Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-6   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.80 $2.80 35%
HOU-7   DD (6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-8 $32.20 $16.20 101%
    PK3 (2/9/4)-(6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  ALL-5-8 $70.20 $22.20 46%
HOU-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $5.20 $1.20 30%
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $14.10 $8.10 135%
    DD (8/6/4/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-4 $12.10 $4.10 51%
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00  5-8-4 $82.10 $50.10 157%

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-2   02/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:22 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMPUS 8 3 4 4¼   1nk 1 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 10% 8.60 2.80 W
NIGHT ORB 2 4 3 2nk   2nk 2 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 1.80 P
GRAY ZONE 1 5 5 5   3 3 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 5.00 10% 8.60 8.90 S
10  XTRA SPICY 9 6 6 6   6 4 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 12.00 19.80  
PIECE OF ME 5 1 1½ 3.2   4 5 (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 121 30.00 31.80  
GO GO GO 6 8 7 7   7 65 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00 2.50  
SHELL SHOCK 4 7 89 8   8 7 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 16.60  
HOURGLASS FIGURE 3 9 911 99   9 8 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
MIDSUMMER SOIREE 7 2 2½ 1nk   5 911½ (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.50 55% 0.80 17.80  
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA               ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 10.00    
 
HOU-3   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THINKITASADONATION 6 1 2nk 1nk   12 1¼ (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 2.00 1.50  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 7 6 7 6   53 2¼ (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 3.00 3.20  
ROZEY CHEEKS 1 7 5 5   22 32 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 4.00 16% 5.30 3.50 S
GIRONA 2 3 3 32   3 4 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00 7.10  
TIZ HOPPIN 3 4 4 43   4 56 (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00 7% 12.70 12.10  
MELODY ROSE 5 5 6 7   76 67 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 49% 1.00 7.40  
TWO ANGELS 4 2 1nk 2nk   6 7 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  FREEZER BURN               ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 8.00    
 
HOU-4   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSS CLAIM 3 3 11 11   12 1 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 1.00 1.20  
FAST TRACK 6 1 21 21   22 2 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 38% 1.60 1.60 P
SHINING EXAMPLE 4 2 43 42   43 3 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00 13% 6.40 10.40 S
CRANKY SHEILA 2 4 32 3   32 4 ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 3.50 14% 5.90 4.50  
SPACE PIRATE 1 6 67 65   5 5 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 123 12.00 14.80  
STARTECA 5 5 55 5   67 6 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 121 30.00 14.30  
 
HOU-5   02/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:25 :503 1:164 1:42   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKIN CADEE 7 2 21 2½ 1nk 31 1¼ (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 30.40  
  (by LIAISON out of TALKIN TAYLOR by ORATORY)
SKYVIEW DRIVE 2 1 32 3 5 11 2¼ (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 1.40 51% 1.00 1.20 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
UTSIRA 4 8 8 8 6 4 3 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5.50 S
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
TIZ A KNOCKOUT 3 7 9 6 84 7 4 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
PERCEPTIVE 6 4 11 1½ 2nk 21 56 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.50 7.20  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
10  LO PROFILE 9 9 7 9 4 6 6 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00 21.40  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
CONCEAL 8 3 5 4 3 5 7 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 26% 2.90 3.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEMPTRESS by TAPIT)
CHARMING LEAH 5 5 42 7 7 8 816 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00 18.10  
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
LIGHTNING MELODY 1 6 6 5 96 917¼ 934¾ (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 123 20.00 28.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ACCESS               (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
 
HOU-6   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKY'S TATTOO 5 1 32 3   2nk 1¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 9% 10.10 4.40 W
CATO'S LADY 2 6 7 6   4 2¾ (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 10.00 27.60  
FROSTY BREW 4 8 21 2   3 3 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 2.50 2.70  
CASINO QUEEN 1 5 11 1   1nk 45 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 12% 7.40 8.30  
BETCHA 6 4 5 44   56 5 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 26% 2.90 10.50  
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA 8 2 43 7   6 69 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 2.20  
PUGLIA 3 7 89 810   7 711¼ (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 14% 6.20 14.40  
FROSTY FLIRT 7 3 6 54   829¼ 8100 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 4.90  
 
HOU-7   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:30
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH MYSTERY 8 3 2nk 1nk   11 12 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 34% 2.00 1.60 W
DANZIG UP A STORM 1 4 1nk 2nk   21 22 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 4.00 5.20  
ROYA 2 5 6 5   34 32 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 8.90  
TOOTIE 6 2 4 31   44 4 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 29% 2.40 5.80  
CALI 3 8 7 8   55 5 (davidson br)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00 13.20  
PUT A BOW ON IT 4 1 31 4   66 66 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 12% 7.60 3.50  
MAZI 7 6 83 73   8 7 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00 15.30  
CRYSTAL CRESCENT 5 7 5 6   7 8 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
 
HOU-8   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT-11:00
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOARING LADY 3 7 74 3   2½ 14 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 2.00 64% 0.60 1.60 W
BLING ON THE LIGHT 6 4 2nk 4   41 24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 3.60 P
RUBIANA 8 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 3 ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 121 8.00 5.00  
BRAD'S SWEETHEART 2 5 8 8   64 4 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 16.50  
THE NEXT BIG BLING 7 1 3½ 1nk   3½ 5 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00 13.10  
SALTAMONTES DIVA 1 6 5 6   5 6 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00 18.90  
PHUNK 5 8 42 5   77 715½ (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 6% 14.60 3.50  
VOODOO MISTRESS 4 3 6 7   89 818¼ (t)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 14.40  
SCR  LEXINGTON DIVA               (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
 
HOU-9   02/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLE CRAZY BONE 4 1 3 32 31 1nk 1 (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00 5.00  
WHISKEY NOT WINE 1 5 5 53 5 4 2 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 8.20  
MAZUMA 3 4 21 21 1nk 2nk 3 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 5.00 19% 4.10 2.50 S
10  WIN WORTHY 8 8 9 88 7 5 4 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 12% 7.60 2.40  
GOLD MONEY 6 2 11 11 2nk 3.2 54 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 30.00 12.90  
FEDERAL HILL (ARG) 5 6 6 65 6 6 6 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
11  SUMMER LOVER 9 7 77 77 8 7 78 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 30.00 19.90  
BUY ME CANDY 2 9 8 911 9 8 813¾ (bryant ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 3.50 45% 1.20 7.00  
RUSSIAN TANK 7 3 4 4 4 9 915¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 14.50  
SCR  BRITE OUTLOOK               (chatters ben)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  CLIFF DIVER               ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 123 15.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE               (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50    
SCR  FIRST AVENUE               ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 123 4.00    
SCR  TEJAS               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.