Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.40 $1.40 23%
MVR-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.80 $0.80 20%
MVR-5   DD (4/5)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-4 $17.20 $5.20 43%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:261 :511 1:164 1:302   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GILES 2 4 44 42½ 43½ 42¾ 1hd (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 49% 1.10 2.70 W
4  KLAATU 4 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 2hd (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 1.80 3.00  
3  ONLYATTHESHOE 3 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 31½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 6.50  
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 1 2 32½ 31½ 31½ 32½ 42½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
5  KING SOCIAL 5 5 54½ 53 55 55¼ 59¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 15.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
 
MVR-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 1 2 1½ 12   14 14½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 1.80 4.70  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of SANS DOUBTE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
5  MEXITEXAFORNIA 5 1 2½ 22   24 24½ (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.30 P
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
3  ENJOY THE CRACKEN 3 4 59½ 512½   39 39 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ENJOY THE FAMILY by BROTHER DEREK)
4  HEY HEY GOODBYE 4 5 45 411½   510½ 414 (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 2.50 30% 2.30 4.60  
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of LEMONS ON TOP by LEMON DROP KID)
2  BLAZIANO 2 3 33 36   410½ 520½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 18.30  
  (by MIXMASTER out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
 
MVR-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:023     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRYSTAL M 4 2 32 31   1nk 11¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 2.70  
2  EXTRA CRAFTY 2 5 42½ 41½   41¾ 21¾ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 2.00 29% 2.40 2.50 P
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 5 1 2½ 1nk   3.2 33½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
1  SUPER SCAMP 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 44½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 15.00 18.50  
3  WHATDID I BUY 3 3 53 52½   53¼ 55½ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 34% 2.00 1.60  
SCR  Z Z BIRD               (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:254 :494 1:16 1:292   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERFETTO 3 1 2nk 21½ 2½ 12 17¾ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.40 44% 1.30 1.40 W
6  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 5 4 1nk 11½ 1½ 22 27¾ (pappada julie )DIAZ I 126 2.50 3.40  
5  LUCKY JUNIOR 4 3 42½ 42½ 32 33½ 39½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 28% 2.50 2.20 S
2  RUBINSTEIN 1 2 31½ 31½ 42½ 44½ 410½ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 3.70  
3  SECRET LIFE STYLE 2 5 52¾ 52¾ 54½ 56½ 514¼ (roberson don)SIMPSON JASON 126 6.00 ★ 12.40  
SCR  FOREIGN               (di)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRYPTO COPY 4 5 21 21½   21½ 1¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
1  MISTER MOBIL 1 4 11 11½   11½ 2¾ (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 3.80  
2  VISUAL MISSION 2 6 55½ 65½   55 34½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 31% 2.20 1.30 S
3  DOUGS MORNING PICK 3 3 43 44   34½ 45½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 3.00 5.90  
5  STONE COLD CAT 5 2 67½ 55½   65¼ 510 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00 8.70  
6  RED HOT POWER 6 1 31½ 33   44½ 610½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 32.90  
 
MVR-6   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAVALETTO 5 1 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 32% 2.10 0.70 W
3  MAILS HERE 3 4 43 1nk   1nk 2½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.20 P
2  NOAH MY BABY 2 3 11 3½   3½ 35¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
1  EL SORDO 1 5 54 45½   44½ 46 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 14.10  
4  PLAYING BALL 4 2 31½ 59½   512½ 523¼ (zielinski ri)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 28.50  
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 116 6.00    
 
MVR-7   03/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEECHI 2 3 45½ 46   33½ 11½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 51% 1.00 0.70 W
4  EXACTITUDE 4 1 11½ 11½   12 21½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 5.50  
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 2 32½ 21½   22 32½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.00 S
1  CROSSED UP 1 5 57 59½   56½ 45½ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 4 21½ 32½   43½ 55¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 2.90  
 
MVR-8   03/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:254 :504 1:161 1:421   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIDDEN ACCESS 2 2 11½ 11½ 11 11 11½ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 1.40  
4  KNOCK WOOD 4 5 35 34½ 35 21 21½ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 2.50  
3  PAINT THE TOWN 3 3 47½ 47 45 42 34 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50 27% 2.70 2.00 S
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 1 1 21½ 21½ 21 32 45½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 26% 2.90 5.10  
5  MONSTER HUNTER 5 4 59½ 58½ 57 56 513¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
SCR  ANIMO ROBERTO               (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.