Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-3   EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $26.30 $2.30 10%
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-3-6 $26.61 $14.61 122%
ELP-4   EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $44.36 $20.36 85%
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(2/1/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-5 $34.04 $2.04 6%
ELP-5   WIN (8/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.56 $1.56 26%
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(8/9/13) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $42.14 $18.14 76%
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(2/1/3/5)-(8/9/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-5-8 $38.52 $14.52 61%
ELP-6   WIN (8/9/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $31.70 $21.70 217%
    EXA (8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-2 $193.94 $153.94 385%
    TRI (8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-6 $613.16 $583.16 1944%
    SFT (8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-2-6-8 $471.09 $459.09 3826%
    DD (8/9/13)-(8/9/2/4/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  8-4 $140.52 $110.52 368%
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(8/9/13)-(8/9/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-8-4 $147.66 $117.66 392%
ELP-7   EXA (9/8/2/4)-(9/8/2/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-2 $49.30 $17.30 54%
    TRI (9/8/2/4)-(9/8/2/3/4)-(9/8/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-2-3 $96.67 $72.67 303%
    DD (8/9/2/4/6)-(9/8/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-8 $198.90 $158.90 397%
    PK3 (8/9/13)-(8/9/2/4/6)-(9/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-4-8 $167.76 $137.76 459%
ELP-9   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.76 $9.76 163%
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/5/13/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $91.50 $67.50 281%
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/5/13/1)-(7/3/5/13/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-5-7 $87.90 $69.90 388%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER IN AIKEN 5 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 11 (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7.23  
MY BROTHER KEITH 4 3 32 5 5 4 21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.50 52% 0.90 2.44 P
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 1 1 42 4 4 32 3 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.16 S
THIRD WATCH (GB) 7 5 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 4 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 20.87  
ELECTRIC CHARGE 2 7 7 6 6 5 5 (quinonez max)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 39.75  
HASKELLED 6 6 5 31 31 6 6 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 3.71  
TIVERTON (GB) 3 4 6 7 7 78 714¾ (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.59  
SCR  RED LINE OVERDRIVE               (kubinova eli)TORRES A 123 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:212 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LA FORET 10 10 10 10   43 1nk (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 6.00 5.54  
  (by THE FACTOR out of LUCKY MARY G. by FORESTRY)
BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS 1 7 3 31   11 2nk (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 45% 1.20 2.09 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA BIONDETTI by BIONDETTI)
SANG 2 2 1 11   21 32 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 2.70  
  (by KLIMT out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
ONDA BRAVA 5 5 74 7   32 4 (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 8.00 10% 9.10 15.82  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
WINE AND WAVES 6 9 8 9   53 5 (hancock jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 21.06  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
GO GEMMA 9 1 9 8   64 6 (medina ro)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.06  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEWEL OF A CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
MAY MAY STRONG 4 4 43 6   86 75 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 19% 4.20 6.06  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
DREAMSCAPE 3 3 2 21   9 8 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.21  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
A MUST SEE 7 6 64 4   75 9 (hamilt)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 45.21  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GLITTERING TAX by ARTAX)
WALK STREET 8 8 5 52   108 10 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 15.36  
  (by STREET BOSS out of PASTIME by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  ELHUBOOB               (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVING VINDICATION by VINDICATION)
SCR  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND               (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
 
ELP-3   07/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOODLUM 7 6 3 3 1nk 12 12 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.26 W
DIVINE ARMOR 3 2 6 66 6 32 22 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.22 P
ALL WEST 6 3 21 21 2nk 22 3 (vance thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 34% 1.90 6.71 S
BOOGIE BODE 2 4 5 5 5 66 4 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00 11.23  
COOL QUARTET 1 5 4 43 4 5 5 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.53  
PRODIGIOUS BAY 4 1 11 11 3.2 4 6 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.00 4.24  
CANDY FOR CARMEL 5 7 7 78 7 710 715¼ (margolis step)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 20.37  
 
