Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-4   EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-5 $12.30 $6.30 105%
ASD-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.00 $1.00 17%
ASD-6   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80  7-4-6 $16.92 $4.12 32%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:012     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID DEFENCE 4 3 43 2½   1nk 1 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.00 1.25  
DOT AND DASH 3 1 2½ 1½   2nk 2 (rowe michael)ALI RONALD 119 3.00 1.80  
SHOTGUN ONE 2 2 1½ 3½   3.2 3 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.95 S
WIDGET GIDGET 1 4 32 4   415¼ 424¼ (martin d)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 10.00 24.65  
SCR  BABY YATTA               (delorme marcu)CUMBERBATCH R 114 20.00 17% 4.90    
 
ASD-2   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISAN DANCER 6 3 2½ 1½   14 1 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 3.95  
TWO STEPS FASTER 1 4 5 68   6 2 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 10.00 16% 5.10 2.75 P
ZIPPORAH 2 5 45 56   4 3 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 15.00 36.45  
DISTINCT APPROVAL 3 6 6 45   57 4 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 4.00 16.60  
HARLONS COMMISION 5 1 3 33   24 5 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 2.50 25% 3.00 3.05  
LIA'S ON TUNE 4 2 1½ 2½   34 6 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.20 30% 2.40 1.65  
 
ASD-3   08/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Miss Sandy Dee Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:262 :53 1:172 1:422   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN 2 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 11 1¾ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 1.00 62% 0.60 1.20 W
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
EVEN PANDURA 3 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 21 2¾ (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 20.00 10.15  
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BIG STRETCH 1 4 31 4 43 45 3 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.60 13% 6.60 1.30 S
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
MISSYINTOMISCHIEF 4 3 4 32 3 3 4 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 118 4.00 3.95  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
SCR  FRENCH ROSE               (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 10.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CATLANTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
ASD-4   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBOUNDER 7 2 42 3   1½ 11 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.45 W
TOWARDS THE LIGHT 5 3 5 53   4 21 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 19% 4.40 8.80 P
WARBRIDGE 6 1 74 7   6 31 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 15.70  
HERBIE 4 5 2½ 2½   2½ 4 (sanderson bru)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 5.15  
MR. WALSH 1 7 1½ 1½   3½ 5 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 3.50 16% 5.10 1.65  
MY FATHER'S EYES 2 6 6 6   7 6 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 21.05  
OHTANI 3 4 32 4   53 7 (gardipy j)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 25.00 37.35  
 
ASD-5   08/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:144     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING 4 5 33 2   1 1hd (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 121 1.60 30% 2.40 2.50 W
CATO'S LADY 1 6 79 7   5 2hd (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 6.00 15% 5.50 0.80 P
SAVAGE LOVE 3 1 4 54   35 3 (wise a)BALROOP SVEN 121 15.00 18.40  
CORDILLERA 5 7 68 66   2 4 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 12.55  
MISS PARFAIT 2 4 55 4   4 5 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 10.00 39.55  
FLYING TO THE LINE 6 2 1½ 1   67 610 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.50 15% 5.50 4.85  
VEILAZIG 7 3 2½ 3   711 716¾ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 25.00 46.80  
 
ASD-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:223 :454 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOE 6 2 4¾ 2nk   1½ 1 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.00 14% 6.00 4.40 W
EURONTHEMONEY 8 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 2 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 20.00 4.60  
FRESH ONE 4 4 1½ 3.2   3½ 3 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.00 33% 2.00 2.65 S
MANY ROSES 5 6 7 5   6 4 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 23.60  
ORCADIAN STORM 7 1 5 4   5 53 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 6.00 15% 5.50 5.45  
WILL KNOWS 1 8 810¼ 810¾   8 65 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 12.00 8.50  
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 2 7 6 7   4 75 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 2.50 14% 6.00 5.05  
DRIZZY 3 5 3½ 6   7 811¼ (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 10.00 12.30  
 
ASD-7   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OURS 8 1 3 3½   2nk 1nk (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 1.45  
SUGAR DADDY JACK 2 6 45 4   1nk 2nk (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.50 P
FINE SOFT MORNING 7 3 21 2nk   4 3 (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 25.00 5% 19.00 56.40 S
LIVERYMAN 5 2 11 1nk   3 4 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 4.00 10% 9.00 3.20  
MIGHTY FRISKY 1 8 812 813¾   7 5 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 65% 0.50 4.95  
MOSIE'S ON MAIN 3 7 68 610¾   56 6 (husbands tiffa)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 12.00 21.55  
A LOT TO LIKE 4 5 5 510½   69 710 (hrymak b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00 10.45  
NEVER HAD I EVER 6 4 710 713¼   812¼ 812¾ (anderson wend)TARASENCO P 119 15.00 28.55  
 
ASD-8   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142 1:273   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEANO 5 3 2nk 2nk   11 1 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00 1.50  
NORTH FORK 4 6 7 6   21 2 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.35 P
CAPTIVE KITTEN 7 7 3.2 1nk   32 36 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 15.00 31.25  
RIDE EM 6 5 5 42   43 46 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.00 51% 1.00 5.40  
GOLD SPECIAL 3 4 6 75   5 5 (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 122 20.00 8.10  
ROLLIN SEVENS 2 2 4 5   7 610¼ (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 4.05  
GONE SOMEWHERE 1 1 1nk 3½   6 715¾ (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 19% 4.40 5.15  
SCR  MAYBE SOMETIME               (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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