01 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00    
SCR  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jan07 Jul03 Jun09 May29 May13 (g)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
8  SUPER CINDY Jan28 Jan07 Nov24 Nov08 Oct05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Jan28 Sep05 Jul31 Jul01 Jun03 (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
10  FAYETTE BLUE Jan19 Sep30 Sep09 Jul24 Jun25 (rossi j)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50 ★    
 
HOU-6   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUUS         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SWEET ESPRIT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  LET HER BUCK Jan27 Dec14       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ADDABUCK by BELONG TO ME)
3  ALLYCROKER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHEROKEE JEWEL by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  ROYAL LIAISON Jan27         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of BETTY THE QUEEN by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  GET READY GAL Feb04 Dec29 Nov14 Nov01 Sep22 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
6  VIOLENT VIOLET         (zielk)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TRANSACTION by DEPOSIT TICKET)
7  IZE A BLAST Jan28 Dec19 Nov28 Oct21   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
8  HOOH HER         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of HOOH WHY by CLOUD HOPPING)
9  READY Dec14 Dec02 Oct05 Sep01 Aug18 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
10  BIRDY'S ON FIRE Jan27 Aug25 Aug05     (zielke madison)WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BIRDMUDIFUL by BIRDSTONE)
11  FLYIN WITHTHE BOSS Jan27 Sep30 Sep09     (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PRINCESA HELENA by PALACE MALICE)
 
HOU-7   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLLY DOLLY Dec02 Nov08 Sep29     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 2.50    
2  CARRY ON Feb03 Dec30 Dec03 Sep22 Sep04 (pearson m)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 7% 12.70    
3  TWO HANDS FULL Jan26 Jan13 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CADEAU DE PAIX May11 Apr30 Apr08 Apr01 Feb25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  CHILLAXIFICATION Sep21 Aug26 May09 Apr11 Mar24 (young sco)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
6  THE RAGE OF ART Jan26 Jan13 Dec16 Oct25 Oct06 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
7  TEXAS RED BEL Jan26 Jan13 Oct26 Oct07 Sep05 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
8  SWEET ATTITUDE Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep07 Jun10 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 20.00    
9  YVONNE'S MISS Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
10  EKATI'S HIT Dec09 Nov20 Oct25 Oct07 Aug31 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
11  CONFLICTING TALES Jan21 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
12  WHEN JUDY CALLS Dec09 Nov20 Oct20 Oct14 Sep21 (s)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 6% 14.50    
 
HOU-8   02/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIA VITTATA Nov29         (willis mind)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 15.00    
  (by CHITOZ out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
2  MOLLY OF STRATFORD Jan21 Dec07 Nov08 Mar16 Feb03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 ★    
  (by TIZNOW out of PINKPRINT by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  LEONE Feb11 Jul31 Jul03     (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of TERRIFEE by MENIFEE)
4  THE CAT CAME BACK Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 May15 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of BLUEGRASS AFFAIR by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  CLIMB TO GLORY Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 (pearson paul)GILES EMMANUEL 123 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  JUST PLAIN BAD         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 10.00 6% 14.80    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of JUSTA DOLLAR by BENT TREE)
7  A LITTLE GOOD NEWS Jun18 Mar31 Mar17 Feb10   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of NIGHT SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  GO BETTY JO Jan21         (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PARTY SMART by SMART STRIKE)
9  MARKET PROFILE Jan21 Nov16 Oct12 Jun27 Nov26 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RECOUPE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Nov10 Oct05 Sep13 Dec23 Nov30 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CALL ME BABA by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Jan21 Nov08 Apr08 Mar26 Mar03 (mckinney )TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
12  WITCH WAY GRAY Jan21 Nov10 Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 123 30.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of CAPTURE THIS STAR by KITALPHA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.