Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/3)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/3)-(7/2)-(7/2/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/2/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7/2/1/6)-(4/8/9/7/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/6)-(4/8/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/6)-(4/8/9/7/3)-(5/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/8/9/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/7/3)-(4/8/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/7/3)-(4/8/9/7/3)-(4/8/9/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/9/7/3)-(5/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/7/3)-(5/2/8)-(5/4/1/6/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/9/8)-(5/2/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(5/4/1/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(5/4/1/6/10)-(6/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/4/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6/10)-(5/4/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6/10)-(5/4/1/6/10)-(5/4/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6/10)-(6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6/10)-(6/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-8   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7/10)-(3/8/1/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN OPEN COURT Jan28 Dec02 Nov01 Sep03 Aug03 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
2  MISS CARMEN CIBO Jan28 Sep09 Aug20 Jul15 Jun25 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 15.00    
3  CAPETOWN CANDY Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Sep05 Aug20 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORO NALA Jan26 Jul30 Jul03 Apr08 Mar24 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
5  MISS GOLD Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov10 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00 13% 6.60    
6  CASHMERE DANCER Jan28 Jan07 Nov09 Oct27 Sep01 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  ELMO'S SECRET Dec15 Sep05 Aug03 Jul03 Jun17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
8  LEOPARD BAIT Feb02 Jan07 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Feb24 Jan28 Dec01 Oct06 Sep08 (werneth a)DIEGO V 123 1.60    
10  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Feb23 Dec18 Nov21 Nov08 Aug06 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
 
HOU-3   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST PENALTY Nov13 Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 Sep10 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 ★    
2  SWEET N SALTY Mar05 Nov30 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  MEDAGLIA'S SONG Feb19 Feb10 Jan27     (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING MELODY Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep01 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
5  MAGENS BAY Mar01 Dec14       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  KAT'N CHROME Mar01 Feb10 Jan07 Dec16 Oct12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
7  IN A MINESHAFT Feb19 Jan20 Dec01 Nov18 Oct12 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 1.60 69% 0.40    
8  THAT'S ABOUT IT Feb09         (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
 
HOU-4   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARGE IT Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Dec18 Nov21 (morris rowdy)MORA GERARDO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY LUCKY BREAK Feb09 Jan04 Dec15     (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
3  ATTA MOY GIRL Jun23 Jun15 May20 May05 Feb25 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 121 3.00    
4  HIT'EM UP Mar02 Feb23 Feb02 Jan21 Sep03 (tuley rhonda)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00    
5  HOPESHECANRUN Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec19 Nov22 (west henry)GLASS DERBE 116 15.00    
6  BAYOU BEAUTY Mar02 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Sep02 (r)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEAUXS ARTES Mar02 Feb23 Dec20 Nov29 Oct12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
HOU-5   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAFFIN'S BEST SHOT Feb25 Feb10 Jan13     (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00    
  (by BAFFIN out of DAWN NOW by MENHAL)
2  DELTA FRONT Feb25 Aug21 Jul04 Jun18   (gelner j)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MEKONG DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  TOOTHMAN Feb18 Aug19 Jul04     (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of NOTHINGLEFTTOGAIN by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
4  TOOLPUSHER Feb18 Jan13 Nov15 Oct07   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 1.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREETHINKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  CARRY THE FLAG Jan20 Nov24       (swift )HERNANDEZ A 117 50.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  DRINKING THING Jan27         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LITTLE ARIEL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
7  EL QUESO GRANDE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ORBISTON PARVA by INCLUDE)
8  SLEW SKIES Feb08 Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 Oct21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CIELO GRIS by TWIRLING CANDY)
9  FEEL IT Feb18         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
HOU-6   03/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMPUS Feb16 Feb04 Jan21 Sep27 Sep06 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 5.00    
2  TAY TAY'S BABY Feb04 Jan26 Jan13 Nov01 Oct18 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 6.00 7% 12.50    
3  CONFLICTING TALES Feb19 Jan21 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.00    
SCR  SUMMER IS HOT Feb07 Jan26 Jan05 Nov29 Oct21 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
5  A ROZE AND WINE Jan13 Nov01 Sep13 Sep02 Jul30 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  CHIKARA Sep30 Sep08 Aug06 Jun10 Apr21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
7  PHUNK Feb16 Jan19 Jul01 Jun16 May14 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
8  CANADA CANDY Feb04 Jan06 Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CASINO QUEEN Feb16 Jan19 Jan06 Nov25 Nov02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Feb04 Jan13 Dec01 Nov20 Nov01 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 15.00    
11  PRETTY IN PINK Feb04 Jan05 Nov30 Oct18 Sep30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50    
 
HOU-7   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM TIME Mar03 Feb18 Dec01 Sep12 Aug11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  PRINCE CURLIN Feb25 Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 123 20.00    
3  TEXAS REIGN Feb19         (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
4  LET ME LOVE YOU Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct28 Jan08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  KENTUCKY ICE Jan28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct07 Sep14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
6  ALPHABET ADAMS         (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 12.00 7% 13.60    
7  WITT'S JERRY Feb11 Oct07 Sep06 Aug22   (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
8  VICKIE'S GOLD Apr02 Mar18 Feb03     (davidson br)JARA FERNANDO 123 20.00    
9  LEXINGTON RIVER Feb08 Jan13 Dec19     (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 6.00    
10  UNCLE CHAN Feb25 Jan19 Dec15 Nov29 Nov08 (laday ashton)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   03/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUFFIN NUTS Feb16 Feb03 Dec29 Dec16 Dec08 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00 38% 1.60    
2  MY BROTHER KEITH Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 Sep20 Aug20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 10.00    
3  SHOTSHELL Feb09 Dec09 Dec01 Nov15 Oct14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
4  TOTAL SURPRISE Feb21 Feb01 Jan06 Nov29 Nov11 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00    
SCR  TIBURON Feb23 Jan28 Jan07 Nov28 Oct22 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
6  BIG BERNIE Feb18 Jun24 May28 Apr27 Mar31 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 1.00 39% 1.60    
7  SEIZE THE TREASURE Jan25 Dec29 Dec06 Nov17 Nov04 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIONS NOT SHEEP Feb25 Feb09 Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 (pish da)GONCALVES R 121 10.00 ★    
9  THUNDER ROAD Feb25 Feb09 Jan06 Dec01 Sep04 (dodson cliffor)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
 
HOU-9   03/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL COLLECTED Dec31 Nov28 Nov06     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of SILLA MANILA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  CINCO GAL Feb10 Jan20 Nov10 Oct21 Oct11 (uriegas joe)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
3  IZE A BLAST Feb19 Jan28 Dec19 Nov28 Oct21 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 49% 1.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
4  FLYIN WITHTHE BOSS Feb19 Jan27 Sep30 Sep09   (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PRINCESA HELENA by PALACE MALICE)
5  WITCH WAY GRAY Feb19 Jan21 Nov10 Oct05 Sep07 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of CAPTURE THIS STAR by KITALPHA)
6  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Feb19 Jan21 Nov08 Apr08 Mar26 (mckinney )TRIANA JR 123 2.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
7  ON WING         (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRODUCER out of WINGED FURY by WAR CHANT)
8  COPPERDROP Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of TEARDROP by TAPIT)
9  MARKET PROFILE Feb19 Jan21 Nov16 Oct12 Jun27 (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RECOUPE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  JUST PLAIN BAD Feb19         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 15.00 ★    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of JUSTA DOLLAR by BENT TREE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.