Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.46  
ELP-2   Win (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $13.08  
ELP-3   Win (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.52 $6.52  
ELP-4   Win (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.34 $8.34 0.34
ELP-5   Win (8/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.56 $7.56 1.56
ELP-6   Win (8/9/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $31.70 $31.70 21.70
ELP-7   Win (9/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.56 $7.56  
ELP-8   Win (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.16  
ELP-9   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.76 $15.76 9.76
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUMMER IN AIKEN 5 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 11 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7.23  
4  MY BROTHER KEITH 4 3 32 51¼ 51¾ 43½ 21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.50 52% 0.90 2.44 P
1  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 1 1 42 41¼ 41¼ 32 31½ (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.16 S
8  THIRD WATCH (GB) 7 5 2½ 2nk 2nk 21½ 43½ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 20.87  
2  ELECTRIC CHARGE 2 7 77¾ 63¼ 62¾ 55½ 56½ (quinonez max)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 39.75  
7  HASKELLED 6 6 52¼ 31 31 65½ 69½ (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 ★ 3.71  
3  TIVERTON (GB) 3 4 64¾ 73¾ 75¾ 78 714¾ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.59  
SCR  RED LINE OVERDRIVE               (kubinova elisk)TORRES A 123 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:212 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LA FORET 10 10 107¼ 103½   43 1nk (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 6.00 5.54  
1  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS 1 7 32½ 31   11 2nk (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 45% 1.20 2.09 P
2  SANG 2 2 11½ 11   21 32 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 2.70  
5  ONDA BRAVA 5 5 74 72¼   32 42½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 8.00 10% 9.10 15.82  
6  WINE AND WAVES 6 9 85½ 93½   53 52¾ (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 21.06  
9  GO GEMMA 9 1 95¾ 83¼   64 63½ (medina robe)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.06  
4  MAY MAY STRONG 4 4 43 62¼   86 75 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 19% 4.20 6.06  
3  DREAMSCAPE 3 3 21½ 21   96½ 86¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.21  
7  A MUST SEE 7 6 64 41½   75 96½ (hamilton)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 45.21  
8  WALK STREET 8 8 53½ 52   108 108½ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 15.36  
SCR  ELHUBOOB               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
SCR  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND               (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
 
ELP-3   07/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOODLUM 7 6 32½ 31½ 1nk 12 12 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.26 W
3  DIVINE ARMOR 3 2 67½ 66 64¼ 32 22 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.22 P
6  ALL WEST 6 3 21 21 2nk 22 32¾ (vance thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 34% 1.90 6.71 S
2  BOOGIE BODE 2 4 54½ 53½ 53¼ 66 45½ (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00 11.23  
1  COOL QUARTET 1 5 43½ 43 42¾ 55½ 56¼ (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.53  
4  PRODIGIOUS BAY 4 1 11 11 3.2 42½ 69¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.00 4.24  
5  CANDY FOR CARMEL 5 7 79½ 78 78¼ 710 715¼ (margolis stephe)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 20.37  
 
