The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
MVR-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $11.40 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.40 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
MVR-5   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-6   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-7   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-8   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:261 :511 1:164 1:302   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILES 2 4 44 4 4 41hd (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 49% 1.10 2.70 W
KLAATU 4 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 2hd (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 1.80 3.00  
ONLYATTHESHOE 3 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 3(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 6.50  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 1 2 3 3 3 34(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 2.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
KING SOCIAL 5 5 5 53 55 55(spiess m)DIAZ I 126 15.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
 
MVR-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 1 2 1½ 12   14 1(zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 1.80 4.70  
MEXITEXAFORNIA 5 1 2½ 22   24 2(crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.30 P
ENJOY THE CRACKEN 3 4 5 512½   39 39 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
HEY HEY GOODBYE 4 5 45 411½   510½ 414 (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 2.50 30% 2.30 4.60  
BLAZIANO 2 3 33 36   410½ 520½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 18.30  
 
MVR-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:023     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL M 4 2 32 31   1nk 1(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 2.70  
EXTRA CRAFTY 2 5 4 4   42(guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 2.00 29% 2.40 2.50 P
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 5 1 2½ 1nk   3.2 3(cline c)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
SUPER SCAMP 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 4(cline c)BRACHO A 126 15.00 18.50  
WHATDID I BUY 3 3 53 5   55(radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 34% 2.00 1.60  
SCR  Z Z BIRD               (vazquez ivan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:254 :494 1:16 1:292   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFETTO 3 1 2nk 2 2½ 12 1(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.40 44% 1.30 1.40 W
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 5 4 1nk 1 1½ 22 2(pappada a)DIAZ I 126 2.50 3.40  
LUCKY JUNIOR 4 3 4 4 32 33(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 28% 2.50 2.20 S
RUBINSTEIN 1 2 3 3 4 4410½ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 3.70  
SECRET LIFE STYLE 2 5 5 5 5 5514¼ (roberson don)SIMPSON JASON 126 6.00 12.40  
SCR  FOREIGN               (dieh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO COPY 4 5 21 2   21¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
MISTER MOBIL 1 4 11 1   12¾ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 3.80  
VISUAL MISSION 2 6 5 6   55 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 31% 2.20 1.30 S
DOUGS MORNING PICK 3 3 43 44   34(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 3.00 5.90  
STONE COLD CAT 5 2 6 5   6510 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00 8.70  
RED HOT POWER 6 1 3 33   4610½ (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 32.90  
 
MVR-6   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVALETTO 5 1 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 32% 2.10 0.70 W
MAILS HERE 3 4 43 1nk   1nk 2½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.20 P
NOAH MY BABY 2 3 11 3½   3½ 3(poole m)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
EL SORDO 1 5 54 4   446 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 14.10  
PLAYING BALL 4 2 3 5   512½ 523¼ (zielinski rich)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 28.50  
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 116 6.00    
 
MVR-7   03/14/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEECHI 2 3 4 46   31(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 51% 1.00 0.70 W
EXACTITUDE 4 1 1 1   12 2(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 5.50  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 2 3 2   22 3(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.00 S
CROSSED UP 1 5 57 5   54(vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 4 2 3   45(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 2.90  
 
MVR-8   03/14/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:254 :504 1:161 1:421   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN ACCESS 2 2 1 1 11 11 1(hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 1.40  
KNOCK WOOD 4 5 35 3 35 21 2(tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 2.50  
PAINT THE TOWN 3 3 4 47 45 42 34 (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 3.50 27% 2.70 2.00 S
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 1 1 2 2 21 32 4(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 26% 2.90 5.10  
MONSTER HUNTER 5 4 5 5 57 56 513¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
SCR  ANIMO ROBERTO               (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.