The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - March 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
MVR-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
MVR-3   Win (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
MVR-4   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-5   Win (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
MVR-6   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-7   Win (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $13.20 -4.00
MVR-8   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO PLAYER 3 3 11 13   11(brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 124 1.60 16% 5.40 1.10 W
HOPPY GILMORE 2 5 56 45   42(johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 P
GIV'EM THE BIZ 1 4 21 3   236 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 3.90  
JOSH'N 4 1 3 23   34 4(murillo-rodriguez)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
OHIO MUNNY 5 2 45 55   5518½ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10.70  
 
MVR-2   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:232 :463       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERATE 2 2 1 1½   11(hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 1.00 39% 1.50 0.10 W
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 4 4 2 2½   22(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 5.20  
HERO'S MAN 1 5 3 33   37 3(meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70 7.20 S
MOBIL LADY 5 1 45 48   414 415¾ (meyers shane)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00 22.90  
CAMP PENDLETON 3 3 510 512½   517 517¼ (st david)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
 
MVR-3   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S THE WAY 7 6 67 5   4¾ 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 16% 5.20 5.90 W
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 3 2 31 2nk   3½ 2(bailey ricardo)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 23% 3.30 8.10 P
SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 3 2½ 32   1½ 3(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 8.10  
SURROUNDER 2 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 4(johnson l)DIAZ I 124 5.00 14% 6.20 17.90  
PECKS NOT BAD 5 1 42 4   55(juarez lor)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 0.30  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 6 7 56 6   6611 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
DASH OF FIRE 4 5 711 7   710¾ 711¾ (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00 57.80  
 
MVR-4   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S BE HONEST 1 2 1 1   12 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
GO STELLAIRE 5 6 612½ 6   55 2(vickers richard)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 9.30  
LILAC LACE 2 1 2 2   22 3(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 15% 5.80 6.00 S
COWGIRL KIMMIE 3 4 4 33   34(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 19% 4.40 3.30  
ROSE RING 4 5 5 5   45 5(haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 30.20  
IYIYI 6 3 34 4   6610¾ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 6.00 4.70  
 
MVR-5   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 2 8 55 54   31hd (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 7% 13.30 4.60 W
CONSIDER ME 1 6 1 1   12hd (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 11.80  
SCRATCHOFF 5 3 2 2   23¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 63% 0.60 0.60 S
THE EQUINEST 6 4 6 6   644 (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
TOYI 3 5 3 3   43 5(tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 14.30  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 7 7 7   767 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 5% 19.00 10.80  
AWESOME ENOUGH 7 2 4 4   578 (galloway kha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 12.60  
UNBRIDLED VICTOR 8 1 813¼ 812¾   8811¼ (spiess shane )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 23.30  
 
MVR-6   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PARTNER 1 1 3.2 1½   1nk 1(dacosta jason)RIVERA R 116 2.50 22% 3.60 2.10 W
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 6 2 2nk 2½   2nk 2(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 2.00 51% 1.00 0.60 P
EL BAMBINO 2 6 4 4   34 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 6.00 12.40  
EL BANDIDO 4 5 6 511½   47 4(tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 25.30  
READ THE ROOM 5 4 5 616½   616 517½ (mahan jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 8.00 13.00  
DONAHUE 3 3 1nk 3   510 619¼ (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 6% 16.30 7.10  
SCR  SMALL SAILOR               (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:221 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSEI LAWRENCE 4 2 2½ 3   1½ 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5.60  
WILDCAT EXPRESS 7 1 1½ 11   2½ 2(poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 70% 0.40 0.20 P
FIRST SONG 3 4 3½ 21   3310¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 13.10 S
EL MARRO 6 3 5 6   56 411¼ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 15.00  
MUTINY 1 5 64 55   4513¼ (bailey r)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
MAS ORO 2 7 7 76   77 613¾ (urieta johann)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 34.70  
CAPTURE MI 5 6 4 4   6716 (zawitz joel)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 24.20  
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  MOESTER               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-8   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MOBILTEE 3 6 2nk 11   14 1(smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 43% 1.30 2.40 W
SPUNKY ONE 4 2 4¾ 21   24 2(dacosta jaso)COLINA ALEJANDRO 116 5.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 9 5 8 6   37 3(poole m)BRACHO A 118 2.50 2.10 S
MOST ADORABLE 7 7 7 7   6412½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 15.60  
HALO EFFECT 1 8 1nk 5   7515 (yoder susan )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 19.90  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 1 3½ 31   4615¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 9.90  
ZASHIXIARAYAN 2 9 5 42   5715¼ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00 34% 2.00 6.70  
GIMME CLEARANCE 8 4 95 9   811¾ 815¾ (silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 81.30  
MY TWO JAKES 6 3 6 8   915¾ 929 (gonzalez donacian)LEON A 124 15.00 22.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.