ELP-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  J. P. RACE 5 5 73¼ 62½ 51¾ 1nk 13¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.17 W
1  MONTEVALLO 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 23¾ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 18% 4.60 3.04 P
4  DAZZLEMESILVER 4 2 41½ 41½ 3½ 3½ 34½ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 123 4.00 3.18  
2  J T'S IMAGINATION 2 3 31½ 31½ 41½ 41 46½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 44% 1.30 4.66  
8  STRIKING SPARKS 7 8 63 72¾ 62¼ 64 59½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 5.00 6.18  
3  SHUFFLE DANCE 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 53½ 610¼ (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 12% 7.60 10.71  
6  CASHMEUP 6 6 52½ 52 73¾ 74½ 712¾ (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00 13.86  
9  READY PURSUIT 8 7 84¼ 83¾ 86¼ 87½ 818¾ (gonzalez rei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 30.00 54.65  
SCR  JAY VEE BEE               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MAGNITUDE 5 4 1½ 1½   12 15¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 43% 1.30 2.78 W
12  MORLOCK 8 1 41½ 2½   22 25¾ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 9.94  
5  STIGLETS 3 6 31½ 41½   32½ 38 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 23.15  
9  ROTHKO 6 9 72¾ 52   45 412¼ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 32% 2.10 1.08  
4  TURNBUCKLE 2 8 84¼ 84½   57½ 516¼ (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00 33.95  
2  CALIFORNIA BURRITO 1 7 62¾ 63   68 620¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 ★ 8.34  
11  HIGH LIMIT 7 2 51¾ 74   811½ 722¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 33.72  
6  SAUDI VISION 4 5 2½ 31½   710 826 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 ★ 10.43  
13  AUTHENTIC STYLE 9 3 94½ 912½   918½ 938 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
SCR  REB               (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  STATES' RIGHTS               (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  TAPPAN STREET               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HONEYQUIST 4 1 1½ 1½   11½ 1nk (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 17.50 14.85 W
2  COUNTERSTRIKE 2 8 74¼ 73¼   43 2nk (ennis john)BEALMEAR C 115 4.50 10% 8.90 4.65 P
6  CHISELER 6 10 107¾ 107¼   73¾ 31 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.21 S
8  DUCALE 8 7 84¼ 53   63¾ 41¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.48  
9  BUSHIDO 9 4 43 42½   31½ 51½ (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 23% 3.30 6.02  
1  MAC DADDY TOO 1 5 64 84¼   85¼ 62¾ (casse w)TORRES A 122 15.00 8.92  
7  HUNTER JOHN 7 3 2½ 2½   21½ 74¼ (ortiz john )TORRES A 122 15.00 11.69  
5  ZOOMBIE 5 9 95¼ 94¾   96¼ 84½ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 12.50  
10  CAPTIVATING BOY 10 6 31½ 31½   53½ 94½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 18.03  
3  FOXTROTANNA 3 2 54 63   107¼ 106 (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 4.26  
SCR  CHATTALOT               (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00    
SCR  GUNNER BAY               (margolis r)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT               (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHERBET FOUNTAIN 7 9 85½ 33   1½ 1hd (pino v)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 27% 2.80 2.78 W
2  UP ON THE EDGE 2 8 64½ 43   2½ 2hd (shirer matt)TORRES A 118 8.00 19% 4.20 5.42 P
3  TAKE CHARGE BABE 3 3 22 22½   43 35¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 ★ 8.76 S
1  ROYAL BLOOD 1 7 44 87   66 46 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 18.91  
4  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 4 4 54½ 65½   54½ 57 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.74  
10  MOTOWN MIKA 9 1 12 12½   32 67¼ (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9.27  
5  TEXAS HOTTIE 5 2 33 54½   77½ 712¼ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00 22.27  
9  BEELIEVE HER 8 6 75 76   89 812½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.49  
7  LUBU 6 5 97½ 99½   911 913½ (hill f)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 48.06  
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00    
 
ELP-8   07/20/2024 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:101 1:343   1:573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 21 21½ 22 2½ 11 13½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 ★ 4.08  
5  CARCANO 5 74½ 77 76½ 75¾ 44½ 23½ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.44 P
3  VESTURE 3 11 11½ 12 1½ 21 35½ (mott william)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 15% 5.90 4.80 S
9  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 9 97¼ 910 108¼ 96¼ 76¼ 46¼ (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 18.29  
6  GORILLA TREK 6 63 44 33 31½ 33½ 56¼ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 16.16  
4  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 4 53 66 65 44 54½ 67¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 8.00 7.89  
7  HAWKS CREEK 7 108¼ 1012 97¼ 108¼ 87¼ 78 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8.50  
2  MY BOY TONY 2 32 33 43½ 54 66 810¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 52% 0.90 1.80  
8  DOUBLE NEAT 8 84¾ 87½ 87 85¾ 910¼ 915½ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 16.75  
10  LOBO SALVAJE 10 42½ 54 55 65½ 1010¾ 1017¼ (salas felip)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 113 30.00 44.59  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
SCR  INDIAN GULCH               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 4.50    
SCR  MO RHODES               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  WARNING SIGNS               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:214 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURF CITY 1 7 72¾ 62¼   11½ 12 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.88 W
5  ROCK N ROLL BOLT 3 8 62¼ 52¼   64 22 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 14.69 P
7  ALCOVE 5 2 2½ 21   32½ 32½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 38% 1.70 1.16 S
6  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC 4 5 41½ 31   42½ 43¾ (stinson )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 38.49  
10  BIG HAMMER 8 9 95¾ 96½   96¼ 54¼ (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 24.98  
3  INSANITY IT SEEMS 2 3 1½ 11   21½ 64¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 3.95  
13  HAPPY GREY 9 4 82¾ 84½   53 75 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 ★ 7.13  
8  BEBEDOURO 6 6 31½ 42   75½ 86½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 10.00 21.09  
9  DELIBERATION 7 1 51¾ 72½   86 97¼ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 6.94  
SCR  BONZER               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.00    
SCR  DR TIMOTHY               (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 107 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE EAGLE               (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT               (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.