The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - March 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $3.00 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
MVR-3   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.00 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $32.60 -8.00
MVR-6   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
MVR-7   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
MVR-8   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/27/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:253 :49 1:142 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 2 4 33 33 21 21 1 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 0.50  
MISS FUSSY PANTS 3 2 1½ 1½ 11 11 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 27% 2.70 1.40 P
PRANCIPANTS 4 3 4 45 42 35 3 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 26% 2.80 10.20 S
MAGESTAL BASTIDA 1 5 5 59 56 47 49 (silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 25.30  
UNCAPTURED FAITH 5 1 2½ 2½ 32 5 518½ (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
 
MVR-2   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:02     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO JAKES 3 3 2 2½   2nk 1¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 12% 7.70 3.50 W
HALO EFFECT 1 5 1 1½   1nk 2¼ (yoder susan )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50 18% 4.60 2.00 P
TITEBLUEJEANS 5 2 3 33   3 3¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 5.00 4.00  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 4 1 5 4   44 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 4.60  
STARLITESLEW 2 4 4 5   5 517¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 30% 2.30 2.40  
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READ THE ROOM 2 6 43 4   1nk 1nk (mahan p)SIMPSON JASON 116 3.50 4.00  
SMALL SAILOR 4 3 53 31   2nk 2nk (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.80 P
WHEN IN ROME 5 2 11 11   31 34 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 10.60  
MIGHTY PELE 6 1 21 5   58 410 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 10.00 24% 3.20 4.10  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 1 4 6 6   6 510¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 43% 1.30 7.00  
OUTSLEWTHEM 3 5 32 21   44 611¼ (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 4.00 2.70  
SCR  PEACEFULPERSUASION               (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00    
 
MVR-4   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICUREAN 2 4 1 13   1 1¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 3.00  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 1 5 4 3   2 2¾ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.90 P
SHEISTHEHERO 5 2 3 4   45 3 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 10.00 5% 18.00 7.40 S
LOADED ONCE MORE 3 1 2 23   34 4 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 25% 3.00 5.00  
CHARGINA 4 3 5 5   56 5 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 3.50 4.40  
 
MVR-5   03/27/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:124 1:411   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER CAM 8 5 56 5 4 1½ 1 (ray )SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 15.30  
SMASH 5 1 2 3½ 1nk 2½ 2 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 17% 4.90 2.10 P
ICE BLAST 4 7 814 812½ 8 6 33 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 15% 5.80 1.10 S
RUNAWAY HARRY 7 2 1 2nk 2nk 31 44 (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 3.50 30% 2.30 5.40  
BOBBY'S GIFT 1 8 68 69 6 4 56 (smith larry)LEON A 126 10.00 9.40  
STRIKE THE TOP 6 6 710½ 7 7 76 610¼ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 55.00  
FUEGO CALIENTE 3 4 42 42 5 8 710½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 9.90 14.20  
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 3 3 1nk 3 5 816¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 31.80  
 
MVR-6   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPUTE THIS 4 4 33 31   1½ 11 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 116 1.40 62% 0.60 1.10 W
KISS ME QUICK 6 1 2 21   2½ 21 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 10% 9.20 0.70 P
STICK AROUND 2 6 56 45   4 312¾ (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 8% 11.10 8.60 S
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 3 3 1 11   3 418½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 116 4.00 27.60  
CRYSTAL M 5 2 46 5   58 519 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 37.10  
SHADY BABY 1 5 6 610¼   610 622¼ (ramos francisc)HALDAR J 124 15.00 80.70  
 
MVR-7   03/27/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151 1:423   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SWEETS 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 11 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 40% 1.50 0.60 W
TWISTED JUSTICE 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 21 2 (smith larry)BRACHO A 116 3.00 19% 4.20 2.80 P
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 5 4 32 3 35 3 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.20 6.40 S
SWEET MOBILTEE 3 3 5 5 44 49 414 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 4.00 5.10  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 2 4 3 4 58 513½ 522¼ (silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.30  
STATE OF GRACE 6 6 610½ 6 612 615½ 624¾ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 31.70  
 
MVR-8   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :464 :60     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN RED RUN 4 1 13 16   16 11 (cline c)BRACHO A 118 1.20 45% 1.20 0.40 W
NO MAS CERVEZA 5 4 48 412   26 21 (brown glenroy)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 21.40  
MAY MAYHEM 1 2 23 26   3 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 3.00 16% 5.30 3.40 S
SOL OF VAQUERO 3 6 59 615   5 4 (campbell anthony )VEGA L 124 5.00 16.80  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 6 5 6 513   6 510½ (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 124 20.00 36.90  
MOMENT IN THE DARK 2 3 33 36   48 610¾ (haehn r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 18% 4.60 4.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.