The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -0.40
MVR-2   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 2.00
MVR-3   Win (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $3.60 -8.00
MVR-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
MVR-5   Win (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $30.60 $30.60 22.60
MVR-6   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
MVR-7   Win (1/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
MVR-8   Win (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $2.60 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S BE HONEST 2 3 2nk 4   3½ 1nk (musarro joseph)LEON A 124 1.60 62% 0.60 0.80 W
BLACK BUTTE 3 1 4¼ 31   4¾ 2nk (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 2.00  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 1 4 1nk 2nk   1nk 3 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 8% 11.30 4.20 S
LUCKY TUESDAY 4 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 48 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5.60  
SCR  BONNIE'S BEST               (gilmartin brendan)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  COWGIRL KIMMIE               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:31
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARLEY LUCK 3 1 1nk 12   13 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.00 W
DIXIE GIANT 1 3 2nk 22   23 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 0.90 P
SWELTER 2 2 3 34   35 3 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 3.30  
SCR  FROSTY PAWS               (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE               (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUDA SPEED 6 1 3½ 2nk   11 11 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 0.80  
ORO DE MORO MORO 7 2 5 4   33 21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00 4.00  
BEACH FRONT 1 5 1nk 1nk   21 3 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 17% 5.00 12.80 S
T MONEY 2 6 6 6   5 46 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 6.10  
APACHE 3 4 7 7   7 5 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 19% 4.30 13.00  
KOSCIUSZKO 5 7 42 5   6 68 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 3.50 25% 3.10 5.50  
UPTOWN GUY 4 3 2nk 31   4 710¾ (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
 
MVR-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:26 :494 1:15 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST BIKINI 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 2.00 62% 0.60 0.50 W
SHEWEARSMYRING 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 21 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 12% 7.20 2.00 P
MAKES SENSE TO ME 1 3 3 4 47 3 3 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.30  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 4 43 3 34 4 4 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 10.30  
SCR  LA MACCHINA ROSSA               (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET UNIQUE 6 2 2 2nk   1 1½ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.30 W
LADY LOTTIE 1 7 3 31   2 2½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.40 P
SHE'S CRAFTY 5 3 68 5   3 3¾ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 4.10  
CROSSED UP 3 6 5 6   5 46 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 34.00  
HIGH FIRE 4 5 7 7   7 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00 19.30  
WINE ME UP BABY 2 4 1 1nk   4 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 28% 2.60 7.00  
SERGER 7 1 4 4   6 7 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 13.70 10.90  
SCR  NEECHI               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Southern Park Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL KEW 4 4 31 2nk   21 1¼ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50 31% 2.30 0.50 W
GOLD HONEY 3 1 1nk 1nk   11 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 8.00 2.40  
DERBY DAY KISS 2 2 2nk 3   3 3 (cline c)BRACHO A 118 12.00 7.70  
ARTISTIC LANEY 1 5 5 5   47 4 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
OH GLORIOUS DAY 5 3 4 4   57 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 120 10.00 30% 2.40 5.90  
SCR  KISS ME QUICK               (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00    
SCR  NUBLADA               (gorham m)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
SCR  OFFICIALLY YOURS               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50    
 
MVR-7   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF 4 4 2nk 1nk   12 18 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.50 5% 19.00 2.70 W
GUNNER GABRIEL 3 5 1nk 2nk   22 28 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 P
EKATI'S WAY 6 9 8 5   5 310¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 118 15.00 24.40  
10  REIGNING DREAM 9 3 6 4   3 412 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00 91.20  
1X  SPELLCAST 10 1 9 6   6 513½ (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.10  
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 7 8 5 3   4 613¾ (cowans william )BRACHO A 120 6.00 18% 4.60 14.10  
SCRIMPER 2 6 3.2 8   711¼ 721 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 120 10.00 7.10  
SHADOWY 1 7 4¾ 74   811¼ 822¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.00 1.10  
1B  GOLDEN FLAG 8 2 7 10   1013½ 926¼ (hamm tim)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 1.10  
RUN RED RUN 5 10 10 97   913¼ 1027 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 120 20.00 23.80  
SCR  HOTTIE SPOTTIE               (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 118 2.00    
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham rob)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  WHO DA BOSS               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00    
 
MVR-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL AIR FORCE 1 3 2nk 1nk   11 13 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 0.30  
MO SNOW 2 1 1nk 3.2   31 23 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 3 4 3 2nk   21 3 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 8.90  
BLAZIANO 4 2 42 4   45 411¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00 5.70  
SCR  BUMPKIN               (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
SCR  ENJOY THE CRACKEN               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY               (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 1.20 68% 0.50    
SCR  TWICE SHY               (spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.