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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-2			EXA	(3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-1		$30.24			$6.24				26%
ELP-5			DD	(7/5/4)-(6/1/7)						9	$2.00	$18.00	5-1		$27.68			$9.68				54%
ELP-6			EXA	(12/10/7)-(12/10/11/5/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	12-5		$31.98			$7.98				33%
			PK3	(7/5/4)-(6/1/7)-(12/10/7)						27	$0.50	$13.50	5-1-12		$25.05			$11.55				86%
ELP-7			WIN	(9/6/4/10/1)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$18.34			$8.34				83%
			DD	(12/10/7)-(9/6/4/10/1)						15	$2.00	$30.00	12-6		$56.14			$26.14				87%
			PK3	(6/1/7)-(12/10/7)-(9/6/4/10/1)						45	$0.50	$22.50	1-12-6		$42.89			$20.39				91%
ELP-9			WIN	(3/5/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$7.06			$1.06				18%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/04/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($22K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	PLATINUM GHOST									(sharp joe)TORRES A 123						3.00		13%		6.60		1.31	W
5	THIRD WATCH (GB)									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						12.00						14.03
7	TIVERTON (GB)									(miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118						3.50		17%		4.70		7.47	S
2	ONEPARTICULRHARBOR									(asmussen )TORRES A 123						10.00		5%		19.00		10.46
8	FREAKY Z									(hill f)MONCADA IRVING 113						30.00						44.04
9	REDHILL									(pittman bonni)CANNON DECLAN 123						20.00						51.37
1	MR. FAVERSHAM									(puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						5.00		11%		7.90		6.53
4	BEER WITH ICE									(cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.00		29%		2.40		6.45
3	SMOOTHDINI									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118						4.50						4.00

ELP-2			07/04/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC3	SLOPPY	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MIDNIGHT TAXES									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122						2.50		37%		1.70		2.44	W
1	ECHO AGAIN									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.50		16%		5.30		3.75	P
5	NORMANDY HERO									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118						4.50						6.10
2	POWERFUL									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 122						5.00						7.33
7	KNICKS STORY									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 126						10.00		5%		19.00		15.28
6	TIME FOR TRUTH									(moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.00						2.10
4	NABOKOV									(moger jr)MORALES EDGAR 122						15.00		15%		5.50		14.02

ELP-3			07/04/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LADY JUNE									(castanon jose )CASTANON L 120						30.00						13.86
8	CUMBERLAND FALLS									(troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						8.00						4.15
1	NEW BEAT									(casse no)SANTANA JR 123						6.00						1.04
10	YZZY'S BOLT									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						10.00		18%		4.60		4.16
5	CALLAS									(house gary)MORALES EDGAR 123						8.00		5%		19.00		17.48
6	LUBU									(hill f)MONCADA IRVING 108						30.00						49.55
2	NOSHUGFORPOP									(colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118						8.00		16%		5.40		15.23
7	QUEEN'S NOTICE									(drury j)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		26%		2.90		6.56
SCR	BAG LADY									(catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 123						4.00
SCR	ITALIAN IVY									(walsh d)BEJARANO R 118						15.00
SCR	SWEET DUTCHESS									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						3.50

ELP-4			07/04/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC10	SLOPPY	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	NOT THIS BOY									(cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120						6.00		19%		4.20		2.13	W
3	RUN JALEN RUN									(sharp joe)TORRES A 122						4.50						4.20
7	GIVE ME A REASON									(asmussen )TORRES A 120						2.00		49%		1.00		2.37	S
4	B FIFTY TWO									(walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						6.00		5%		19.00		10.58
1	MERIT									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.00						2.30
2	BEAUDACIOUS COLTON									(hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120						20.00						63.59
SCR	HAVE YOU HEARD									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120						5.00

ELP-5			07/04/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC11	MUDDY	Dade Park Dash					Purse ($125K)			3		ALL		PT- 2:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BEAR RIVER									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120						3.00		29%		2.50		2.07	W
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
3	HOW'S UR ATTITUDE									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						12.59
		(by STREET SENSE out of DARING KATHY by WILDCAT HEIR)
6	COMMITTEE OF ONE									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 118						5.00		30%		2.40		2.89	S
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
8	BARKSDALE									(walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120						3.50						0.93
		(by STREET SENSE out of CHARLOTTE LUCAS by BERNARDINI)
7	CHRYSO ALOGO									(vasquez )RODRIGUEZ A 118						20.00		5%		19.00		23.37
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of NOTACAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120						10.00
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR	JOE SHIESTY									(foster er)TORRES A 122						2.00
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of READY TO UNLEASH by MORE THAN READY)
SCR	VOTE NO									(morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120						12.00
		(by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)

