The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - March 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.60 -4.00
MVR-3   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 12.00
MVR-4   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
MVR-5   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 5.40
MVR-6   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
MVR-7   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.40 -6.00
MVR-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALBOYZEKE 3 3 3 2½   2nk 1(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 45% 1.20 0.40 W
WEEKEND BUZZ 4 1 1 1½   1nk 2(trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.50 P
THE MAN CAN 5 2 2 3   34 3(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 9.10  
RUN BUBBA RUN 1 4 4 4   410 4(smith larry)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7% 12.50 6.40  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 5 59 512½   514 510¾ (haehn terry )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 39.50  
SCR  RED COMET               (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00    
 
MVR-2   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGINA 1 1 34 23   1nk 1(rivera nestor)BRACHO A 122 4.50 3.30  
TATTERED HEART 2 2 2 34   2nk 2(schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 122 5.00 10% 9.30 8.90 P
EPICUREAN 3 3 1 13   3½ 3(rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 128 0.60 62% 0.60 0.10 S
SCR  SIERRA DIAMOND               (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00    
SCR  SKY               (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
 
MVR-3   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:144 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER MATT 2 5 3 5 31 3½ 1hd (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 13% 6.80 8.00 W
BARRELHOUSE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (hurley l)HALDAR J 124 8.00 22% 3.60 3.20 P
CHARGER 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 41% 1.40 0.80 S
HAD RIGHT 3 3 5 4 5 44(huffman m)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 3.90  
KALINBA 5 4 42 3½ 4 54 5(lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 6.20  
SCR  GRAND GIZMO               (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
SCR  NAPA DUDE               (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL 1 3 1 2nk   1nk 1(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.20 33% 2.10 0.10 W
WHO DA BOSS 3 2 3 1nk   2nk 2(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 4.00 4.90  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 4 1 44 4   36 3(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 2.50 28% 2.60 11.00 S
I STRONG 2 4 2 33   48 415 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12.70  
SCR  SLICK EDDIE               (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
 
MVR-5   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 4 55 42   3½ 1¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 29% 2.50 4.70 W
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 5 5 43 3½   1nk 2¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 124 4.00 4.50  
COMPASS POINT 3 6 67 6   634 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 17% 4.80 2.30 S
UNCLE EARL 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 4(rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.60  
GEMO RAIN 2 3 3 5   55(crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 24.90  
TWICE AS SMART 6 1 2½ 1nk   42 6(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5.70  
SCR  MAXIMIZER               (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:283   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND ME ON 3 2 43 21 2½ 2nk 1(faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.20 48% 1.10 0.60 W
SURROUNDER 5 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 2(johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40 P
RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 5 54 5 31 33(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 3.50  
BISCUITS AND GRITS 4 1 3 43 42 4410¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 3.50 23% 3.30 4.10  
VICTORY DIVISION 2 3 2 32 5 5516½ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.90  
 
MVR-7   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:14 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY COUGAR 3 6 5 54 3.2 1½ 1¼ (dacosta jason)BRACHO A 118 5.00 3.70  
SHE'S CRAFTY 1 1 6 66 4 2½ 2¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 2.30  
HONEY BELLA 4 2 1½ 2nk 1nk 33(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 55% 0.80 3.50 S
SHEISTHEHERO 2 5 4 4 5 4412¾ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 6.00 29.10  
WINDY LU WHO 5 4 2½ 1nk 2nk 5523 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.70 2.70  
R THREE ANGELS 6 3 31 31 6 616½ 631½ (dacosta )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 6% 14.90 4.10  
SCR  MAGIC PALACE               (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSECUTOR 5 1 11 1   13 1(guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
EAGLE NEST 1 5 3 2   23 2(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50 P
PRESSLEY RIDGE 6 6 4 3   37 310½ (pappada a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 10.20  
FLAG RAISER 2 4 55 56   4415¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 6.90  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 4 2 613 614   615½ 517¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 118 8.00 20.40  
ORVILLE B 3 3 21 4   511½ 624 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 7% 13.70 15.50  
SCR  HARTSTEIN               (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.