ELP-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. P. RACE 5 5 7 6 5 1nk 1 (amoss m)LANERIE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.17 W
MONTEVALLO 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 2 (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 120 3.00 18% 4.60 3.04 P
DAZZLEMESILVER 4 2 4 4 3½ 3½ 3 (amoss tho)TORRES A 123 4.00 3.18  
J T'S IMAGINATION 2 3 3 3 4 41 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 44% 1.30 4.66  
STRIKING SPARKS 7 8 63 7 6 64 5 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 5.00 6.18  
SHUFFLE DANCE 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 5 610¼ (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 12% 7.60 10.71  
CASHMEUP 6 6 5 52 7 7 712¾ (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00 13.86  
READY PURSUIT 8 7 8 8 8 8 818¾ (gonzalez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 30.00 54.65  
SCR  JAY VEE BEE               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNITUDE 5 4 1½ 1½   12 1 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 43% 1.30 2.78 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROCKADELIC by BERNARDINI)
12  MORLOCK 8 1 4 2½   22 2 (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 9.94  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
STIGLETS 3 6 3 4   3 38 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 23.15  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of SUPER CUTE by TEMPLE CITY)
ROTHKO 6 9 7 52   45 412¼ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 32% 2.10 1.08  
  (by TAPIT out of COVFEFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
TURNBUCKLE 2 8 8 8   5 516¼ (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00 33.95  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
CALIFORNIA BURRITO 1 7 6 63   68 620¾ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 8.34  
  (by ARMY MULE out of BLUEGRASS SUNSET by HARD SPUN)
11  HIGH LIMIT 7 2 5 74   811½ 722¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 33.72  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ULTRALIGHT BEAM by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SAUDI VISION 4 5 2½ 3   710 826 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 10.43  
  (by KHOZAN out of MS BERNADETTE by BERNARDINI)
13  AUTHENTIC STYLE 9 3 9 912½   918½ 938 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of IMPECCABLE STYLE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  REB               (fletcher kevi)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of WELL SPUN by HARD SPUN)
SCR  STATES' RIGHTS               (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELLYB by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TAPPAN STREET               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VIRGINIA KEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ELP-6   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYQUIST 4 1 1½ 1½   1 1nk (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 17.50 14.85 W
COUNTERSTRIKE 2 8 7 7   43 2nk (ennis joh)BEALMEAR C 115 4.50 10% 8.90 4.65 P
CHISELER 6 10 10 10   7 31 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.21 S
DUCALE 8 7 8 53   6 4 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.48  
BUSHIDO 9 4 43 4   3 5 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 23% 3.30 6.02  
MAC DADDY TOO 1 5 64 8   8 6 (casse w)TORRES A 122 15.00 8.92  
HUNTER JOHN 7 3 2½ 2½   2 7 (ortiz joh)TORRES A 122 15.00 11.69  
ZOOMBIE 5 9 9 9   9 8 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 12.50  
10  CAPTIVATING BOY 10 6 3 3   5 9 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 18.03  
FOXTROTANNA 3 2 54 63   10 106 (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 4.26  
SCR  CHATTALOT               (asmussen )TORRES A 122 3.00    
SCR  GUNNER BAY               (margolis stephen)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT               (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERBET FOUNTAIN 7 9 8 33   1½ 1hd (pino michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 27% 2.80 2.78 W
UP ON THE EDGE 2 8 6 43   2½ 2hd (shirer ma)TORRES A 118 8.00 19% 4.20 5.42 P
TAKE CHARGE BABE 3 3 22 2   43 3 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.76 S
ROYAL BLOOD 1 7 44 87   66 46 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 18.91  
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 4 4 5 6   5 57 (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.74  
10  MOTOWN MIKA 9 1 12 1   32 6 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9.27  
TEXAS HOTTIE 5 2 33 5   7 712¼ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00 22.27  
BEELIEVE HER 8 6 75 76   89 812½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.49  
LUBU 6 5 9 9   911 913½ (hill f)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 48.06  
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00    
 
ELP-8   07/20/2024 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:101 1:343   1:573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 21 2 22 2½ 11 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 4.08  
CARCANO 5 7 77 7 7 4 2 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.44 P
VESTURE 3 11 1 12 1½ 21 3 (mott willi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 15% 5.90 4.80 S
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 9 9 910 10 9 7 4 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 18.29  
GORILLA TREK 6 63 44 33 3 3 5 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 16.16  
DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 4 53 66 65 44 5 6 (lynch bri)TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 8.00 7.89  
HAWKS CREEK 7 10 1012 9 10 8 78 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8.50  
MY BOY TONY 2 32 33 4 54 66 810¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 52% 0.90 1.80  
DOUBLE NEAT 8 8 8 87 8 910¼ 915½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 16.75  
10  LOBO SALVAJE 10 4 54 55 6 1010¾ 1017¼ (salas fel)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 113 30.00 44.59  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
SCR  INDIAN GULCH               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 4.50    
SCR  MO RHODES               (amoss tho)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  WARNING SIGNS               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:214 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURF CITY 1 7 7 6   1 12 (oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.88 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVASIVE STORM by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ROCK N ROLL BOLT 3 8 6 5   64 22 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 14.69 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
ALCOVE 5 2 2½ 21   3 3 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 38% 1.70 1.16 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STRUCTURE by BERNARDINI)
FLY J'S FUNTASTIC 4 5 4 31   4 4 (stinso)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 38.49  
  (by FUNTASTIC out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  BIG HAMMER 8 9 9 9   9 5 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 24.98  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAISY MASON by ORIENTATE (GB))
INSANITY IT SEEMS 2 3 1½ 11   2 6 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 3.95  
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of AVENTURE LOVE by ORPEN)
13  HAPPY GREY 9 4 8 8   53 75 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 7.13  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CALLISTA by TAPIT)
BEBEDOURO 6 6 3 42   7 8 (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 10.00 21.09  
  (by FED BIZ out of LOVE 'N' HAPPINESS by SETEMBRO CHOVE)
DELIBERATION 7 1 5 7   86 9 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 6.94  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WITHOUT THOUGHT by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  BONZER               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JEWELIANA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  DR TIMOTHY               (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BOURBON GLEAM by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael b)BEALMEAR C 107 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  NOBLE EAGLE               (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIG MEESH by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  ROWDY RIOT               (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.