Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (8/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (8/9/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (9/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Jun07 May02 Apr12 Jul04 Jun09 (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  ELECTRIC CHARGE Jun09 May18 Apr06 Mar23 Jan12 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 123 12.00    
3  TIVERTON (GB) Jul04 Jun30 Jun23 May31 May25 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY BROTHER KEITH Jun23 May18 Apr07 Mar15 Jan28 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  SUMMER IN AIKEN Jun12 May01 Feb22 Feb01 Dec29 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  RED LINE OVERDRIVE Jun12 May26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb24 (kubinova elisk)TORRES A 123 8.00    
7  HASKELLED May25 May14 Apr27 Apr11 Mar15 (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 ★    
8  THIRD WATCH (GB) Jul04 Mar29 Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00    
 
ELP-2   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS Jun01 May03 Apr12 Feb24   (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  SANG Jun26 Jun05       (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
3  DREAMSCAPE Jun02 Mar16       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAY MAY STRONG Jun18 Jun02 Apr12 Feb28   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  ONDA BRAVA Jun08 Dec27 Nov17 Oct04 Aug02 (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
6  WINE AND WAVES Jun12 May18 Apr13 Mar03   (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
7  A MUST SEE         (hamilton)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
8  WALK STREET Jun08 May04 Aug20     (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
9  GO GEMMA Jun08 Apr17 Mar23     (medina robe)TORRES A 119 6.00    
10  LA FORET         (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
SCR  ELHUBOOB Jun29 Apr20       (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
SCR  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Jun19 May17 Aug20     (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
 
ELP-3   07/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL QUARTET Jun13 May23 May01 Jan05 Dec01 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
2  BOOGIE BODE May26 May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb09 (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00    
3  DIVINE ARMOR Jun26 May25 Apr20 Mar30 Feb25 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRODIGIOUS BAY Jun30 Jun15 May18 Apr21 Apr05 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.00    
5  CANDY FOR CARMEL Jun29 May10 Apr17 Mar17 Jul21 (margolis stephe)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00    
6  ALL WEST Jun29 May10 Apr17 Mar09 Feb01 (vance thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  HOODLUM May17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
ELP-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEVALLO Jun29 May31 May09 Apr14 Mar22 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  J T'S IMAGINATION Jun15 May23 Apr14 Mar01 Feb09 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  SHUFFLE DANCE Jun16 May18 Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 12% 7.60    
4  DAZZLEMESILVER Jun02 May11 Apr12 Feb12 Feb03 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 123 4.00    
5  J. P. RACE Jun12 May25 Apr07 Feb22 Feb03 (amoss m)LANERIE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CASHMEUP Jul05 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Feb17 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00    
SCR  JAY VEE BEE May25 May12 Jun22 May12 Apr22 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
8  STRIKING SPARKS Jun23 May22 Apr11 Sep30 Jul29 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 5.00    
9  READY PURSUIT May16 Apr27 Mar14 Mar01 Feb09 (gonzalez rei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 30.00    
 
