Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/1/3)-(1/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/7/5)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(1/3/5)-(7/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(7/5/4/3)-(4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/3)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/3)-(4/6/2)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(4/1/5)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Mar06 Feb19 Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00    
2  GRAY ROYALITY Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Mar05 Feb22 Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 27% 2.70    
4  PRANCIPANTS Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 Jan09 Nov14 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  UNCAPTURED FAITH Mar06 Feb14 Jan31 Jun14 May23 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO EFFECT Mar11 Feb22 Dec06 Nov15 Nov06 (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
2  STARLITESLEW Feb22 Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  MY TWO JAKES Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 Jan04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 12% 7.70    
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Mar19 Feb05 Jan09 Dec06 Nov15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
SCR  OH EYE SEE Mar12 Feb22 Dec07 Nov07 Oct23 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
6  TITEBLUEJEANS Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec20 Dec06 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE Mar12 Feb29 Feb15 Dec04 Oct30 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
2  READ THE ROOM Mar11 Feb26 Feb06 Jan25 Jan04 (mahan joseph )SIMPSON JASON 116 3.50 ★    
SCR  PEACEFULPERSUASION Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Nov20 Oct18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00    
4  OUTSLEWTHEM Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
5  SMALL SAILOR Mar12 Feb01 Nov29 Nov13 Oct19 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHEN IN ROME Feb29 Feb22 Jan11 Dec27 Nov16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
7  MIGHTY PELE Mar19 Dec27 Nov24 Nov03 Oct17 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
 
MVR-4   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Feb28 Feb13 Dec18 Nov28 Nov15 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  EPICUREAN Mar18 Feb28 Feb07 Jan31 Jan08 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60    
3  LOADED ONCE MORE Jun21 May22 May09 May02 Apr11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  CHARGINA Mar18 Feb13 Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 3.50    
5  SHEISTHEHERO Mar18 Feb24 Aug06 Jul12 Jun11 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 10.00 5% 18.00    
 
MVR-5   03/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY'S GIFT Mar13 Feb24 Feb08 Jan10 Dec27 (smith larry)LEON A 126 10.00    
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Mar17 Feb28 Feb19 Dec10 Oct23 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
3  FUEGO CALIENTE Feb21 Feb08 Jan23 Jan08 May06 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
4  ICE BLAST Mar17 Feb19 Jan30 Jan10 Nov10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
5  SMASH Mar17 Jan30 Jan10 Dec26 Dec06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  STRIKE THE TOP Mar17 Feb24 Jan23 Nov27 Oct31 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00    
7  RUNAWAY HARRY Feb26 Jan10 Dec18 Nov13 Oct11 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  MY BROTHER CAM Feb26 Jan10 Dec18 Nov29 Oct13 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY BABY Mar12 Feb20 Jan17 Dec16 Nov24 (ramos franci)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
2  STICK AROUND Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Dec30   (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 8% 11.10    
3  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Mar12 Feb24 Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 116 4.00    
4  COMPUTE THIS Mar04 Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 116 1.40 62% 0.60    
5  CRYSTAL M Mar14 Feb24 Nov29 Oct23 Sep16 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  KISS ME QUICK Mar12 Feb01 Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 10% 9.20    
 
MVR-7   03/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTED JUSTICE Mar12 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Dec21 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  SHAKA'S LYRIC Mar12 Feb29 Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  SWEET MOBILTEE Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 Jun22 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 4.00    
4  HELLO SWEETS Mar12 Aug28 Aug14 Jun27 Jun12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Nov28 Nov09 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
6  STATE OF GRACE Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 Nov30 Nov08 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYHEM Mar04 Sep22 Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  MOMENT IN THE DARK Mar13 Feb26 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  SOL OF VAQUERO Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 5.00    
4  RUN RED RUN Mar13 Feb29 Jul22 Jun30   (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 1.20 45% 1.20    
5  NO MAS CERVEZA Mar06 Feb21 Jan09 Dec28 Dec13 (brown glenroy)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
6  HAPPY TAKEOVER Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec11 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.