Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/2/3)-(8/9/1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3)-(6/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/3)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4)-(2/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/9/4)-(6/3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/4)-(2/9/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4)-(2/9/4/7/5)-(2/9/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/9/4)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4)-(6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/5)-(4/6)-(3/4/10/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/4/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/4/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/6)-(3/4/10/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/6)-(3/4/10/6/5)-(3/4/10/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY ZONE Jan21 Sep27 Aug31 Jun18 May27 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
2  NIGHT ORB Jan21 Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 ★    
3  HOURGLASS FIGURE Nov09 Nov04 Sep08 Jun15 May20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Jan21 Jan13 Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00    
5  SHELL SHOCK Feb02 Jan01 Nov23 Oct14 Aug01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00    
6  PIECE OF ME Jan04 Dec18 Nov16 Aug06 Jul02 (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
7  GO GO GO Jan13 Dec15 Nov29 Oct25 Oct04 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
8  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Sep27 Sep06 Aug01 Jun18 Jun08 (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
9  RUMPUS Feb04 Jan21 Sep27 Sep06 Aug11 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 10% 8.60    
10  XTRA SPICY Nov09 Jun09 May18 Apr13 Mar26 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
 
HOU-3   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEZER BURN Dec02 Oct20 Aug12 Jun24 Jun02 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
2  ROZEY CHEEKS Jan19 Nov02 Sep08 Jun09 May14 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  GIRONA Dec01 Sep15 Jul04 Jun11 Jun02 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
4  TIZ HOPPIN Nov13 Oct25 Sep18 Aug22 Aug08 (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00 7% 12.70    
5  TWO ANGELS Jan19 Jul05 Jun15 May15 Apr12 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MELODY ROSE Sep28 Aug25 Apr15 Mar23 Mar12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 49% 1.00    
7  THINKITASADONATION Feb04 Jan13 Oct04 Sep15 Aug26 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 2.00    
8  TEXAS TIDELANDS Jan13 Jan04 Dec17 Aug28 Jul17 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
 
HOU-4   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPACE PIRATE Jan26 Nov29 Oct27 Oct04 Sep23 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
2  CRANKY SHEILA Feb02 Aug07 Jul01 Jun15 May13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  CROSS CLAIM Jul01 Jun23 May12     (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 1.00    
4  SHINING EXAMPLE Feb02 Dec08 Jul01 Jun15 Mar02 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00 13% 6.40    
5  STARTECA Feb02 Jan20 May20 May05 Apr15 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 121 30.00    
6  FAST TRACK Jan05 Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
HOU-5   02/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING MELODY Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep01   (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
2  SKYVIEW DRIVE Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 May29 Mar26 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 1.40 51% 1.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ACCESS Jan07 Nov08       (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
4  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Feb03 Jan07 Jun08 May18 Apr14 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
5  UTSIRA Feb03 Dec13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 ★    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
6  CHARMING LEAH Jan21 Nov10 Sep12 Aug24 Jul01 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
7  PERCEPTIVE Feb03 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 Jun02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.50 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
8  TALKIN CADEE Feb03 Dec16       (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of TALKIN TAYLOR by ORATORY)
9  CONCEAL Feb03 Jan07 Apr16 May28   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEMPTRESS by TAPIT)
10  LO PROFILE Jan28 Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jun11 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
HOU-6   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASINO QUEEN Jan19 Jan06 Nov25 Nov02 Oct25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  CATO'S LADY Dec15 Nov18 Oct28 Oct11 Sep20 (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 10.00    
3  PUGLIA Jan12 Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 Oct14 (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  FROSTY BREW Feb08 Jan19 Dec30 Nov30 Nov20 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 2.50    
5  BECKY'S TATTOO Nov11 Oct25 Sep28 Aug25 Jun25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 9% 10.10    
6  BETCHA Feb04 Jan19 Nov20 Oct28 Oct10 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 26% 2.90    
7  FROSTY FLIRT Feb02 Jan06 Dec15 Dec01 Aug26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
8  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jan28 Jan13 Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50    
 
HOU-7   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIG UP A STORM Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 Jul17 Jun17 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
2  ROYA Feb02 Jan19 Jan06 Nov18 Sep29 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00    
3  CALI Jan19 Jan06 Nov30 Nov11 Oct28 (davidson br)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
4  PUT A BOW ON IT Jan13 Dec19 Dec12 Nov13 Jun25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 12% 7.60    
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jan19 Nov25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOOTIE Jan19 Nov21 Oct11 Sep27 Sep02 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  MAZI Jan19 Nov18 Oct28 Jun18 Jun03 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
8  MATH MYSTERY Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep27 Aug31 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
HOU-8   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTAMONTES DIVA Jan26 Jan05 Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00    
SCR  LEXINGTON DIVA Jan26 Jan13 Jan05 Sep02 Jun24 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
3  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov25   (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 ★    
4  SOARING LADY Feb03 Nov08 Sep29     (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
5  VOODOO MISTRESS Jan26 Aug07 May29 May14 Jan25 (t)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
6  PHUNK Jan19 Jul01 Jun16 May14 Apr15 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 6% 14.60    
7  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jan20 Dec05 Oct04 Sep16 Aug26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 ★    
8  THE NEXT BIG BLING Jan26 Jan05 Aug28 Jun11 May13 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
9  RUBIANA Mar10 Jan01 Nov27     (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
 
HOU-9   02/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY NOT WINE Feb11 Jan06 Nov04 Aug19 Jul02 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
SCR  BRITE OUTLOOK Dec21 Jul01 May25 Apr27 Apr07 (chatters ben)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
3  BUY ME CANDY Apr23 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 Aug15 (bryant ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  MAZUMA Jan26 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Sep24 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 5.00 19% 4.10    
5  OLE CRAZY BONE Jan12 Oct11 Sep23 Sep07 Jun17 (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00 ★    
6  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jan26 Jan05 Nov03 Sep28 Sep02 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLD MONEY May06 Feb24 Jan28 Nov21 May22 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 30.00    
8  RUSSIAN TANK Jan26 Jan06 Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
SCR  TEJAS Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov17 Jun03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40    
10  WIN WORTHY Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 Nov08 Oct06 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
11  SUMMER LOVER Jan27 Jan04 Dec16 Dec07 Nov21 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 30.00    
SCR  CLIFF DIVER Jan26 Jan06 Dec16 Nov01 Oct06 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 15.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE Nov11 Oct21 May19 Apr23 Oct21 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50    
SCR  FIRST AVENUE Feb02 Jan13 Jul04 Jun19 May14 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.