Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $92.40 $68.40 285%
MVR-4   DD (3/7/2/6)-(1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-1 $29.00 $5.00 21%
MVR-5   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $105.80 $81.80 341%
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-5 $72.45 $60.45 504%
    SFT (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-1-5-6 $80.75 $78.35 3265%
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $27.20 $3.20 13%
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-1-2 $69.10 $45.10 188%
MVR-6   TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-7-3 $9.55 $6.55 218%
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(7/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-2 $39.80 $15.80 66%
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1)-(7/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-2-2 $25.90 $7.90 44%
MVR-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/9/7)-(3/2/4/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-9 $20.40 $2.40 13%
    SFT (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/9/7)-(3/2/4/9/7)-(3/2/4/9/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-4-9-7 $38.02 $30.82 428%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OHIO PLAYER 3 3 11 13   12½ 15½ (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 1.60 16% 5.40 1.10 W
2  HOPPY GILMORE 2 5 56 45   44½ 25½ (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 P
1  GIV'EM THE BIZ 1 4 21 33½   22½ 36 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 3.90  
4  JOSH'N 4 1 33½ 23   34 48½ (murillo-rodrigu)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
5  OHIO MUNNY 5 2 45 55   58½ 518½ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10.70  
 
MVR-2   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:232 :463       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIBERATE 2 2 11½ 1½   12½ 12½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 1.00 39% 1.50 0.10 W
4  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 4 4 21½ 2½   22½ 22½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 5.20  
1  HERO'S MAN 1 5 32½ 33   37 35¾ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70 7.20 S
5  MOBIL LADY 5 1 45 48   414 415¾ (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00 22.90  
3  CAMP PENDLETON 3 3 510 512½   517 517¼ (st david)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
 
MVR-3   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THAT'S THE WAY 7 6 67 54¼   4¾ 11½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 16% 5.20 5.90 W
3  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 3 2 31 2nk   3½ 21½ (bailey ricard)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 23% 3.30 8.10 P
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 3 2½ 32   1½ 32¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 8.10  
2  SURROUNDER 2 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 44½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 5.00 14% 6.20 17.90  
5  PECKS NOT BAD 5 1 42 42¼   53¾ 57½ (juarez l)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 0.30  
6  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 6 7 56 64¼   67¾ 611 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
4  DASH OF FIRE 4 5 711 78¼   710¾ 711¾ (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00 57.80  
 
MVR-4   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S BE HONEST 1 2 12½ 11½   12 11½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
5  GO STELLAIRE 5 6 612½ 69½   55 21½ (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 9.30  
2  LILAC LACE 2 1 22½ 21½   22 32¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 6.00  
3  COWGIRL KIMMIE 3 4 45½ 33   34½ 43½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 19% 4.40 3.30  
4  ROSE RING 4 5 57½ 55½   45 53½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 30.20  
6  IYIYI 6 3 34 43½   66½ 610¾ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 126 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
 
MVR-5   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 2 8 55 54   31½ 1hd (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 7% 13.30 4.60 W
1  CONSIDER ME 1 6 12½ 12½   11½ 2hd (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80 P
5  SCRATCHOFF 5 3 22½ 22½   21½ 3¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 63% 0.60 0.60 S
6  THE EQUINEST 6 4 65¼ 64¼   63¾ 44 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
3  TOYI 3 5 32½ 33½   43 54¾ (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 14.30  
4  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 7 78¼ 77¾   75¾ 67 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 10.80  
7  AWESOME ENOUGH 7 2 44½ 43½   53½ 78 (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 12.60  
8  UNBRIDLED VICTOR 8 1 813¼ 812¾   88¾ 811¼ (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 23.30  
 
MVR-6   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  POKER PARTNER 1 1 3.2 1½   1nk 11¼ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 116 2.50 22% 3.60 2.10 W
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 6 2 2nk 2½   2nk 21¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.00 51% 1.00 0.60 P
3  EL BAMBINO 2 6 45¼ 47½   34 35¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 6.00 5% 19.00 12.40 S
5  EL BANDIDO 4 5 69¾ 511½   47 47¾ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 25.30  
6  READ THE ROOM 5 4 59¼ 616½   616 517½ (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 116 8.00 13.00  
4  DONAHUE 3 3 1nk 32½   510 619¼ (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 7.10  
SCR  SMALL SAILOR               (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:221 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SENSEI LAWRENCE 4 2 2½ 31½   1½ 13½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5.60  
9  WILDCAT EXPRESS 7 1 1½ 11   2½ 23½ (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 70% 0.40 0.20 P
3  FIRST SONG 3 4 3½ 21   32½ 310¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★ 13.10 S
8  EL MARRO 6 3 53½ 65½   56 411¼ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 ★ 15.00  
1  MUTINY 1 5 64 55   45½ 513¼ (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
2  MAS ORO 2 7 74½ 76   77 613¾ (urieta joha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 34.70  
7  CAPTURE MI 5 6 42½ 42½   66½ 716 (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 24.20  
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  MOESTER               (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-8   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SWEET MOBILTEE 3 6 2nk 11   14 12¾ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 43% 1.30 2.40 W
4  SPUNKY ONE 4 2 4¾ 21   24 22¾ (dacosta ja)COLINA ALEJANDRO 116 5.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
9  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 9 5 84¾ 63¼   37 37½ (poole m)BRACHO A 118 2.50 ★ 2.10 S
7  MOST ADORABLE 7 7 73¼ 73¼   68¾ 412½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 ★ 15.60  
1  HALO EFFECT 1 8 1nk 52¼   78¾ 515 (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 19.90  
5  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 1 3½ 31   48½ 615¼ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 9.90  
2  ZASHIXIARAYAN 2 9 52¼ 42   58½ 715¼ (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00 34% 2.00 6.70  
8  GIMME CLEARANCE 8 4 95 97¼   811¾ 815¾ (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 81.30  
6  MY TWO JAKES 6 3 62¼ 85¼   915¾ 929 (gonzalez donaci)LEON A 124 15.00 22.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.