Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/7/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-2   Win (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (7/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (12/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (9/6/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (6/13/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. FAVERSHAM Apr14 Mar20 Mar02 Feb15 Jan06 (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 11% 7.90    
2  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR May24 Apr27 Mar27 Mar15 Jan24 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMOOTHDINI May17 Mar24 Mar01 Feb09 Nov23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 4.50    
4  BEER WITH ICE May24 Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  THIRD WATCH (GB) Mar29 Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 Feb17 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00    
6  PLATINUM GHOST May26 Apr27 Mar10 Dec01 Nov23 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  TIVERTON (GB) Jun30 Jun23 May31 May25 May02 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 17% 4.70    
8  FREAKY Z Jun12 May24 Apr30 Apr16 Mar14 (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00    
9  REDHILL Jun12 May01 Apr14 Mar13 Mar01 (pittman bonnie)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00    
 
ELP-2   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO AGAIN May16 Apr05 Mar03 May06 Mar30 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  POWERFUL May18 Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 Apr22 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
3  MIDNIGHT TAXES May16 Apr14 Mar15 Feb25 Feb03 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  NABOKOV Jun08 May03 Mar17 Feb15 Aug26 (moger jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 15% 5.50    
5  NORMANDY HERO Jun05 Dec31 Nov25 Oct28 Oct07 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50    
6  TIME FOR TRUTH Apr27 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Dec31 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
7  KNICKS STORY May25 May11 Jan03 Oct30 Oct16 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-3   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW BEAT Jun12 Apr06 Nov16 Oct06 Mar25 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
2  NOSHUGFORPOP Jun10 Apr05 Mar13 Feb23 Jul16 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  LADY JUNE Jun07 May02 Apr10 Oct30 Sep06 (castanon g)CASTANON L 120 30.00    
SCR  BAG LADY May11 Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 Jan01 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00    
5  CALLAS May03 Apr12 Mar10 Feb11 Jan19 (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUBU Jun08 Apr30 Apr05 Nov17 Oct25 (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
7  QUEEN'S NOTICE May09 Mar13 Feb10 Dec28 Nov17 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  CUMBERLAND FALLS Jun14 Apr19 Mar15 Oct07 Sep15 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS May19 Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 Oct12 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.50    
10  YZZY'S BOLT Jun20 May26 Mar29     (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  ITALIAN IVY Jun11 Mar14       (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERIT Apr06 Mar01 Feb03 Nov04   (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Jun19 Mar28 Feb23 Dec20 Oct29 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
3  RUN JALEN RUN Jun12 Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 4.50    
4  B FIFTY TWO May09 Mar21 Jan21 Dec14 Nov24 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOT THIS BOY May26 Oct03       (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  HAVE YOU HEARD May18 Apr26 Mar03 Jan27 Jan13 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
7  GIVE ME A REASON May05 Apr20 Mar28 Feb24 Dec17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
ELP-5   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Dade Park Dash Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR RIVER Jun13 May17 May01 Mar24 Mar02 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  VOTE NO Jun17 Mar23 Feb02 Jan06 Oct08 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
3  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE Jun19 May29 May04 Apr13 Feb23 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  JOE SHIESTY May01 Mar23 Mar08 Jan06 Dec21 (foster eric)TORRES A 122 2.00    
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Jun02 May10 Apr13 Mar08 Jan26 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
6  COMMITTEE OF ONE Jun16 May17 Apr07 Mar15 Feb16 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
7  CHRYSO ALOGO Jun20 May30 May12 Apr27 Apr12 (vasquez ge)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BARKSDALE Jun08 Apr26 Apr07 Mar08 Nov25 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50    
 