ELP-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STATES' RIGHTS Jun20         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 6.00    
2  CALIFORNIA BURRITO         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 ★    
SCR  REB Jun19 May09       (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
4  TURNBUCKLE Jun19 May02 Apr05     (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
5  STIGLETS Jun23         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
6  SAUDI VISION         (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  WHISKEY SHOT         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
8  MAGNITUDE Jun06         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 43% 1.30    
9  ROTHKO         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  TAPPAN STREET         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
11  HIGH LIMIT Jun27         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
12  MORLOCK Jun13         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
13  AUTHENTIC STYLE         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-6   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAC DADDY TOO Jun27 May10 Apr14 Mar24 Mar02 (casse w)TORRES A 122 15.00    
2  COUNTERSTRIKE Jun22 May25 Apr27 Apr05 Jan27 (ennis john)BEALMEAR C 115 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  FOXTROTANNA Jun11 Jan12 Dec01 Oct07 Sep13 (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00    
4  HONEYQUIST Jun15 May29 Oct14 Aug04 Jun15 (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 17.50    
5  ZOOMBIE Jun22 May25 Apr27 Dec15 Oct21 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
6  CHISELER Jun22 May24 Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUNTER JOHN Jan16 Aug12 Jul22 May07 Apr24 (ortiz john )TORRES A 122 15.00    
8  DUCALE May25 Dec29 Nov23 Oct25 Apr16 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  BUSHIDO Jun22 May25 Apr27 Feb10 Dec23 (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  CAPTIVATING BOY Jun28 May27 May01 Mar30 Feb25 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD Apr24 Apr05 Jul15 Apr21 Mar25 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  LUGAN KNIGHT Jun16 May03 Sep09 Aug04 Jun04 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00    
SCR  CHATTALOT Jun16 May16 Mar29 Oct02 Sep07 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00    
SCR  GUNNER BAY Jun28 Jun02 Apr14 Mar22 Feb25 (margolis r)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL BLOOD Jun27 Nov19 Nov01 Oct12 Jul31 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00    
2  UP ON THE EDGE Jun19 May27 Apr20 Dec09 Nov26 (shirer matt)TORRES A 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  TAKE CHARGE BABE Dec08 Oct29 Sep23     (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 ★    
4  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY Jun14 May16 Apr17 Jan25 Dec13 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TEXAS HOTTIE Jun09 May18 Apr21 Mar16 Feb19 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU Jun25 May16 Apr27 Feb03 Jan17 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00    
7  LUBU Jul04 Jun08 Apr30 Apr05 Nov17 (hill f)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
8  SHERBET FOUNTAIN Jun19 Jun01 Mar06 Feb15 Dec30 (pino v)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
9  BEELIEVE HER Jun28 Jun08 May23 Mar14 Feb17 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
10  MOTOWN MIKA Jun19 Mar13 Feb14 Dec16 Nov01 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   07/20/2024 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Jun30 Nov24 Nov05 Sep28 Sep10 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 ★    
2  MY BOY TONY Jun14 May29 Mar02 Jan27 Jul23 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  VESTURE Jun08 Apr24 Apr06 Nov26 Oct07 (mott william)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY Jun13 May01 Mar30 Jan12 Dec09 (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  CARCANO Jun30 May31 Apr30 Apr10 Aug26 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GORILLA TREK May11 Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 Dec22 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
7  HAWKS CREEK Jun14 May12 Apr26 Feb17 Feb03 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
8  DOUBLE NEAT May29 Apr13 Mar07 Dec23 Nov25 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
9  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT Jun20 Dec08 Nov08 Sep10 Aug20 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
10  LOBO SALVAJE Jul03 Jun16 May23 May13 May02 (salas felipe)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00    
SCR  WARNING SIGNS Jun18 May26 Sep10 Aug12 Jul21 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  INDIAN GULCH May05 Feb17 Nov16 Oct10 Jul18 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 4.50    
SCR  MO RHODES Jun29 May31 Apr24 Mar02 Oct29 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME Jun27 May29 May09 Mar21 Aug26 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
 
ELP-9   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURF CITY Jun27 May26 Apr24 Nov25 Nov04 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT Jun26 May25 Sep28 Aug23   (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 107 20.00    
3  INSANITY IT SEEMS Feb18 Jul15       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BONZER Feb08 Jan12       (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.00    
5  ROCK N ROLL BOLT Jun30 May26 Apr21 Apr11 Mar09 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★    
6  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC         (stinson )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
7  ALCOVE Jun05 Apr26       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
8  BEBEDOURO Jun16 May11 Apr06     (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 10.00    
9  DELIBERATION Apr16         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00    
10  BIG HAMMER         (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT Aug20         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  DR TIMOTHY May26         (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
13  HAPPY GREY Jun21 Mar08 Feb03     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  NOBLE EAGLE Mar20 Feb13       (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.