The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Sam Houston Race Park
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HOU-2   Win (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
HOU-3   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 4.80
HOU-4   Win (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
HOU-5   Win (4/8/9/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -3.80
HOU-6   Win (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $27.20 $27.20 21.20
HOU-7   Win (5/4/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20
HOU-8   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $28.80 -6.00
HOU-9   Win (3/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $25.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-2   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHMERE DANCER 5 6 5 5 5 31(willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 34% 1.90 2.50 W
IN OPEN COURT 1 2 6 6 6 21 2(willis mind)TRIANA JR 123 20.00 16.80  
MISS CARMEN CIBO 2 1 1 11 11 11 3(bravo francisco)SANCHEZ OBED 123 15.00 8.50  
ELMO'S SECRET 6 5 2 4 4 54(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 9.90  
CAPETOWN CANDY 3 3 4 21 21 4510¾ (tu)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 123 12.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
10  LEPRECHAUN CHARM 8 7 8 8 7 65 611 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 12.00 3.00  
MISS GOLD 4 8 7 7 8 88 717¼ (rengstorf tony)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00 13% 6.60 8.50  
LEOPARD BAIT 7 4 3 31 3 78 817¾ (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.50 21% 3.80 2.40  
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES               (werneth a)DIEGO V 123 1.60    
SCR  MORO NALA               (hebert ma)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
 
HOU-3   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET N SALTY 2 3 1 13   14 12 (davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.50 5% 19.00 3.40 W
IN A MINESHAFT 5 1 3 3   24 22 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 1.60 69% 0.40 0.90 P
THAT'S ABOUT IT 6 5 4 56   39 39 (cravens iii)DIEGO V 119 10.00 6.30  
MAGENS BAY 4 2 2 23   410½ 419¾ (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00 4.30  
MEDAGLIA'S SONG 3 6 5 4   513½ 526 (padilla carlos)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 9.30  
LAST PENALTY 1 4 6 68   614½ 628 (govea cesar)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 13.80  
SCR  KAT'N CHROME               (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING MELODY               (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
 
HOU-4   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LUCKY BREAK 2 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 1(broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.50 32% 2.20 2.70 W
HIT'EM UP 4 4 6 6   55 2(tuley rhonda)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00 22.30  
BAYOU BEAUTY 6 1 5 5   432 (ran)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
MISS CHARGE IT 1 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 42 (morris)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
BEAUXS ARTES 7 6 4 4   65(asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
HOPESHECANRUN 5 3 3.2 3.2   36(west henry)GLASS DERBE 116 15.00 6.10  
ATTA MOY GIRL 3 7 7 710¾   710¼ 710 (dupuy allen)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 8.60  
 
HOU-5   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOLPUSHER 4 7 5 31   4¼ 12 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 1.00 48% 1.10 2.10 W
CARRY THE FLAG 5 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 22 (swift da)HERNANDEZ A 117 50.00 13.80  
TOOTHMAN 3 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 3(dupuy allen)TRIANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 24.20 S
FEEL IT 9 9 8 83   643 (craddock )GONCALVES R 122 4.00 14% 6.20 3.10  
EL QUESO GRANDE 7 2 6 6   55(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SLEW SKIES 8 1 7 7   94 6(gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 3.50 14% 5.90 3.60  
DELTA FRONT 2 3 4 4   3.2 7(gelner j)DIEGO V 122 20.00 9.00  
BAFFIN'S BEST SHOT 1 8 9 94   84 8(george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00 21.80  
DRINKING THING 6 5 3 5   79(gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00 13.20  
 
HOU-6   03/15/2024 3300ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:221 :454       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAY TAY'S BABY 2 3 54 4   41¼ (cravens iii)DIEGO V 121 6.00 7% 12.50 12.60 W
CONFLICTING TALES 3 1 1½ 1½   12 2¼ (young e)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 2.90  
CASINO QUEEN 7 5 3 3   331 (young sco)GONCALVES R 121 6.00 9.00 S
PHUNK 5 4 2½ 2½   22 4(davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00 20.70  
CANADA CANDY 6 6 6 55   54 5(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
RUMPUS 1 2 44 6   66 6(govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 5.00 7.30  
11  PRETTY IN PINK 8 8 8 7   710 7(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 4.80  
A ROZE AND WINE 4 7 7 810½   810 812¾ (davidson nic)BRACHO A 123 3.00 68% 0.50 4.10  
SCR  CHIKARA               (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
SCR  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH               (chacaltana doming)BENAVIDES D 121 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER IS HOT               (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
 
HOU-7   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 ALL PT-10:30
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY ICE 5 3 1 12   17 110½ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 33% 2.00 1.40 W
WITT'S JERRY 7 4 2 22   37 210½ (davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 38.50  
10  UNCLE CHAN 10 1 4 43   27 311 (laday ashton)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50 S
LET ME LOVE YOU 4 8 8 6   4412¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 18% 4.70 2.40  
PRINCE CURLIN 2 6 9 79   613½ 513 (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 123 20.00 21.80  
DREAM TIME 1 5 6 911½   715½ 616½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 15% 5.50 6.40  
LEXINGTON RIVER 9 7 5 56   511½ 718½ (bryant allan)DIEGO V 119 6.00 10.30  
VICKIE'S GOLD 8 2 3 3   823½ 845¼ (davidson bren)JARA FERNANDO 123 20.00 21.20  
TEXAS REIGN 3 9 7 810½   928½ 952¾ (dupuy allen)TRIANA JR 119 20.00 16.90  
ALPHABET ADAMS 6 10 1022½ 10100   10100 10100 (hu)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 123 12.00 7% 13.60 23.60  
 
HOU-8   03/15/2024 5610ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOTSHELL 3 2 11 1 1 16 1(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 13.40  
MUFFIN NUTS 1 4 7 7 7 58 2(broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00 38% 1.60 4.00 P
LIONS NOT SHEEP 7 1 6 6 4 437 (pish dann)GONCALVES R 121 10.00 3.30 S
TOTAL SURPRISE 4 7 21 2 2 26 4(broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 9.70  
BIG BERNIE 5 6 53 5 5 359 (willis mind)TRIANA JR 121 1.00 39% 1.60 1.30  
THUNDER ROAD 8 8 811¼ 810¾ 8 711½ 69 (dodson clifford)SANCHEZ OBED 123 30.00 16.60  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 6 5 32 3 3 610½ 717¼ (br)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
MY BROTHER KEITH 2 3 43 4 6 814 821 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 10.00 12.20  
SCR  TIBURON               (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
 
HOU-9   03/15/2024 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:222 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET PROFILE 9 8 4 3   3.2 11 (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00 11.50  
IZE A BLAST 3 5 5 42   4¼ 21 (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 49% 1.10 6.20 P
10  JUST PLAIN BAD 10 1 1nk 1½   1nk 3(padilla a)DIEGO V 123 15.00 11.50 S
FLYIN WITHTHE BOSS 4 6 6 6   54(eo)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 119 30.00 12.90  
COPPERDROP 8 7 95 9   85(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 23% 3.40 1.60  
GIRL COLLECTED 1 4 7 7   66(gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00 7% 12.80 10.80  
CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 6 9 105 10   97(mckinney ky)TRIANA JR 123 2.00 4.30  
CINCO GAL 2 2 2nk 2½   2nk 8(uriega)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 17.30  
ON WING 7 10 84 8   10910½ (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
WITCH WAY GRAY 5 3 3 52   71012¼ (davidson sara)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 15.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.