The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
MVR-3   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-4   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-5   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.00 -6.00
MVR-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $17.40 -6.00
MVR-8   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:012     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK ON KITTEN 1 5 5 2½   1nk 1(john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 2 2 4 31   32(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 1.80 25% 2.90 2.60 P
LAUDA SPEED 3 4 2nk 41   43(trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.50 8% 12.00 2.60 S
CRIMSON ROCKET 4 1 1nk 1½   2nk 4(farrior an)MARTINEZ A 126 2.50 2.30  
HARD N'SWEET 5 3 3 54   513¾ 521 (vickers richard)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 19.50  
 
MVR-2   03/20/2024 3300ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S SON 3 4 2nk 2½   11(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 31% 2.20 0.30 W
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 4 5 31 42   32(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 12.70  
SAG HARBOR 2 2 6 6   53(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
BROADWAY JONES 5 3 5 54   44(hurley l)HALDAR J 124 10.00 71.00  
FLY HOME 6 6 4 1½   257 (flores christian)VEGA L 124 12.00 41.70  
HOLY SAINT 1 1 1nk 3   66(urieta johanna)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 47% 1.10 2.20  
 
MVR-3   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:012     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELOVELY 2 2 3 3.2   13 110 (trevino stephen)BRACHO A 126 2.50 15% 5.80 0.80 W
FAITHFUL STEPS 3 3 44 4   33 210 (preston randy)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 7% 12.50 13.50 P
FEW REGRETS 4 5 5 5   5311½ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 3.00  
DAISY JONES 5 1 22 2nk   23 412 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 126 2.00 52% 0.90 1.90  
QADIRA 1 4 12 1nk   4516¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ R 118 10.00 24.10  
SCR  ELKO               (vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 5.00    
 
MVR-4   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSPOKEN 4 3 4 2½   1nk 1(trimble patricia)DIAZ I 118 1.20 40% 1.50 0.70 W
CATCHAFALLNSTAR 2 5 511½ 510   52(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 5% 19.00 10.20 P
FOUR BLESSINGS 3 4 2½ 1½   2nk 3(acevedo israel)BRACHO A 118 2.50 7.40  
NOT TODAY 5 1 31 41   43 46 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 15.00 15.00  
MY SUZIE Q 1 2 1½ 3½   32 5(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 20% 3.90 1.60  
 
MVR-5   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 3       1nk 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 2.50  
THEODOROPOULOS 4       2nk 2(buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.20 P
PEARLINTHEROUGH 2       53(tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 16.60  
BELLAVALENCIA 1       447 (flores christi)HALDAR J 124 3.50 14% 6.30 7.90  
CANTHO 5       3.2 5(fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 7% 12.60 1.90  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:284   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK BARON 3 1 12 11 11 11 1½ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 2.70  
THAT'S THE WAY 5 3 22 21 21 21 2½ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 3.90  
AULD LANGE SYNE 4 4 4 31 44 33 3(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 17% 4.80 3.40 S
VAIL OF HONOR 1 5 56 55 5 54(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20  
SEEING RED 2 2 32 42 34 43 57 (musarro joseph)BRACHO A 124 4.00 14% 6.00 3.60  
SCR  YARDMAN               (musarro joseph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :60     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTERTAINER 1 5 514 516½   51¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 5.00 7.70  
JOKEMEISTER 5 3 15 18   15 2¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 2.50 34% 1.90 0.80 P
RED GUN 2 4 411 413½   35 3(fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 5.10  
C J ALL THE WAY 6 1 3 310   25 4(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 3 2 25 28   457 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 34% 2.00 9.00  
TOUCH CODE 4 6 614½ 621½   611¾ 610¾ (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 124 3.00 5.00  
 
MVR-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZ WE SPEAK 2 6 5 5   22 1(gorham m)DIAZ I 118 3.50 44% 1.30 2.50 W
WORK'N ON A BUZZ 6 2 4 1nk   12 2(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 31% 2.20 1.60 P
OLYMPIC WINGS 5 4 3 4¾   32 3(zielinski richa)TOLEDO S 118 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
SHE'S A SOLDIER 3 3 22 3.2   44(galloway k)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 23.50  
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 1 5 6 6   6516 (lopez jacint)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00 8.80  
OPIE'S GIRL 4 1 12 2nk   5616 (smith larry)RIVERA R 118 8.00 4.40  
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE               (trevino step)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.