Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-2   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
MVR-3   Win (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-5   Win (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-6   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (1/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-8   Win (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BONNIE'S BEST Apr03 Mar04 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 (gilmartin brendan)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  COWGIRL KIMMIE Mar28 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50    
ROMANTIC JEWEL Apr03 Feb19 Jul10 Jun25 May22 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
LET'S BE HONEST Mar11 Feb28 Nov03 Oct14 Aug16 (musarro joseph)LEON A 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
BLACK BUTTE Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Nov26 Nov13 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50    
LUCKY TUESDAY Apr03 Mar12 Feb28 Feb13 Jan25 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE GIANT Feb13 Feb01 Jan24 Dec29 Nov05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
SCR  FROSTY PAWS Mar26 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Jan30 Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
SWELTER Apr02 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Dec12 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
MARLEY LUCK Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL Mar27 Feb16 Dec21 Aug12 Jul14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT Mar17 Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 Dec28 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
T MONEY Mar19 Feb24 Feb14 Jan11 Dec14 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
APACHE Apr01 Mar05 Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
UPTOWN GUY Apr02 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 Nov22 (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Apr02 Mar17 Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
LAUDA SPEED Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 Feb21 Feb05 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
ORO DE MORO MORO Apr08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan01 Dec20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00    
 
MVR-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Mar28 Mar01 Feb14 Jan14 Dec29 (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
MAKES SENSE TO ME Mar28 Mar13 Feb13 Nov16 Oct28 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
SHEWEARSMYRING Mar13 Mar04 Feb28 Jan08 Jan02 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 Nov21 Nov01 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
LOST BIKINI Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE Feb28 Feb12 Jan25 Jan08 Dec13 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
WINE ME UP BABY Mar26 Oct05 Sep07 Jul25 Jul11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  NEECHI Mar14 Feb26 Dec21 Nov20 Nov09 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
CROSSED UP Apr01 Mar14 Feb29 Feb13 Jan18 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
HIGH FIRE Mar26 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 Dec04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
SHE'S CRAFTY Apr03 Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 Jan11 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
SWEET UNIQUE Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 Jan10 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SERGER Mar26 Mar13 Oct21 Sep19 Aug28 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Southern Park Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NUBLADA Mar12 Feb14       (gorham m)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
SCR  OFFICIALLY YOURS Mar12 Dec14 Nov29 Nov14   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50    
ARTISTIC LANEY Mar06 Feb08 Jan09 Nov14 Jul22 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DERBY DAY KISS Dec14 Nov14 Oct30     (cline c)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
GOLD HONEY Mar28 Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 Oct28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
MY GIRL KEW Feb01 Dec14 Nov14     (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
OH GLORIOUS DAY Feb07 Dec14 Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 120 10.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  KISS ME QUICK Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 Nov14 Oct11 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00    
 
MVR-7   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWY Dec21 Oct28 Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.00    
1B  GOLDEN FLAG Jul22 Jun16       (hamm tim)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
1X  SPELLCAST Aug12 Jul22 Jun23     (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  HOTTIE SPOTTIE Aug12 Jul22 Jun20 Jun05   (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 118 2.00    
SCR  KINDERHOOK Mar28 Mar04 Nov15 Oct28 Sep06 (gorham rob)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
SCRIMPER Nov15 Oct28 Aug12 Jul13   (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Mar18 Mar04 Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Mar08 Jan26 Dec22     (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
RUN RED RUN Mar27 Mar13 Feb29 Jul22 Jun30 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 120 20.00    
SCR  WHO DA BOSS Mar18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00    
EKATI'S WAY Mar08 Oct28 Oct12     (cline c)ROSARIO L 118 15.00    
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Jan18 Dec14       (cowans william )BRACHO A 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
10  REIGNING DREAM Feb14 Jan08 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00    
 
MVR-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL AIR FORCE Mar25 Feb22 Jan02 Dec18 Nov16 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
MO SNOW Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Jun13 May25 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
DREAMINGABOUTTIME Apr08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan08 Dec18 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
SCR  ENJOY THE CRACKEN Apr01 Mar14 Mar04     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
SCR  TWICE SHY Apr01 Mar04       (spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
BLAZIANO Apr01 Mar14 Jan18 Nov27 Nov01 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Mar07         (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 1.20 68% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.