Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $18.00 $12.00 200%
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $60.20 $48.20 402%
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-1-5 $43.50 $40.50 1350%
MVR-4   DD (5/1/2)-(1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $21.40 $9.40 78%
MVR-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    DD (1/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $13.80 $1.80 15%
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/4)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-1-5 $32.30 $23.30 259%
MVR-6   EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-3 $31.40 $13.40 74%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALBOYZEKE 3 3 3 2½   2nk 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 45% 1.20 0.40 W
WEEKEND BUZZ 4 1 1 1½   1nk 2 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.50 P
THE MAN CAN 5 2 2 3   34 3 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 9.10  
RUN BUBBA RUN 1 4 4 4   410 4 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7% 12.50 6.40  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 5 59 512½   514 510¾ (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 39.50  
SCR  RED COMET               (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00    
 
MVR-2   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGINA 1 1 34 23   1nk 1 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 122 4.50 3.30  
TATTERED HEART 2 2 2 34   2nk 2 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 122 5.00 10% 9.30 8.90 P
EPICUREAN 3 3 1 13   3½ 3 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 128 0.60 62% 0.60 0.10 S
SCR  SIERRA DIAMOND               (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00    
SCR  SKY               (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
 
MVR-3   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:144 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER MATT 2 5 3 5 31 3½ 1hd (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 13% 6.80 8.00 W
BARRELHOUSE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 8.00 22% 3.60 3.20 P
CHARGER 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 41% 1.40 0.80 S
HAD RIGHT 3 3 5 4 5 4 4 (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 3.90  
KALINBA 5 4 42 3½ 4 54 5 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 6.20  
SCR  GRAND GIZMO               (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
SCR  NAPA DUDE               (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL 1 3 1 2nk   1nk 1 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.20 33% 2.10 0.10 W
WHO DA BOSS 3 2 3 1nk   2nk 2 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 4.00 4.90  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 4 1 44 4   36 3 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 2.50 28% 2.60 11.00 S
I STRONG 2 4 2 33   48 415 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12.70  
SCR  SLICK EDDIE               (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
 
MVR-5   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 4 55 42   3½ 1¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 29% 2.50 4.70 W
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 5 5 43 3½   1nk 2¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 4.00 4.50  
COMPASS POINT 3 6 67 6   6 34 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 17% 4.80 2.30 S
UNCLE EARL 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 4 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.60  
GEMO RAIN 2 3 3 5   5 5 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 24.90  
TWICE AS SMART 6 1 2½ 1nk   42 6 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5.70  
SCR  MAXIMIZER               (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:283   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND ME ON 3 2 43 21 2½ 2nk 1 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.20 48% 1.10 0.60 W
SURROUNDER 5 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 2 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40 P
RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 5 54 5 31 3 3 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 3.50  
BISCUITS AND GRITS 4 1 3 43 42 4 410¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 3.50 23% 3.30 4.10  
VICTORY DIVISION 2 3 2 32 5 5 516½ (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.90  
 
MVR-7   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:14 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY COUGAR 3 6 5 54 3.2 1½ 1¼ (dacosta jason)BRACHO A 118 5.00 3.70  
SHE'S CRAFTY 1 1 6 66 4 2½ 2¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 2.30  
HONEY BELLA 4 2 1½ 2nk 1nk 3 3 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 55% 0.80 3.50 S
SHEISTHEHERO 2 5 4 4 5 4 412¾ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 6.00 29.10  
WINDY LU WHO 5 4 2½ 1nk 2nk 5 523 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.70 2.70  
R THREE ANGELS 6 3 31 31 6 616½ 631½ (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 6% 14.90 4.10  
SCR  MAGIC PALACE               (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSECUTOR 5 1 11 1   13 1 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
EAGLE NEST 1 5 3 2   23 2 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50 P
PRESSLEY RIDGE 6 6 4 3   37 310½ (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 10.20  
FLAG RAISER 2 4 55 56   4 415¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 6.90  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 4 2 613 614   615½ 517¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 8.00 20.40  
ORVILLE B 3 3 21 4   511½ 624 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 7% 13.70 15.50  
SCR  HARTSTEIN               (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.