Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5)-(5/3/1/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(5/3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(5/3)-(1/2/8/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/2/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/2/8/7)-(6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/7)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/7)-(6/7/3)-(1/9/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/9/4/5)-(8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/5)-(1/9/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/5)-(1/9/4/5/3)-(1/9/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/4/5)-(8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BONNIE'S BEST Apr03 Mar04 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 (gilmartin brenda)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  COWGIRL KIMMIE Mar28 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50    
3  ROMANTIC JEWEL Apr03 Feb19 Jul10 Jun25 May22 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  LET'S BE HONEST Mar11 Feb28 Nov03 Oct14 Aug16 (musarro joseph)LEON A 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  BLACK BUTTE Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Nov26 Nov13 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50    
6  LUCKY TUESDAY Apr03 Mar12 Feb28 Feb13 Jan25 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE GIANT Feb13 Feb01 Jan24 Dec29 Nov05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  FROSTY PAWS Mar26 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Jan30 Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
4  SWELTER Apr02 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Dec12 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
5  MARLEY LUCK Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL Mar27 Feb16 Dec21 Aug12 Jul14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH FRONT Mar17 Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 Dec28 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  T MONEY Mar19 Feb24 Feb14 Jan11 Dec14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
3  APACHE Apr01 Mar05 Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  UPTOWN GUY Apr02 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 Nov22 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  KOSCIUSZKO Apr02 Mar17 Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
6  LAUDA SPEED Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 Feb21 Feb05 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
7  ORO DE MORO MORO Apr08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan01 Dec20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00    
 
MVR-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Mar28 Mar01 Feb14 Jan14 Dec29 (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
2  MAKES SENSE TO ME Mar28 Mar13 Feb13 Nov16 Oct28 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
3  SHEWEARSMYRING Mar13 Mar04 Feb28 Jan08 Jan02 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
4  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 Nov21 Nov01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
5  LOST BIKINI Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LOTTIE Feb28 Feb12 Jan25 Jan08 Dec13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  WINE ME UP BABY Mar26 Oct05 Sep07 Jul25 Jul11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  NEECHI Mar14 Feb26 Dec21 Nov20 Nov09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
4  CROSSED UP Apr01 Mar14 Feb29 Feb13 Jan18 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
5  HIGH FIRE Mar26 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 Dec04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
6  SHE'S CRAFTY Apr03 Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 Jan11 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
7  SWEET UNIQUE Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 Jan10 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SERGER Mar26 Mar13 Oct21 Sep19 Aug28 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Southern Park Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NUBLADA Mar12 Feb14       (gorham m)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  OFFICIALLY YOURS Mar12 Dec14 Nov29 Nov14   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
3  ARTISTIC LANEY Mar06 Feb08 Jan09 Nov14 Jul22 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
4  DERBY DAY KISS Dec14 Nov14 Oct30     (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
5  GOLD HONEY Mar28 Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 Oct28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  MY GIRL KEW Feb01 Dec14 Nov14     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
7  OH GLORIOUS DAY Feb07 Dec14 Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 120 10.00 30% 2.40    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
SCR  KISS ME QUICK Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 Nov14 Oct11 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
 
MVR-7   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOWY Dec21 Oct28 Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
1B  GOLDEN FLAG Jul22 Jun16       (hamm t)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
1X  SPELLCAST Aug12 Jul22 Jun23     (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
SCR  HOTTIE SPOTTIE Aug12 Jul22 Jun20 Jun05   (hamm timoth)PETERSON FERRIN 118 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  KINDERHOOK Mar28 Mar04 Nov15 Oct28 Sep06 (gorham r)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  SCRIMPER Nov15 Oct28 Aug12 Jul13   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 120 10.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
4  GUNNER GABRIEL Mar18 Mar04 Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Mar08 Jan26 Dec22     (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  RUN RED RUN Mar27 Mar13 Feb29 Jul22 Jun30 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 120 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MAGGIE'S PLEASURE by EAVESDROPPER)
SCR  WHO DA BOSS Mar18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
8  EKATI'S WAY Mar08 Oct28 Oct12     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 118 15.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Jan18 Dec14       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
10  REIGNING DREAM Feb14 Jan08 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 118 20.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
 
MVR-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL AIR FORCE Mar25 Feb22 Jan02 Dec18 Nov16 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 ★    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KALAROUNA by SELKIRK)
2  MO SNOW Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Jun13 May25 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SNOW MESA by SKY MESA)
SCR  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Apr08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan08 Dec18 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
SCR  ENJOY THE CRACKEN Apr01 Mar14 Mar04     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ENJOY THE FAMILY by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  TWICE SHY Apr01 Mar04       (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of SWIFTBROOKBDANCING by MONTBROOK)
7  BLAZIANO Apr01 Mar14 Jan18 Nov27 Nov01 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Mar07         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 1.20 68% 0.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ELUSIVE GETAWAY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.