Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.80 $0.80 20%
ASD-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.30 $2.30 58%
ASD-7   PK3 (6/7/1)-(1/2)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60  3/6-1/6/7-3/6 $4.56 $0.96 27%
ASD-8   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $10.50 $2.50 31%
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-4 $45.80 $33.80 282%
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80  9-4-1 $30.14 $25.34 528%
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80  1/6/7-3/6-9 $14.56 $9.76 203%
    PK4 (6/7/1)-(1/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 72 $1.00 $72.00  3/6-1/6/7-3/6-9 $99.10 $27.10 38%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   09/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND GRAND   (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.60 30% 2.40 0.70 W
DIANE'S WISH   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 0.60 46% 1.20 1.10 P
WITT'S MEMORIES   (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 116 20.00 23.05  
VALLENTAY   (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 116 10.00 35.15  
RUBYINTHESTARS   (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 15.00 20.00  
 
ASD-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG   (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00 5.80  
ADJOURNMENT   (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 8.00 1.45  
ONE SKY   (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 22% 3.50 3.35 S
BETTERMAKETHATTWO   (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 3.50  
PICKINGUPSTRANGERS   (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 22% 3.50 4.90  
 
ASD-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Buffalo Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 19% 4.10 1.40 W
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
BANKER'S DAY   (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00 11.40  
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
DAISYSADOOZY   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.80 3.75  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
J L COPPER   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 1.60 57% 0.80 1.30  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
PINO BAMBINO   (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 25.00 25.35  
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  MOONMAN RULES   (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
 
ASD-4   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERAWATT   (duncan murray)AEBLY FRASER 119 10.00 1.60  
LUCKY BREAK   (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 1.80 16% 5.10 3.25 P
ORCADIAN STORM   (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 37% 1.70 4.35 S
THE BOSS FACTOR   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 6.00 9.05  
REBOUNDER   (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.50 13% 6.70 6.20  
MIA'S MAJESTY   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00 6.30  
 
ASD-5   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNING ISLAND   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.80 31% 2.20 0.50 W
TOWARDS THE LIGHT   (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 6.40 P
DIDDLEY   (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 5.15  
LADY SUNSET   (stanford maria)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00 38.00  
HERBIE   (sanderso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 11.10  
WARBRIDGE   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 12% 7.10 7.65  
SCR  OHTANI   (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 25.00    
 
ASD-6   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASK FOR BODE   (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.15 W
MANY ROSES   (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00 5.15  
WILL KNOWS   (gardipy jr)BALROOP SVEN 124 5.00 4.35  
DANZ A REBEL   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 30.00 3.90  
TIZ HOPPIN   (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.25  
SCR  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF   (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHOOTIN MONEY   (dickey elton)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.40    
 
ASD-7   09/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN   (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 1.20 55% 0.80 1.35 W
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
REASONABLY LOVELY   (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 15.00 8.00  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BIG STRETCH   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00 14% 5.90 2.85 S
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
MISSYINTOMISCHIEF   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 118 7.00 6.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
ORANGE THEORY   (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 5.00 3.80  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
FRENCH ROSE   (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 20.00 9% 10.20 22.40  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CATLANTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CATCH THE DREAM   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 25.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
 
ASD-8   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAKHOZANA   (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 5.00 13% 6.40 4.25 W
JUST A POSE   (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 5% 19.00 7.75 P
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.80 39% 1.60 2.80 S
BITS OF LEMON DROP   (morse victoria)ALI RONALD 123 8.00 5.05  
BARBIE'S QUEST   (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 25.00 17.60  
VIOGNIER   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 6.00 18% 4.50 4.15  
BIG BIG ENERGY   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00 9.05  
MOVE TO ORDER   (morin shaun)AEBLY FRASER 112 20.00 17.15  
FINGER TIP   (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00 23.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.