Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/4/3)-(3/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/2/6)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/5)-(2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/4/6)-(3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/5/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Feb28 Feb13 Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  GILES Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 Dec05 Nov02 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 49% 1.10    
3  ONLYATTHESHOE Feb28 Feb13 Jan01 Nov21 Oct31 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 4.00    
4  KLAATU Feb28 Feb20 Jul03 Jun01 May17 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 1.80    
5  KING SOCIAL Jan24 Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Jan04 Dec27 Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 1.80    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of SANS DOUBTE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
2  BLAZIANO Jan18 Nov27 Nov01     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
3  ENJOY THE CRACKEN Mar04         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ENJOY THE FAMILY by BROTHER DEREK)
4  HEY HEY GOODBYE         (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of LEMONS ON TOP by LEMON DROP KID)
5  MEXITEXAFORNIA Oct23 Sep28 Sep05 Aug11 Jul12 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
 
MVR-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SCAMP Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 Aug05 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 15.00    
2  EXTRA CRAFTY Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Aug30 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  WHATDID I BUY Feb14 Jan30 Aug15     (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  CRYSTAL M Feb24 Nov29 Oct23 Sep16 Oct31 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50    
SCR  Z Z BIRD         (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 8.00    
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 Aug15 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREIGN Feb27 Feb05 Dec04 Oct11 Sep18 (di)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
2  RUBINSTEIN Feb27 Feb13 Jan24 Jan10 Dec27 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00    
3  SECRET LIFE STYLE Mar06 Feb20 Feb08 Dec13 Dec05 (roberson don)SIMPSON JASON 126 6.00 ★    
4  PERFETTO Feb27 Feb15 Dec05 Oct23 Oct11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.40 44% 1.30    
5  LUCKY JUNIOR Mar04 Feb08 Jan08 Dec26 Dec12 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 28% 2.50    
6  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Feb27 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL Mar06 Feb28 Feb21 Jan24 Jan02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
2  VISUAL MISSION Mar06 Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  DOUGS MORNING PICK Feb29 Feb14 Jan23 Dec07 Nov27 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
4  CRYPTO COPY Feb29 Feb15 Oct23 Sep04 Feb01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  STONE COLD CAT Feb27 Jan24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug12 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00    
6  RED HOT POWER Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan15 Dec19 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL SORDO Feb22 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
2  NOAH MY BABY Feb24 Feb08 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAILS HERE Feb22 Feb07 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  PLAYING BALL Feb29 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 (zielinski ri)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
5  CAVALETTO Feb14 Jul31 Jun15 Jun02 May08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 116 6.00    
 
MVR-7   03/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSED UP Feb29 Feb13 Jan18 Dec19 Nov28 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
2  NEECHI Feb26 Dec21 Nov20 Nov09 May24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 51% 1.00    
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST Mar05 Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
4  EXACTITUDE Feb29 Feb13 Aug17 Jul24 Jun24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS Feb29 Jan08 Dec21 Nov22 Oct21 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   03/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Feb29 Jan30 Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 26% 2.90    
2  HIDDEN ACCESS Feb14 Jan11 Dec13 Aug26 Jul22 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40    
3  PAINT THE TOWN Feb28 Jan11 Nov28 Oct23 Jun24 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  KNOCK WOOD Feb28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
5  MONSTER HUNTER Feb27 Feb14 Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANIMO ROBERTO Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.