ELP-6   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN'S PROMISE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
2  RITA'S LEGACY         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
SCR  QUINTESSENTIALLADY         (holden darragh)LUCILLE GEENA 119 30.00    
4  TONI MARIE         (stephen anthony)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
5  VOLATILE MARKET         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  CLOUD ANGEL Apr24         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
7  DAWN AFTER DAWN         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAWS OF A NATION         (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 15.00    
9  CAT PAYS THE TOLL         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
10  SUMMER TRAVELS         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
11  BREAD TO RUN         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 ★    
12  MRS WORLDWIDE Jun07         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  PRAYING Jun14         (medina robe)TORRES A 119 4.00    
SCR  HEY LIL LADY         (ewing an)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Jun22         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00    
SCR  ONE HAPPY ISLAND Jun14         (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY MAKER Jun02         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARM OF THE SONG Jun05 May12 Apr10 Feb11 Dec31 (foster eric)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
3  MOR HAPPY HOURS Jun12 May16 May02 Apr14 Mar29 (cuddie howa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
4  GRACE GIVEN May31 Apr14 Mar08 Feb11 Aug13 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  TWO LUCYS May29 Apr17 Mar28 Dec13   (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
6  PAM PAM Jun12 Apr07 Feb16 Nov19 Oct12 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CANDY CRAZE Jun05 May24 May01     (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
8  RETAIL THERAPY May31 May17 Apr17 Mar08 Feb14 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
9  MYSTICAL CHANT May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar06 Sep16 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
10  GRAPES FOR ELOISE Jun09 Mar06 Jan21 Dec31 Nov16 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMPUTADORA (ARG) Jun19 May24 Apr27 Mar22   (brownfield clau)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
12  ROCKAWAY REEF Jun12 May19       (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
13  INDY LABEL Jun06 Sep20 Aug04     (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00    
SCR  LADY ABERDEEN Jun16 May26 Apr20 Mar13 Jan19 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
SCR  FASHION AFFIRMED         (pittman bonnie)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
ELP-8   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROWN LIQUOR MAN Jun08 Apr25 Mar23 Feb25 Feb01 (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 6.00    
2  THOMAS AQUINAS Jun01 Apr26 Mar09 Oct12 Sep09 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN May31 Apr20 Mar28 Feb18 Dec15 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
4  PIKE PLACE May31 May02 Apr17 Feb25 Jan15 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 18% 4.70    
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D May27 Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SGT. PEPPER Jun14 Apr25 Feb08 Jan11 May07 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  IRONSIDES Jun13 Apr25 Mar23 Feb09 Sep07 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
8  IBN AL ARABI Jun10         (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 125 20.00    
SCR  POOL GUY May23 May04 Apr18 Mar01 Jan31 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
10  GATLINBURG May31 Apr30 Nov08 Oct12 Sep02 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 123 6.00 ★    
11  HORACE MANN Apr17 Oct28 Sep04 Jul23 Jun17 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00    
12  SILVER HEIST May27 Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 May04 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 3.00    
13  LIPS SAY BLISS Jun09 May09 Mar17 Feb11 Jan28 (medina robe)TORRES A 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
 
ELP-9   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACONTEUSE Jun09 May09 Apr13 Mar23 Feb14 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAC TO MOORE Mar08 Feb09       (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
3  CLARET BERET May25 Apr21 Mar23     (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  FOR LOVE AND HONOR May27 May04 Apr18 Mar06 Feb14 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
5  GIDGET ROSE LEE Jun06         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOURMET Jun05 May12 Apr20 Mar14 Feb17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB) Apr21         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
SCR  DREAMSCAPE Jun02 Mar16       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
9  LEO TORO May01 Mar31       (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
10  BREEZING ALONG Jun06 Apr06 Mar10 Feb11   (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS Jun04 May14 Dec21 Nov23 Sep13 (lauer micha)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
SCR  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS Jun01 May03 Apr12 Feb24   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  STRIKE WHEN READY Apr06         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  MO CHAT Jun18         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  ON COMMAND Jun15 May11 Apr12 Mar03 Dec17 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  SCREAMING MIMI May27         (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.