Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $18.80 $6.80 57%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-3 $9.75 $6.75 225%
MVR-3   EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $22.00 $10.00 83%
MVR-4   EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $19.80 $7.80 65%
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-7 $19.00 $7.00 58%
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-7-6 $12.50 $9.50 317%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:012     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ON KITTEN 1 5 53¼ 2½   1nk 11½ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 2 2 41¾ 31   31½ 21½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 1.80 25% 2.90 2.60 P
3  LAUDA SPEED 3 4 2nk 41   41¾ 32¼ (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.50 8% 12.00 2.60 S
4  CRIMSON ROCKET 4 1 1nk 1½   2nk 42¾ (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 2.50 2.30  
5  HARD N'SWEET 5 3 31½ 54   513¾ 521 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 19.50  
 
MVR-2   03/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POSEIDON'S SON 3 4 2nk 2½   12½ 11½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 31% 2.20 0.30 W
4  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 4 5 31 42   32½ 21½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 12.70  
2  SAG HARBOR 2 2 62¾ 65½   54½ 33¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
5  BROADWAY JONES 5 3 52¼ 54   43½ 45¾ (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 10.00 71.00  
6  FLY HOME 6 6 41¼ 1½   22½ 57 (flores christia)VEGA L 124 12.00 41.70  
1  HOLY SAINT 1 1 1nk 31½   64¾ 69¾ (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 47% 1.10 2.20  
 
MVR-3   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:012     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DELOVELY 2 2 33½ 3.2   13 110 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 2.50 15% 5.80 0.80 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
3  FAITHFUL STEPS 3 3 44 42¼   33 210 (preston randy)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 7% 12.50 13.50 P
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
5  FEW REGRETS 4 5 58½ 57¼   55½ 311½ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 3.00  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GET IT STRAIGHT by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
6  DAISY JONES 5 1 22 2nk   23 412 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 2.00 52% 0.90 1.90  
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
1  QADIRA 1 4 12 1nk   43½ 516¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ R 118 10.00 24.10  
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ELKO               (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PRINCESS ASPEN by BIRDSTONE)
 
MVR-4   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OUTSPOKEN 4 3 43½ 2½   1nk 13¾ (trimble patric)DIAZ I 118 1.20 40% 1.50 0.70 W
2  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 2 5 511½ 510   56½ 23¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 5% 19.00 10.20 P
3  FOUR BLESSINGS 3 4 2½ 1½   2nk 35½ (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 118 2.50 7.40  
5  NOT TODAY 5 1 31 41   43 46 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 15.00 15.00  
1  MY SUZIE Q 1 2 1½ 3½   32 56½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 20% 3.90 1.60  
 
MVR-5   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 3       1nk 14½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 2.50  
5  THEODOROPOULOS 4       2nk 24½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.20 P
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH 2       55¼ 35¼ (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 16.60  
1  BELLAVALENCIA 1       41¼ 47 (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 3.50 14% 6.30 7.90  
7  CANTHO 5       3.2 58¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 7% 12.60 1.90  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:284   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DARK BARON 3 1 12 11 11 11 1½ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 2.70  
6  THAT'S THE WAY 5 3 22 21 21 21 2½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 3.90  
5  AULD LANGE SYNE 4 4 44½ 31 44 33 34½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 17% 4.80 3.40 S
2  VAIL OF HONOR 1 5 56 55 55½ 54½ 45½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20  
3  SEEING RED 2 2 32 42 34 43 57 (musarro josep)BRACHO A 124 4.00 14% 6.00 3.60  
SCR  YARDMAN               (musarro jose)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :60     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTERTAINER 1 5 514 516½   55¾ 1¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 5.00 7.70  
5  JOKEMEISTER 5 3 15 18   15 2¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 2.50 34% 1.90 0.80 P
2  RED GUN 2 4 411 413½   35 31¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 5.10  
6  C J ALL THE WAY 6 1 36½ 310   25 43¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 3 2 25 28   45½ 57 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 34% 2.00 9.00  
4  TOUCH CODE 4 6 614½ 621½   611¾ 610¾ (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 124 3.00 5.00  
 
MVR-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AZ WE SPEAK 2 6 58½ 51¾   22 12¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 3.50 44% 1.30 2.50 W
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
7  WORK'N ON A BUZZ 6 2 46½ 1nk   12 22¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 31% 2.20 1.60 P
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  OLYMPIC WINGS 5 4 33½ 4¾   32 35¾ (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 118 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
4  SHE'S A SOLDIER 3 3 22 3.2   42¼ 46¾ (galloway)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 23.50  
  (by GREEK SUN out of GUMBOOTS by STORM BOOT)
1  ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 1 5 68½ 65¾   68¼ 516 (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00 8.80  
  (by ONE SIDED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  OPIE'S GIRL 4 1 12 2nk   55¾ 616 (smith larry)RIVERA R 118 8.00 4.40  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE               (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 1.60    
  (by MR. Z out of LADY ZIEG by TOUCH GOLD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.