Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $17.20 $5.20 43%
MVR-2   DD (5/1/4)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $21.80 $3.80 21%
MVR-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $11.60 $7.60 190%
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $30.20 $18.20 152%
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(6/1/3)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-6-4 $13.50 $4.50 50%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL KIMMIE   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 21% 3.80 3.10 W
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 1.80 28% 2.60 1.00 P
FRANKLY MY DEAR   (rivera nestor)LEON A 126 2.00 4.60  
O K BABY   (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SWEET BELEN   (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 3.40  
 
MVR-2   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANSAM PAYNTER   (vecchio caryn)LEON A 126 1.60 36% 1.80 0.90 W
PACIFIDERO   (smith larry)DIAZ I 118 2.50 2.80  
MR. BLUTARSKY   (smith larry)BRACHO A 118 2.00 2.60  
LEAVENWORTH   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 6.00 20% 3.90 6.30  
CAMILAS WARRIOR   (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
 
MVR-3   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.60 40% 1.50 1.00 W
SENSEI LAWRENCE   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 3.10  
ROCKSTAR RO   (bailey ricard)BRACHO A 126 2.00 2.20  
GOING IN STYLE   (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00 27% 2.70 7.30  
BAAGY   (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IYIYI   (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 126 4.00 39% 1.60 4.80 W
TONALA   (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 3.50 3.60  
BLAZING ZENNA   (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 0.80 S
WOLF EYES   (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 19% 4.20 11.20  
AWILDAS TREASURE   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 1.60 3.90  
 
MVR-5   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINDERHOOK   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 3.50 9.30  
DIAL DIRECT   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 64% 0.60 0.50 P
ROMANIAN PRINCE   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 3.00 11% 8.50 3.10 S
STORMED OUT   (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 46.80  
YIPPEE KI YAY   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 18.20 41.50  
MAILS HERE   (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.50 6.60  
NOAH MY BABY   (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 25.90  
WHISKEY HELPS   (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
 
MVR-6   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TADZIO   (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00 1.40  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
K C OUTWORK   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.50 25% 3.00 4.50 P
  (by OUTWORK out of KIOSK'S CAL by COWBOY CAL)
MOR CRAFTY   (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 11.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
A VAN ON THE RUN   (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 118 6.00 9% 9.90 3.20  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
SMOKE SCREEN   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.20 37% 1.70 2.10  
  (by FROSTED out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
MVR-7   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSPOKEN   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 1.20 50% 1.00 0.05 W
TAP N GLO   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80 P
MAKES SENSE TO ME   (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 1.60 9.10  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 27% 2.70 29.30  
WILDCAT DREAM   (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 30.60  
 
MVR-8   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET UNIQUE   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.60 W
GO GIRL   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 19.00  
BODIL   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 23% 3.40 4.40 S
YOU NAME IT   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 45.10  
THE MIRACLE KIUT   (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 19% 4.10 2.40  
GOLD HONEY   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
PRETTY PATTY   (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 116 12.00 9.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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