Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $30.24 $6.24 26%
ELP-5   DD (7/5/4)-(6/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-1 $27.68 $9.68 54%
ELP-6   EXA (12/10/7)-(12/10/11/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  12-5 $31.98 $7.98 33%
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(6/1/7)-(12/10/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50  5-1-12 $25.05 $11.55 86%
ELP-7   WIN (9/6/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $18.34 $8.34 83%
    DD (12/10/7)-(9/6/4/10/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  12-6 $56.14 $26.14 87%
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(12/10/7)-(9/6/4/10/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-12-6 $42.89 $20.39 91%
ELP-9   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.06 $1.06 18%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:114 1:252   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PLATINUM GHOST 6 2 2nk 1nk 12 13 16 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 3.00 13% 6.60 1.31 W
5  THIRD WATCH (GB) 5 4 63¾ 54 34 23 26 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 14.03  
7  TIVERTON (GB) 7 5 42 43 55½ 46 311¼ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 17% 4.70 7.47 S
2  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 2 9 919¾ 923½ 918 711 412¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.46  
8  FREAKY Z 8 6 3½ 2nk 22 34 513¼ (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00 44.04  
9  REDHILL 9 8 76¾ 77½ 68 57½ 616¾ (pittman bonni)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 51.37  
1  MR. FAVERSHAM 1 7 810¾ 810½ 813 811¼ 716¾ (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 11% 7.90 6.53  
4  BEER WITH ICE 4 1 1nk 31½ 45½ 67½ 818¼ (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 29% 2.40 6.45  
3  SMOOTHDINI 3 3 53½ 65½ 712½ 914¾ 929 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 4.00  
 
ELP-2   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIDNIGHT TAXES 3 4 1½ 2nk   12 12½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.44 W
1  ECHO AGAIN 1 7 73¾ 66¼   34 22½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 16% 5.30 3.75 P
5  NORMANDY HERO 5 1 2½ 1nk   22 37¼ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 6.10  
2  POWERFUL 2 5 42 45½   46½ 48 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 7.33  
7  KNICKS STORY 7 3 62¾ 56   58½ 58¾ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 15.28  
6  TIME FOR TRUTH 6 2 32 34   69 614¼ (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 2.10  
4  NABOKOV 4 6 52¼ 78¼   711 714½ (moger jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 15% 5.50 14.02  
 
ELP-3   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:111 1:251   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY JUNE 3 2 42½ 43 31 11 15¼ (castanon jose )CASTANON L 120 30.00 13.86  
8  CUMBERLAND FALLS 7 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 25¼ (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 4.15  
1  NEW BEAT 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 31 39¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 1.04  
10  YZZY'S BOLT 8 7 52¾ 55 47½ 47½ 418½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 18% 4.60 4.16  
5  CALLAS 4 3 3½ 32 57¾ 69½ 519¾ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.48  
6  LUBU 5 6 85½ 67½ 69¼ 58½ 621¼ (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00 49.55  
2  NOSHUGFORPOP 2 4 75¼ 88½ 711¾ 712 722 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 16% 5.40 15.23  
7  QUEEN'S NOTICE 6 8 65¼ 78 814¼ 820 847¼ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 26% 2.90 6.56  
SCR  BAG LADY               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00    
SCR  ITALIAN IVY               (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS               (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.50    
 
ELP-4   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NOT THIS BOY 5 4 42½ 31   11½ 17 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 19% 4.20 2.13 W
3  RUN JALEN RUN 3 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 27 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 4.50 4.20  
7  GIVE ME A REASON 6 1 2½ 2nk   33 37¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 120 2.00 49% 1.00 2.37 S
4  B FIFTY TWO 4 5 53 63¼   45 410 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.58  
1  MERIT 1 6 63½ 52¼   55 514¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 2.30  
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 3 31½ 42   66½ 618 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 63.59  
SCR  HAVE YOU HEARD               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Dade Park Dash Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:221 :443 :57     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR RIVER 1 2 1nk 1nk   11 11½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 29% 2.50 2.07 W
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE 2 1 31 31½   31½ 21½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 12.59  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DARING KATHY by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  COMMITTEE OF ONE 3 4 45 45   43 31½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 30% 2.40 2.89 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
8  BARKSDALE 5 3 2nk 2nk   21 43¼ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 0.93  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHARLOTTE LUCAS by BERNARDINI)
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 4 5 57½ 58½   59 512¼ (vasquez )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.37  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of NOTACAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  JOE SHIESTY               (foster er)TORRES A 122 2.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of READY TO UNLEASH by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  VOTE NO               (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
ELP-6   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MRS WORLDWIDE 9 4 31 31   11½ 12¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 58% 0.70 0.90 W
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
5  VOLATILE MARKET 4 1 2nk 1nk   21½ 22¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 11.28 P
  (by VOLATILE out of JEWEL THIEF by GEMOLOGIST)
1  QUINN'S PROMISE 1 8 910 911¼   79 310¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 23.57  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of TIZ CECILE by TIZNOW)
11  BREAD TO RUN 8 6 57 55½   57 411¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 ★ 9.01  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
9  CAT PAYS THE TOLL 6 7 67½ 65¾   67½ 511¾ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 27.15  
  (by MITOLE out of A. P. DOUBLE CAT by A.P. INDY)
7  DAWN AFTER DAWN 5 3 43 43   46½ 613 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.01  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
10  SUMMER TRAVELS 7 5 1nk 2nk   35½ 716¼ (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 16% 5.40 4.90  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SCENT OF SUMMER by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  RITA'S LEGACY 2 9 78 79¾   810½ 818 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 16.42  
  (by JUSTIFY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
4  TONI MARIE 3 2 89 89¾   912½ 918½ (stephen anthon)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 15.86  
  (by BLAME out of MALIBU ROYALTY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CLOUD ANGEL               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHESCHARLIE'SANGEL by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  HEY LIL LADY               (ewing michael )CASTANON L 119 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOBLE BEAUTY by CHROMITE)
SCR  LAWS OF A NATION               (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DREAM PASSAGE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT FROST by FROSTED (GB))
SCR  ONE HAPPY ISLAND               (kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
SCR  PRAYING               (medina ro)TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  QUINTESSENTIALLADY               (holden darrag)LUCILLE GEENA 119 30.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of LADY QUINTESSA by MUNNINGS)
 
