Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/1)-(4/6) 8 $0.20 $1.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/6)-(3/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/5/4)-(6/7/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(6/7/1)-(1/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(1/2)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-8   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S MEMORIES Sep06 Aug23 Jun28 Jun07 Sep28 (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 116 20.00    
2  DIANE'S WISH Sep06 Aug09 Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 0.60 46% 1.20    
3  DIAMOND GRAND Sep12 Sep06 Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.60 30% 2.40    
4  RUBYINTHESTARS Aug30 Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 15.00    
5  VALLENTAY Sep06 Aug30 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 116 10.00    
 
ASD-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 Jun10 May28 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  ONE SKY Sep04 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May23 (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 22% 3.50    
3  ADJOURNMENT Aug29 Aug07 Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 8.00    
4  BETTERMAKETHATTWO Sep04 Aug22 Sep13 Aug02 Jul20 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00    
5  HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00    
 
ASD-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Buffalo Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINO BAMBINO Aug29         (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 25.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  MOONMAN RULES         (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
3  DAISYSADOOZY Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.80    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
4  J L COPPER Aug29         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  BANKER'S DAY Aug29 Aug14 Jul24     (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
6  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Aug30 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 19% 4.10    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
 
ASD-4   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA'S MAJESTY Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul10 Jun26 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00    
2  THE BOSS FACTOR Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 May29 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 6.00    
3  ORCADIAN STORM Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Dec13 Nov26 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  REBOUNDER Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jun24 Jun17 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  LUCKY BREAK Sep06 Aug08 Aug02 Jul10 Jun28 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 1.80 16% 5.10    
6  TERAWATT Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 (duncan murray)AEBLY FRASER 119 10.00    
 
ASD-5   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARBRIDGE Sep06 Aug28 Aug14 Aug08 Jun13 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  HERBIE Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 (sanderso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00    
SCR  OHTANI Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 Jul03 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 25.00    
4  DIDDLEY Jul31 Jul19 Jun28 Jun12 Aug30 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00    
5  LADY SUNSET Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 (stanford maria)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00    
6  BROWNING ISLAND Sep11 Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 Jul10 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
7  TOWARDS THE LIGHT Sep06 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
ASD-6   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK FOR BODE Sep04 Jun10 May27 Mar12 Feb19 (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  TIZ HOPPIN Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 Jul11 Jun02 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  WILL KNOWS Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 (gardipy jr)BALROOP SVEN 124 5.00    
4  MANY ROSES Sep12 Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 May27 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
5  DANZ A REBEL Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 30.00    
SCR  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Aug28 Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHOOTIN MONEY Sep04 Aug22 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 (dickey elton)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.40    
 
ASD-7   09/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH ROSE Aug02 Jul05 Jun06 May23 Aug29 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 20.00 9% 10.20    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CATLANTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  REASONABLY LOVELY Aug26 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 Jun20 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  BURROW DOWN Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 Apr24 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
4  BIG STRETCH Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
5  ORANGE THEORY Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun27 Jun13 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
SCR  CATCH THE DREAM Sep06 Oct29 Oct14 Sep24   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 25.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
7  MISSYINTOMISCHIEF Aug28 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Nov15 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 118 7.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
 
ASD-8   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Sep04 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  FINGER TIP Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
3  BITS OF LEMON DROP Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 (morse victoria)ALI RONALD 123 8.00    
4  JUST A POSE Sep04 Aug21 Aug09 Jul24 Jul11 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  VIOGNIER Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  BARBIE'S QUEST Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 25.00    
7  BIG BIG ENERGY Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00    
8  MOVE TO ORDER Sep12 Aug29 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 (morin shaun)AEBLY FRASER 112 20.00    
9  ANNAKHOZANA Sep06 Aug30 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 5.00 13% 6.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.