ELP-6			07/04/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	MUDDY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		F		PT- 3:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	MRS WORLDWIDE									(lynch a)GRAHAM J 119						2.50		58%		0.70		0.90	W
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
5	VOLATILE MARKET									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119						6.00		★				11.28	P
		(by VOLATILE out of JEWEL THIEF by GEMOLOGIST)
1	QUINN'S PROMISE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						12.00						23.57
		(by PROMISES FULFILLED out of TIZ CECILE by TIZNOW)
11	BREAD TO RUN									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00		★				9.01
		(by AUTHENTIC out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
9	CAT PAYS THE TOLL									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						12.00						27.15
		(by MITOLE out of A. P. DOUBLE CAT by A.P. INDY)
7	DAWN AFTER DAWN									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00		5%		19.00		6.01
		(by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
10	SUMMER TRAVELS									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						4.50		16%		5.40		4.90
		(by AUTHENTIC out of SCENT OF SUMMER by ROCK HARD TEN)
2	RITA'S LEGACY									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						12.00						16.42
		(by JUSTIFY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
4	TONI MARIE									(stephen anthon)MACHADO LUAN 119						30.00						15.86
		(by BLAME out of MALIBU ROYALTY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR	CLOUD ANGEL									(hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						30.00
		(by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHESCHARLIE'SANGEL by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR	HEY LIL LADY									(ewing michael )CASTANON L 119						20.00
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of NOBLE BEAUTY by CHROMITE)
SCR	LAWS OF A NATION									(desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119						15.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of DREAM PASSAGE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR	MELITTLEFROSTGIRL									(hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119						12.00
		(by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT FROST by FROSTED (GB))
SCR	ONE HAPPY ISLAND									(kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 119						8.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
SCR	PRAYING									(medina ro)TORRES A 119						4.00
		(by VEKOMA out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
SCR	QUINTESSENTIALLADY									(holden darrag)LUCILLE GEENA 119						30.00
		(by COLLECTED out of LADY QUINTESSA by MUNNINGS)

ELP-7			07/04/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	MUDDY	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	PAM PAM									(moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118						6.00		28%		2.60		8.17	W
13	INDY LABEL									(danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 118						6.00						16.98
3	MOR HAPPY HOURS									(cuddie ho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						12.00						24.52
9	MYSTICAL CHANT									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.00		32%		2.10		1.63
4	GRACE GIVEN									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						10.00		14%		6.30		6.42
12	ROCKAWAY REEF									(baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						12.00						11.37
1	PLAY MAKER									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118						10.00		5%		19.00		5.68
2	CHARM OF THE SONG									(foster eri)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00						14.16
8	RETAIL THERAPY									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118						12.00						41.41
10	GRAPES FOR ELOISE									(amoss m)BEJARANO R 124						8.00		5%		19.00		4.72
SCR	CANDY CRAZE									(habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00
SCR	COMPUTADORA (ARG)									(brownfield cl)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00
SCR	FASHION AFFIRMED									(pittman bonni)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00
SCR	LADY ABERDEEN									(miller kenny)LANERIE J 118						5.00
SCR	TWO LUCYS									(mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						12.00

ELP-8			07/04/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	HORACE MANN									(damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123						10.00						8.19
5	OUR DREAM RYE'D									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 123						8.00		5%		19.00		13.72	P
13	LIPS SAY BLISS									(medina ro)TORRES A 123						2.50		18%		4.40		1.41	S
2	THOMAS AQUINAS									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50						4.44
4	PIKE PLACE									(mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 123						8.00		18%		4.70		8.26
12	SILVER HEIST									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 123						3.00						7.29
10	GATLINBURG									(asmussen steven)LANERIE J 123						6.00		★				11.03
6	SGT. PEPPER									(margolis r)GRAHAM J 123						3.50		42%		1.40		11.61
8	IBN AL ARABI									(cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 125						20.00						20.07
SCR	BRILLIANT MAN									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						15.00
SCR	BROWN LIQUOR MAN									(sharp joe)TORRES A 125						6.00
SCR	IRONSIDES									(oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 123						8.00
SCR	POOL GUY									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00

ELP-9			07/04/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	MUDDY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	CLARET BERET									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118						3.00		27%		2.70		2.53	W
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of BESSIE M by MEDALLIST)
9	LEO TORO									(lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						6.00						2.78
		(by NYQUIST out of RUNFOR RO by AFLEET ALEX)
2	MAC TO MOORE									(ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 118						12.00						3.59
		(by AUDIBLE out of SHOT GUN PENNIE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1	RACONTEUSE									(wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118						10.00		5%		19.00		3.15
		(by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
5	GIDGET ROSE LEE									(o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		22%		3.50		5.34
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
10	BREEZING ALONG									(meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						12.00						18.97
		(by RUNHAPPY out of MATA MUA by ARCH)
SCR	PISCIOTTA (GB)									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50
		(by WOOTTON BASSETT out of KAZEERA by DUBAWI (IRE))
SCR	SCREAMING MIMI									(medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00
		(by AUDIBLE out of GOODBYE STRANGER by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR	STRIKE WHEN READY									(correas iv)GRAHAM J 118						15.00
		(by MORE THAN READY out of MYSTERY STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR	ON COMMAND									(arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR	MO CHAT									(thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118						12.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of CHAT by DYNAFORMER)
SCR	GOURMET									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						15.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of AMAZING BELLE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR	FOR LOVE AND HONOR									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						5.00
		(by SKY MESA out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR	TIDAL TACTICS									(lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 117						30.00
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR	BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS									(mott riley)TORRES A 118						20.00
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA BIONDETTI by BIONDETTI)
SCR	DREAMSCAPE									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 118						30.00
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.