ELP-7   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:242   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAM PAM 5 4 1nk 11½ 12½ 13 16½ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 28% 2.60 8.17 W
13  INDY LABEL 10 10 62¾ 41¾ 34½ 35 26½ (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 16.98  
3  MOR HAPPY HOURS 3 3 41¼ 21½ 22½ 23 37 (cuddie ho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 24.52  
9  MYSTICAL CHANT 7 8 52¾ 63¼ 66¼ 58 410 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 32% 2.10 1.63  
4  GRACE GIVEN 4 5 83½ 73½ 56 46½ 511 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 10.00 14% 6.30 6.42  
12  ROCKAWAY REEF 9 9 96 97½ 79¼ 69 611½ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 11.37  
1  PLAY MAKER 1 2 73 86½ 912¾ 812½ 717½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.68  
2  CHARM OF THE SONG 2 1 2nk 31½ 46 79½ 819¾ (foster eri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 14.16  
8  RETAIL THERAPY 6 7 107 1010½ 1015¾ 1019½ 931¼ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 41.41  
10  GRAPES FOR ELOISE 8 6 31 53¼ 811¼ 919½ 1038¼ (amoss m)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.72  
SCR  CANDY CRAZE               (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  COMPUTADORA (ARG)               (brownfield cl)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  FASHION AFFIRMED               (pittman bonni)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  LADY ABERDEEN               (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
SCR  TWO LUCYS               (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
 
ELP-8   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HORACE MANN 7 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 12 15¼ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 8.19  
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D 3 3 31½ 31 2nk 22 25¼ (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.72 P
13  LIPS SAY BLISS 9 7 41½ 41¼ 4¾ 33½ 35¾ (medina ro)TORRES A 123 2.50 18% 4.40 1.41 S
2  THOMAS AQUINAS 1 1 63¼ 63¼ 52¼ 56 410¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 4.44  
4  PIKE PLACE 2 2 53 53¼ 62¼ 46 511 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 18% 4.70 8.26  
12  SILVER HEIST 8 9 84¾ 84¾ 74¼ 78 612¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 7.29  
10  GATLINBURG 6 5 1½ 1nk 3½ 66½ 715 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 123 6.00 ★ 11.03  
6  SGT. PEPPER 4 8 96¾ 96¼ 86¾ 810½ 818¼ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 123 3.50 42% 1.40 11.61  
8  IBN AL ARABI 5 6 73¾ 74¼ 98¾ 916 930¾ (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 125 20.00 20.07  
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  BROWN LIQUOR MAN               (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 6.00    
SCR  IRONSIDES               (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
SCR  POOL GUY               (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLARET BERET 3 5 41½ 51¼ 2nk 1nk 12 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.53 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BESSIE M by MEDALLIST)
9  LEO TORO 5 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 2.78  
  (by NYQUIST out of RUNFOR RO by AFLEET ALEX)
2  MAC TO MOORE 2 2 1nk 1nk 31½ 33 39¾ (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 3.59  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SHOT GUN PENNIE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  RACONTEUSE 1 1 31 41¼ 42½ 45 411¾ (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
5  GIDGET ROSE LEE 4 3 62¼ 63¼ 55½ 510 529¼ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 22% 3.50 5.34  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
10  BREEZING ALONG 6 6 51¾ 31 66 612 633¼ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 18.97  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MATA MUA by ARCH)
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of KAZEERA by DUBAWI (IRE))
SCR  SCREAMING MIMI               (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOODBYE STRANGER by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  STRIKE WHEN READY               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MYSTERY STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  ON COMMAND               (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  MO CHAT               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHAT by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  GOURMET               (asmussen )TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMAZING BELLE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  FOR LOVE AND HONOR               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS               (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS               (mott riley)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA BIONDETTI by BIONDETTI)
SCR  DREAMSCAPE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.