Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.80 $0.80 20%
ASD-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.30 $2.30 58%
ASD-7   PK3 (6/7/1)-(1/2)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60  3/6-1/6/7-3/6 $4.56 $0.96 27%
ASD-8   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $10.50 $2.50 31%
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-4 $45.80 $33.80 282%
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80  9-4-1 $30.14 $25.34 528%
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80  1/6/7-3/6-9 $14.56 $9.76 203%
    PK4 (6/7/1)-(1/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 72 $1.00 $72.00  3/6-1/6/7-3/6-9 $99.10 $27.10 38%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   09/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:16 1:291   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND GRAND 3 1 1½ 12   15 1 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.60 30% 2.40 0.70 W
DIANE'S WISH 2 2 33 3   25 2 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 0.60 46% 1.20 1.10 P
WITT'S MEMORIES 1 3 56 5   3 3 (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 116 20.00 23.05  
VALLENTAY 5 5 45 46   5 411¼ (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 116 10.00 35.15  
RUBYINTHESTARS 4 4 2½ 22   4 513 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 15.00 20.00  
 
ASD-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:23 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG 5 3 53 4   4 1 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00 5.80  
ADJOURNMENT 3 1 11 1nk   1½ 2 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 8.00 1.45  
ONE SKY 2 4 32 3½   3 3 (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 22% 3.50 3.35 S
BETTERMAKETHATTWO 4 2 21 2nk   2½ 4 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 3.50  
PICKINGUPSTRANGERS 1 5 42 53   5 5 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 22% 3.50 4.90  
 
ASD-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Buffalo Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:232 :492 1:153 1:294   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE 5 5 5 4 3 2 1¾ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 19% 4.10 1.40 W
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
BANKER'S DAY 4 3 3 2½ 11 1 2¾ (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00 11.40  
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
DAISYSADOOZY 2 4 42 56 4 4 38 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.80 3.75  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
J L COPPER 3 2 2nk 1½ 21 3 4 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 1.60 57% 0.80 1.30  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
PINO BAMBINO 1 1 1nk 32 5 57 510¼ (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 25.00 25.35  
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  MOONMAN RULES               (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
 
ASD-4   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERAWATT 6 1 3.2 11   1 13 (duncan murray)AEBLY FRASER 119 10.00 1.60  
LUCKY BREAK 5 2 1nk 21   2 23 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 1.80 16% 5.10 3.25 P
ORCADIAN STORM 3 4 4 4   35 3 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 37% 1.70 4.35 S
THE BOSS FACTOR 2 6 6 6   611 410 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 6.00 9.05  
REBOUNDER 4 3 5 5   5 512¾ (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.50 13% 6.70 6.20  
MIA'S MAJESTY 1 5 2nk 3   4 614¾ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00 6.30  
 
ASD-5   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNING ISLAND 5 4 53 4   31 1¾ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.80 31% 2.20 0.50 W
TOWARDS THE LIGHT 6 1 3 2nk   2½ 2¾ (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 6.40 P
DIDDLEY 3 5 2nk 31   43 3 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 5.15  
LADY SUNSET 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 4 (stanford maria)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00 38.00  
HERBIE 2 3 42 5   56 5 (sanderso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 11.10  
WARBRIDGE 1 6 6 6   6 6 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 12% 7.10 7.65  
SCR  OHTANI               (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 25.00    
 
ASD-6   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:223 :454 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASK FOR BODE 1 2 1½ 1½   1 1¾ (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.15 W
MANY ROSES 4 4 4 43   2 2¾ (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00 5.15  
WILL KNOWS 3 5 5 510½   53 32 (gardipy jr)BALROOP SVEN 124 5.00 4.35  
DANZ A REBEL 5 3 3 31   32 4 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 30.00 3.90  
TIZ HOPPIN 2 1 2½ 2½   42 5 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.25  
SCR  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF               (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHOOTIN MONEY               (dickey elton)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.40    
 
ASD-7   09/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:143 1:403   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN 3 1 4 42 2 1½ 1 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 1.20 55% 0.80 1.35 W
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
REASONABLY LOVELY 2 5 5 5 43 3 2 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 15.00 8.00  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BIG STRETCH 4 6 6 6 66 4 3 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00 14% 5.90 2.85 S
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
MISSYINTOMISCHIEF 6 3 2nk 1½ 1 2½ 45 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 118 7.00 6.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
ORANGE THEORY 5 4 1nk 2½ 32 57 516 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 5.00 3.80  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
FRENCH ROSE 1 2 3 3 53 611 623¼ (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 20.00 9% 10.20 22.40  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CATLANTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CATCH THE DREAM               (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 25.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
 
ASD-8   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:153 1:294   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAKHOZANA 9 8 43 31 3½ 21 1¼ (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 5.00 13% 6.40 4.25 W
JUST A POSE 4 2 2 2nk 2½ 11 2¼ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 5% 19.00 7.75 P
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE 1 4 65 5 1½ 3 3¼ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.80 39% 1.60 2.80 S
BITS OF LEMON DROP 3 3 32 42 43 4 4 (morse victoria)ALI RONALD 123 8.00 5.05  
BARBIE'S QUEST 6 9 911 910 89 5 5 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 25.00 17.60  
VIOGNIER 5 6 75 76 6 65 6 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 6.00 18% 4.50 4.15  
BIG BIG ENERGY 7 5 54 6 55 7 7 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00 9.05  
MOVE TO ORDER 8 7 8 87 911 8 8 (morin shaun)AEBLY FRASER 112 20.00 17.15  
FINGER TIP 2 1 1 1nk 7 915½ 938¼ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00 23.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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