Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/1/3)-(3/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/7/2/6)-(1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/2/6/1)-(7/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(7/2/3)-(9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(9/1)-(3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/1)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/9/7)-(3/2/4/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIV'EM THE BIZ Feb14 Jan31 Jan08 Nov06 Sep19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00    
2  HOPPY GILMORE Feb21 Jan31 Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  OHIO PLAYER Feb06 Jan24 Dec14 Dec04 Nov06 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 1.60 16% 5.40    
4  JOSH'N Feb21 Jan31 Jan22 Dec26 Dec07 (murillo-rodrigu)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OHIO MUNNY Feb06 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO'S MAN Dec07 Oct25 Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  LIBERATE Dec26 Nov20 Aug06 May30 May15 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 1.00 39% 1.50    
3  CAMP PENDLETON Jan30 Dec26 Nov15 Oct27 Sep30 (st david)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Aug06 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 Apr27 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 5.00    
5  MOBIL LADY Sep07 Jun23 May20 Apr27 Dec30 (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00    
 
MVR-3   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME Feb28 Nov21 Oct13 Sep04 Aug22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
2  SURROUNDER Feb19 Jan24 Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Feb27 Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 Oct09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  DASH OF FIRE Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec28 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Feb21 Feb06 Jan22 Dec26 Nov08 (juarez l)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
6  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Feb21 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THAT'S THE WAY Feb29 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-4   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S BE HONEST Feb28 Nov03 Oct14 Aug16 Jul22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  LILAC LACE Feb21 Nov14 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
3  COWGIRL KIMMIE Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  ROSE RING Feb21 Feb05 Sep28 Sep14 Aug16 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
5  GO STELLAIRE Feb21 Feb07 Dec27 Dec13 Nov21 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00    
6  IYIYI Feb22 Jan10 Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSIDER ME Feb26 Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Feb29 Feb05 Dec12 Nov15 Oct04 (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 7% 13.30    
3  TOYI Feb29 Feb08 Dec07 Nov21 Nov09 (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
4  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Feb22 Feb12 Feb05 Jan11 Dec19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50    
5  SCRATCHOFF Feb29 Feb08 Jan15 Oct22 Aug03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
6  THE EQUINEST Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 Feb08 Jan15 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  AWESOME ENOUGH Feb26 Feb13 Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
8  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Feb13 Dec21 Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMALL SAILOR Feb01 Nov29 Nov13 Oct19 Oct02 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
2  POKER PARTNER Feb15 Jan24 Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 116 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  EL BAMBINO Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DONAHUE Feb12 Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul03 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 4.00    
5  EL BANDIDO Mar04 Feb20 Feb06 Dec03 Nov27 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
6  READ THE ROOM Feb26 Feb06 Jan25 Jan04   (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 116 8.00    
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Feb06 Dec20 Nov03 Oct02 Sep08 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
MVR-7   03/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTINY Feb29 Feb21 Jan24 Dec14 Sep25 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAS ORO Feb26 Feb13 Jan11 Dec19 Nov30 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
3  FIRST SONG Dec26 Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 Sep28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
4  SENSEI LAWRENCE Feb07 Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Sep23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
SCR  MOESTER Feb07 Jan25 Jan08 Dec21 May22 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY Dec07 Nov21 Nov08 Oct22 Sep21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
7  CAPTURE MI Feb22 Feb13 Oct04 Aug28 Aug10 (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
8  EL MARRO Feb21 Jan02 Dec13 Dec04 Nov20 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 ★    
9  WILDCAT EXPRESS Feb07 Dec26 Nov20 Sep11 Aug14 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 70% 0.40    
 
MVR-8   03/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO EFFECT Feb22 Dec06 Nov15 Nov06 Oct21 (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
2  ZASHIXIARAYAN Feb19         (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00 34% 2.00    
3  SWEET MOBILTEE Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 Jun22 Jun07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  SPUNKY ONE Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Feb01 Dec28 (dacosta ja)COLINA ALEJANDRO 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Feb21 Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 Nov21 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
6  MY TWO JAKES Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 (gonzalez donaci)LEON A 124 15.00    
7  MOST ADORABLE Dec21 Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 ★    
8  GIMME CLEARANCE Nov06 Sep28 Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
9  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Feb27 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 (poole m)BRACHO A 118 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.